Monday's (12.January) Revenant 4.02 | SW 7 3.1 | DH 843k | Forest 658k | H8 589k | Sisters 544k | Big Short 506k

[baumer]

Again, these aren't good or bad numbers.  SW is playing like a family film and will have huge weekend grosses and Revenant is playing more like an adult skewing film.  

[Infernus]

5 minutes ago, Damianport1 said:

4 mln for Revenant. Is this great, good, mediocre? guys?

 

Really good, especially considering the soft sunday drop.

[WrathOfHan]

I have The Revenant dropping 40.5% this weekend but I think that might be a bit high.

[IronJimbo]

Hmm, looks like sws tfa won't even reach 900m. Can't say I didn't expect this.

[philippe08]

Tonight, Cameron knows he will retain power.

 

[terrestrial]

2 minutes ago, Baumer said:

Again, these aren't good or bad numbers.  SW is playing like a family film and will have huge weekend grosses and Revenant is playing more like an adult skewing film.  

It's still following ~ Fake's discovery of LotR 2 / TTT times 3 results

$1,070,000 TTT * 3 .... we will the actuals, when they'll arrive

 

Mindblowing IMHO

 

 

Concussion (2015)

$228,624

-67%

2,056

-785

$111

$31,176,269

[BadAtGender]

I haven't broken it out in a while, but I decided to look at TFA through my KISS weekly box office projector. Short explanation, it just looks at the last full week (so, running through last Thursday) and applies a constant percentage drop from there on out for four months. Then you can figure out what percentage drops it needs for a given benchmark.

 

Under this, after the 118.4m week it had, it would need a sustained 34% drop each week to hit 1b. At 35% it comes up about $10m short. $950m happens with 39% drops. $925m with 43% drops. And $900m needs 47% drops.

 

However, we already know the weekend and the Monday number, so we're probably looking at a new full week (ending this Thursday) in the $54-55m range, a drop of about 54%. Plugging that in instead and the thresholds raise dramatically. Now it needs 23% drops to hit $1b, 30% drops to hit $950m. 35% drops for $925m. And 42% drops for $900m.

 

It's a deliberately stupid projection system. It makes no account for calendar issues like holidays. While this week's drop is going to be big, next week's should be quite solid, because Monday will be much bigger than yesterday's $3m, and Sunday could also see a bit of a bump. 

[Dan9]

It will easily reach 900m... 

[terrestrial]

Point Break (2015)

$166,135

-71%

1,981

-929

$84

$26,923,164

Creed

$125,339

-65%

1,001

-374

$125

$105,731,093

Spectre

$32,596

-68%

379

48

$86

$198,532,644

 

[Empire]

6 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Hmm, looks like sws tfa won't even reach 900m. Can't say I didn't expect this.

It will most definitely reach 900M. 

[DAJK]

6 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Hmm, looks like sws tfa won't even reach 900m. Can't say I didn't expect this.

It will easily reach 900. 950 though is probably out of the question now though.

[terrestrial]

Did I already post the Martian? Not sure...

The Martian

$40,423

-56%

271

-11

$149

$226,527,358

Brooklyn

$91,203

-67%

294

9

$310

$22,530,484

 

In the Heart of the Sea

$17,174

-63%

222

-311

$77

$24,200,259

The 33

$3,481

-71%

82

-29

$42

$12,192,123

 

 

[XXR vs XXR]

10 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Hmm, looks like sws tfa won't even reach 900m. Can't say I didn't expect this.

 

Huh? Yes it will lol

It will be at $850 million by Sunday and $900 million by February 1st.

[terrestrial]

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice

THE HATEFUL EIGHT took in $0.590M on Monday and has grossed $42.11M to date domestically. #TheHatefulEight

[Poseidon]

That Drop for "The Revenant" doesn't look special at all.
In 2014, "American Hustle managed a sub 50% drop, but that one was out for longer already.

The best comparison should be "Zero Dark thirty" in 2013, that went wide the same weekend and had a 62% drop on monday without winning Best Picture.

[terrestrial]

Daddy's Home

$843,731

-79%

3,483

141

$242

$117,172,772

The Big Short

$506,381

-67%

2,529

941

$200

$43,230,721

Anomalisa

$19,385

-66%

17

13

$1,140

$505,461

 

The Hateful Eight

$589,522

-65%

2,938

464

$201

$42,114,529

Carol

$149,397

-63%

525

336

$285

$7,153,755

 

[MonstersandRoy]

18 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Hmm, looks like sws tfa won't even reach 900m. Can't say I didn't expect this.

No it doesn't look that way. There is nothing strangely low about TFA's Monday. 

 

I thought Revenant would have had an even better number after sweeping up at GG night before.

Edited January 12, 2016 by MonstersandRoy

[redfirebird2008]

15 minutes ago, DamienRoc said:

I haven't broken it out in a while, but I decided to look at TFA through my KISS weekly box office projector. Short explanation, it just looks at the last full week (so, running through last Thursday) and applies a constant percentage drop from there on out for four months. Then you can figure out what percentage drops it needs for a given benchmark.

 

Under this, after the 118.4m week it had, it would need a sustained 34% drop each week to hit 1b. At 35% it comes up about $10m short. $950m happens with 39% drops. $925m with 43% drops. And $900m needs 47% drops.

 

However, we already know the weekend and the Monday number, so we're probably looking at a new full week (ending this Thursday) in the $54-55m range, a drop of about 54%. Plugging that in instead and the thresholds raise dramatically. Now it needs 23% drops to hit $1b, 30% drops to hit $950m. 35% drops for $925m. And 42% drops for $900m.

 

It's a deliberately stupid projection system. It makes no account for calendar issues like holidays. While this week's drop is going to be big, next week's should be quite solid, because Monday will be much bigger than yesterday's $3m, and Sunday could also see a bit of a bump. 

 

Good post. 930-940 sounds about right.

[junkshop36]

17 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Hmm, looks like sws tfa won't even reach 900m. Can't say I didn't expect this.

 

You're funny and obviously trolling lol

[Kalo]

10 minutes ago, DAJK said:

It will easily reach 900. 950 though is probably out of the question now though.

 

According to my calculations, which is based off of how it's preformed so far. and how I expect  it to perform in the coming weeks. It's should end its run right around $930m. which is absolutely insane, who cares if it doesn't hit $1b. it's all icing on cake at this point.