Stewart Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, peludo said: 8 pages during last 5 hours in a presales foreign market thread... Before becoming mad with 5-day predictions let's remember again that we are not talking about an usual weekend. Sunday is a working day. In fact and if I remember well, just Saturday is not a working day (please, correct me If I am wrong). But it is undeniable that numbers for midnights and OD are astonishing. First 3b Yuan foreign film? Yes just Saturday. This is why I think people need to be more cautious with predictions. Sunday is a work day, acting like a Monday Therefore Saturday will act like a Sunday But Friday is still Friday. So overall we basically lose Saturday, meaning I don't think these $300m guesses are even possible. IW did $77m on Saturday last year, for a 3-day of $200m. Monday was $17m. I see the FSS this year being more like 200 - 77 + 25 = $148m (remember the ER is worse). So for $300m EG needs to exceed IW without a Saturday, AND do like $125m at least on the first two days. I just don't see it. I see (realistic / generous) MN - ¥100m W - ¥400m T - ¥200m (full blown workday) F - ¥300m S - ¥350m (IW Sun 330) S - ¥200m (workday) So a 5 day of ¥1550m = $231m With Sunday being a workday we are really limited. If this was a normal weekend then I could see $300m being possible. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 (edited) wanda started ps ripping again and then... maoyan froze Edited April 12, 2019 by POTUS 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlitheringEdiot Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 57 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said: Every franchise eventually experiences their "The Phantom Menace". Yes, we call it Thor : The Dark World Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 In 6 hours only, Avengers: Endgame has sold more than one million tickets in pre-sale, which is unprecedented in Chinese film market. Meanwhile, Endgame already match the first 120 hours achievement of what Infinity War did in advance ticket sale. More for Endgame: - outperform the final pre-sale of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.2 in the past 6 hours. - will beat the final pre-sale of films like Spider-Man: Homecoming, Ant-Man and the Wasp, Black Panther in the next 6 hours. - could surpass the final pre-sale of films like Captain America: Civil War, Captain Marvel, Avengers: Age of Ultron in the first 24 hours. - is targeting the pre-sale record of Avengers: Infinity War. 12 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 Crossed million tickets in pre-sales. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, feasby007 said: Yes just Saturday. This is why I think people need to be more cautious with predictions. Sunday is a work day, acting like a Monday Therefore Saturday will act like a Sunday But Friday is still Friday. So overall we basically lose Saturday, meaning I don't think these $300m guesses are even possible. IW did $77m on Saturday last year, for a 3-day of $200m. Monday was $17m. I see the FSS this year being more like 200 - 77 + 25 = $148m (remember the ER is worse). So for $300m EG needs to exceed IW without a Saturday, AND do like $125m at least on the first two days. I just don't see it. I see (realistic / generous) MN - ¥100m W - ¥400m T - ¥200m (full blown workday) F - ¥300m S - ¥350m (IW Sun 330) S - ¥200m (workday) So a 5 day of ¥1550m = $231m With Sunday being a workday we are really limited. If this was a normal weekend then I could see $300m being possible. I agree with you.. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 1 minute ago, fabiopazzo2 said: I agree with you.. I feel people are either forgetting / underestimating the effect Sunday being a full workday will have. I don't think you're being pessimistic for once, only realistic Also when this gets just a 1.5x PSm people are going to start freaking, but I fully expect it at this point. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rishijoesanu Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 Maoyan not moving for me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 1 minute ago, rishijoesanu said: Maoyan not moving for me Me neither. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 1 hour ago, rishijoesanu said: Is this trolling? I'm contemplating $300M 5 days here. Am I missing something? He is not trolling, after last years ups and downs he is cautious. OW is also depending on the rating, as no one has seen anything yet how to guess those? A lot seem to forget those points as well: 32 minutes ago, peludo said: Before becoming mad with 5-day predictions let's remember again that we are not talking about an usual weekend. Sunday is a working day. In fact and if I remember well, just Saturday is not a working day ... 17 minutes ago, feasby007 said: Yes just Saturday. This is why I think people need to be more cautious with predictions. Sunday is a work day, acting like a Monday Therefore Saturday will act like a Sunday But Friday is still Friday. So overall we basically lose Saturday, meaning I don't think these $300m guesses are even possible. IW did $77m on Saturday last year, for a 3-day of $200m. Monday was $17m. I see the FSS this year being more like 200 - 77 + 25 = $148m (remember the ER is worse). So for $300m EG needs to exceed IW without a Saturday, AND do like $125m at least on the first two days. I just don't see it. I see (realistic / generous) MN - ¥100m W - ¥400m T - ¥200m (full blown workday) F - ¥300m S - ¥350m (IW Sun 330) S - ¥200m (workday) So a 5 day of ¥1550m = $231m With Sunday being a workday we are really limited. If this was a normal weekend then I could see $300m being possible. 3 minutes ago, feasby007 said: I feel people are either forgetting / underestimating the effect Sunday being a full workday will have. I don't think you're being pessimistic for once, only realistic Also when this gets just a 1.5x PSm people are going to start freaking, but I fully expect it at this point. Better cautious than the same (or even worse) hysteria / crushed moods / whatever than last year! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 I have good news everyone, I can personally tell you it will make atleast $9.7m on it's 5-day OW (unless people start demanding refunds). So every prediction below $9.7m is trolling 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 I knew I would wake up to good news 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 12, 2019 Author Share Posted April 12, 2019 Wanda APP crashes.. 1 5 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Olive said: Wanda APP crashes.. Now it sound like Endgame booking. Only thing that was missing today. Now it's done. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, Olive said: Wanda APP crashes.. And they had 6 more hours to burn off some demand. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 Calling it now, this will double the FF8 midnight record Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 Iron Man did $15m in China. Endgame can reach that amount 11 days before its release (I guess it will do tomorrow)... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 (edited) 18 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: Calling it now, this will double the FF8 midnight record Possible. No biggie. It all depend on shows the film will have. The possibility for shows is around 50k or more, FF8 or AIW had barely 19k. Pace of pre-sales and no big films, if it manage say, 40k shows, it may even do 2.5x or more Edited April 12, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 (edited) 17 minutes ago, peludo said: Iron Man did $15m in China. Endgame can reach that amount 11 days before its release (I guess it will do tomorrow)... Today itself, its already $10mn and Maoyan is Frozen since Wanda opened. A big jump coming. 😛 Edited April 12, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XO21 Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 Sites crashing all over the world..a true global event 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
