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Weekend Actuals: Minions - 115.72M, JW - 18.15M, IO - 17.67M

By #ED, in Numbers and Data

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James Summer Tentpole

James

Posted
Posted

Awesome for Top-3.

For Minions, I am predicting:

Mon-Thurs 52-54

Fri-Sun 50-52 (220m cume)

Mon-Thurs 26-28

Fri-Sun 27-29 (275m cume)

and 4x multiplier thereafter for 360m finish.

JW should also get 4x multiplier for 645m finish.

IO should get a bit better multiplier. 350m requires 4.7x multiplier which isn't impossible. TS3 got 4.6x multiplier from its 4th weekend.

That would be a pretty bad second weekend drop for Minions. I see it closer to 55-57m.

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PDC1987 Blockbuster

PDC1987

Posted
Posted

I don't see how it makes more than $9M over the week. I keep getting $8M in my projections...

It's Monday through Thursday gross last week was equal to way over 50% of the preceding weekend gross and nearly 50% the week before.

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Bonenash Sleeper Hit

Bonenash

Posted
Posted

i known it's not the subject but who s gonna compose the score for avatar 2 3 4 you think?

 

Imo i see Alan silvestri he scored The Abyss was very good and Cameron loves to work with same people :)

 

it s gonna be a hard score by the way.

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted (edited)

I wonder if Minions holds well, if Ant-Man might not open at #1.

 

The lowest drop possible is 46% (what TS3 had) IMO. That would put it at 62.49M. I'm predicting a 53% drop to 54M.

Edited by WrathOfHan
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e1828 Indie Sensation

e1828

Posted
Posted

Largest DOMESTIC Totals – After Day 22

1) Jurassic World – $539,128,560 (Fri - $11,827,605)

2) Marvel’s The Avengers - $486,349,111 (Fri - $9,664,323)

3) The Dark Knight - $423,088,829 (Fri - $7,577,362) 

4) Avatar - $393,820,950 (Fri - $13,280,653)

5) Avengers: Age of Ultron - $388,526,903 (Fri - $5,356,424)

6) The Dark Knight Rises - $376,209,018 (Fri - $5,600,199)

7) Iron Man 3 - $353,228,940 (Fri - $5,146,416)

8) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - $347,937,894 (Fri - $4,105,897)

9) Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen - $347,714,387 (Wed - $2,443,391)

10) Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $343,845,283 (Fri - $5,966,100) 

11) Harry Potter 7b:  Deathly Hallows Part 2 - $334,015,125 (Fri - $3,374,111)

12) Shrek 2 - $325,767,202 (Wed - $3,945,987)

13) Toy Story 3 - $324,706,852 (Fri - $6,481,953)

14) The Hunger Games - $321,973,064 (Fri - $6,403,525)

15) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $317,257,697 (Thu - $2,286,110)

16) Transformers: Dark of the Moon - $311,239,379 (Wed - $2,463,508)

17) Spiderman 2 - $310,766,413 (Wed - $2,553,746) 

18) Furious 7 - $307,134,375 (Fri - $4,874,240)

19) Spiderman -

$305,073,768 (Fri - $7,247,120) 

20) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $296,459,931 (Wed - $1,805,059) 

21) Spiderman 3 - $293,443,001 (Fri - $3,800,679) 

22) Despicable Me 2 - $287,179,700 (Wed - $3,361,405)

23) Alice in Wonderland - $280,743,590 (Fri - $4,916,513)

24) The Passion Of The Christ - $273,311,111 (Wed - $2,604,574)

25) Inside Out - $271,999,560 (Fri - $5,469,256)

26) The Twilight Saga:  Eclipse - $270,752,885 (Wed - $1,835,913)

27) Shrek The Third - $270,565,362 (Fri - $4,422,911)

28) Transformers - $268,416,682 (Tue - $2,614,008)

29) The Hunger Games:  Mockingjay Part 1 - $267,941,108 (Fri - $3,742,859)

30) Star Wars 1: TPM - $267,491,901 (Wed - $3,812,157)

31) Lord Of The Rings: TT - $267,068,847 (Wed - $1,748,206)

32) Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End - $264,956,639 (Fri - $3,222,915)

33) American Sniper - $264,263,604 (Fri - $6,163,365)(1)

34) Man of Steel - $263,680,363 (Fri - $3,906,210)

35) Iron Man 2 - $263,017,382 (Fri - $4,440,472)

36) Harry Potter 6:  HBP - $262,803,216 (Wed - $2,192,352)

37) The Twilight Saga:  Breaking Dawn Part 2 - $262,368,468 (Fri - $2,833,704)

38) The Twilight Saga:  New Moon - $261,801,174 (Fri - $2,440,591)

39) Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull - $261,782,431 (Thu - $2,026,007) 

