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baumer

Thurs#s Rth: CF 15 FRZ 11-11.5 (Nikki still drunk from 2010, says 13.7 for CF)

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I thought the right way to predict here was to make 10 insane predictions and then if just one of them turns out to be right, act like a super genious, completely ignoring the fact that you were dead wrong on the other 9.

 

LOL really funny stuff. But then there are people who are serious with it.

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I extrapolated from wednesday rather than thursday. CF had much bigger drop than DH1 and so has potential to increase more. with the same increase from wednesday as DH1, CF will gross just more than 30M friday. If anything it will do better. Plus wednesday was like a friday while friday is like a saturday. So a 30M from 20.8 aint that big a deal.

 

With BD2 increase it would be at 28.55, but we already know it aint a twilight.

Edited by keysersoze123
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I extrapolated from wednesday rather than thursday. CF had much bigger drop than DH1 and so has potential to increase more. with the same increase from wednesday as DH1, CF will gross just more than 30M friday. If anything it will do better. Plus wednesday was like a friday while friday is like a saturday. So a 30M from 20.8 aint that big a deal.

 

With BD2 increase it would be at 28.55, but we already know it aint a twilight.

 

Box office isn't predictable.  

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from BOM:

 

 

TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day
1 1 The Hunger Games: Catching Fire LGF $14,900,000 -28% - 4,163 $3,579 $221,956,000 7
2 2 Frozen (2013) BV $11,086,000 -27% - 3,742 $2,963 $26,643,000 7
3 3 Thor: The Dark World BV $2,042,000 -13% +22% 3,286 $621 $175,604,000 21
4 5 Delivery Man BV $1,431,000 +9% - 3,036 $471 $12,522,000 7
5 4 Homefront ORF $1,400,000 -2% - 2,570 $545 $2,825,000 2
6 - The Best Man Holiday Uni. $1,392,000 +13% -2% 1,785 $780 $54,933,000 14
7 - The Book Thief Fox $825,000 +14% +2,675% 1,234 $669 $3,006,000 21
8 - Black Nativity FoxS $680,000 +55% - 1,516 $449 $1,120,000 2
9 - Last Vegas CBS $580,000 +26% -7% 1,963 $295 $55,937,000 28
10 - Gravity WB $515,000 +14% +36% 1,016 $507 $247,142,000 56
- - Philomena Wein. $434,000 +15% - 753 $576 $965,000 7
- - 12 Years a Slave FoxS $374,000 +7% +2% 1,165 $321 $30,842,000 42

 

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Catching Fire should make around $26-28 million today and Frozen should do around $24-26 million if both films follow the usual trends. That would put both films well over $60 million with off chances at $70 million. Very nice.

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I'm thinking increases will be bigger than expected for a lot of movies because this year, black Friday started at 8pm on Thursday. That hurt evening shows.

So yea...I will not be surprised if we have bigger than expected jumps. Go CF and Frozen!!

 

Interesting theory. We'll find out if it's right or not.

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Just saw my 100th movie this year. All those hours I could've spent improving my studies or getting laid.

Catching Fire was my 97th new to me film of the year, either in theaters as a '13 release or DVD.

Not including rewatches....I have Die Hard in now(which I watch a few times a year) as I toggle around working on Ebay auctions. 

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As of 3:25p.m eastern time

 

Catching Fire - 10 Sellouts in DC

Frozen - 17 Sellouts in DC

 

Catching Fire is going to even it  out after 7p.m.

Edited by B J
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