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grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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Poseidon Box Office Gold

Poseidon

Posted
Posted
45 minutes ago, YourMother said:

New Line/Warner Bros.’ It came on tracking in a very strong way with predictions that are akin to a summer blockbuster. However, taking into context the fall marketplace and the time of year, analysts are simmering them to on the low end $50M, and on the high end $60M.

 

 

From DHD

 

The fall market is not weak. That's what studios, for whatever reason, still try to tell us. Every time is the right time, if you open a movie, people want to see. 

 

When will they finally stop to create that self-fulfilling prophecy? They rather stuff the so called blockbuster season with more movies, people can pay for and then leave them hanging with material, they hate themselves, in certain months. 

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TalismanRing Global Phenomenon

TalismanRing

Posted
Posted
13 minutes ago, Nova said:

At 11:35 on Pulse 

 

1. THB 

2. Annabelle 

3. Emoji 

4. Nut Job 

5. DM3 

 

THB is at 25 sets of tickets a minute. 

 

Didnt count LL but I don't know why it's not in the top 5 because it's selling okay 

 

It must have really picked up since an hour ago it did 50 sales over 10 minutes

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Nova Global Phenomenon

Nova

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Posted
Just now, TalismanRing said:

 

It must have really picked up since an hour ago it did 50 sales over 10 minutes

It did. I checked around 10AM and it was at number 3 and selling slowly. 

 

But thats the thing with Pulse. You could check for half an hour and it be slow for a movie and then check an hour later and it pick up haha 

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Poseidon said:

The fall market is not weak. That's what studios, for whatever reason, still try to tell us. Every time is the right time, if you open a movie, people want to see. 

 

When will they finally stop to create that self-fulfilling prophecy? They rather stuff the so called blockbuster season with more movies, people can pay for and then leave them hanging with material, they hate themselves, in certain months. 

IT is opening on the post Labor Day weekend frame, so yes, it is following what is historically a slow time of year (and always will be, Don't Breathe last year was a fluke).

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Barnack Global Phenomenon

Barnack

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Posted (edited)
16 minutes ago, Poseidon said:

When will they finally stop to create that self-fulfilling prophecy? They rather stuff the so called blockbuster season with more movies, people can pay for and then leave them hanging with material, they hate themselves, in certain months. 

When fear will go down (lower cost or other revenue source boosting margin).

 

Right now, so much is in stake, movie slate are becoming with so many less entry, that they really want to have comparable to point out after the movie fail if it fail to keep their jobs, similar movie at similar date, IP marketing numbers, anything. Opening a good budget movie without being able to compare to an recent equivalent is just too much for most right now.


 

Quote

 

Every time is the right time, if you open a movie, people want to see. 

 

 

 

That is a bit of a trivial circular argument, and start with the answer that people do not want to see different type of movie during summer weekdays than christmas season, than fall season, etc...

 

There is so many time people point out a movie didn't open at the right time or too fast, etc... after they fail, there is probably some timing and competition involved. There is better weekend than others imo (Christmas, july summers, award season that studio have a good reason to fight for them and depend on the movie)


August do feel like a self-fulfilling prophecy a lot.

Edited by Barnack
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HenryMeyers20 Straight-to-DVD

HenryMeyers20

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Posted

Don't be fooled by Logan Lucky's weak pre-sale numbers. It's marketing is focused on rural areas where online ticket tracking misses. Plus people in these areas buy tickets at the theater, because they don't like to buy tickets online. Looking at fandango pulse all the ticket buying are mostly all are in the bigger cities. 

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Hiccup23 Box Office Gold

Hiccup23

Posted
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Logan Lucky 29 234 12.4%
Hit Man's Bodyguard 126 1,138 11.1%

 

Logan Lucky is picking up nicely. I am still seeing a sub 500K preview though. It is still 4 hours til the first showing so things might change.

 

HMB is doing very well. It is currently out-pacing Atomic Blonde but still behind Dark Tower. I am expecting a preview number right between them (1.7M). 

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted (edited)
Just now, CJohn said:

LL above THB? :thinking:

 

Logan Lucky is looking to be incredibly walk up based; THB had a solid advantage over it a couple hours ago.

 

I should also mention AMC is running a promo for Stubs members where you get 1k points for seeing LL tonight

Edited by WrathOfHan
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Nova Global Phenomenon

Nova

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Posted

THB has sold 60 tickets for tonight. It was at about 20 this morning when I checked. 

 

LL is at 9 tickets. It was at 5 tickets this morning when I checked. 

 

Ill do another quick check right before showtime to see how much more each film adds.

 

 

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CJohn Cinematic Universe

CJohn

Posted
Posted
12 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Logan Lucky is looking to be incredibly walk up based; THB had a solid advantage over it a couple hours ago.

 

I should also mention AMC is running a promo for Stubs members where you get 1k points for seeing LL tonight

Theaters sure are desperate to put butts on the seats :lol: 

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CJohn Cinematic Universe

CJohn

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

They did the same thing for Annabelle last week FWIW

Doesn't change what I said one bit. You are just giving more proofs that my theory is correct :lol:

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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

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Posted
22 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Logan Lucky is looking to be incredibly walk up based; THB had a solid advantage over it a couple hours ago.

 

I should also mention AMC is running a promo for Stubs members where you get 1k points for seeing LL tonight

 

Regal offering 500 points for watching THB

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