Jump to content

grim22

Weekend Numbers (Nov 14-16) pg 39

Recommended Posts



Dumb and Dumber To will be profitable just on domestic alone, not sure if it'll do well OS apart from English speaking countries but I'm sure Universal will be happy with how it's done. Warner Bros/New Line are likely regretting passing on it.

 

The success of Gone Girl is proof that adult dramas can be profitable for studios, I think it's unlikely we see them in the summer months but I think October could easily have similar films doing well. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Didn't Carrey used to be firmly against doing sequels?

Yep. That's why Dumb and Dumberer and Son of Mask got made. Because he refused doing proper sequels to them at the time. In fact, Ace Ventura 2 was the only sequel to one of his movies he ever did before this. And that was made before/right around the time he was becoming a big star.

Edited by MovieMan89
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

The success of Gone Girl is proof that adult dramas can be profitable for studios, I think it's unlikely we see them in the summer months but I think October could easily have similar films doing well. 

I feel like we're getting movies that prove this every year. It's not exactly a new thing.

  • Like 10
Link to comment
Share on other sites



I'd like to see an IMAX/conventional breakdown. Wouldn't be shocked if it dropped less than 20% in IMAX which would bode well for a decent hold against MJ.

Domestic Imax WE 7.4m -39%(Sat/Sun -27%) 368 screens cume 25.5m, 9 of top 10 are Imax engagements

Intl Imax  We 12.4m-10%(from Terr that screened last wkend, 12.4 include CHN opening 6.6m from 170 Imax screens) cume 24.1m

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Domestic Imax WE 7.4m -39%(Sat/Sun -27%) 368 screens cume 25.5m, 9 of top 10 are Imax engagements

Intl Imax  We 12.4m-10%(from Terr that screened last wkend, 12.4 include CHN opening 6.6m from 170 Imax screens) cume 24.1m

 

So the domestic IMAX drop was the same as the overall domestic drop? That seems like a good thing. Means it is playing better in non-IMAX shows than we thought.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yep. That's why Dumb and Dumberer and Son of Mask got made. Because he refused doing proper sequels to them at the time. In fact, Ace Ventura 2 was the only sequel to one of his movies he ever did before this. And that was made before/right around the time he was becoming a big star.

 

I wonder if Warner Bros/New Line would be interested in doing The Mask sequel, I think the film ended well and I imagine having Jim Carrey and Cameron Diaz reprise their roles would make it too expensive for them to consider. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites



I wonder if Warner Bros/New Line would be interested in doing The Mask sequel, I think the film ended well and I imagine having Jim Carrey and Cameron Diaz reprise their roles would make it too expensive for them to consider. 

 

Somehow I don't think it would be that expensive.  It seems that actors salaries have dropped considerably in the last decade.  My guess is you could get both Carrey and Diaz for about 2-5 mill each.

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Somehow I don't think it would be that expensive.  It seems that actors salaries have dropped considerably in the last decade.  My guess is you could get both Carrey and Diaz for about 2-5 mill each.

 

Diaz usually gets $10-15m a film, Bad Teacher was the only where she took a paycut but opted for gross percentage and ended up getting $42m. Jim Carrey I imagine would ask for a similar salary, there's no way either would take a paycut without both backend and percentage of gross which would make the film unprofitable for Warner Bros. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Other movies that connected with the WW audience far more than domestic audiences:

Spider-Man 3

Amazing Spider-Man 2

Transformers: Dark Side of the Moon

Transformers: Age of Extinction

Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides

Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

Alice in Wonderland

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

Ice Age: Continental Drift

Ice Age: Meltdown

The Da Vinci Code

Matagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted

Kung Fu Panda 2

Mama Mia

:ph34r:

It'll also join

Life of Pi

The Wolf of Wall Street

Pacific Rim

Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

How to Train Your Dragon 2

Edge of Tomorrow

Noah

Skyfall

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2

Kung Fu Panda 2

Avatar

Casino Royale

Wallace and Grommit: Curse of the Were-Rabbit

The Pianist

Titanic

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites





And what's your point? Avatar and Titanic made more than 70% of their money overseas too.

The point that I take from all of this is that some movies appeal more to DOM audiences while others appeal equally or more to OS audiences, and this is not because OS audiences are generally smarter or dumber, or have better or worse taste than DOM audiences. There are some valid factors to consider, but these are not among them.

As for DOM versus OS gross, in the end only the total WW gross really matters financially, but it is nevertheless interesting to see whether a movie has more appeal within or outside of its home market, and to try to figure out why if possible (without resorting to the nonsense I dismissed above). 

