a2k Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 (edited) IO 5, JP4 3.7, TG/MM2 2.7 Even if IO falls 10% today it gets 4.5m on Thu. +15% on Friday gives 5.17m +25% on Saturday, 6.46m -25% on Sunday, 4.84m 16.5m weekend. -44.4% drop. I am low-balling IO here and 45% is the max it will drop. 18m(-40%) is very reasonable. Edited July 9, 2015 by a2k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kowan Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Sad that Bullock character is getting a tepid response. Was hoping for Bullock vs Carell in DM3. She was a missed opportunity in Minions. Her character was forgettable at best and I don't think its possible for her to return in DM3, she'll be a grandma by then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Even if IO falls 10% today it gets 4.5m on Thu. +15% on Friday gives 5.17m +25% on Saturday, 6.46m -25% on Sunday, 4.84m 16.5m weekend. -44.4% drop. I am low-balling IO here and 45% is the max it will drop. 18m(-40%) is very reasonable. I don't think an 100m+ animated opener will have this little effects on IO. I see it dropping at least 50%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldenstate5 Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 It's especially concerning when at the end of Minions Gru freezes Scarlett and steals the crown, thus beginning his reign as the greatest villain. The movie openly acknowledges how weak she is in comparison, and you kind of feeling like snarking on the marketing that really pumped her up as this BIG BAD VILLAIN when really it's just a flimsy attempt to draw audiences with Bullock's "star power". UK critics and Spanish critics were very nice to this movie, but seems like American critics are not having it. Of course, this matters absolutely none. What really matters is how much the general public eats it up, and how powerful the WOM will be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 I don't think an 100m+ animated opener will have this little effects on IO. I see it dropping at least 50%. For that it will need a <10% bump on Friday. Not to mention last Saturday the movie dipped so it's Sat to Sat drop will anyways be good. What numbers do you see on Fri, Sat, Sun for it to get a 50% drop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldenstate5 Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Not to mention spillover... when we're talking highest animated opening ever, that means sellouts. And IO is the most likely to benefit from those sellouts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catlover Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 (edited) The top critics are destroying MINIONS, now with 42%. Anyway, the best part of the movie was G R U. This! It was boring until that part. I don't inderstand how it's getting 70% overall on RT. And before somebody accuses me of being an IO fanboy or whatever, I haven't seen IO, it hasn't even been released here, and I love minions. But the movie was just disappointing. It's still gonna open big though. Not sure about the legs. Edited July 9, 2015 by catlover 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 For that it will need a <10% bump on Friday. Not to mention last Saturday the movie dipped so it's Sat to Sat drop will anyways be good. What numbers do you see on Fri, Sat, Sun for it to get a 50% drop? I see something like this: 4.1m Thu (Minions starts showing at 6PM ao its evening shows will be reduced) 4.7m Fri (Minions really enter the market) 5.8m Sat 4.3m Sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldenstate5 Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 I'll be honest here and say that the whole Minions thing isn't just about Pixar fanboyism and it making "more money than IO" (although I'd be lying if I said I didn't take issue with it), it's also the fact that it will dwarf both DM and DM2, both films which are vastly superior, funnier and have a lot more heart and more than ANYTHING else: entertaining. Yes, DM2 has a mess of a plot, but it's very funny and sweet. Minions is just lifeless at many points, and is just all-around forgettable. This is basically "Shrek the Third" all over again, but with the added bonus of audiences most likely willing to be much more forigiving due to this being a spinoff/prequel. Another lazy film making a shitload of money not by its own merits, but by the goodwill from the better films that preceded it. And just to get the gloves fully off, I personally liked Monsters University but... yeah it's the same case there as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BenedictL11 Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 I see something like this: 4.1m Thu (Minions starts showing at 6PM ao its evening shows will be reduced) 4.7m Fri (Minions really enter the market) 5.8m Sat 4.3m Sun Doubt its Saturday increase will be that low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 I see overseas critics givind Minions some very high grades aNd US critics doing the exact opposite. What's up with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 I see overseas critics givind Minions some very high grades aNd US critics doing the exact opposite. What's up with that? US critics have always been more harsh on blockbusters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Just watched this week's episode. Mr. Robot is the best show on tv. It's better shot and directed than 99% of all movies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tupek Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 It's especially concerning when at the end of Minions Gru freezes Scarlett and steals the crown, thus beginning his reign as the greatest villain. The movie openly acknowledges how weak she is in comparison, and you kind of feeling like snarking on the marketing that really pumped her up as this BIG BAD VILLAIN when really it's just a flimsy attempt to draw audiences with Bullock's "star power". UK critics and Spanish critics were very nice to this movie, but seems like American critics are not having it. Of course, this matters absolutely none. What really matters is how much the general public eats it up, and how powerful the WOM will be. Ice Age kind of box office over again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boxofficerules Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 The punishment for Terminator Genisys selling out to PG13 MUST be more severe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 The punishment for Terminator Genisys selling out to PG13 MUST be more severe! Terminator Regurgitation was PG13 too, so I don't see the problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zackzack Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 (edited) I'll be honest here and say that the whole Minions thing isn't just about Pixar fanboyism and it making "more money than IO" (although I'd be lying if I said I didn't take issue with it), it's also the fact that it will dwarf both DM and DM2, both films which are vastly superior, funnier and have a lot more heart and more than ANYTHING else: entertaining. Yes, DM2 has a mess of a plot, but it's very funny and sweet. Minions is just lifeless at many points, and is just all-around forgettable. This is basically "Shrek the Third" all over again, but with the added bonus of audiences most likely willing to be much more forigiving due to this being a spinoff/prequel. Another lazy film making a shitload of money not by its own merits, but by the goodwill from the better films that preceded it. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Like I said before, without Gru and his redemption through his relationship with his adopted daughters, I don't know how this spin-off could top the first 2 movies. If it does, then all those big numbers from the first 2 movies are solely coming from the antics of the Minions. What I heard, this spin-off is full of action and slapstick comedy, and the story is more comic-book like or James Bond-ish (some egotistical villain trying to rule). But it's nice to see the royal Queen gets drunk in a bar after losing her crown to Sandra "Bollock." Edited July 9, 2015 by zackzack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 (edited) I see something like this: 4.1m Thu (Minions starts showing at 6PM ao its evening shows will be reduced) 4.7m Fri (Minions really enter the market) 5.8m Sat 4.3m Sun that's, thu -18% (5.0m wed to 4.1m thu) fri +15% sat +23.4% sun -26% Which will lead to a 50% drop. Though me thinks that your Thu drop imo is way too steep, even in the face of Minions. It's 2 Thursdays so far have been +1.1% and +3.9% (though during independence day 5-day). So against a big opener I can imagine -5% or -10%. -18% seems too much. Edited July 9, 2015 by a2k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Lol Terminator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 movietickets.com TRENDING NOW Minions 41.9% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
