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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXR vs XXR,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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M37 Box Office Gold

M37

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

I don't ever save my "Quick and Dirty"'s, because, well, they're Quick and Dirty. :lol:   I'd have to trawl through the archived thread to grab the numbers and be able to provide comps for them.  Which, I suppose, I might end up doing sometime today (if only to see if I actually have good times/data for T-1/T-0).

Had a hunch you didn’t save them, which is why I included the link for HK 😉

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
Quote

 

A24’s highest grossing movie ever, the martial arts fantasy Everything Everywhere All at Once, is going wide again in cinemas on July 29.

 

The latest cut from Dan Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, which took off like a rocket ship from its SXSW world premiere, will include a new introduction from the filmmakers and eight minutes of outtakes.

 

‘Everything Everywhere All At Once’ New Cut Gets Theatrical Re-Release – Deadline

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Tinalera Box Office Gold

Tinalera

Posted
Posted
44 minutes ago, Maggie said:

Bullet Train tickets are on sale. Are you guys gonna track it?

Oh look they appear on Cineplex seemingly after I did my Nope count and Super Pets Startup.....sigh.....:bash:(For the record I am NOT tracking the Tues Aug 2 specialty shows) 

 

 

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el sid Box Office Gold

el sid

Posted
Posted (edited)

Nope, counted today at 11am EST for Thursday, July 21:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 263 (6 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 293 (6 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 31 (8 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 18 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 93 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 606 (11 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 1.535 (18 showtimes)


Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 2.839.

Up good 84% since Monday. I decided to include the IMAX live events (3 shows in total: in the AMCs in NY, San Francisco and LA) because I indeed noticed that Nope „lost“ shows and sold tickets on Monday and I think the live event shows are those missing shows. Partly that's the reason why the jump is so big.
 

Comps (all counted on Wednesday for Thursday): The Forever Purge had 168 sold tickets,

AQP II had 1.209 sold tickets,

Halloween Kills had 1.006,

The Invisible Man had 628

and Scream had 1.302 sold tickets.

Nope, counted today at 11am EST for Friday, July 22:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 340 (12 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 236 (14 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 21 (13 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 19 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 75 (12 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 475 (12 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 1.242 (18 showtimes)


Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 2.408.

Up decent 49% since Monday.
Comps (all counted on Wednesday for Friday): Old had 262 sold tickets,

The Invisible Man had 628,

Candyman had 447,

HK had 1.254

and Scream had 1.149 sold tickets.

 

Well, at the moment it looks indeed like 50M+ (more like 60M+) will happen, judging from my theaters.

Edited by el sid
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Tinalera Box Office Gold

Tinalera

Posted
Posted (edited)

45 Million (including Thursday) (US/Canada) opening is my call.

 

My secret advanced calculations and strategy for Nope?

 

1. Pick a dartboard

2 Throw Darts

3 ?

4 Profit!

 

I actually am also basing it on a total I don't know what the heck Im doing look at the comps Ive done so far with Canada and postulating numbers-can't wait to laugh at my failure lol

 

 

 

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 7/19/2022 at 3:26 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Nope Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 249 1796 13.86%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 226 2004 11.28%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1155 210 18906 6.11% 15 98

 

AMCs sold 849
Cinemarks sold 118
Regals sold 118
Harkins sold 70

 

1.33x Scream T-2 (4.67M)

1.64x Halloween Kills T-2 (8.04M)

1.55x Suicide Squad T-2 (6.36M)

Nope Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 287 1796 15.98%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 284 2004 14.17%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1408 253 19399 7.26% 15 100

 

AMCs sold 1014
Cinemarks sold 162
Regals sold 148
Harkins sold 84

 

1.33x Scream T-1 (4.64M)

1.56x Halloween Kills T-1 (7.65M)

1.57x Suicide Squad T-1 (6.43M)

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 7/19/2022 at 3:32 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Nope Megaplex

 