40) The Twilight Saga:  Breaking Dawn Part 1 - $254,039,462 (Fri - $2,456,195)

41) Harry Potter 7a:  Deathly Hallows Part 1 - $251,585,745 (Fri - $2,397,340)

42) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - $251,461,852 (Fri - $5,172,345)

43) Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $249,357,836 (Wed - $2,166,253) 

44) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $241,094,693 (Thu - $2,171,580) 

45) Guardians of the Galaxy - $239,072,406 (Fri - $4,818,549)

46) The Matrix: Reloaded - $238,592,411 (Thu - $1,407,381)

47) Iron Man - $237,604,542 (Fri - $5,437,126)

48) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $236,505,381 (Fri - $2,701,519)

49) Skyfall - $233,896,096 (Fri - $4,866,907)

50) The Amazing Spider-Man - $232,198,265 (Tue - $2,036,491)

51) Monsters University - $230,455,915 (Fri - $3,795,000)

52) Harry Potter 1: SS - $228,716,846 (Fri - $1,236,000)

53) The Hobbit:  Battle of the Five Armies - $225,747,311 (Wed - $1,438,419)

54) The Hangover Part II - $223,039,278 (Thu - $1,722,247)

55) Transformers:  Age of Extinction - $219,950,118 (Fri - $2,793,230)

56) The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug - $218,481,838 (Fri - $5,097,416)

57) I Am Legend - $217,524,065 (Fri - $5,185,861)

58) Inception - $ 214,684,135 (Fri - $5,552,036)

59) Captain America: The Winter Soldier - $213,255,737 (Fri - $4,415,521)

60) Fast & Furious 6 - $212,960,290 (Fri - $2,819,665)

61) The Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Ring - $210,724,501 (Wed - $1,525,350)

62) X-Men 3: The Last Stand - $210,634,537 (Fri - $2,235,937) 

1)     Includes $3.4 million before wide release

·         Avatar overtakes Avengers: Age of Ultron for the number 4 spot.

·         Iron Man 3 crosses $350 million on Day 22.

·         American Sniper leapfrogs over 6 movies to the #32 spot as less than $3.5 million separate #33 from #39.

·         Crossing $300 million on Day 22:  Spiderman.

·         Crossing $250 million on Day 22:  Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 and The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey.

 

 

 

Largest DOMESTIC Totals – After Day 23

1) Jurassic World – $547,667,605 (Sat - $8,539,045)

2) Marvel’s The Avengers - $500,415,495 (Sat - $14,066,384)

3) The Dark Knight - $433,591,072 (Sat - $10,502,243) 

4) Avatar - $415,090,487 (Sat - $21,269,537)

5) Avengers: Age of Ultron - $396,813,139 (Sat - $8,286,236)

6) The Dark Knight Rises - $384,049,010 (Sat - $7,839,992)

7) Iron Man 3 - $360,762,094 (Sat - $7,533,154)

8) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - $353,684,449 (Sat - $5,746,555)

9) Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $352,233,958 (Sat - $8,388,675) 

10) Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen - $350,116,636 (Thu - $2,402,249)

11) Harry Potter 7b:  Deathly Hallows Part 2 - $338,850,124 (Sat - $4,834,999)

12) Toy Story 3 - $333,652,199 (Sat - $8,945,347)

13) The Hunger Games - $331,290,322 (Sat - $9,317,258)

14) Shrek 2 - $330,016,397 (Thu - $4,249,195)

15) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $321,263,036 (Fri - $4,005,339)

16) Spiderman - $316,381,817 (Sat - $11,308,049) 

17) Furious 7 - $315,550,055 (Sat - $8,415,680)

18) Transformers: Dark of the Moon -

$313,789,450 (Thu - $2,550,071)

19) Spiderman 2 - $313,452,891 (Thu - $2,686,478)

20) Spiderman 3 - $298,969,116 (Sat - $5,526,115)  

21) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $298,111,838 (Thu - $1,651,907)

 

22) Despicable Me 2 - $290,388,585 (Thu - $3,208,885)

23) Alice in Wonderland - $288,177,701 (Sat - $7,434,111)

24) Inside Out - $278,957,386 (Sat - $6,957,826)

25) Shrek The Third - $277,048,810 (Sat - $6,483,448)

26) The Passion Of The Christ - $276,092,867 (Thu - $2,781,756)

27) American Sniper - $275,296,051 (Sat - $11,032,447)(1)

28) The Hunger Games:  Mockingjay Part 1 - $273,669,538 (Sat - $5,728,430)

29) The Twilight Saga:  Eclipse - $272,641,092 (Thu - $1,888,207)

30) Star Wars 1: TPM - $271,332,050 (Thu - $3,840,149)

31) Transformers - $270,721,514 (Wed - $2,304,832)

32) Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End - $270,127,127 (Sat - $5,170,488)

