Jurassic World Weekend Thread | Official Est. 204.6M | 208.8M - Actuals

[kayumanggi]

I am still shocked this reached SM3, TDK and TA buzz in the states.

 

It seemed like a massive hit coming but not an all time opener coming. 

 

 

Here it seems like a generic summer mega blockbuster opening. It just it be fun tracking epic sellouts and all that here but it is not to be for me this weekend due to the divergence. 

 

lol Still insisting this 'only in the states' thing?

[druv10]

On a whim I'm thinking 205M but when something just breaks out like this WOM effect can be more dramatic day-to-day.  This isn't a TA level breakout, this is more like SM1 maybe?  So this weekend should look like TA on steroids, Saturday jump up to low-to-mid 70s wouldn't surprise me and Sunday's a bit of a wild card with Game 5 in the evening but morning/matinees should cover enough business anyway.

That would be just bonkers. In your scenario we could be looking at 220M OW.

[eXtacy]

I think 195-200m is likely where it lands

[redfirebird2008]

It's going to jump 10-15% today (from 64.4M), not stay 0-5%.  Demand levels are too high, roughly first true summer weekend, relatively massive surprise breakout --> all signs point to a strong jump today.  Sunday drop will be heavy with NBA/GOT.

 

10% Saturday jump means a likely $210m weekend or higher. 15% jump would be $216m weekend or more. Insanity if either one happens.

[FTF]

I think 195-200m is likely where it lands

Universal will not let this go under $200m.

[mahnamahna]

On a whim I'm thinking 205M but when something just breaks out like this WOM effect can be more dramatic day-to-day.  This isn't a TA level breakout, this is more like SM1 maybe?  So this weekend should look like TA on steroids, Saturday jump up to low-to-mid 70s wouldn't surprise me and Sunday's a bit of a wild card with Game 5 in the evening but morning/matinees should cover enough business anyway.

Could very well do:

$18.5 million previews 

$64.3 million Friday ($82.8 million) 

$72 million Saturday ($154.8 million) 

$55.5 million Sunday ($210.3 million)

 

If Sat is 75m, with a 10% drop on Sun, $225-230 million. Utterly insane just how well this is going to do. Summer 2015 is back on track if Inside Out break-outs and Ted 2 does solid enough.

 

$82.8 million Fri + previews

$75.5 million Sat ($158.3 million)

$67.5 million Sun ($225.8 million)

 

With that size of an opening, $650 million+ DOM is in the cards. And Star Wars has an uphill battle if it wants to win 2015 BO. 

Edited June 13, 2015 by mahnamahna

[DAJK]

I'm curious as to how it's doing here. I'll find out when I go to work today, but I'm hoping its busy. I love busy days. I love box office. I love the world.

[spizzer]

That would be just bonkers. In your scenario we could be looking at 220M OW.

 

But it won't be able to sustain a TA-like Sunday hold though so it could even out. 

[eXtacy]

Universal will not let this go under $200m.

 

Universal would, if it were Paramount I would agree

[grey ghost]

This might've been the must see kids movie of the year before Minions.

But did it steal Inside Out's thunder?

[JohnnyGossamer]

Bullshit. 200 mill for the weekend was shocking.

It opened on a Wednesday. $200M was five days. Still shocking. But, I put it behind Spidey 1, Avengers, Dark Knight, Hunger Games.

Edited June 13, 2015 by JohnnyGossamer

[spizzer]

No 3D share reported yet?

[Jandrew]

So whats sillier? Pratt taming raptors, or this raptor wearing a jersey and dribbling a basketball? lol

Edited June 13, 2015 by Jandrew

[FTF]

Universal would, if it were Paramount I would agree

lol you're right I mixed them up. But still, if it's close they'll give it $200m for estimate headlines tomorrow.

[Kalderic]

But it won't be able to sustain a TA-like Sunday hold though so it could even out. 

 

Why not? If theaters are all selling out, it pushes business from one day to the next. Sunday could have a fantastic hold just because there are still people who havent seen it due to sell outs. I think a really good sunday drop wouldnt be surprising given how massive this thing has become.

[DAR]

If 200 is close Puerto Rico is on high alert

[MrFanaticGuy34]

 

1). Jurassic World (UNI), 3,274 theaters / $83M Fri. (includes $18.5M previews) / 3-day cume: $190M to $200M / Wk 1

2). Spy (FOX), 3,715 theaters (+4%)/ $4.77M Fri. (-53%) / 3-day cume: $15M to $15.8M (-45%) / Total cume: $56M / Wk 2

3). San Andreas (WB), 3,535 theaters (-277) / $3.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $10.5M / Total cume: $118.85M/ Wk 3

4). Insidious Chapter 3 (FOC), 3,014 theaters (+12) / $2.65M to $2.8M Fri. (-74%) / 3-day cume: $7.6M to $8M (-65%) / Total cume: $38.7M / Wk 2

5). Pitch Perfect 2 (UNI), 2,677 theaters (-726) / $1.9M Fri./ 3-day cume: $5.7M / Total cume: $170.4M / Wk 5

6). Entourage (WB), 3,108 theaters (0) / $1.39M Fri. (-62%)/ 3-day cume: $4.17M (-69%) / Total cume: $25.7M/ Wk 2

7). Mad Max: Fury Road (WB), 2,234 theaters (-486) / $1.19M Fri. (-49%) / 3-day cume: $3.9M to $4M (-50%) / Total cume: $138.4M / Wk 5

8). Tomorrowland (DIS), 2,540 theaters (-472) / $1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.6M / Total cume: $83.8M / Wk 4

9). Avengers: Age of Ultron (DIS), 2,156 theaters (-315) / $1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.6M / Total cume: $444.7M / Wk 7

10). Love & Mercy (RSA), 573 theaters (+92) / $476K Fri. (-25%) / 3-day cume: $1.55M (-25%) / Total cume: $4.55M / Wk 2

 

 

 

[mahnamahna]

This might've been the must see kids movie of the year before Minions.

But did it steal Inside Out's thunder?

If MoS and WWZ combined didn't steal Monsters U or DM2's thunder, I don't think this will steal IO's thunder.

 

Something everyone has to consider is that other than JW, the box office is going to be relatively dead next weekend. JW will only do $90-105 million for its 2nd weekend. Being Father's Day, something else has to make up the other $90-105 million. Most of that will be IO, with a little help from Spy and SA. 

[iceroll]

lol Still insisting this 'only in the states' thing?

 

This isn't as big as it seems. I mean is supermassive but getting a 280M OS OW with almost 100M coming from China and opening everywhere (except for Japan) means it would only do 180M in the rest of the territories, which is a farcry from the 314M DH2 made on OW (it didnt open in China on OW) and less than AoU. Its good to make this observation because of the end result: I see OS ending around 820-830M.

 

I agree with James' post here, OS openings are great but not record-breaking like in the US.

[keysersoze123]

I hope it hits 70m today but I would be surprised if it increased that much. Most probably I see around 67-68m saturday and despite NBA(its nowhere close to MayPac level of impact) i dont see more than 15% drop. So something like 57-58m sunday.