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Best Picture predictions-2016!

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23 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

So apparently Allied still has another month left of shooting and it's supposed to be out for Thanksgiving, I don't know if they can finish it in five months of post.

 

 

I see no reason why it can't make it.

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27 minutes ago, tribefan695 said:

May be kinda slight for the academy but Love and Friendship got a wide expansion and critics are raving about it 

Kate Beckinsale could potentially get in depending how hard the push is

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Same thing happened with Mud (also same distributor, same time of year) but that didn't get it anywhere. Optimistically I'd predict an Adapted Screenplay nom for Stillman (who is known and was nominated before) and a Globe nom for Beckinsale, but I'd be pleasantly shocked if it went any further. 

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I could see Love and Friendshup picking up a couple noms considering how weak the early race is. Things will pop up, but for right now -- jeez. 

 

I'd say it could score these noms in order of likeliness--

Costume Design

Adapted Screenplay (I think writers could really geek out about this.)

Production Design

Best Actress-Beckinsale (Could win the comedy globe.)

Best Supporting Actor-Bennett 

Best Picture

 

Kate and the costumes will probably be on my personal ballot. 

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On 5/17/2016 at 3:08 AM, WrathOfHan said:

Reviews on Loving on good but not through the roof. It'll be safe for a nomination in Actress and maybe Actor depending on the competition. New BP predictions:

 

Allied

Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk

Birth of a Nation

Fences

La La Land

Light Between Oceans

Machester by the Sea

Silence

Story of Your Life

Sully

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2543164/?ref_=fn_al_tt_1

Story of your Life is now 'arrival'

 

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Here's a list of potential contenders that will be at TIFF:

 

Loving

Birth of a Nation

La La Land

Arrival

American Honey

A United Kingdom

LBJ

Nocturnal Animals

Manchester-By-The-Sea

Bleed for This

American Pastoral

 

And probably quite a few more.

 

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9 hours ago, Spaghetti said:

Here's a list of potential contenders that will be at TIFF:

 

Loving

Birth of a Nation

La La Land

Arrival

American Honey

A United Kingdom

LBJ

Nocturnal Animals

Manchester-By-The-Sea

Bleed for This

American Pastoral

 

And probably quite a few more.

 

You forgot one juggernaut.

 

Spoiler

Illumination animation's Sing.

 

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Little Men is currently getting amazing reviews. But will it be a contender?

 

Personally, I think it's got a shot at being like Boyhood. It's not as praised by any means, but it's certainly lauded nonetheless, so a great movie with a similar theme could hit the mark. Maybe.

 

(I just realized I'm like a conversation starter. Is that okay?)

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5 hours ago, slambros said:

Little Men is currently getting amazing reviews. But will it be a contender?

 

Personally, I think it's got a shot at being like Boyhood. It's not as praised by any means, but it's certainly lauded nonetheless, so a great movie with a similar theme could hit the mark. Maybe.

 

(I just realized I'm like a conversation starter. Is that okay?)

I doubt that Little Men is going to be an awards contender. None of Ira Sachs' other movies made a big impact.

 

The problem is that it's not Oscar season yet. Come back in about 3 months, and I'm sure this part of the site will be busy.

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On 8/2/2016 at 10:25 PM, slambros said:

Little Men is currently getting amazing reviews. But will it be a contender?

 

Personally, I think it's got a shot at being like Boyhood. It's not as praised by any means, but it's certainly lauded nonetheless, so a great movie with a similar theme could hit the mark. Maybe.

 

(I just realized I'm like a conversation starter. Is that okay?)

 

Original Screenplay at best. Indie movies like Little Men hardly make a dent at the Oscars outside of the writing categories.

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My first (real) guesses for the Top 10 right now:

 

Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk

The Birth of a Nation

Fences

La La Land

Live by Night (if WB decides on a December platform release)

Loving

Manchester by the Sea

Moonlight

Silence

20th Century Women

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