Transformers: The Last Knight | 6/21/2017 | Big Budget, Weak OW?

[Noctis]

Can't wait to see its RT score...Paramount is clearly nervous.

 

 

[Lordmandeep]

I will likely watch this at home to see the Bayepxlosions.

[John Marston]

6 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

Movie starts playing in 7 hours on the east coast and no reviews posted to Rotten Tomatoes. Impressive embargo by Paramount. Not sure why they are so sensitive about it though. This movie is supposedly critic-proof.

 

 

what's the benefit of posting reviews? Many of them won't be just "I didn't like the movie and here is why" but flat out vitriolic towards Bay and his fanbase

[redfirebird2008]

1 minute ago, John Marston said:

 

 

what's the benefit of posting reviews? Many of them won't be just "I didn't like the movie and here is why" but flat out vitriolic towards Bay and his fanbase

 

No point in having early critic screenings then.

[Dothezelda101]

19 minutes ago, cookie said:

I just saw the clip of Hopkins saying "duuude" and I couldn't hold myself 

Source please. I need to see this for myself!

[filmlover]

Paramount just blamed the poor performance of Baywatch on the bad reviews when they held the embargo for it unless than 48 hours before opening, clearly aware that they had a troubled film on their hands. What will be the excuse here if this underperforms? It's so much easier to point fingers than accept accountability in this industry, it seems.

[AJG]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WQXmiVi0kN8&feature=youtu.be

 

First review I've seen.

[a2k]

If prod budget is 217 it's gonna make 3.5-3.7x that globally.

China still on track for 285-300.

Dom 150-160. Rest of OS 325-350

Gives 760-810 ww.

[John Marston]

must point out that the TF films don't really perform like films with the type of reviews they get usually do. 2nd one after second weekend had a bunch of sub 50 drops and the 4th one still had better legs than the recent Fast and Furious movies and other films with some better reviews

[Mr Impossible]

7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

If prod budget is 217 it's gonna make 3.5-3.7x that globally.

China still on track for 285-300.

Dom 150-160. Rest of OS 325-350

Gives 760-810 ww.

 

I think $350M is easily possible in China. Summer weekdays and little competition means better legs than Fast and Furious. 

[a2k]

6 minutes ago, Mr Impossible said:

 

I think $350M is easily possible in China. Summer weekdays and little competition means better legs than Fast and Furious. 

Well F8 did just below 2x. 2x+ is difficult for mega openers in China. It could do 350 but is far from easy imo.

150/2.2x/330m could be high-end i think.

[Mr Impossible]

2 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Well F8 did just below 2x. 2x+ is difficult for mega openers in China. It could do 350 but is far from easy imo.

150/2.2x/330m could be high-end i think.

 

I just don't think you should base it on presales they're not very reliable especially in China. 

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

Just came back from seeing it.When does the embargo lift?It should never lift honestly.

[ChiSoxRox]

1 minute ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

Just came back from seeing it.When does the embargo lift?It should never lift honestly.

 

Literally when the showings start. (7:30 Eastern iirc)

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

Just now, ChiSoxRox said:

 

Literally when the showings start. (7:30 Eastern iirc)

Justified

[MrGamer]

3 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

Just came back from seeing it.When does the embargo lift?It should never lift honestly.

Can you give us an emoji reaction?

[Dementeleus]

1 hour ago, AJG said:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robcain/2017/06/20/tepid-transformers-presales-point-to-a-less-than-furious-run-in-china/#71a9e4ff27c0

 

They say its dying in China

 

 

Ain't God good

 

Honestly, I would trust the analysis from our China forum (and our regulars there) far more than anything a Forbes contributor cranks out. (And yes, while the numbers are the same, the spin put on them is very different). At the moment, TF5 seems to be slightly under-performing expectations there, though the total will still dwarf almost anything not part of the FURIOUS franchise.

[FantasticBeasts]

I think this will under perform a lot compared to the previews films.

Obviously it would still be a BIG success but the billion days are over.

I personally found the first one OK although not my taste. The second was awful as well as the third. 

Not checking this for sure.

[grey ghost]

I'm guessing the Bumblebee movie will be shelved if TF5 underperforms but I wonder how much TF5 would have to disappoint to force Paramount to reboot.

[Mikasa Ackerman]

Well, James didn't love it: Review - TRANSFORMERS: THE LAST KNIGHT (Just The Worst)