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GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY II | 473.9 M overseas ● 863.8 M worldwide

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7 minutes ago, Mockingjay Raphael said:

I'm really curious to know if FilmBugg still believe that $550m OS is locked?

 

My $480m prediction of last week seems to be actually optimistic, if it follows the same trajectory of Civil War DOM, it may miss $800m at all. Shocking. 

 

 

 

it is not locked and it is likely to miss it

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1 hour ago, Mockingjay Raphael said:

I'm really curious to know if FilmBugg still believe that $550m OS is locked?

 

My $480m prediction of last week seems to be actually optimistic, if it follows the same trajectory of Civil War DOM, it may miss $800m at all. Shocking. 

 

It's filmbuff.

 

I see spelling isn't your strong suit.

 

You don't have to 'educate' me on the box office. I've been posting on these bom-like forums since like 2008. I'm well aware of how mcu films have played out at the box-office.

 

 

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In holds, GOTG2 saw slight dips in Finland (-20%), Switzerland (-30%), France (-37%), Chile (-39%), the Netherlands (-43%), Australia (-43%), Bolivia (-43%), Brazil (-44%) and Venezuela (-45%). Overall when looking at last weekend’s openers, the drop-off was 52%. That’s slightly ahead of Captain America: Civil War which dropped 55% for the same suite of markets in weekend 2.

Across Europe, the fall was 47% versus Civil War’s 59%. The movie held No. 1 everywhere except the Netherlands, Portugal, Turkey and Lebanon. The UK/Ireland, Germany and France are all tracking ahead of Civil War at the same point in releases.

 

From DHD. Guardians is holding slightly better in Europe. I'll do a prediction later.

Edited by YourMother
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26 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

That's because he hated the movie. He gave it an F. 

 

A DC-guy like him always badmouths almost all Marvel-films and their box office performance. Typhical biased much?

 

With that said though....i don't think his so called "anecdotal evidence" makes sense.

 

Youre exactly right. I'm putting these three on ignore. I'm tired of their antics.

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3 minutes ago, FilmBuff said:

You don't have to 'educate' me on the box office. I've been posting on these bom-like forums since like 2008. I'm well aware of how mcu films have played out at the box-office.

After 9 years and you keep making biased predictions based on your tastes?

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Okay top 6 markets:

US: $350M (+$17M from 1)

China: $100M (+$4M from 1)

UK: $50M (+$3M from 1)

Korea: $30M (+$20M from 1)

AUS: $25M (+$2M from 1)

Germany: $25M (+$600K from 1)

$575M from top 6 (compared to $546M from V1)

If V1 same multiple (Top 6 Markets/WW) you get about $813M

Edited by YourMother
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its easy to extrapolate from this weekend.

 

China will do x2. Russia/India will also do similar (may be slightly less). Other markets take out small ones should be leggy. Only Japan is left to open. Definitely sub 500m. Its not a bad number considering $ has appreciated significantly in quite a few markets( Pound and Euro cratered). Guardians is not that popular in Latin America unlike Iron Man/Avengers. Asia also its mid tier rather than uber BB territory. It has grown nicely in korea( I am thinking 3M+ admissions). But last one released in 2nd weekend of Roaring Currents and got crushed( In India we are seeing something similar with Guardians getting crushed by Bahubali 2).

 

Overall gross close to 500m is fantastic.

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365 Dom + 95 Ch = 460

So it needs 340 OS-Ch for 800 WW.

 

Considering GOTG1 did 334 OS-Ch, that should be a walk in the park going by the rise in admissions, but exchange rates are playing spoil sport I believe?

 

I think even on the high-end,

370 Dom + 100 Ch + 355 OS-Ch = 825 WW

 

On the low-end,

350 Dom + 90 Ch + 335 OS-Ch = 775 WW

 

800, between those two figures, is a realistic target. I expect 800-810 WW.

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Won't be surprised if no CBM crosses 850 WW this year.

HomC at 260 dom + 150 Ch + 430 OS-Ch = 840 WW

GOTG2 at 810

JL around 775

Thor3 around 750

WWOM around 675

Edited by a2knet
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3 hours ago, a2knet said:

Won't be surprised if no CBM crosses 850 WW this year.

HomC at 260 dom + 150 Ch + 430 OS-Ch = 840 WW

GOTG2 at 810

JL around 775

Thor3 around 750

WWOM around 675

If JL is good, it could make 1B. 

But it's a big IF.

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46 minutes ago, John Marston said:

While domestic numbers will be great, international gross looks to be average 

Exchange Rates is the guilty.

 

The film increased a lot in a lot of countries in local currency.

 

Pass the 1st one is already a win considering that!

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18 hours ago, ThomasNicole said:

Exchange Rates is the guilty.

 

The film increased a lot in a lot of countries in local currency.

 

Pass the 1st one is already a win considering that!

 

Then again you have three years of inflation. That is significant in the US (GotG1 adjusts from $334M to $364M), and even more so in many countries.

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