The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Verrows]

1 hour ago, Boxofficerules said:

How is M3Gan looking?

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric in Boots said:

M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	111	6237	1.78%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 8

 

Comp

0.209x of The Conjuring 3 T-5 (2.05M)

0.145x of Halloween Kills T-5 (702K)

0.182x of Scream T-5 (637K)

0.107x of Halloween Ends T-5 (580K)

M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	124	6237	1.99%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 13

 

Comp

0.176x of The Conjuring 3 T-4 (1.73M)

0.144x of Halloween Kills T-4 (701K)

0.186x of Scream T-4 (650K)

0.109x of Halloween Ends T-4 (589K)

[Krissykins]

10 hours ago, Eric in Boots said:

M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	124	6237	1.99%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 13

 

Comp

0.176x of The Conjuring 3 T-4 (1.73M)

0.144x of Halloween Kills T-4 (701K)

0.186x of Scream T-4 (650K)

0.109x of Halloween Ends T-4 (589K)

These numbers aren’t good at all, could this area be underperforming? 

[CJohn]

10 hours ago, Eric in Boots said:

M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	124	6237	1.99%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 13

 

Comp

0.176x of The Conjuring 3 T-4 (1.73M)

0.144x of Halloween Kills T-4 (701K)

0.186x of Scream T-4 (650K)

0.109x of Halloween Ends T-4 (589K)

Not even 20M OW. Fucking hell. Theaters are truly in the trash.

[Boxofficerules]

2 hours ago, CJohn said:

Not even 20M OW. Fucking hell. Theaters are truly in the trash.

It could still pull it back

[Potiki]

3 hours ago, Krissykins said:

These numbers aren’t good at all, could this area be underperforming? 

To be fair all of the comps are for franchise films so not ideal, would have been great to have Smile but unfortunately Eric didn't track that. Hopefully it has stronger walkups/last couple day sales due to it being an original film. 

[el sid]

M3gan, counted today for Thursday, Jan 5:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 58 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 28 (2 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 1 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 7 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 5 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 72 (2 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 105 (3 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 274.

Comps (all counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): The Invitation (775k from previews) had 96 sold tickets,

Prey for the Devil (660k) had 140,

Barbarian (850k) had 156,

The Forever Purge (1.3M) had 104

and Smile (2M) had 213 sold tickets.

M3gan, counted today for Friday, Jan 6:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 83 (6 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 4 (7 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): still no showtimes
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 8 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 2 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 55 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 92 (4 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 6 theaters: 247.

Comps (all counted on Monday of the release week for Friday): The Invitation had 87 sold tickets,

Devil had 207,

Malignant had 100,

Old had 150,

The Conjuring 3 had 641 sold tickets (Idk if this film is a good comp. It was a day and date release plus The Conjuring did not have Thursday shows and therefore the Friday presales look better in comparison with films where moviegoers can decide if they want to see the film already on Thursday or later),

Smile had 229,

Scream had 588

and Halloween Kills had 750 sold tickets.

 

So in my theaters the Thursday presales are pretty good but the Friday numbers could be better (but they're acceptable too).

Edited January 2, 2023 by el sid

[motionpic05]

M3GAN seems to be DOA.

Unless ticket sales really turn around, I'm starting to think that a small $10 million OW is possible.

 

Obviously, not a huge flop with how small the budget probably is. However, Universal put a robust marketing campaign into it. 

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, 3RIC said:

M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	124	6237	1.99%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 13

 

Comp

0.176x of The Conjuring 3 T-4 (1.73M)

0.144x of Halloween Kills T-4 (701K)

0.186x of Scream T-4 (650K)

0.109x of Halloween Ends T-4 (589K)

M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	194	6237	3.11%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 70

 

Comp

0.193x of The Conjuring 3 T-3 (1.89M)

0.182x of Halloween Kills T-3 (882K)

0.243x of Scream T-3 (850K)

0.521x of The Black Phone T-3 (1.56M)

0.610x of Smile T-3 (1.22M)

0.151x of Halloween Ends T-3 (816K)

[Ronin46]

Sings of life finally.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

I still think Megan will gave good walkups but damn...

 

I literally thought this would be a smash.

 

-"Original" high- concept horror

-PG-13

-Blumhouse

-viral trailer

[Brainbug]

9 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

I still think Megan will gave good walkups but damn...

 

I literally thought this would be a smash.

 

-"Original" high- concept horror

-PG-13

-Blumhouse

-viral trailer

 

Im a bit surprised at the very muted presales as well. Though like you mentioned, Megan will live or die with the walk-ups and as an original horror film, WOM will play an especially crucial role in the OW trajectory/the level of frontloading. Im rooting for it simply because should it flop, January looks even sadder than it already is.

[Porthos]

14 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

Im a bit surprised at the very muted presales as well. 

 

Do want to point out that this was NYE weekend and with NYE and NYD on Sat and Sun respectively, it was entirely possible that the normal Sunday pre-sale bump was pushed to Monday, as today was a Federal Holiday, and thus mentally like a Sunday for many people.

[filmlover]

Reviews are going to be what ends up making or breaking M3GAN given the confused tone of the marketing for a lot of people (the memes are funny and all but when has that and that alone ever guaranteed will people actually part with their $12?). They're probably not going to be very good (would the studio have picked the usual kiss of death first-weekend-of-the-year spot if they truly had confidence in it?), but something like sub-30% would be especially troublesome. People are picky about parting with their money these days.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

D3D3CT1V3 P1K4CHU.

[Cap]

14 minutes ago, filmlover said:

. People are picky about parting with their money these days.

 It is so gonna be my $5 Tuesday movie, depending on the reviews. Cause it feels like SUCH cheap date movie. 

[JustLurking]

When exactly is the review embargo for this, anyway? It has already released in a few countries overseas (to rather middling reception as far as I can tell), releasing in 3 days, and I'm not seeing squat.

[misterpepp]

9 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

When exactly is the review embargo for this, anyway? It has already released in a few countries overseas (to rather middling reception as far as I can tell), releasing in 3 days, and I'm not seeing squat.

 

I believe the US embargo lifts on Wed.

[charlie Jatinder]

M3GAN is doing fine.

[ThomasNicole]

1 hour ago, JustLurking said:

When exactly is the review embargo for this, anyway? It has already released in a few countries overseas (to rather middling reception as far as I can tell), releasing in 3 days, and I'm not seeing squat.

Reviews on wednesday 

 

Reactions dropped last month after the US premiere and they're pretty good. While we know the "blogger critics" reactions are not very trustworthy, they do read as at least something fresh overall.

 

It's hard to know if reception will be middling on US as well, some disconect with other countries is not really unusual.

 

Anything above 60% should be enough for a potential good WOM, let's see if it can reach that.