The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Eric the Ape]

4 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Is Sony doing early screenings or fan events for Bullet Train? 

 

Wouldn't be a bad idea to get the WOM out, but if they skip them then it wouldn't really inflate the preview numbers too much

There's a fair number of PLF screenings the Tuesday before release. Five of the theaters I track have them actually.

[Tinalera]

16 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Is Sony doing early screenings or fan events for Bullet Train? 

 

Wouldn't be a bad idea to get the WOM out, but if they skip them then it wouldn't really inflate the preview numbers too much

They've got selected theatres here in Ontario doing an Aug 2 screening.

[Sandro Mazzola]

6 hours ago, ringedmortality said:

Why is Super-Pets dying?

 

Warner Brothers Animation...

[filmlover]

Beast showtimes are beginning to pop up but not on sale yet, starts at 5:00.

[Eric the Ape]

On 7/24/2022 at 10:56 PM, Eric the Superdog said:

DC League of Super Pets Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	46	109	7397	1.47%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 13

 

Comp

0.731x of Jungle Cruise T-4 (1.97M)

0.757x of Encanto T-4 (1.13M)

0.214x of Lightyear T-4 (1.11M)

0.224x of Minions 2 T-4 (2.41M)

 

I know this is a non presales-driven movie, but this really should have picked up some momentum by now. Gonna be a pretty boring weekend if things turn out south.

DC League of Super Pets Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	132	9101	1.45%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 23

 

Comp

0.800x of The Boss Baby 2 T-3 (1.05M)

0.737x of Jungle Cruise T-3 (1.99M)

3.219x of The Addams Family 2 T-3 (1.77M)

9.428x of Ron's Gone Wrong T-3 (2.26M)

0.781x of Encanto T-3 (1.17M)

1.886x of The Bad Guys T-3 (2.17M)

0.203x of Lightyear T-3 (1.06M)
0.198x of Minions 2 T-3 (2.13M)

4.400x of Paws of Fury T-3 (2.22M)

[Eric the Ape]

On 7/24/2022 at 11:04 PM, Eric the Superdog said:

Bullet Train Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	75	204	16256	1.25%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 15

 

Comp

4.250x of Snake Eyes T-11 (5.95M)

0.682x of The Suicide Squad T-11 (2.8M)

0.307x of No Time to Die T-11 (1.93M)

0.271x of Dune T-11 (1.38M)

0.687x of Uncharted T-11 (2.54M)

0.341x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-11 (2.05M)

0.124x of Top Gun 2 T-11 (2.39M)

0.110x of Jurassic World 3 T-11 (1.98M)

Bullet Train Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	75	247	16256	1.52%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 43

 

Comp

4.259x of Snake Eyes T-10 (5.96M)

0.789x of The Suicide Squad T-10 (3.23M)

0.329x of No Time to Die T-10 (2.07M)

0.313x of Dune T-10 (1.59M)

0.821x of Uncharted T-10 (3.04M)

0.376x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-10 (2.26M)

0.145x of Top Gun 2 T-10 (2.79M)

0.127x of Jurassic World 3 T-10 (2.29M)

[ringedmortality]

Bring back the Space Jam 2 comp

[stripe]

With all these presales, how much can we expect for League of Super Pets?

I had a feeling this could overperform to 40M+ OW but presales are really under Minions. Let's see

 

[Borf the Borf]

II dont know I feel like kids have enough access to various mediums to consume entertainment that you cant just mail it in with an animation and have parents march their kids in.   Pandemic broke habits and routines.  They flat rejected :LY.  No i dont know it Pets fits the bill as a sorta  cash grab btu to me it really feel it is,. 

Edited July 26, 2022 by Borf the Borf

[filmlover]

3 hours ago, stripe said:

With all these presales, how much can we expect for League of Super Pets?