33) Iron Man 2 - $269,183,356 (Sat - $6,165,974)

34) Lord Of The Rings: TT - $268,666,211 (Thu - $1,597,364)

35) Man of Steel - $267,939,736 (Sat - $4,259,373)

36) The Twilight Saga:  Breaking Dawn Part 2 - $266,338,445 (Sat - $3,969,977)

37) Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull - $265,534,560 (Fri - $3,752,129) 

38) The Twilight Saga:  New Moon - $265,239,569 (Sat - $3,438,395)

39) Harry Potter 6:  HBP - $264,920,284 (Thu - $2,117,068)

40) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - $259,090,870 (Sat - $7,629,018)

41) The Twilight Saga:  Breaking Dawn Part 1 - $257,437,655 (Sat - $3,398,193)

42) Harry Potter 7a:  Deathly Hallows Part 1 - $255,337,232 (Sat - $3,751,487)

43) Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $251,505,177 (Thu - $2,147,341) 

44) Guardians of the Galaxy - $246,553,294 (Sat - $7,480,888)

45) Iron Man - $245,503,384 (Sat - $7,898,842)

46) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $245,003,772 (Fri - $3,909,079)

47) Skyfall - $241,539,475 (Sat - $7,643,379)

48) The Matrix: Reloaded - $241,161,591 (Fri - $2,569,180)

49) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $241,081,967 (Sat - $4,576,586)

50) Harry Potter 1: SS - $235,325,846 (Sat - $6,609,000)

51) Monsters University - $234,760,624 (Sat - $4,304,709)

52) The Amazing Spider-Man - $233,672,436 (Wed - $1,474,171)

53) The Hobbit:  Battle of the Five Armies - $227,082,487 (Thu - $1,335,176)

54) The Hangover Part II - $226,284,251 (Fri - $3,244,973)

55) The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug - $225,152,946 (Sat - $6,671,108)

56) I Am Legend - $224,370,732 (Sat - $6,846,667)

57) Transformers:  Age of Extinction - $224,036,972 (Sat - $4,086,854)

58) Inception - $222,066,943 (Sat - $7,382,808)

 

1)     Includes $3.4 million before wide release

·         Marvel’s The Avengers thunders pass $500 million in only 23 days, the second fastest to do so!

·         Avatar becomes the fourth fastest pass $400 million on Day 23.

·         American Sniper continues its climb up to #27.

·         Crossing $350 million on Day 23: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest, and Transformers Revenge of the Fallen.

·         Crossing $250 million on Day 23:  Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix.

 

 

 

Largest DOMESTIC Totals – After Day 24

1) Jurassic World – $556,542,980 (Sun - $8,875,375)

2) Marvel’s The Avengers - $513,371,659 (Sun - $12,956,164)

3) The Dark Knight - $441,628,497 (Sun - $8,037,425) 

4) Avatar - $430,846,514 (Sun - $15,756,027)

5) Avengers: Age of Ultron - $404,862,176 (Sun - $8,049,037)

6) The Dark Knight Rises - $389,588,216 (Sun - $5,539,206)

7) Iron Man 3 - $367,407,116 (Sun - $6,645,022)

8) Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $358,485,761 (Sun - $6,251,803) 

9) Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen - $354,298,620 (Fri - $4,181,984)

10) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - $357,503,663 (Sun - $3,819,214)

11) Harry Potter 7b:  Deathly Hallows Part 2 - $343,086,045 (Sun - $4,235,921)

12) Toy Story 3 - $339,240,857 (Sun - $5,588,658)

13) Shrek 2 - $337,481,436 (Fri - $7,465,039)

14) The Hunger Games - $336,666,363 (Sun - $5,376,041)

15) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $327,531,977 (Sat - $6,268,941)

16) Spiderman - $326,334,752 (Sun - $9,952,935)

17) Furious 7 - $320,081,575 (Sun - $4,531,520)

18) Transformers: Dark of the Moon -

$317,369,164 (Fri - $3,579,714)

19) Spiderman 2 - $317,922,598 (Fri - $4,469,707) 

20) Spiderman 3 - $303,977,758 (Sun - $5,008,642) 

21) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $301,788,798 (Fri - $3,676,960)

 

22) Despicable Me 2 - $295,255,020 (Fri - $4,866,435)

23) Alice in Wonderland - $293,534,935 (Sun - $5,357,234)

24) Inside Out - $284,196,100 (Sun - $5,238,714)

25) Shrek The Third - $281,460,065 (Sun - $4,411,255)

26) American Sniper - $281,389,352 (Sun - $6,093,301)(1)

27) The Passion Of The Christ - $281,034,042 (Fri - $4,941,175)

28) Star Wars 1: TPM - $278,027,376 (Fri - $6,695,326)