T-2 Thursday(55 showings): 368(+98)/17291

0.939x Scream T-2 (3.29M)

1.21x Halloween Kills T-2 (5.87M)

1.05x Suicide Squad T-2 (4.30M)

 

T-3 Friday(109 showings): 270(+149)/28032

0.687x Scream T-3 (6.79M)

0.473x Halloween Kills T-3 (8.52M)

0.789x Suicide Squad T-3 (6.32M)

 

T-4 Saturday(109 showings): 87(+28)/27958

0.512x Scream T-4 (5.20M)

0.414x Halloween Kills T-4 (7.18M)

 

T-5 Sunday(105 showings): 34(+10)/27171

0.493x Scream T-5 (3.18M)

0.607x Halloween Kills T-5 (5.62M)

Nope Megaplex

 

T-1 Thursday(55 showings): 557(+189)/17291

1.19x Scream T-1 (4.15M)

1.27x Halloween Kills T-1 (6.15M)

1.19x Suicide Squad T-1 (4.89M)

 

T-2 Friday(109 showings): 388(+118)/28032

0.746x Scream T-2 (7.37M)

0.538x Halloween Kills T-2 (9.69M)

0.882x Suicide Squad T-2 (7.05M)

 

T-3 Saturday(109 showings): 134(+47)/27958

0.545x Scream T-3 (5.54M)

0.473x Halloween Kills T-3 (8.20M)

 

T-4 Sunday(105 showings): 59(+25)/27171

0.608x Scream T-4 (3.93M)

0.756x Halloween Kills T-4 (7.00M)

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Nope Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-2 Thursday(178 showings): 6934(+1335)/24743 ATP: $15.64

1.86x Scream T-2 (6.52M)

 

T-3 Friday(303 showings): 7323(+1743)/41627 ATP: $15.96

2.07x Scream T-3 (20.40M)

 

T-4 Saturday(322 showings): 6086(+1059)/43914 ATP: $15.23

2.48x Scream T-4 (25.22M)

 

T-5 Sunday(264 showings): 3392(+613)/36922 ATP: $15.15

2.66x Scream T-5 (17.21M)

Nope Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-1 Thursday(184 showings): 8468(+1534)/25441 ATP: $15.56

1.97x Scream T-1 (6.89M)

 

T-2 Friday(315 showings): 9578(+2255)/43023 ATP: $15.81

2.27x Scream T-2 (22.42M)

 

T-3 Saturday(335 showings): 7914(+1828)/45395 ATP: $15.25

2.65x Scream T-3 (26.99M)

 

T-4 Sunday(276 showings): 4462(+1070)/38482 ATP: $15.20

2.93x Scream T-4 (18.94M)

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Ronin46 Box Office Gold

Ronin46

Posted
Posted

 

 

Box Office Pro weekend forecast

 

 

Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, July 24 Location Count Projection (as of Wed) % Change from Last Wknd
Nope Universal Pictures $55,500,000 $55,500,000 3,700 NEW
Thor: Love and Thunder Disney & Marvel Studios $20,400,000 $275,100,000 ~3,900 -56%
Minions: The Rise of Gru Universal & Illumination Animation $18,500,000 $299,100,000 ~3,700 -31%
Where the Crawdads Sing Sony 3000 Pictures $9,600,000 $36,700,000 ~3,650 -44%
Top Gun: Maverick Paramount Pictures $9,300,000 $635,000,000 ~3,100 -24%
Elvis Warner Bros. $6,500,000 $118,900,000 ~3,000 -19%
Paws of Fury: The Legend of Hank Paramount Pictures $3,600,000 $13,500,000 ~3,475 -43%
Jurassic World Dominion Universal Pictures $3,300,000 $365,900,000 ~2,200 -36%
The Black Phone
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Menor the Destroyer Summer Tentpole

Menor the Destroyer

Posted
Posted
On 7/19/2022 at 5:55 PM, Menor Reborn said:

Nope Marcus Theaters T-3 (from last night):

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 414 (+169 in 23 hr)

Seats Sold: 2982/58856 (+653 in 23 hr)

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 866 

Seats Sold: 4302/120288

 

Nope Marcus Theaters T-2:

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 485 (+71 in 25.5 hr)

Seats Sold: 4303/66794 (+1221 in 25.5 hr)

 

Friday run failed

 

Still more or less running at 60% of Minions 2 (can't provide an exact comp as I took the numbers a few hours earlier for M2). 

