The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[abracadabra1998]

18 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Hahaha don’t worry I contacted some friends at head office of the company. A few emails had been sent out already, but it’s back up and running  

 

Anyways, walkups pretty bad for Ghostbusters tonight. But pre-sales were pretty strong, so I’d say that 4-4.5M is still possible. But I’d likely rule out 40+ for the weekend if walkups continue at this pace.

 

*Cersey Lannister voice* power is power (just amazed that you can reach out to the head office of a major theater chain )

 

Any snow storming in Canada tonight? We're getting hit in Minnesota, not terrible but definitely enough to stave off some walk-ups

[charlie Jatinder]

Walkups are good in MiniTC2. Will end up with ~$4.75-5M level sales in the chain.

[abracadabra1998]

On 3/17/2024 at 9:45 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Monkey Man (T-18):

Day: T-18	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 16 theaters	35	23	100	4075	2.45

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		64	19	64
MTC1:		79	21	79
Marcus:		2	2	2
Alamo:		19	0	19
Other chains:		0	0	0

 

Comps:

Argylle: Missed

0.34x KoFM: $870k

1.33x The Creator (w/ EA): $2.13 Million

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Monkey Man (T-14):

Day: T-14	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 16 theaters	35	13	113	4075	2.77

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		71	7	62.83
MTC1:		92	13	81.42
Marcus:		2	0	1.77
Alamo:		19	0	16.81
Other chains:		0	0	0

 

Comps:

1.36x Argylle: $2.31 Million

0.34x KoFM: $870k

0.88x The Creator (w/ EA): $1.4 Million

 

Average: $1.53 Million

[Bob Train]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-abigail/

 

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Low/High Range	Domestic Total Low/High Range	Distributor
3/29/2024	Asphalt City			Vertical & Roadside Attractions
3/29/2024	Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire	$43,000,000 – $52,000,000	$95,000,000 – $146,000,000	Warner Bros. Pictures
3/29/2024	In the Land of Saints and Sinners			Samuel Goldwyn Films
4/5/2024	The First Omen	$8,000,000 – $13,000,000	$20,000,000 – $34,400,000	20th Century Studios
4/5/2024	Monkey Man	$16,000,000 – $25,000,000	$45,000,000 – $75,000,000	Universal Pictures
4/10/2024	SUGA│Agust D TOUR “D-DAY” the MOVIE			BTS SUGA
4/12/2024	Civil War	$15,000,000 – $24,000,000	$42,000,000 – $75,000,000	A24
4/12/2024	Don’t Tell Mom the Babysitter’s Dead (2024)			Iconic Events Releasing
4/12/2024	The Ministry of Ungentlemenly Warfare	$6,000,000 – $10,000,000	$12,000,000 – $34,000,000	Lionsgate
4/12/2024	Shrek 2 (20th Anniversary Re-Release)			Universal Pictures
4/13/2024	SUGA│Agust D TOUR “D-DAY” the MOVIE			BTS SUGA
4/19/2024	Abigail	$12,000,000 – $22,000,000	$28,000,000 – $66,000,000	Universal Pictures
4/19/2024	Sasquatch Sunset			Bleecker Street
4/19/2024	Spy x Family Code: White			Sony / Crunchyroll
4/19/2024	Villains Inc.			Purdie Distribution
4/19/2024	Wildfire: The Legend of the Cherokee Ghost Horse			Hannover House

[abracadabra1998]

On 3/14/2024 at 9:44 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Fall Guy (T-49):

Day: T-49, T-48	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 17 theaters	51	10	46	9691	0.47
Sunday May 1 EA: 13 theaters	16	13	47	3764	1.25
TOTALS:	67	23	93	13455	0.69

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		43	10	93.48
MTC1:		46	10	100
Marcus:		0	0	0
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		0	0	0

 

Comp: 0.78x The Color Purple: $11.94 Million

 

$100 Million OW confirmed!*

 

 

 

 

 

 

*THIS IS A JOKE REDDITORS!

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Fall Guy (T-42):

Day: T-42, T-41	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 17 theaters	51	17	63	9691	0.65
Sunday May 1 EA: 13 theaters	16	14	61	3764	1.62
TOTALS:	67	31	124	13455	0.92

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		58	15	92.06
MTC1:		59	13	93.65
Marcus:		0	0	0
Alamo:		4	4	6.35
Other chains:		0	0	0

 

Chuggin along

[misterpepp]

Spy x Family: Code: White on sale March 27

[charlie Jatinder]

Spider-man (2002) has good sales. ~950 tix sold in 17 shows. 

In normal ratios, would mean $300-500K sales nationwide.

[filmlover]

Abigail looks highly entertaining. Hope it does well.

