James Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 6 hours ago, poweranimals said: Um. Sonic 3? Karate Kid reboot? Neither of these two will be that big overseas where I suspect LOTR will hit it big. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpiderByte Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 I'm not making any kind of guess on Lord of The Rings till I see footage. Anime movies have done well in America before but assuming it'll play like any of the live action films is way too presumptive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HummingLemon496 Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 (edited) On 1/3/2024 at 9:19 PM, Relevation said: Yeah - People love the first Inside Out, it’s 9 years out putting it in a good time space for a big nostalgia boost - Pixar nostalgia direct sequels kinda have a perfect track record as of late (Toy Story 3, Finding Dory, Incredibles 2, Toy Story 4) - The Pixar brand is still very strong theatrically (they launched an original fantasy romcom to global numbers bigger than 6/8 superhero movies last year, one dud with a whole host of unique handicaps is not emblematic of an entire brand’s strength) - I expect it to at least get very good audience reception with its touching on mental health and anxiety likely resonating big time with audiences and crucially with Gen Z and the 18-24 demographic, a major fueler of recent young skewing breakouts (Mario, The Rise of Gru, Barbie) - It’s in a wide open June with no other strong 4 quadrant blockbusters, and I expect it to have good legs - The anticipation and hype is very big, it launched to the biggest 24hr trailer views for a Disney animated film ever So yeah, all those factors combined are why I’m pencilling in a prediction of $135M OW / $540M DOM (4x legs) / $1.175B WW and by a significant margin the biggest movie of 2024 Fun Fact: Overseas, Elemental beat 7/8 superhero movies in 2023, and that's with a very minimal China gross ($16M). Edited March 7 by HummingLemon496 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 On 2/26/2024 at 5:52 PM, stripe said: Looking at March, I would say 600-700M is the range. In 2023, the gross was around 640M. Openers (500-575M) - THEY WILL GROSS 640M Dune part 2: 180-190M - IN THE END, AROUND 253M Cabrini: 30-40M - SLIGHTLY UNDER 20M Imaginary: 35-45M - A BIT OVER 25M Kung Fu Panda 4: 90-100M - OVERPERFORMED TO AROUND 150M Arthur the King: 40-50M - CLOSE TO 20M One Live: 5-10M - CLOSE TO 5M Ghostbusters: 70-80M - OVER 75M Godzilla x Kong: 40-50M - IT LOOKS LIKE A 65M+ OPENING Rest of openers: 10M - AROUND 30M (GREAT!) Holdovers (100-120M) - IN THE END, AROUND 75M Bob Marley - 35-40M - WAY SHORT, TO 21M Ordinary Angels: 20M - LEGS WERENT AS I GUESSED, JUST 10M IN MARCH Madame web: 10M - NOT EVEN MANAGED TO REACH THAT MARK, 6M Chosen: 5-10M - SPOT ON, 6M Oscar Expansions: 5-10M - ABOUT 6M Rest: 20M - OVER 25M Bolded the probable final March grosses. Was too cautious with tentpoles and too optimistic with minor wide openers & holdovers. Anyways, good news this month. It will close to around 720M. Next week I will try to take a look at April. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoogieFever Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 (edited) What are everyone's predictions for Ryan's World The Movie: Titan Universe Adventure releasing in 2,100 theaters on August 16th? It's a real movie coming out and no joke I think it has the chance to be the next Oogieloves. Edited March 30 by BoogieFever Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poweranimals Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 19 minutes ago, BoogieFever said: What are everyone's predictions for Ryan's World The Movie: Titan Universe Adventure releasing in 2,100 theaters on August 16th? It's a real movie coming out and no joke I think it has the chance to be the next Oogieloves. Probably won’t crack the top 50. 🙃 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JimmyB Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 On 2/25/2024 at 8:09 PM, JimmyB said: February is finally over. 360m'ish gross for the month under 1996 February's box office. I was thinking March 2024 would match March 2023 but digging deeper into the numbers the holdovers from February are super weak but I think the smaller films like Cabrini, Arthur the King and Imaginary close the gap. I think March grosses 620m a little under March 2023 638m. Dune 180m Kung Fu Panda 100m Cabrini, Arthur the King and Imaginary 50m each. Ghostbusters 80m. Kong 60m. February holders 50m. Boxofficemojo has March's box office at 752m could go up or down a little once actuals come in but a solid 18% increase over March 2023. 2015-2019 March box office averaged 925m. So, still down alot vs pre covid. What I got right about March 2024 was February holders were going to do poorly and they did. Everything else I got wrong, lol. Dune just carrying the month. Grossing around 34% of the entire month's box office. The new comers that weren't known IP did poorly. Imaginary (26m), Cabrini (18.1m), Arthur (19m), Love Lies Bleeding (7m), Immaculate (11m). Wish something would have broken out for at least 40-50m. April 2024 is going to be all about the March holdovers. Kong, Dune,, GB, Panda and the other holdovers 210m. New comers...Monkey Man and the Omen both 25-30m. Civil War 50m. Abigail 30m. Ungentlemanly Warfare and Spy X both 15m. Challengers 25m. Other films 20m. 420m for the month. Just a BRUTAL month unless one of the new releases pops. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TMP Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 April ‘24 might not be amazing for the box office, but it looks really great from a quality pov imo. Hopefully we got a breakout or two as well, but considering how dry the year has been so far outside of Dune - it’s pretty cool to finally have projects to look forward to 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 (edited) On 3/29/2024 at 11:46 PM, BoogieFever said: What are everyone's predictions for Ryan's World The Movie: Titan Universe Adventure releasing in 2,100 theaters on August 16th? It's a real movie coming out and no joke I think it has the chance to be the next Oogieloves. Interestingly enough that movie's having its premiere at the Cleveland Film Festival next week. Either they have legit confidence in it or they assume it's an obscure enough local festival that word of its quality won't get to NY/LA tastemakers. It's part chibi-anime so that probably gives it a little more mainstream interest. Edited April 1 by AniNate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HummingLemon496 Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 I'm convinced Inside Out 2 is blowing up, the same guy who predicted Mario and Barbie to blow up pre-tracking is also predicting Inside Out to explode Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 1 hour ago, HummingLemon496 said: I'm convinced Inside Out 2 is blowing up, the same guy who predicted Mario and Barbie to blow up pre-tracking is also predicting Inside Out to explode Is inside out 2 the only film his prediction to explode this year so far? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Looking at April, it’s full of uncertainty. But in a fascinating way, IMHO. I like this kind of months, with many quality offers and original movies. I would say crossing 500M is the baseline, and match 2022’s 570M a very good end. Not fair to compare it with April 2023, when SMB exploded. Openers (275-325M) Monkey Man: 60-70M First Omen: 25-30M SUGA: 20-30M Civil War: 70-80M Ministry of Ungentlemenly Warfare: 15-20M Abigail: 35-40M Challengers: 10-15M Unsung Hero: 10M Rest of openers: 30M Holdovers (225M) GxK - 100M Ghostbusters: 35M Dune 2: 25M KFP4: 25M Rest: 40M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HummingLemon496 Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 On 9/15/2023 at 8:37 AM, stripe said: Biggest dissapointment: Joker 2 (under 200M) Biggest surprise: Twisters (+300M) Biggest DOM: Deadpool 3 (475M) Biggest WW: Mufasa (1.3b) Domestic? Maybe! Worldwide? Just. . .fuck no Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 (edited) 6 hours ago, HummingLemon496 said: Domestic? Maybe! Worldwide? Just. . .fuck no Yeah, I meant domestic. Even if it disappoints, Joker 2 could gross about 400M worldwide From those predictions I would change Mufasa's becoming biggest WW film of the year, and replace it with Inside Out 2 Edited April 3 by stripe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 To be honest seeing how much hype Joker has: the first teaser poster went viral everywhere and trended like crazy I have a hard time seeing it under 200m DOM. Imo it will do close to 150m OW alone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 This summer looks so boring 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted April 7 Author Share Posted April 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HummingLemon496 Posted April 7 Share Posted April 7 There's only three movies (Inside Out, Deadpool, DM4) actually worth tracking this Summer, damn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted April 30 Share Posted April 30 (edited) 3 billion for summer and 8 billion for the year? https://deadline.com/2024/04/box-office-summer-2024-deadpool-wolverine-beetlejuice-beetlejuice-furiosa-inside-out-2-1235899216/ April closing out with under 430m puts the year already 600m behind last year's first 4 months. May already looking really weak, I'm guessing in the 550-600m range, down ~200m from the last 2 years. June an early guess of 800, down another 200. That's about a billion behind last year by the end of the first half if my guesses are close. May 3 edit: April closed out with almost exactly 430m. Looked a little closer at June and gonna double down on close to 800m July should be pretty strong, roughly matching 2022, 1.1b 700 Aug 475 Sept 500 Oct 550 Nov 800 Dec 7500 2024 year total, slightly above 2022 Edit May 19: This month looks like it'll just barely top 600m, maybe 610 or so. Apes doing better than I thought (and guessing a 35-40ow for garfield and ~50m for mmax) Edit June 3: At this point I think June ends up closer to 700 than 800m. Not even sure it'll break 700 tbh. Would put the year more than 1.1 billion behind 2023 at the halfway mark. 380m behind 2022. Edited June 4 by MattW 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted April 30 Share Posted April 30 (edited) Still holding out hope for moviegoing to come back with a vengeance at the end of the year, potential for at least six $200mil grossers between October and December. Don't know if that would be enough to get this year caught up with 23, though, I suppose it would depend on some Oscar bait hitting too. Edited April 30 by AniNate 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