 

For what it's worth (not much):

1.606x Crawdads (3.69m)

 

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Tinalera Box Office Gold

Tinalera

Posted
Posted
49 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

 

 

Box Office Pro weekend forecast

 

 

Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, July 24 Location Count Projection (as of Wed) % Change from Last Wknd
Nope Universal Pictures $55,500,000 $55,500,000 3,700 NEW
Thor: Love and Thunder Disney & Marvel Studios $20,400,000 $275,100,000 ~3,900 -56%
Minions: The Rise of Gru Universal & Illumination Animation $18,500,000 $299,100,000 ~3,700 -31%
Where the Crawdads Sing Sony 3000 Pictures $9,600,000 $36,700,000 ~3,650 -44%
Top Gun: Maverick Paramount Pictures $9,300,000 $635,000,000 ~3,100 -24%
Elvis Warner Bros. $6,500,000 $118,900,000 ~3,000 -19%
Paws of Fury: The Legend of Hank Paramount Pictures $3,600,000 $13,500,000 ~3,475 -43%
Jurassic World Dominion Universal Pictures $3,300,000 $365,900,000 ~2,200 -36%
The Black Phone

Is Paws of Fury full run even going to make Lightyear's OD? (20 Million)?

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M37 Box Office Gold

M37

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Menor Reborn said:

Nope Marcus Theaters T-2:

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 485 (+71 in 25.5 hr)

Seats Sold: 4303/66794 (+1221 in 25.5 hr)

 

Friday run failed

 

Still more or less running at 60% of Minions 2 (can't provide an exact comp as I took the numbers a few hours earlier for M2). 

 

For what it's worth (not much):

1.606x Crawdads (3.69m)

 

+44% 👀 

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Rorschach Summer Tentpole

Rorschach

Posted
Posted

Nope (Wednesday Night Outlook)
Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX
    Thursday:
    IMAX showings: 26/1,164
        4:00 pm: 4/388
        7:30 pm: 22/388
        10:50 pm:  0/388
    2D showings: 69/766 
        4:45 pm: 11/78
        5:45 pm: 18/238
        6:45 pm: 14/67
        8:15 pm: 18/78
        9:15 pm: 4/238
        10:15 pm: 4/67
    Total: 95/1,930 (4.9% sold)

 

Comps:
Candyman: $6.22 mil
Halloween Kills: $2.11 mil
Scream: $1.78 mil
The Black Phone: $4.32 mil
Average: $3.61 mil

 

    Friday:
    IMAX showings: 21/1,552
        12:00 pm: 0/388
        3:30 pm: 2/388
        7:00 pm: 19/388
        10:30 pm: 0/388
    2D showings: 107/1,599
        9:40 am: 2/67
        10:15 am: 5/238
        11:00 am: 8/78
        1:00 pm: 2/67
        1:45 pm: 3/238
        2:30 pm: 5/78
        4:20 pm: 6/67
        5:15 pm: 6/238
        6:05 pm: 13/78
        7:40 pm: 7/67
        8:45 pm: 31/238
        9:35 pm: 19/78
        11:00 pm: 0/67
    Total: 128/3,151 (4.1% sold)

 

Thurs + Fri: 223/5,081 (4.4% sold)
    
Comps:
Candyman: $30.67 mil
Halloween Kills: $8.2 mil
Scream: $8.24 mil
The Black Phone: $17.17 mil
Average: $16.07 mil

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