The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[ThomasNicole]

14 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

A Quiet Place comes roaring out of the gates with 91% on Rotten Tomatoes. Hopefully that helps move the needle a bit, but I can’t help but wonder why they didn’t let reviews out earlier. Clearly they knew they had a good film in their hands, why not get the word out sooner?!?

Because it’s a walkup heavy genre. It’s probably more impactful now that people can see the good headlines and just check it out.

 

It didn’t really needed as well, presales are clearly good. Unless it ended up with mediocre walkups, it should try +50M.

[Hiccup23]

18 hours ago, Hiccup23 said:

Horror at the Chicago Alamo Drafthouse

 

A Quiet Place: Day 1	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Thursday	108	309	35.0%
Friday	90	439	20.5%
Saturday	92	439	21.0%
Sunday	36	439	8.2%
MaXXXine	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Wednesday EA	65	65	100.0%
Friday	134	401	33.4%
Saturday	83	401	20.7%
Sunday	56	401	14.0%
Longlegs	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Thursday	88	204	43.1%
Friday	48	204	23.5%
Saturday	33	204	16.2%
Sunday	15	204	7.4%

 

Thursday Morning Update

 

 

A Quiet Place: Day 1	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Thursday	126	309	40.8%
Friday	109	439	24.8%
Saturday	103	439	23.5%
Sunday	39	439	8.9%
MaXXXine	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Wednesday EA	65	65	100.0%
Friday	142	401	35.4%
Saturday	88	401	21.9%
Sunday	67	401	16.7%
Longlegs	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Thursday	88	204	43.1%
Friday	49	204	24.0%
Saturday	36	204	17.6%
Sunday	13	204	6.4%

 

Big Sunday drop in tickets for A Quiet Place: Day 1 is an outlier due to Chicago Pride happening that day. It is also sunny and 74F that day so lots of people are going to be opting to be outside after this awful heat wave we had last week/weekend.

[TheFlatLannister]

10 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

281 at Disney Springs. It has sold out. I am not sure you count Altamonte Mall. 165 seats and sold out. 

Yes, I do track Altamonte. Do you think I should incorporate these two into my preview count? 

[jeffthehat]

22 hours ago, jeffthehat said:

Indiana

A Quiet Place: Day One T-1

Sales	Seats	Shows
1029	24745	151

TC=28, pulled 11 AM EST

Comps

1.50x Civil War T-1 = $4.4m*

0.45x GxK NE T-1 = $4.6m

0.91x Bad Boys 4 T-1 = $5.1m

*pulled 10-ish hrs earlier 

 

AVG = $4.70m

 

Dropped Furiosa which brought the average up. It slipped a bit vs. the others. 

Indiana

A Quiet Place: Day One T-0

Sales	Seats	Shows
1535	25706	160

TC=28, pulled 11 AM EST

Comps

0.34x Inside Out 2 T-0 = $4.4m

3.85x Bikeriders T-0 = $5.0m

0.91x Bad Boys 4 T-0 = $5.1m

1.54x Furiosa T-0 = $5.4m

 

AVG = $4.98m

 

I'd guess closer to $5m than $6m from here but could just be underperforming in this market 

 

 

 

Edited Thursday at 03:39 PM by jeffthehat

[keysersoze123]

On 6/25/2024 at 9:40 PM, keysersoze123 said:

A Quiet Place: Day One MTC1

Previews(T-2) - 53019/585612 1035076.71 3038 shows +8798

Friday - 45546/1171815 851430.28 6348 shows +10537

 

Solid day and Friday also shot up as expected. I am sticking with this movie beating expectations. 

A Quiet Place: Day One MTC1

Previews(T-1) - 67698/588688 1299109.14 3065 shows +14679

Friday - 59078/1179492 1087394.68 6406 shows +13532

 

Great boost for T-1. With good walkups can it hit 6.5m previews. May be Volde was not far off with his 60m prediction though it seems to underperform in few markets that makes me pause. 

[ThomasNicole]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

A Quiet Place: Day One MTC1

Previews(T-1) - 67698/588688 1299109.14 3065 shows +14679

Friday - 59078/1179492 1087394.68 6406 shows +13532

 

Great boost for T-1. With good walkups can it hit 6.5m previews. May be Volde was not far off with his 60m prediction though it seems to underperform in few markets that makes me pause. 

