The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[cax16]

 

Edited January 31, 2018 by cax16

[Gokira2012]

1)Black Panther $200,000,000 OW, might even challenge Star Wars Force Awakens

 

2) on the first Monday After Black Panther, DC scraps Green Lantern Corp movie and fast tracks John Stewart: Green Lantern and John Stewart

 

3)This forces Marvel to open Marvel Studios Black to create Pro Black Super Hero movies

[WrathOfHan]

lmfao if Winchester opens as low as 6M. Theaters will dump that shit FAST if so.

[Eric S'ennui]

21 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

Winchester	13	1408	0.92%
Fifty Shades	572	1921	29.78%
Black Panther	2046	3808	53.73%

 

Black Panther just recently doubled its showtimes, and it's still trucking along. Shades is still doing well. Winchester just started selling tickets today, so it's too hard to say anything yet, although it should be noted Thurday and Friday are the only days with sold tickets.

Winchester	19	1408	1.35%
Fifty Shades	591	1921	30.77%
Black Panther	2254	3808	59.19%

 

Winchester barely added tickets from Thursday and Friday. Still nothing from Saturday or Sunday. Panther got one or two more sold-out shows.

[JB33]

So what are we looking at now for BP's 3-day opening weekend? $150M+? $170M+ for the 4-day?

[Gokira2012]

15 minutes ago, JB33 said:

So what are we looking at now for BP's 3-day opening weekend? $150M+? $170M+ for the 4-day?

200 OW

[WrathOfHan]

Pulse:

 

1. Black Panther

2. Fifty Shades

3. Showman

4. Maze Runner

5. Jumanji

 

5 minutes of watching saw 17 tickets for Winchester

 

 

[TwoMisfits]

On 1/23/2018 at 9:55 PM, TwoMisfits said:

2nd local (Regal) is set early - and it's messy:)...lots of single and double showing movies...here goes...

 

NEW

Maze Runner (1) (above average theater size)

Hostiles (1) (smallest theater size)

 

New in Return

3 Billboards (3 showings)/Lady Bird (2 showings) - split 1 screen (below average size)

 

Returning

12 Strong (1)

Den of Thieves (1)

Proud Mary (1) 

The Post (1)

The Shape of Water (1 - upped from just 1 showing last week)

Jumanji (1)

The Greatest Showman (1)

TLJ (1 - still lives here, too)

Paddington (2 showings)/PP3 (1 showing) / Insidious (1 showing) - this is one full screen in showing order

 

Gone

I Tonya, The Commuter 

2nd local is up - another "split a bunch of movies on a screen week" - here's the set...

 

NEW

Winchester (1 - above average screen size)

Phantom Thread (1 - average screen size)

 

Returning

Hostiles (1)

Maze Runner (1)

12 Strong (1)

Den of Thieves (1)

Jumanji (1)

The Greatest Showman (1)

The Last Jedi (1)

The Shape of Water (1)

The Post (1)

Paddington (.25 - 1st show) / 3 Billboards (.5 - next 2 shows) / Proud Mary (.25 - last show)

 

Gone

PP3 and Insidious - Proud Mary, Paddington, and 3 Billboards look to be the 1st to go next week:)...

[WrathOfHan]

AMC is promoting re-expansions for Coco, Molly, and PP3 on their homepage; anyone see PP3 pop up by them?

[The Panda]

Bumping up my predict to 150m+ OW

 

IM3 to CW OW range seems like a high end possibility now

[Boxofficerules]

Has there been a press showing for Winchester?

[WrathOfHan]

4 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Has there been a press showing for Winchester?

Double Toasted isn't reviewing it on their show tonight, so there's either a Friday embargo (they break Thursday embargoes one night before fairly often) or no screenings  

Edited January 31, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Eric S'ennui]

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/counts/chart/?yr=2018&wk=05&p=.htm

 

Shape gains 451 theaters, Billboards 246

[MovieMan89]

6 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

lmfao if Winchester opens as low as 6M. Theaters will dump that shit FAST if so.

On the bright side, maybe TGS and J's drops will be even more holy shit worthy this weekend. 

[WrathOfHan]

This is weekend thread material, but might as well post it here: http://deadline.com/2018/01/sxsw-2018-south-by-southwest-features-lineup-john-krasinksi-a-quiet-place-1202274955/

 

This year's five SXSW headliners are A Quiet Place, Blockers, Boundaries, Paradox, and Final Portrait. High profile films from the past few years for comparison:

 

2017:

Baby Driver: 107.8M

Atomic Blonde: 51.7M

The Disaster Artist (work in progress): 20.9M

 

2016:

Sausage Party (work in progress): 97.7M

Keanu: 20.6M

 

2015:

Spy: 110.8M

Trainwreck: 110.2M

Ex Machina: 25.4M

 

This bodes extremely well for A Quiet Place at least

[filmlover]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

This is weekend thread material, but might as well post it here: http://deadline.com/2018/01/sxsw-2018-south-by-southwest-features-lineup-john-krasinksi-a-quiet-place-1202274955/

 

This year's five SXSW headliners are A Quiet Place, Blockers, Boundaries, Paradox, and Final Portrait. High profile films from the past few years for comparison:

 

2017:

Baby Driver: 107.8M

Atomic Blonde: 51.7M

The Disaster Artist (work in progress): 20.9M

 

2016:

Sausage Party (work in progress): 97.7M

Keanu: 20.6M

 

2015:

Spy: 110.8M

Trainwreck: 110.2M

Ex Machina: 25.4M

 

This bodes extremely well for A Quiet Place at least

Bridesmaids also famously debuted there to off the charts reactions with everyone saying it was gonna be the surprise smash that summer.

[WrathOfHan]

While I'm at it, Sundance surprise screenings (Tully was this year's):
 

Get Out: 175.9M

Eddie the Eagle: 15.8M

Jupiter Ascending: 47.4M

Nymphomaniac: 1.1M (both parts)

 

Those four average out to 60.1M. Given Tully's reviews, I'd at least bank on it falling between Eddie and Jupiter  

[filmlover]

5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

While I'm at it, Sundance surprise screenings (Tully was this year's):
 

Get Out: 175.9M

Eddie the Eagle: 15.8M

Jupiter Ascending: 47.4M

Nymphomaniac: 1.1M (both parts)

 

Those four average out to 60.1M. Given Tully's reviews, I'd at least bank on it falling between Eddie and Jupiter  

[That One Girl]

6 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Jupiter Ascending: 47.4M

 

 

 bless Sundance

[Porthos]

GREATER SACRAMENTO SELLOUT UPDATE: T-15 Days and counting  

1/66 (nc)

 

2D:  0/42 (nc)

3D:  1/24 (nc)        

 

<<Reserved Theater Info: 44 showings>>

 

Almost Sold Out (95%+ sold out)

1 (nc)         

 

Nearly Sold Out (90% to 94% sold out)

3 (+2)

 

Front Two Rows Only (with 3 or less other scattered seats at showings)

6 (-1)

 

Heavily Sold (75% to 89% sold out)

0 (-1)

 

Weekend Showings

Fr: 0/119   

St: 0/119   

Su: 0/117  

Mo: 0/106

 

—

 

Reserved Seating Breakdown (44/66 showings):

100%:    1 (nc)

90-99%: 4 (+2)

80-89%: 1 (-2)

70-79%: 3 (nc)

60-69%: 6 (nc)

50-59%: 3 (+2)

40-49%: 1 (nc)

30-39%: 3 (-1)

20-29%: 4 (nc)

10-19%: 9 (+2)

0-9%:    9 (-3)