Juby Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 (edited) On Sunday TGM broke record for the "best legs" for a $100-million opener. Currently it's at x4.15. It will be over x5 when it's all done. For movies with +$50m OW (Friday releases) only two films have over x5.00 legs - Avatar (x9.74) and Jumanji: The Next Level (x5.40). Well, there's also Jurassic Park, but it was +$50m with Thursday previews. Edited June 29, 2022 by Juby 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 1 hour ago, Doffy said: No Tuesday bumps for tgm? Lots of people are saving their money to watch TGM this July 4th weekend. This is the quiet before the storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jiffy Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 That's interesting. Nice bump for Elvis, at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 If $4.75m for TGM is true, than I see $4.15m on Wednesday, $3.75m Thursday, $24.5m 6th weekend ($6.4m + $9.3m + $8.8m / -17.2% lw), $7.5m July 4th = +$570m next Monday, and about $595-599m on July 10th. $650-670 million domestic final is the target now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 6 hours ago, Alex SciChannel said: One thing I think some overlooked today is that Dominion actually has a larger 3rd Monday than Fallen Kingdom. Let @Brainbug the Dinosaur know when they wake up. 400M Dream comes back alive. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 I expect JWD to close the gap slight or stay within the same deficit behind JWFK with lot of people scheduling vacation with the 4th of July weekend coming. Of course, given what Tuesday's were pre pandemic, it's well behind JWFK's Tuesday number. Roughly 1M as JWFK did 4.92M on it's third Tuesday. It should be ahead of it Wednesday and Thursday to close the gap a bit. As of Tuesday's number JWD is 31M~ behind JWFK. But, if the Wednesday drop is steep as they've been it's actually still pretty possible that JWD stay slightly behind JWFK on Wednesday and, potentially, Thursday too. JWFK did 3.2M and 2.9M on its third Wednesday and third Thursday. The question will become after it gains a little ground the rest of this week/weekend/July 4th Monday, will it continue with Thor coming that weekend after the 4th of July? I'd assume not but it's possible? To best JWFK this coming weekend, JWD needs to do over 16.2M+. To best it the weekend that Thor opens, JWD will need to do 11.3M+. As of now, I'm pretty confident that 375M+ is happening for JWD so it'll at least edge out fellow blockbuster The Batman. I'm hoping that it can get to 385M+ though. Still very possible. If it matched/exceeded JWFK from here on out, JWD would do 387M~ DOM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 JWD is not dropping under 50% against Thor's OW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 I agree that JWD is likely to have a 50%+ drop against Thor. It will be coming off an inflated July 4th weekend number and is likely to lose alot of screens to Thor (I expect Thor to take more screens from JWD than TGM). June has been a somewhat disappointing month compared to pre-summer thoughts. Obviously TGM is a huge win, but JWD has been a disappointment relative to expectations and LY was a complete flop. Nothing else has really broken out. Decent but not great numbers. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 21 minutes ago, RamblinRed said: I agree that JWD is likely to have a 50%+ drop against Thor. It will be coming off an inflated July 4th weekend number and is likely to lose alot of screens to Thor (I expect Thor to take more screens from JWD than TGM). June has been a somewhat disappointing month compared to pre-summer thoughts. Obviously TGM is a huge win, but JWD has been a disappointment relative to expectations and LY was a complete flop. Nothing else has really broken out. Decent but not great numbers. I'm pretty happy with the Elvis and Black Phone numbers so far... We'll see how each holds up but I expect both to hold pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 9 hours ago, Alex SciChannel said: One thing I think some overlooked today is that Dominion actually has a larger 3rd Monday than Fallen Kingdom. Let @Brainbug the Dinosaur know when they wake up. Eh, mostly difference in release weeks - weekdays around 4th of July are naturally inflated. FK’s second Monday fell in that period (July 2nd, so the gap last week was overstated), while JWD is getting some of that bump this week (will probably be split across 2 weeks given July 4th falls on a Monday) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex SciChannel Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 (edited) 4 minutes ago, M37 said: Eh, mostly difference in release weeks - weekdays around 4th of July are naturally inflated. FK’s second Monday fell in that period (July 2nd, so the gap last week was overstated), while JWD is getting some of that bump this week (will probably be split across 2 weeks given July 4th falls on a Monday) I don't think 4th of July weeks between the two films are directly comparable as Fallen Kingdom it landed on a Wednesday and for Dominion it lands on a Monday. And considering you aren't comparing Dominion's actual 4th of July week and instead associating the Monday 7 days before it as being influenced by it, I'd say your assessment is a bit of a stretch. Obviously Dominion won't earn comparable amounts on Tuesday anymore because of post pandemic trends but other than that, it should be at least somewhat comparable to the 3rd week. Edited June 29, 2022 by Alex SciChannel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 (edited) @Alex SciChannel fyi on the Tmobile stuff - when it does happen, it is usually on Tuesdays, but the type of tickets isnt the same. Sometimes its for day of, sometimes its for anypoint, and its never every week. Usually as frequent as they can work a deal out, but usually at least once a month over the past year or so. As you follow trends, the tracking thread has had to deal with it when it has impacted films they are tracking, but not released. @TwoMisfits has been the harbinger of when they happen of late since I believe she has Tmobile for service. Edited June 29, 2022 by narniadis 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 1 hour ago, Alex SciChannel said: I don't think 4th of July weeks between the two films are directly comparable as Fallen Kingdom it landed on a Wednesday and for Dominion it lands on a Monday. And considering you aren't comparing Dominion's actual 4th of July week and instead associating the Monday 7 days before it as being influenced by it, I'd say your assessment is a bit of a stretch. Obviously Dominion won't earn comparable amounts on Tuesday anymore because of post pandemic trends but other than that, it should be at least somewhat comparable to the 3rd week. It’s that a decent number of people take vacation around July 4, often for a week (or more). For FK, with a Wed 4th, far more people were off that Mon 7/2 than the comparable for JWD A Mon 4th is trickier, you get some inflation the week before but also in the week after, rather then a single week. But also FK had Ant-Man & Wasp as competition in week 3, while JWD has Elvis and BP. tl;dr- just wouldn’t read too much into that direct comparison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex SciChannel Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 Elvis $5.2M Tuesday actual, $40.7M total 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NamakFiskKa Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 8 hours ago, Juby said: On Sunday TGM broke record for the "best legs" for a $100-million opener. Currently it's at x4.15. It will be over x5 when it's all done. For movies with +$50m OW (Friday releases) only two films have over x5.00 legs - Avatar (x9.74) and Jumanji: The Next Level (x5.40). Well, there's also Jurassic Park, but it was +$50m with Thursday previews. TFA or any animated movie ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BruiseCruise Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Rock Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 (edited) That's bit weird for TGM to not increase much on Tuesday Edited June 29, 2022 by The Dark Rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
setna Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, The Dark Rock said: That's bit weird for TGM to not increase much on Tuesday ...maybe will drop little tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jiffy Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 Yes this is a bit of a mystery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 Nice for Elvis. Some very strong summer weekday numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