I had a feeling this could overperform to 40M+ OW but presales are really under Minions. Let's see

 

It's sold a total of 10 tickets for all of Thursday and zero for Friday at a really popular theater near me. I wouldn't be shocked if it misses $20M at this rate.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/25/2022 at 8:05 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Bullet Train	T-10	Jax	7	51	2	55	9,463	0.58%
		Phx	6	28	4	112	6,087	1.84%
		Ral	8	27	-1	50	3,710	1.35%
	Total		21	106	5	217	19,260	1.13%
Bullet Train (EA)	T-8	Jax	5	6	2	16	1,331	1.20%
		Phx	1	1	2	16	208	7.69%
		Ral	1	1	0	14	261	5.36%
	Total		7	8	4	46	1,800	2.56%
Dragon Ball	T-24	Jax	6	26	9	77	5,795	1.33%
		Phx	6	22	41	148	4,486	3.30%
		Ral	7	21	11	105	2,812	3.73%
	Total		19	69	61	330	13,093	2.52%
Easter Sunday	T-10	Jax	6	15	2	20	2,232	0.90%
		Phx	5	13	2	8	1,595	0.50%
		Ral	7	15	2	4	1,695	0.24%
	Total		18	43	6	32	5,522	0.58%
Super Pets	T-3	Jax	6	38	7	41	4,934	0.83%
		Phx	6	24	5	46	3,615	1.27%
		Ral	7	23	30	87	3,340	2.60%
	Total		19	85	42	174	11,889	1.46%
Vengeance	T-3	Jax	3	4	5	9	286	3.15%
		Phx	5	10	0	13	1,122	1.16%
		Ral	4	5	1	5	367	1.36%
	Total		12	19	6	27	1,775	1.52%

 

Super Pets T-3 comps

 - Minions 2 - .214x (2.3m)

 - Sonic 2 - .197x (979k)

 - Bad Guys - 1.81x (2.08m)

 - Jungle Cruise - .728x (1.966m)

 - Paws of Fury - 3.22x (1.63m)

 - Lightyear - .24x (1.17m)

 - Encanto - .911x (1.366m)

 

Bullet Train (Thu) T-10 comps

 - Dune - .336x (1.71m)

 - NTTD (Thu) - .46x (2.39m)

 - F9 - .269x (1.91m)

 - Morbius - .354x (2.02m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Bullet Train	T-9	Jax	7	51	11	66	9,463	0.70%
		Phx	6	27	7	119	6,010	1.98%
		Ral	8	27	6	56	3,710	1.51%
	Total		21	105	24	241	19,183	1.26%
Bullet Train (EA)	T-7	Jax	5	6	11	27	1,331	2.03%
		Phx	1	1	7	23	208	11.06%
		Ral	1	1	0	14	261	5.36%
	Total		7	8	18	64	1,800	3.56%
Dragon Ball	T-23	Jax	6	26	10	87	5,795	1.50%
		Phx	6	22	4	152	4,486	3.39%
		Ral	7	21	8	113	2,812	4.02%
	Total		19	69	22	352	13,093	2.69%
Easter Sunday	T-9	Jax	6	15	0	20	2,232	0.90%
		Phx	5	13	-2	6	1,595	0.38%
		Ral	7	15	0	4	1,695	0.24%
	Total		18	43	-2	30	5,522	0.54%
Super Pets	T-2	Jax	6	42	14	55	5,685	0.97%
		Phx	6	24	3	49	3,615	1.36%
		Ral	7	27	21	108	3,664	2.95%
	Total		19	93	38	212	12,964	1.64%
Vengeance	T-2	Jax	3	5	9	18	337	5.34%
		Phx	5	10	7	20	1,122	1.78%
		Ral	4	5	5	10	367	2.72%
	Total		12	20	21	48	1,826	2.63%

 

Super Pets T-2 comps

 - Minions 2 - .182x (1.96m)

 - Sonic 2 - .198x (985k)

 - Bad Guys - 1.77x (2.03m)

 - Jungle Cruise - .646x (1.75m)

 - Paws of Fury - 3.12x (1.57m)

 - Lightyear - .23x (1.14m)

 - Encanto - .876x (1.314m)

 

Vengeance T-2 comps

 - Stillwater -  1.5x (420k)

 - Roadrunner - .676x (135k)

 - Ambulance - .533x (373k)

 

Bullet Train (Thu) T-9 comps

 - Dune - .352x (1.79m)

 - NTTD (Thu) - .46x (2.38m)

 - F9 - .279x (1.98m)

 - Lost City - 1.326x (3.4m)

 - Morbius - .364x (2.075m)

[M37]

4 hours ago, stripe said:

With all these presales, how much can we expect for League of Super Pets?

