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Thursday #s - (Asgard2) R1 16.8m, Sing 15.3m

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So Passengers will finish the holidays with around $60M and then earn another $30M or so to finish its domestic run short of $100M. 

 

Only the biggest movie stars of our time. 

 

Tom Cruise who? 

 

Julia Roberts who? 

 

Sandra Bullock who? 

Tom Hanks who? 

EVERYONE pouring into the theaters to watch the "sexy" JLaw and CPratt, aka the biggest movie stars of our time. 

 

mj-laughing.gif

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3 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

So Passengers will finish the holidays with around $60M and then earn another $30M or so to finish its domestic run short of $100M. 

 

Only the biggest movie stars of our time. 

 

Tom Cruise who? 

 

Julia Roberts who? 

 

Sandra Bullock who? 

Tom Hanks who? 

EVERYONE pouring into the theaters to watch the "sexy" JLaw and CPratt, aka the biggest movie stars of our time. 

 

mj-laughing.gif

 

Considering the movie got piss poor reviews and had shitty marketing, the fact that their movie sold solely on them might make 90M-120M (depending on legs) is fantastic.

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5 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

Considering the movie got piss poor reviews and had shitty marketing, the fact that their movie sold solely on them might make 90M-120M (depending on legs) is fantastic.

 

Indeed. If I'm not mistaken, Passengers will easily become the highest grossing romance film of the year. And a sci-fi romance at that. Given the poor reviews and the state of the genre, I don't think the performance is that bad. In fact I believe the leads carried this quite far all things considered.

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36 minutes ago, PPZVGOS said:

 

It has still managed to grow a tiny bit this year, but nothing like the previous 5. It will take significantly longer for the Chinese BO to overtake the North American one, but it will happen within the next few years, it's inevitable, their market is far from being saturated. The government has stopped subsidizing ticket sales and also prohibited distributors from buying their own tickets in order to make every movie appear as a major hit, hence why the growth rate stalled in 2016. Growth will definitely resume in the coming years. 

Growth was up 4% in local currency, down 1.5% in dollars. they hit their saturation point.  BO is limited by GDP as shown below. SK is on top as it has a much higher GDP/ppp than its GDP/nom and has a high urban population.  The lower the urban rate the smaller the BO/GDP ratio. China is at the upper end of established markets with high urbanization. So its likely to drop as reflected in the March to date loss of 10% YoY now that the novelty is wearing off(moviegoing new to many people in the last 5 years, same happened in US after 1930s).  Passing domestic will be no sooner than 2030 IMO. I made this call 18 months ago while the BO was up 50% YoY in June 2015 and everyone was saying it would pass domestic by 2017-18.  2017 will drop to 6.5b.  Its acting very much like a stock market or real estate bubble. Same curve.

 

  GDP (000) GDP Growth BO (000) BO Growth BO/GDP Urban %
South Korea 1,400,000   1,600   0.114% 82
Australia 1,450,000   1,000   0.069% 89
Mexico 1,280,000   870   0.068% 79
China 2016 10,700,000 +4.5% 6,700 -+1% 0.063% 57
France 2,850,000   1,800   0.063% 79
China 2015 10,800,000 +5.0% 6,800 +42% 0.063% 56
Russia 1,326,000   796   0.060% 74
UK 3,050,000   1,700   0.056% 82
Dom 2016 20,000,000   11,000   0.055% 81
Spain 1,400,000   700   0.050% 77
China 2014 10,400,000 +5.8% 4,800 +41% 0.046% 55
Japan 4,600,000   2,000   0.043% 92
Italy 2,150,000   800   0.037% 67
China 2013 9,500,000 +12.0% 3,400 +32% 0.036% 54
Brazil 2,350,000   800   0.034% 80
Germany 3,850,000   1,300   0.034% 69
China 2012 8,500,000 +12.0% 2,600 +34% 0.031% 53
China 2011 7,500,000 +15.0% 1,900 +33% 0.025% 52
             
Average 5,728,111   2,809   0.053% 71

 

 

 

 

 

 

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7 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

Considering the movie got piss poor reviews and had shitty marketing, the fact that their movie sold solely on them might make 90M-120M (depending on legs) is fantastic.

Tom Cruise and Tom Hanks had flops in October lmao, but that doesn't count I guess.

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1 minute ago, That One Guy said:

 

Considering the movie got piss poor reviews and had shitty marketing, the fact that their movie sold solely on them might make 90M-120M (depending on legs) is fantastic.

 

Shitty marketing or not there was a lot of it and it was expensive in addition to the $110m+ budget.  This wasn't some under the radar under promoted indie just getting along on star power.

 

The movie would probably have made been more successful for the studio being a $35-40m vehicle for Keanu Reeves & Rachel McAdams/Emily Blunt

 

 

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2 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Shitty marketing or not there was a lot of it and it was expensive in addition to the $110m+ budget.  This wasn't some under the radar under promoted indie just getting along on star power.

 

The movie would probably have made been more successful for the studio being a $35-40m vehicle for Keanu Reeves & Rachel McAdams/Emily Blunt

 

 

 

I'm not saying the movie was a financial success, but all things considered, it did wonders just off of its two leads.

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