29) The Hunger Games:  Mockingjay Part 1 - $276,884,991 (Sun - $3,215,453)

30) Iron Man 2 - $275,035,900 (Sun - $5,852,544)

31) The Twilight Saga:  Eclipse - $274,993,549 (Fri - $2,352,457)

32) Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End - $274,145,510 (Sun - $4,018,383)

33) Transformers - $273,034,005 (Thu - $2,312,491)

34) Lord Of The Rings: TT - $272,561,063 (Fri - $3,894,852)

35) Man of Steel - $271,188,450 (Sun - $3,248,714)

36) Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull - $271,155,355 (Sat - $5,620,795) 

37) The Twilight Saga:  Breaking Dawn Part 2 - $268,691,029 (Sun - $2,352,584)

38) Harry Potter 6:  HBP - $267,502,123 (Fri - $2,581,839)

39) The Twilight Saga:  New Moon - $267,320,977 (Sun - $2,081,408)
40) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - $263,834,893 (Sun - $4,744,023)

41) The Twilight Saga:  Breaking Dawn Part 1 - $259,402,669 (Sun - $1,965,014)

42) Harry Potter 7a:  Deathly Hallows Part 1 - $257,672,721 (Sun - $2,335,489)

43) Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $254,167,413 (Fri - $2,662,236) 

44) Iron Man - $252,614,669 (Sun - $7,111,285)

45) Guardians of the Galaxy - $251,456,069 (Sun - $4,902,775)

46) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $250,707,632 (Sat - $5,703,860) 

47) Skyfall - $245,585,083 (Sun - $4,045,608)

48) The Matrix: Reloaded - $245,143,156 (Sat - $3,981,565)

49) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $244,069,305 (Sun - $2,987,338)

50) Harry Potter 1: SS - $239,659,542 (Sun - $4,424,000)

51) Monsters University - $237,771,003 (Sun - $3,010,379)

52) The Amazing Spider-Man - $235,252,610 (Thu - $1,580,174)

53) The Hangover Part II - $230,331,745 (Sat - $4,047,494)

54) The Hobbit:  Battle of the Five Armies - $229,534,084 (Fri - $2,451,597)

55) The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug - $229,059,642 (Sun - $3,906,696)

56) I Am Legend - $228,055,662 (Sun - $3,684,930)

57) Inception - $227,637,569 (Sun - $5,570,626)

58) Transformers:  Age of Extinction - $227,002,608 (Sun - $2,965,636)

 

1)     Includes $3.4 million before wide release

·         Jurassic World roars as it crosses $550 million in a record 24 days, besting the old mark set by Marvel’s The Avengers set in 2012 by 7 days.

·         Avengers: Age of Ultron becomes the fifth fastest to pass $400 million on Day 24.

·         Crossing $300 million on Day 24: Iron Man, Spiderman 3 and Lord of the Rings: ROTK.

·         Crossing $250 million on Day 24:  Guardians of the Galaxy and Star Wars Episode II:  Attack of the Clones.

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Gopher Summer Tentpole

Gopher

Posted
Posted

Minions is the 3rd entry in a franchise and opened $25 million bigger than IO. Let's not pretend a bigger 2nd weekend drop than what IO managed would mean something bad.

 

If it can manage DM2's 2nd weekend drop (-47.4%) then it's going to have a great leggy run. Shrek the Third's 2nd weekend drop (-56.4%) would be problematic. 

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kowan Indie Sensation

kowan

Posted
Posted (edited)

Excellent hold for IO, it almost managed to sneak past JW for the weekend, the FRI-SUN splits are so interesting

 

FRI IO 5.469 JW 5.419

SAT IO 6.957 JW 7.432

SUN IO 5.238 JW 5.299

 

FRI and SUN they were less than 60K apart both days. once again Saturday was the difference maker for JW.

Since June 21st the totals by the 2 films are

IO 193,755,828

JW 187,889,530

 

it's amazing to me they have stayed that close for over 3 weeks now.

With Ant Man and Trainwrecked coming out next week it wouldn't surprise me to see IO jump ever so slightly ahead of JW next weekend as I could see those hitting JW just slightly harder.

Very impressive for both films.

 

IO will pass MI on tuesday and Up on either Wednesday or Thursday and cross $300M next weekend.

 

I have no love for Minions, but a very impressive opening. Looking forward to seeing how leggy it is. Don't mind it not passing S3 as why replace one weak animated film with another in the record book. At some point it will go down, just not quite yet i guess.

You sure you're counting that right? JW is over 226m+ since June 21st. You didn't include its monday to thursday gross in your calculation(June 22-25). You just counted the Sunday(June 21st) then added the next weeks totals skipping June 22nd to 25th in the process. If you add your number for JW to its gross from June 12-June 20 then the total would only be 552m+ which is not the case.

Edited by kowan
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