[keysersoze123]

Monkey Man MTC1

Previews - 6222/138521 116422.56 982 shows

Friday - 3782/243527 68875.02 1680 shows

 

This is as of the morning. I had to go out and so could not put it out. There is not much of a pace for this movie. around 200 tics per day for previews and 150-170 for Friday. Probably will not sell much until release week. Looking at @Shawn Robbins prediction above, seems bit too optimistic. That said I hope I am wrong and it finishes very strong and does over 20m OW. For now I would be happy with double digits OW. 

[HummingLemon496]

37 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Spider-man (2002) has good sales. ~950 tix sold in 17 shows. 

In normal ratios, would mean $300-500K sales nationwide.

Unrelated but it's crazy how Spider-Man (a normal solo movie) sold around the same tickets domestically as No Way Home (a crossover movie with all of the villains and all of the Spider-Men) 😲

[charlie Jatinder]

7 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Unrelated but it's crazy how Spider-Man (a normal solo movie) sold around the same tickets domestically as No Way Home (a crossover movie with all of the villains and all of the Spider-Men) 😲

Simple answer is that theatrical market is not as big and exclusive as it was 20 years ago. SM did around half of the best ticket seller in that era i.e. Titanic while NWH did around 75% of the best in the current era. 

[cooldude97]

12 hours ago, cooldude97 said:

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire Social Media Embargo Drops Monday At 10:30 PM PT, Review Embargo Drops on The 28th At 6AM

Small Edit: The Review Embargo Info I Got Was Based On AEDT (Australian Eastern Daylight Time) so for more accurate info the time and date in America would be Wednesday the 27th at 3PM EST

Edited March 22 by cooldude97

[HummingLemon496]

18 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Simple answer is that theatrical market is not as big and exclusive as it was 20 years ago. SM did around half of the best ticket seller in that era i.e. Titanic while NWH did around 75% of the best in the current era. 

Even more impressive is how The Dark Knight (a solo Batman movie) outsold No Way Home, with 3 different Spider-Men and ALL of the villains

 

And yeah this also made me realize Titanic did around ~130M admissions, a normal blockbuster now needs around ~$1.5B DOM to match those admits 🤣

Edited March 22 by HummingLemon496

[excel1]

Wish I was able to catch Spider-man 2002 during the release. Inject that early 2000s nostalgia straight into my veins! That was an unforgettable opening night and weekend for a movie buff. 

 

Spoiler

now just imagine if Hartnett hadn't been deemed "would be" too famous when they doing the casting of Peter!

 

Edited March 22 by excel1

[keysersoze123]

13 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire MTC1

Previews(T-1) - 51710/653201 858812.68 3527 shows +9253

Friday - 46693/929063 757439.25 5182 shows +8236

 

At MTC1 it should end up selling more tickets than afterlife. Plus the movie did very well in MTC2. Let us see how walkups go. Thinking in 4.25-4.5m range and high 30's OW at this point. 

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire MTC1

Previews Final - 82226/656696 1300185.12 3563 shows +30516

Friday - 62852/930475 998591.10 5199 shows +16159

 

Final day was solid but nothing crazy. I expect walkups at other MTC to be stronger. It did just around 3% higher than afterlife minus early shows. Thinking around 4.25m previews and mid to high 30s OW. 

[excel1]

5 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Even more impressive is how The Dark Knight (a solo Batman movie) outsold No Way Home, with 3 different Spider-Men and ALL of the villains🤣

 

TDK = GOAT.

 

Simple, basic, entirely inarguable explanation.  

[DAJK]

1 hour ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

*Cersey Lannister voice* power is power (just amazed that you can reach out to the head office of a major theater chain )

 

Any snow storming in Canada tonight? We're getting hit in Minnesota, not terrible but definitely enough to stave off some walk-ups

Hahaha one of my best friends works in their head office  

 

And nothing where I am at least snow-wise (although I’m on the west coast). Not sure about the other provinces.

[charlie Jatinder]

9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire MTC1

Previews Final - 82226/656696 1300185.12 3563 shows +30516

Friday - 62852/930475 998591.10 5199 shows +16159

 

Final day was solid but nothing crazy. I expect walkups at other MTC to be stronger. It did just around 3% higher than afterlife minus early shows. Thinking around 4.25m previews and mid to high 30s OW. 

Decent walkups. I think $4.5M may happen. 

Friday sales and pace is awful. It need 140K+ I guess for $40M, seems very hard.

[DAJK]

Settling on 4.1M for Ghostbusters based off of its performance in Canada.

[cooldude97]

kinda funny we have 2 Canada trackers with R2D2 profile pictures