I had a feeling this could overperform to 40M+ OW but presales are really under Minions. Let's see

 

Ticket sales data suggest a preview in $2M range, probably a double digit multiplier, so expecting a mid if not high $20s opening ($22-$32M range) 

 

But because there doesn’t seem to much anticipation/fan rush, and it’s the last family/animated opening of summer, should leg out fairly well over the coming months. Maybe not quite to Bad Guys level (3.5x opening week), but enough longevity by default to push for $120M plus ($110-$140M or so)

[Legion Again]

If these comp blocks are programmatically generated anyway, would be nice to maybe get a linear difference from the same comp in the period being quoted. E.g.

32 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 - Minions 2 - .182x (1.96m, -.36m)

I know I personally will sometimes scroll up and down and up like 5 times to see which direction each went in 😆

Edited July 26, 2022 by Legion and Thunder

[M37]

2 hours ago, Legion and Thunder said:

If these comp blocks are programmatically generated anyway, would be nice to maybe get a linear difference from the same comp in the period being quoted. E.g.

I know I personally will sometimes scroll up and down and up like 5 times to see which direction each went in 😆

A % difference would probably be more relevant than raw change (and fwiw this is why I make graphs, because I just find it easier to absorb the data and trends visually)

 

I'm very curious to see where Super Pets winds up, because I could make reasonable arguments for it pacing ahead of or behind the comps, based on some nuances of the sales patterns (admittedly from very small numbers, which may skew the results)

[Jonwo]

Minions isn't a fair comparison as it's a sequel and a known brand where Super-Pets can only really rely on the DC aspect. 

 

 

[el sid]

That was a fast counting today.
DC League of Super Pets, counted today at 10am EST for Thursday, July 28:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 69 (4 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 43 (6 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 11 (3 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 4 (5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 19 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 33 (6 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 92 (7 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 271.

Comps (unfortunately not the best): Uncharted had on Monday of its release week 868 sold tickets

and Paws of Fury: The Legend of Hank had on the same day, Tuesday of its release week 122 sold tickets.

 

DC League of Super Pets, counted today at 10am EST for Friday, July 29:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 84 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 39 (7 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 2 (3 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 2 (6 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 0 (6 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 27 (9 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 20 (7 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 174.

Comps: JC (35M OW) had on Monday of its release week 357 sold tickets,

Minions 2 (107.0M) had also on Monday of its release week 907 sold tickets,

Lightyear (50.6M) had on Wednesday of its release week 1.235 sold tickets,
The Bad Guys (24M) had on Wednesday of its release week 345 sold tickets

and Paw Patrol had on the same day, Tuesday of its release week, 200 sold tickets.

 

Yes, at the moment it doesn't look good. If nothing changes even 25M could become difficult to reach.

 

The Beast tickets aren't on sale yet. But I'm looking forward to track it.

[Borf the Borf]

17 hours ago, el sid said:

That was a fast counting today.
DC League of Super Pets, counted today at 10am EST for Thursday, July 28:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 69 (4 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 43 (6 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 11 (3 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 4 (5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 19 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 33 (6 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 92 (7 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 271.

Comps (unfortunately not the best): Uncharted had on Monday of its release week 868 sold tickets

and Paws of Fury: The Legend of Hank had on the same day, Tuesday of its release week 122 sold tickets.

 

DC League of Super Pets, counted today at 10am EST for Friday, July 29:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 84 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 39 (7 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 2 (3 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 2 (6 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 0 (6 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 27 (9 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 20 (7 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 174.

Comps: JC (35M OW) had on Monday of its release week 357 sold tickets,

Minions 2 (107.0M) had also on Monday of its release week 907 sold tickets,

Lightyear (50.6M) had on Wednesday of its release week 1.235 sold tickets,
The Bad Guys (24M) had on Wednesday of its release week 345 sold tickets

and Paw Patrol had on the same day, Tuesday of its release week, 200 sold tickets.