The reviews while very solid, also said the movie is closer to an arthouse drama during most of it’s runtime than a summer blockbuster. 
 

So maybe there’s some impact as well. But yeah i’m very confident in +50M OW

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Yes, I do track Altamonte. Do you think I should incorporate these two into my preview count? 

For sure. I see them as sellouts. 

[Flopped]

6 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

The reviews while very solid, also said the movie is closer to an arthouse drama during most of it’s runtime than a summer blockbuster. 
 

So maybe there’s some impact as well. But yeah i’m very confident in +50M OW

 

They spent 100M+ on an arthouse drama??? (obv the 67M figure is nonsense). 

[titanic2187]

1 minute ago, Flopped said:

 

They spent 100M+ on an arthouse drama??? (obv the 67M figure is nonsense). 

I don't think it is a unreasonable figure. the second one cost 60m. Until we have other source to falsify the figure, that 67m stays.

[MCKillswitch123]

10 minutes ago, Flopped said:

 

They spent 100M+ on an arthouse drama??? (obv the 67M figure is nonsense). 

 

I mean, next year they're giving IMAX and a blockbuster budget to Paul Thomas Anderson (not undeserved btw).

Edited Thursday at 04:01 PM by MCKillswitch123

[ThomasNicole]

13 minutes ago, Flopped said:

 

They spent 100M+ on an arthouse drama??? (obv the 67M figure is nonsense). 

Is it? There’s not that much action apparently

 

Good for them to get the budget headlines, now they need less than 200M to be considered a success, which should get quite easily since this is probably doing 125-150M DOM

Edited Thursday at 04:04 PM by ThomasNicole

[kayumanggi]

Saw the movie last night. I don't think AQP: DAY ONE was a 100M production. I believe the 67M figure.

[ringedmortality]

The first A Quiet Place is mostly a family drama, the sequel had a bigger focus on the action, but pretending like this isn't normal for this franchise is pretty funny ngl.

[kayumanggi]

 

[filmlover]

That's honestly where I thought Twisters was going to land this whole time. Would be a win for the disaster movie genre considering it's been a while since the genre produced a hit (San Andreas was sold just as much as a Dwayne Johnson vehicle as it was a generic disaster flick).

[Grand Cine]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

A Quiet Place: Day One MTC1

Previews(T-1) - 67698/588688 1299109.14 3065 shows +14679

Friday - 59078/1179492 1087394.68 6406 shows +13532

 

Great boost for T-1. With good walkups can it hit 6.5m previews. May be Volde was not far off with his 60m prediction though it seems to underperform in few markets that makes me pause. 

It seems that friday is around the same as Apes ( i don't have numbers).

 

I think with good walkups mid 50's is really possible which is great for a spin off to make more than previous ones !!!

[CJohn]

31 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

40M ain't major.

[Ryan C]

3 hours ago, ThomasNicole said:

Because it’s a walkup heavy genre. It’s probably more impactful now that people can see the good headlines and just check it out.

 

It didn’t really needed as well, presales are clearly good. Unless it ended up with mediocre walkups, it should try +50M.

 

This is something that I'm sure Furiosa didn't have, which is why we're looking at potentially the highest opening weekend for this franchise and it's a prequel film. 

 

Expect there to debate amongst people this weekend on why A Quiet Place: Day One worked and why Furiosa didn't. 

[el sid]

Horizon: Chapter 1 had today counted for today 91 sold tickets in 6 theaters (no shows in the AMC Fresh Meadows in NY). 

And counted today for tomorrow it had 108 sold tickets (also in 6 theaters). Surprisingly it's doing ok in the AMC Metreon in San Francisco (29 and 67 sold tickets).

 

Comps: The Bikeriders (1.5M from previews on Thursday + other shows/9.7M OW) had 268 respectively 240 sold tickets in the same 6 theaters. 

And the faith-based film Overcomer (I take it as comp due to the great walk-ups it must have had; 775k from previews/8.15M OW) had 91 respectively 34 sold tickets. You see what is possible with good walks-ups despite terrible presales. 

 

Overall Horizon stays a mixed bag and I agree with what other members already mentioned, it was a bit frustrating to count it. This film just needs walk-ups! 

[Flip]

Longlegs (T-14)

 

4 showtimes/78 tickets sold.

 

more shows need to be added but this is pretty strong, just a bit below Watchers T-3, and even ahead of Bad Boys T-11