Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it

[Issac Newton]

2 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said:

 

But how do we get to $20B?

$8.0B is the highest bid with mini $4.0B, if I talk about $20.0B that E.R. should be improve in LATAM, Asia, ME, EA, along with ticket pricing

[Issac Newton]

40 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Region Wise Breakdown:

 

Asia : $1.5B (-China)

Europe : $1.5B

America : $1.5B

Oceania : $250M

Africa &ME : $250M

China &SAR : $3.0B ($1.5B mini)

 

Total : $8.0B ($4.0B if WOM is bad)

Mini Finals : $4.5B - $5.0B

 

Updated as of 12/25

I Studied deeply about it. I suggested this figures with (max potential, ultra legendary level WOM)

 

Major Markets:

 

⬜ Asia : $1.5B

● Japan : $300M

● Korea : $250M

● Russia : $100M

● India : $100M

● SEA : $500M

→ Indonesia : $100M

→ Thailand : $100M

→ Phillipines : $50M

→ Vietnam : $50M

→ Singapore : $50M

→ Malaysia : $50M

→ RoSEA : $200M

● RoA : $250M

 

⬜ Europe : $1.5B

● UK : $200M

● Germany : $200M

● France : $200M

● Nordics : $200M

● Spain : $150M

● Italy : $100M

● Netherlands : $50M

● Poland : $50M

● Ireland : $50M

● RoE : $300M

 

⬜ America : $1.5B

● North America : $1.0B

● South America : $500M

→ Mexico : $100M

→ Brazil : $100M

→ Columbia : $50M

→ RoLATAM : $150M

● Central America : $100M

 

⬜ Oceania : $250M

● Australia : $175M

● New Zealand : $75M

 

⬜ ME &A : $250M

● KSA : $85M

● UAE : $50M

● Turkey : $30M

● Egypt : $10M

● Qatar : $5M

● RoME : $20M

● South Africa: $20M

● RoAf : $30M

 

⬜ China &SAR : $3.0B

■ China : $2.8B (max potential)

■ SAR : $200M

● Taiwan : $100M

● Hong Kong &Macau : $100M

→ Hong Kong : $90M

→ Macau : $10M

Edited December 25, 2021 by Issac Newton

[WittyUsername]

If China makes an exception to their potential Hollywood ban for this movie, then  would that mean that James Cameron has more clout than Kevin Feige?

[Issac Newton]

6 minutes ago, WittyUsername said:

If China makes an exception to their potential Hollywood ban for this movie, then  would that mean that James Cameron has more clout than Kevin Feige?

James Cameron is a just a God of God of Directors. His way of directing a film, even attract the President Xi Jinping, that it will get 90 days release window. But, even if Avatar 2 manage to become the highest grossing film in Mainland China, it will still not be able to hold that record for long because more biggie films like Wandering Earth 2 and Wolf Warrior 3 will arrive at 2023. With their arrival, the record will again be held back by Local Releases.

 

However, your comparison with Kevin does not seem fair. I think you should have compared his direction level with Denis Villeneuve and Christopher Nolan.

Edited December 25, 2021 by Issac Newton

[JonahVex]

Its not a hollywood ban, Dune, Bond NNTD, F9, Godzilla vs Kong and many others released in China. CCP just isn't messing with marvel

[Lothar]

7 hours ago, GoblinXXR said:

China - $950M 

Domestic - $800M

In bull scenario both will be higher.

[Lothar]

6 hours ago, JonahVex said:

Very few people on twitter or reddit atleast have confidence this movie will do well, many seem to think Aquaman 2 will outgross it

In any case if that happens I'll commit suicide.

[Lothar]

I'll be in Dubai or in Canada by the time this hits Cinema. 

[Agafin]

Avatar 2 won't be released in China. My personal prediction:

 

US & Can : $800m

UK: $130m

Germany: $120m

South Korea: $110m

France: $110m

Japan: $80m

Australia: $75m

Brazil: $70m

Mexico: $65m

Russia: $50m

Italy: $40m

Spain: $40m

Rest of World: $650m

Total OS: $1540m

Total WW: $2340m (#3 WW)

 

If it does somehow get a Chinese release, add in about $750m for a total above $3 billion. 

 

[TomCruiseTop]

8 hours ago, GoblinXXR said:

 

But how do we get to $20B?

20 billies seems impossible, but this is Jim after all.

[Lothar]

14 hours ago, cdsacken said:

 

3d is dead, and novelty is dead. Characters are shallow and it’s been delayed half a dozen times. Think I’m being more than fair. Not to mention china is going nuts restrictions wise lately.

This is Avatar we are talking about. The Re-release has proven otherwise

The first one took almost 10-12 years in making because of the technology and look what we have a pure masterpiece. Till 2022 December it will be 13 years and we all waited this long just because Jim didn't get what he wanted for A2 (The Technology) 

Many times it has been reported by Media but people tend to forget it easily these days about News reports.

Underwater effects have always been tricky to replicate in any form - even shooting in-camera has its limitations - let alone with motion-capture, leading to major updates needed. Cameron says he's "cracked the code" on Avatar's underwater sequences, suggesting why production has now moved ahead.

In 2009 it was impossible to think this movie will ever make 2.8 billions. So, 4 billion is just normal for A2 I'll not be surprised if this makes 5B.

 

[Lothar]

Avatar 2's Earth Return Can Set Up A War Bigger Than Endgame

Avatar 2's teased interplanetary war between Earth and Pandora has the potential to set up an even bigger battle than anything in Avengers: Endgame.

 

https://screenrant.com/avatar-2-earth-war-story-tease-endgame/

 

 5Billies+ Confirmed

[Lothar]

https://www.instagram.com/p/CXtf919oGKA/?utm_source=ig_embed&ig_rid=06d402d9-2f84-40da-a02a-f48d8845aa01

 

 

 

Party time

[CloneWars]

12 hours ago, Lothar said:

In any case if that happens I'll commit suicide.

That's not something to joke about

[Lothar]

8 minutes ago, CloneWars said:

That's not something to joke about

ahan. then I'll be jumping from 5th stair.

 

[Lothar]

@aabattery @Water BottleKindly check help desk.

[TomCruiseTop]

30 minutes ago, Lothar said:

@aabattery @Water BottleKindly check help desk.

Messaging @Cap will probably be faster Lothar. aabattery seems to have left the forums entirely/posts VERY little. No idea why they're even still a mod.

 

50 minutes ago, CloneWars said:

That's not something to joke about

Not a joke. If Avatar 2 did bomb I'd be joining Lothar with a helium tank and a gas mask.

[TomCruiseTop]

13 hours ago, Agafin said:

Avatar 2 won't be released in China.

What makes you so confident?

[Eric Duncan]

Moderation

 

@Lothar @JamesCameronScholar

 

Whether you’re serious or not (if you are, both of you simply need to get your priorities straight), we are not posting, encouraging, or promoting the commitment of suicide over a movie’s box office.

[Cap]

Hello. I got a message about scree rant. While it’s not the AP News it isn’t exactly a whack job site. Is there something I am missing? Otherwise, No one seems to be fighting, and no one seems to be calling each other names, so I don’t see an issue.