 

Yes, at the moment it doesn't look good. If nothing changes even 25M could become difficult to reach.

 

The Beast tickets aren't on sale yet. But I'm looking forward to track it.

I mean this in hte most constructive way possible but tables would make your post so much easier to read.  

 

	tix	showtimes
NY	69	4
Miami	43	6
Grand Rapids	11	3
Austin	4	5
Tempe/Phoenix	19	4
San Francisco	33	6
LA	92	7

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Bullet Train	T-9	Jax	7	51	11	66	9,463	0.70%
		Phx	6	27	7	119	6,010	1.98%
		Ral	8	27	6	56	3,710	1.51%
	Total		21	105	24	241	19,183	1.26%
Bullet Train (EA)	T-7	Jax	5	6	11	27	1,331	2.03%
		Phx	1	1	7	23	208	11.06%
		Ral	1	1	0	14	261	5.36%
	Total		7	8	18	64	1,800	3.56%
Dragon Ball	T-23	Jax	6	26	10	87	5,795	1.50%
		Phx	6	22	4	152	4,486	3.39%
		Ral	7	21	8	113	2,812	4.02%
	Total		19	69	22	352	13,093	2.69%
Easter Sunday	T-9	Jax	6	15	0	20	2,232	0.90%
		Phx	5	13	-2	6	1,595	0.38%
		Ral	7	15	0	4	1,695	0.24%
	Total		18	43	-2	30	5,522	0.54%
Super Pets	T-2	Jax	6	42	14	55	5,685	0.97%
		Phx	6	24	3	49	3,615	1.36%
		Ral	7	27	21	108	3,664	2.95%
	Total		19	93	38	212	12,964	1.64%
Vengeance	T-2	Jax	3	5	9	18	337	5.34%
		Phx	5	10	7	20	1,122	1.78%
		Ral	4	5	5	10	367	2.72%
	Total		12	20	21	48	1,826	2.63%

 

Super Pets T-2 comps

 - Minions 2 - .182x (1.96m)

 - Sonic 2 - .198x (985k)

 - Bad Guys - 1.77x (2.03m)

 - Jungle Cruise - .646x (1.75m)

 - Paws of Fury - 3.12x (1.57m)

 - Lightyear - .23x (1.14m)

 - Encanto - .876x (1.314m)

 

Vengeance T-2 comps

 - Stillwater -  1.5x (420k)

 - Roadrunner - .676x (135k)

 - Ambulance - .533x (373k)

 

Bullet Train (Thu) T-9 comps

 - Dune - .352x (1.79m)

 - NTTD (Thu) - .46x (2.38m)

 - F9 - .279x (1.98m)

 - Lost City - 1.326x (3.4m)

 - Morbius - .364x (2.075m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Bullet Train	T-8	Jax	7	51	2	68	9,463	0.72%
		Phx	6	27	-1	118	6,010	1.96%
		Ral	8	31	1	57	4,009	1.42%
	Total		21	109	2	243	19,482	1.25%
Bullet Train (EA)	T-6	Jax	5	6	4	31	1,331	2.33%
		Phx	1	1	0	23	208	11.06%
		Ral	1	1	5	19	261	7.28%
	Total		7	8	9	73	1,800	4.06%
Dragon Ball	T-22	Jax	6	26	8	95	5,795	1.64%
		Phx	6	22	9	161	4,486	3.59%
		Ral	7	21	0	113	2,812	4.02%
	Total		19	69	17	369	13,093	2.82%
Easter Sunday	T-8	Jax	6	15	0	20	2,232	0.90%
		Phx	5	13	0	6	1,595	0.38%
		Ral	7	15	-1	3	1,695	0.18%
	Total		18	43	-1	29	5,522	0.53%
Super Pets	T-1	Jax	6	49	26	81	6,093	1.33%
		Phx	6	35	20	69	4,902	1.41%
		Ral	7	34	38	146	4,220	3.46%
	Total		19	118	84	296	15,215	1.95%
Vengeance	T-1	Jax	4	8	8	26	583	4.46%
		Phx	5	10	4	24	1,122	2.14%
		Ral	4	6	3	13	458	2.84%
	Total		13	24	15	63	2,163	2.91%

 

Super Pets T-1 comps

 - Minions 2 - .172x (1.85m)

 - Sonic 2 - .211x (1.05m)

 - Bad Guys - 1.9.5x (2.24m)

 - Jungle Cruise - .641x (1.73m)

 - Paws of Fury - 2.99x (1.51m)

 - Lightyear - .25x (1.23m)

 - Encanto - .955x (1.43m)

 

Seems like we'll converge in the 1.5m-1.6m range

 

Working on automating a chart to track how comps change over time.  Minions and Sonic are taking opposite paths; Jungle Cruise has been steady.  

