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CJohn

BATMAN V SUPERMAN WEEKEND THREAD | 166.01M OW, New March OW Record. 420.4M WW OW.

By CJohn, in Numbers and Data

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MrPink Global Phenomenon

MrPink

Posted
Posted
Just now, AdamKendall said:

If they do a good enough job selling Joker and the Squad in marketing over the next few months, they should hide Batman.  He's only been seen for a brief second in the Comic Con first look, but we've heard he has at least a bit more than that in the film, so would be cool to keep that as a surprise for the film for the 'general audience'.

 

BUT, it's Batman ... they won't be able to help themselves.

 

He probably only has two scenes in the movie, I really would prefer they don't.

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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

Posted
Posted (edited)

Fudging applies to actuals only. Estimates are by definition open to correction. WB can be predicting an optimistic Sunday for the headlines before the estimates are revised downwards but that is not what fudging is. Fudging is changing the real data that will come in on Monday. Before they look at the real data (officially), they are just predicting the Sunday with the condition that it's open to correction.

 

For example when Paramount released the estimated ow of TF4 as 100m, at that point it did not qualify as a fudge. But once on Monday the real numbers came in and then they used the wrong number, it was fudging. And we know that only cause Rth has access to the correct number and shared it with us.

 

So if BvS actuals come in at 170m+ and Rth tells us that the real number was smaller than actuals, we will call it a fudge. But estimates can be right or wrong, not fudgy. Once you modify the real data, fudge is in.

 

Edited by a2knet
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ZattMurdock Global Phenomenon

ZattMurdock

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, AdamKendall said:

If they do a good enough job selling Joker and the Squad in marketing over the next few months, they should hide Batman.  He's only been seen for a brief second in the Comic Con first look, but we've heard he has at least a bit more than that in the film, so would be cool to keep that as a surprise for the film for the 'general audience'.

 

BUT, it's Batman ... they won't be able to help themselves.

It's Batman. They would be stupid to hide him. Even if it's just a glorified cameo like Wonder Woman in BvS.

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VGPOP Sleeper Hit

VGPOP

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, a2knet said:

Fudging applies to actuals only. Estimates are by definition open to correction. WB can be predicting an optimistic Sunday for the headlines before the estimates are revised downwards but that is not what fudging is. Fudging is changing the real data that will come in on Monday. Before they look at the real data (officially), they are just predicting the Sunday with the condition that it's open to correction.

 

For example when Paramount released the estimated ow of TF4 as 100m, at that point it did not qualify as a fudge. But once on Monday the real numbers came in and then they used the wrong number, it was fudging. And know that only cause Rth has access to the correct number and shared it with us.

 

So if WB's actuals some in 170m+ and Rth tells us that the real number was smaller than actuals, we will call it a fudge. But estimates can be right or wrong, not fudgy. Once you modify the real actual data, fudge is in.

Give this man a medal.

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grey ghost Global Phenomenon

grey ghost

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Elessar said:

 

Sure, since it's so close they might as well put out estimates that put it over a certain threshold. I think every studio would have done that. But it's not an unreasonable number, actuals might turn out to be lower, or not.

 

WB probably knew they were going to release the 170 m estimate since Saturday afternoon.

 

They don't care what the Sunday drop will most likely be.

 

They'd be stupid not to take the "biggest OW in WB history" headline.

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TheMovieman Box Office Gold

TheMovieman

Posted
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16 minutes ago, CJohn said:

I got the most majestic trailer line-up ever last night when I saw BvS for the 2nd time: SUICIDE SQUAD, CIVIL WAR and APOCALYPSE.

 

Lmao

 

I got those as well along with the not-so-majestic The Legend of Tarzan.

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Lordmandeep Global Phenomenon

Lordmandeep

Posted
Posted (edited)

Results of Weekends:

 

Fans:

- Big Opening and solid boxoffice everywhere leading to a large total. 

- Reaction from audiences much better then critics

 

Detractors:

- Critics trashed the movie

- Audience score heading well below MOS already

 

 

Edited by Lordmandeep
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CJohn Cinematic Universe

CJohn

Posted
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Posted
1 minute ago, Jake Gittes said:

Fuck all that BVS noise. Check out Spectre deciding that it's not done yet and going after Superman Returns' total now. That's the story of the weekend

IT INCREASED!!!!

 

Sony is just trolling at this point. 

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Sam Global Phenomenon

Sam

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Jake Gittes said:

Fuck all that BVS noise. Check out Spectre deciding that it's not done yet and going after Superman Returns' total now. That's the story of the weekend

Lol, I just caught on to that epicness recently. Most hilarious last minute BO run in a long while.

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