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Weekdays Thread (6/5-8)

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49 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

Wednesday number  for TLM should be close to Monday number I think .

If last couple of years are any indication, Wed should be higher than Monday as more schools get out this week 

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18 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Yes. Aladdin's Wed >>> Mon too

 

Jun 3 Monday 1 $4,699,418 -65.8% -81.4% 4,476 $1,049 $190,237,136 11
Jun 4 Tuesday 1 $7,797,927 +65.9% -35.1% 4,476 $1,742 $198,035,063 12
Jun 5 Wednesday 1 $5,101,598 -34.6% -31.6% 4,476 $1,139 $203,136,661 13
Jun 6 Thursday 1 $4,749,265

Which is interesting because if TLM drops by the same amount today, it will actually be less than Monday's number. But we can't determine what the overall box office will be just from one "bad" Tuesday bump.

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Are the Tuesday jumps lower now than before due to ATP inflation for non Tuesday weekdays? Like, a ticket for a PLF showing on a non Tuesday weekday for me is almost $9 more than a Tuesday deal price for a PLF showing. I haven't been following BO stuff long enough to know if there's a difference now and before covid.

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3 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

 
    Movie Title Distributor Gross %YD %LW Theaters Per
Theater
Total
Gross
Days In
Release
                     
- (4) Guardians of the Galaxy V… Walt Disney $1,555,189 +25% -39% 3,580 $434 $325,988,564 33
                     

 

This will pass Vol 1 by Sunday. A finish right around 350m. 

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Beating Aladdin has been looking unlikely ever since the OW. It would have needed a 3-day over 115m to do it in such a crowded marketplace. None of Aladdin's competition until Toy Story 4 was as big as Spider-Verse is.

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1 hour ago, BluKyberCrystal said:

I saw a few suggesting 400m for Vol. 3. Did something change?

Not anything recently, there's just someone in this thread making lofty predictions again after they insisted (Post-OW) that GoTG 3 would miss 300.

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TGM dropped 26% last year on Thursday when Dominion released. Spidey should hold better since Transformers will obviously make much less than Jurassic World did. Good goal would be a 9m Thursday, its first daily under Wonder Woman

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6 hours ago, harry713 said:

 

This will pass Vol 1 by Sunday. A finish right around 350m. 

It´s still ahead daily compared to Vol 2 which did +30M at the same point in it´s run, unless this gain over Vol2 change for some reason should be enough to clear 360 

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ATSV seems pretty much locked for 400M DOM, should win the summer 

 

I´m thinking:

SV +400M 

Vol3 365M 

TLM 315M 

 

With Barbie being the outlier with a shot surpassing TLM if the insane online hype put butts in the seats. I just don´t see MI7 getting there without PFL´s for more than a week

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3 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

It´s still ahead daily compared to Vol 2 which did +30M at the same point in it´s run, unless this gain over Vol2 change for some reason should be enough to clear 360 

the one to beat is volume 1 from this point forward really, Vol 2 made another 28mil from this Tuesday forward, Vol 1 made another 42mil. Of course Vol 1 was back into the school year by this point i think so Vol 3 really has no business matching those weekends. Still Vol 1 & 2 were under 1mil starting tomorrow.

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2 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

ATSV seems pretty much locked for 400M DOM, should win the summer 

 

I´m thinking:

SV +400M 

Vol3 365M 

TLM 315M 

 

With Barbie being the outlier with a shot surpassing TLM if the insane online hype put butts in the seats. I just don´t see MI7 getting there without PFL´s for more than a week

Yeah this sounds about right honestly. MI7 should do good but more like previous installment matching/slightly above it type good, Flash and Indy feel DOA, even at TF's best it's hitting 150-160 max, Oppenheimer should do good but not Spider-Verse style good. Haunted Mansion, TMNT, The Meg 2, and Blue Beetle even if they do well feel like non-starters.

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Thinking summer goes

 

1. Barbie: $1B

2. Guardians 3: $850M

3. MI8: $850M

4. Fast X: $700M

5. Flash: $700M

6. Spider-verse: $700M

7. Dial of Density: $600M 

8. Little Mermaid: $550M

9. Oppenheimer: $450M

10. Transformer: $300M

 

How do you live should place here in total but staggered release.

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Mulder said:

Yeah this sounds about right honestly. MI7 should do good but more like previous installment matching/slightly above it type good, Flash and Indy feel DOA, even at TF's best it's hitting 150-160 max, Oppenheimer should do good but not Spider-Verse style good. Haunted Mansion, TMNT, The Meg 2, and Blue Beetle even if they do well feel like non-starters.

Definitely, i think it will happen what i suspect a few months ago, pretty much everything doing fine but not many huge hits 

 

Which i think is better tbh, i prefer 8 out of 10 movies doing fine than 3 being huge and everything else collapsing 

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7 hours ago, jedijake said:

Which is interesting because if TLM drops by the same amount today, it will actually be less than Monday's number. But we can't determine what the overall box office will be just from one "bad" Tuesday bump.

Fwiw, I don’t ever pay attention to Mon/Tue increases or Tue/Wed drops, always Wed vs Mon. Discount Tuesday is its own animal, affects movies differently, and a bigger Tue increases is usually followed by a larger drop into Wed (like Aladdin)

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