 

Day:	T-1 hr	T-0	T-1	T-2	T-3	T-4
Minions 2	0.000	0.000	0.172	0.182	0.214	0.215
Sonic 2		0.000	0.211	0.198	0.197	0.171
Bad Guys	0.000	0.000	1.947	1.767	1.813
Jungle Cruise	0.000	0.000	0.641	0.646	0.728	0.647
Paws of Fury	0.000	0.000	2.990	3.118	3.222	2.694
Lightyear	0.000	0.000	0.251	0.232	0.240
Encanto	0.000	0.000	0.955	0.876	0.911	0.815

 

Vengeance T-1 comps

 - Stillwater -  1.34x (375k)

 - Roadrunner - .589x (118k)

 - Ambulance - .481x (337k)

 

Bullet Train (Thu) T-8 comps

 - Dune - .327x (1.67m)

 - NTTD (Thu) - .41x (2.15m)

 - F9 - .27x (1.92m)

 - Lost City - 1.45x (3.62m)

 - Morbius - .332x (1.89m)

[Eric the Ape]

On 7/25/2022 at 11:20 PM, Eric the Superdog said:

DC League of Super Pets Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	132	9101	1.45%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 23

 

Comp

0.800x of The Boss Baby 2 T-3 (1.05M)

0.737x of Jungle Cruise T-3 (1.99M)

3.219x of The Addams Family 2 T-3 (1.77M)

9.428x of Ron's Gone Wrong T-3 (2.26M)

0.781x of Encanto T-3 (1.17M)

1.886x of The Bad Guys T-3 (2.17M)

0.203x of Lightyear T-3 (1.06M)
0.198x of Minions 2 T-3 (2.13M)

4.400x of Paws of Fury T-3 (2.22M)

DC League of Super Pets Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	85	174	12834	1.36%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 42

 

Comp

0.972x of Boss Baby 2 T-2 (1.27M)

0.731x of Jungle Cruise T-2 (1.97M)

2.852x of The Addams Family 2 T-2 (1.57M)

8.286x of Ron's Gone Wrong T-2 (2.15M)

0.750x of Encanto T-2 (1.12M)

1.891x of The Bad Guys T-2 (2.17M)

0.218x of Lightyear T-2 (1.13M)

0.180x of Minions 2 T-2 (1.93M)

4.579x of Paws of Fury T-2 (2.31M)

[Eric the Ape]

On 7/25/2022 at 11:30 PM, Eric the Superdog said:

Bullet Train Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	75	247	16256	1.52%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 43

 

Comp

4.259x of Snake Eyes T-10 (5.96M)

0.789x of The Suicide Squad T-10 (3.23M)

0.329x of No Time to Die T-10 (2.07M)

0.313x of Dune T-10 (1.59M)

0.821x of Uncharted T-10 (3.04M)

0.376x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-10 (2.26M)

0.145x of Top Gun 2 T-10 (2.79M)

0.127x of Jurassic World 3 T-10 (2.29M)

Bullet Train Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	75	287	16256	1.77%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 40

 

Comp

3.986x of Snake Eyes T-9 (5.58M)

0.857x of The Suicide Squad T-9 (3.51M)

4.629x of Free Guy T-9 (10.18M)

0.348x of No Time to Die T-8 (2.19M)

0.347x of Dune T-8 (1.77M)

0.923x of Uncharted T-8 (3.41M)

0.395x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-8 (2.37M)

0.159x of Top Gun 2 T-8 (3.07M)

0.142x of Jurassic World 3 T-8 (2.56M)