Steve Rogers Birthday Bash Weekend Thread | 5-Day #s: Indy 83.4, Elemental 18, Spidey 17.65, Sound of Freedom 14.2, No Hard Feelings 11.3

[XXR & Friends]

The Flash going for that sub-BVS multiplier. Can it go sub-Morbius multi?

[M37]

9 minutes ago, MrPink said:

OW was slightly lower than I remember, but I do think a similar opening for Oppenheimer with strong reviews would be more 140m, with potential to do a bit more

Yeah, there was belief at the time Dunkirk was heading for maybe $60M, but petered out a bit at the end and wound up at $50M (and I expect the same for Oppy fwiw)

 

A ~$45 OW/$140 total for Oppy is fairly reasonable even though I’m prob a bit lower, just don’t think it’s heading for the $50/$190 of Dunkirk 

[cannastop]

10 minutes ago, LegionWrex said:

Spider-Verse and Elemental continue to be neck and neck, jesus.

hmm not so Jesus... just so ho hum

[The Dark Alfred]

ELEMENTAL is doing ok. Let's not forget, it is still a flop. At least it is not as much of a disaster as LIGHTYEAR. Will do slightly better, both domestic and internationally.

[emoviefan]

Indy showing  better legs than Flash so far. Its Preview to OD is 3.3. The Flash was 2.4. And the weekend should continue that I would figure. 

[M37]

Daily numbers have been … weird since like Tuesday, clearly some inflated weekdays and now weaker Fridays, except for Indy 

 

Won’t be surprised if we see some more weirdness in next two days with all the holiday effects, or maybe Indy & Ruby are just pulling more from films in market than initially expected 

Edited July 1, 2023 by M37

[WorkingonaName]

Getting in the fridge with these numbers. 

[MrPink]

19 minutes ago, M37 said:

Yeah, there was belief at the time Dunkirk was heading for maybe $60M, but petered out a bit at the end and wound up at $50M (and I expect the same for Oppy fwiw)

 

A ~$45 OW/$140 total for Oppy is fairly reasonable even though I’m prob a bit lower, just don’t think it’s heading for the $50/$190 of Dunkirk 

Was referring more to Nope in this case 😅 but do think a Dunkirk total is a stretch nonetheless. What I’m curious about legs wise is how length will affect the weekend multiplier from previews (3 hours + 5pm start) and then how Barbie might affect it, if Oppenheimer still manages to open in that 40-50m range, is there overlapping interest with part of Barbie’s audience that plans to get to the film at a later time given how big it looks to be? Plausible these have minuscule impacts entirely but I guess things I’m looking out for that didn’t impact Dunkirk

Edited July 1, 2023 by MrPink

[Krissykins]

Dreadful for Indiana Jones. The trades seem to be going easy on it, wonder if they’ll be more direct with the weekend headlines tomorrow.

[grim22]

1 minute ago, MrPink said:

Was referring more to Nope in this case 😅

What do you mean, I thought Nope had 5x legs.

[Issac Newton]

I see its Saturday, Not sure why I was feeling like Sunday

[Bobzaruni]

Bad holdovers (barring ATSV and Elemental which weren't all that crazy either) + bad openings... people saving for Barbenheimer?🤔

[grim22]

Normally Indiana Jones could have kept chugging along all summer thanks to the older male demo it's targeting, it's just that this summer there's 2 other big movies back to back targeting that exact demo, so legs will be at a premium. It's probably looking at 1.7x the 5 day opening would be my guess.

[Bob Train]

None of the holdovers were really that bad except for Flash. NHF and Asteroid City had previews last week so the drop is inflated.

[Litio]

31 minutes ago, druv10 said:

1	N	Indiana Jones and the Dia…	Walt Disney	$24,000,000			4,600	$5,217	$24,000,000	1
2	(2)	Spider-Man: Across the Sp…	Sony Pictures	$3,435,000	+45%	-40%	3,405	$1,009	$331,807,175	29
3	(1)	Elemental	Walt Disney	$3,400,000	+38%	-40%	3,650	$932	$80,878,805	15
4	N	Ruby Gillman, Teenage Kraken	Universal	$2,340,000			3,400	$688	$2,340,000	1
5	(3)	No Hard Feelings	Sony Pictures	$2,250,000	+64%	-65%	3,208	$701	$24,060,952	8
6	(5)	Transformers: Rise of the…	Paramount Pi…	$1,920,000	+57%	-41%	2,852	$673	$131,030,355	22
7	(4)	The Little Mermaid	Walt Disney	$1,550,000	+27%	-41%	2,430	$638	$277,398,328	36
8	(6)	The Flash	Warner Bros.	$1,420,000	+29%	-68%	2,718	$522	$95,671,435	15
9	(7)	Asteroid City	Focus Features	$1,180,000	+47%	-69%	1,901	$621	$15,524,996	15
10	(9)	The Boogeyman	20th Century…	$575,000	+92%	-29%	1,020	$564	$39,837,215	29
11	(8)	Guardians of the Galaxy V…	Walt Disney	$525,000	+35%	-47%	1,165	$451	$353,600,623	57
12	(-)	Past Lives	A24	$510,078	+128%	+40%	906	$563	$4,821,764	29
-	(-)	Fast X	Universal	$110,000	+32%	-63%	550	$200	$145,194,410	43
-	(-)	The Super Mario Bros. Movie	Universal	$59,000	-9%	-43%	450	$131	$573,341,620	87
-	N	Every Body	Focus Features	$47,000			255	$184	$47,000	1

 

The Flash is really fast. It debuted a few days ago and it's about to leave the top 10. I love the concept.

 

By the way, that friday number is lower than what Evil Dead Rise did on its third non-summer friday ($1.68m).

[Eric is Anxious]

At this point, holiday weekends are probably a hinderance for movies these days. Last time June 30th was on a Friday, you had Last Knight and Wonder Woman seeing a jump in the 60s. Now the closest movie to reach that is Beasts and that’s it (and also Boogeyman I guess). Father’s Day/Juneteenth was pretty bad when it came to holdovers as well. Pity.

[cheesypoofs]

4 minutes ago, Bobzaruni said:

Bad holdovers (barring ATSV and Elemental which weren't all that crazy either) + bad openings... people saving for Barbenheimer?🤔

Having 2 young children and always being busy, I don't get the time to go out to the movies as much as I did when I was younger. I definitely plan on seeing the new mission impossible in theaters though

[screambaby]

10 hours ago, WorkingonaName said:

The Aliens were sick as hell and I'm tired of pretending there not. 

They weren't aliens lol

[Ryan Reynolds]

can Indy get 65m OW?

[toutvabien]

A real shame that a film like Nimona is getting released on Netflix. But Disney would have probably dumped it on Plus either way.