Stewart Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 8 minutes ago, Fullbuster said: Wait what?? Yep, should do at least $150m+ with a very likely upto $180m. Total will likely be $250m at most though, very short legs because of upfront demand like FF8 ($200m OW and $395m total with good wom) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, feasby007 said: Yep, should do at least $150m+ with a very likely upto $180m. Total will likely be $250m at most though, very short legs because of upfront demand like FF8 ($200m OW and $395m total with good wom) I'd be totally ok with that, for a comicbook movie that's pretty huge! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 12 minutes ago, Fullbuster said: Wait what?? I think is impossible for Avengers. Is not Fast and furious but we will see Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said: I think is impossible for Avengers. Is not Fast and furious but we will see You're right, it is 1000% better than Fast&Furious will ever be 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Impossible Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 Whoops sorry guys I thought the China release was this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 Predictions on second weekend drop in the OS markets? Labor Day May 1st falling on Tuesday will help weekdays numbers but gonna make the 2nd weekend drop look worse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PanaMovie Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 21 minutes ago, Sam said: Predictions on second weekend drop in the OS markets? Labor Day May 1st falling on Tuesday will help weekdays numbers but gonna make the 2nd weekend drop look worse. I'm thinking OW DOM - 220M OW OS - 265M OW WW - 485M so #3 WW opening weekend and over 55% drop the second weekend with labor day on tuesday 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 3 hours ago, Fullbuster said: Wait what?? Could happen with 9,0+ on maoyan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 51 minutes ago, fmpro said: Could happen with 9,0+ on maoyan I was surprised because China isn't really friendly to comicbook movies as a whole...they're just doing fine enough but nothing big. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 Rank Title Studio Worldwide Opening Domestic Opening / % Overseas Opening / % Year 1 The Fate of the Furious Uni. $541.9 $98.8 18.2% $443.2 81.8% 2017 2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $529.0 $248.0 46.9% $281.0 53.1% 2015 3 Jurassic World Uni. $525.5 $208.8 39.7% $316.7 60.3% 2015 4 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 WB $483.2 $169.2 35.0% $314.0 65.0% 2011 5 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $450.8 $220.0 48.8% $230.8 51.2% 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 A bit of a shame Disney couldn't secure the same opening date for China. IW would have taken the WW opening record by a huge margin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 43 minutes ago, MattW said: Rank Title Studio Worldwide Opening Domestic Opening / % Overseas Opening / % Year 1 The Fate of the Furious Uni. $541.9 $98.8 18.2% $443.2 81.8% 2017 2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $529.0 $248.0 46.9% $281.0 53.1% 2015 3 Jurassic World Uni. $525.5 $208.8 39.7% $316.7 60.3% 2015 4 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 WB $483.2 $169.2 35.0% $314.0 65.0% 2011 5 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $450.8 $220.0 48.8% $230.8 51.2% 2017 Very strong chance at #4 WW opening. But without China, I’m hard pressed to say it can get to #3 or higher. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 7 hours ago, Fullbuster said: I was surprised because China isn't really friendly to comicbook movies as a whole...they're just doing fine enough but nothing big. Its The Avengers. Its also huge there.. But it needs good/great WOM to get over 2*OW in total 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookieleeann Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 Not gonna lie I would be a little disappointed if this doesn't break 1b OS. If this movie can't do it then I don't see any future mcu movie doing it...atleast anytime soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 11 minutes ago, cookieleeann said: Not gonna lie I would be a little disappointed if this doesn't break 1b OS. If this movie can't do it then I don't see any future mcu movie doing it...atleast anytime soon. How about Avengers 4 next year? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookieleeann Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 1 minute ago, UserHN said: How about Avengers 4 next year? I'm not so sure about that. Hopefully I'm wrong though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 (edited) 1 hour ago, UserHN said: How about Avengers 4 next year? 1 hour ago, cookieleeann said: I'm not so sure about that. Hopefully I'm wrong though If exchange rates improve in Latin America by next year (which seems likely from what I see) then it's a possibility if you combine it with bigger Asian markets. Edited April 22, 2018 by Fullbuster Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 Don't think 1B will be a problem. I will go over that, the question is how much? 25m, 50m, 100m? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 8 hours ago, KP1025 said: A bit of a shame Disney couldn't secure the same opening date for China. IW would have taken the WW opening record by a huge margin. That's why it's important for Disney to expand in China in many fields, that's a way to gain influence and avoid being dampened by bureaucracy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 16 hours ago, Fullbuster said: I'd be totally ok with that, for a comicbook movie that's pretty huge! Not too far from Ultron's figures. In China, openings are becoming bigger and legs lower. Ultron opened to $155m and finished with $240m. The difference is that Ultron had a 6-day OW (Tuesday-Sunday) and IW is having a 3-day OW. But at the end, the result would be the same. Unless IW explodes, SH genre has been pretty stable in China along last 4 years: 200-250 for Avengers films (I include Civil War here) and 100-125 for the rest of films. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...