 

 

FWIW, while Mads 2 lines up with BH6 perfectly for the days, I prefer the WiR comp, as they're both WDAS films with similar reception in more similar BO environments.

The former is a coincidence that results from Madagascar 2 opening bigger--being a sequel is one reason, and this also makes it more front-loaded. Besides, as I had pointed out earlier here (or maybe in a different thread or in a different forum--I don't even remember now), no WDAS movie has ever had an OW multiplier as low as that (not even the crap they produced early this century), so I would be absolutely shocked if Big Hero 6 ended up having that kind of a run. If audiences were hating it and critics were panning it, then that would be one thing, but given its very positive reception such a failure would be a mind-blowing mystery that is wrapped in an enigma and marinated in conundrum juice.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites



The point that I take from all of this is that some movies appeal more to DOM audiences while others appeal equally or more to OS audiences, and this is not because OS audiences are generally smarter or dumber, or have better or worse taste than DOM audiences. There are some valid factors to consider, but these are not among them.

As for DOM versus OS gross, in the end only the total WW gross really matters financially, but it is nevertheless interesting to see whether a movie has more appeal within or outside of its home market, and to try to figure out why if possible (without resorting to the nonsense I dismissed above). 

 

 

The former is a coincidence that results from Madagascar 2 opening bigger--being a sequel is one reason, and this also makes it more front-loaded. Besides, as I had pointed out earlier here (or maybe in a different thread or in a different forum--I don't even remember now), no WDAS movie has ever had an OW multiplier as low as that (not even the crap they produced early this century), so I would be absolutely shocked if Big Hero 6 ended up having that kind of a run. If audiences were hating it and critics were panning it, then that would be one thing, but given its very positive reception such a failure would be a mind-blowing mystery that is wrapped in an enigma and marinated in conundrum juice.

 

To clarify, I meant that the dates in 2008 are identical with the dates in 2014 (both opened Friday, November 7th).  Wasn't referring to performance.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Diaz usually gets $10-15m a film, Bad Teacher was the only where she took a paycut but opted for gross percentage and ended up getting $42m. Jim Carrey I imagine would ask for a similar salary, there's no way either would take a paycut without both backend and percentage of gross which would make the film unprofitable for Warner Bros. 

 

Diaz doesn't get that anymore.  What's the last film that would justify that kind of pay?  The Other Woman was a good grossing film but it still only made just under 200 mill WW.  It also had a budget of 40 mill, I seriously doubt more than a quarter of that went to her.

 

The salaries have changed today.  Actors don't get that big money like they used to.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Diaz usually gets $10-15m a film, Bad Teacher was the only where she took a paycut but opted for gross percentage and ended up getting $42m. Jim Carrey I imagine would ask for a similar salary, there's no way either would take a paycut without both backend and percentage of gross which would make the film unprofitable for Warner Bros. 

 

Jim carrey hasn't had a hit in centuries.  He's not exactly box office gold anymore.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Dumb and Dumber To will be profitable just on domestic alone, not sure if it'll do well OS apart from English speaking countries but I'm sure Universal will be happy with how it's done. Warner Bros/New Line are likely regretting passing on it.

 

The success of Gone Girl is proof that adult dramas can be profitable for studios, I think it's unlikely we see them in the summer months but I think October could easily have similar films doing well. 

 

I believe Dumb and Dumber To will be a big hit all over the world.

 

Many underestimate the power Carrey still has overseas, even his lesser movies like Mr. Popper's Penguins and Yes Man both grossed around $120M foreign.

 

Incidentally, the first Dumb and Dumber grossed $120M overseas as well, pretty close to its domestic take of $127M, so it was definitely a worldwide hit right from the beginning, and it has only gotten bigger with home video and TV over the years.

 

I will be shocked if DDT doesn't clear $100M foreign, $200M worldwide is a lock IMO.

 

I also think that many were quick to write Carrey off as box-office poison after Wonderstone and Kick-Ass 2, but I wouldn't even count either of them as Jim Carrey movies, he has a glorified cameo in both, and in both he is playing an over the top character with heavy make-up and wigs etc. I know people who didn't have an idea it was him in Kick-ass 2 because the character looked so different.

 

That Penguin movie made $187M worldwide on a $55M budget, not a huge blockbuster hit, but they were likely profitable once it hit DVD.

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Diaz doesn't get that anymore.  What's the last film that would justify that kind of pay?  The Other Woman was a good grossing film but it still only made just under 200 mill WW.  It also had a budget of 40 mill, I seriously doubt more than a quarter of that went to her.

 

The salaries have changed today.  Actors don't get that big money like they used to.

It all depends on whether or not she had any gross percentage for The Other Woman.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites





  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.