The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TalismanRing]

AEG.  My local.  Friday sales from late last night.

 

29 screens. 4 showings are RPX (one of them is 3D - counted it with RPX), 8 other 3D,  15 regular 2D.   27.5% regular 3D showings, lower than current Thur but still too high and again bringing down the avg

 

RPX

 

(11am) 175/320
(3pm)  210/320
(7pm)  244/320
(11pm) 256/320

 

885 / 1280 = 69.14%

 

2D

(9am) 73/301
(9:30am) 47/246
(10:30am) 61/255
(11:30am) 90/257
(12:50pm) 41/301
(1:20pm)  49/246
(2:30pm)  55/255
(3:30pm)  45/257
(4:45pm)  132/301
(5:15pm)  165/246
(6:30pm)  206/255
(7:30pm)  200/257
(8:40pm)  233/301
(9:10pm)  185/246
(10:30pm) 195/255
(11:30pm) 175/257
(12:30am)  86/301

 

2027 / 4537 = 44.67%

3D

(10am) 29/256
(12pm) 37/301
(1:50pm) 20/246
(4pm) 40/301
(5:45pm) 95/256
(8pm) 188/301
(9:40pm) 139/256
(12am) 20/301

 

568 /2218 = 25.6%

 

- 3,480/ 8,035 = 43.31%

 

[Porthos]

4 hours ago, Matthew said:

Avengers Endgame seems like it will remain in the Top 5 MT.com this weekend. And after that it will surely remain in top 5.

 

Has this ever happened before? 

The old thread got nuked because of REASONS, but I believe TFA might have been in the Top Five for the last two plus weeks before opening.  Maybe longer.

[mulderfox]

Movietickets

 

Shazam 26.4

AEG 24

PS 12.5

Dumbo 10.3

Us 6.7

[Porthos]

10 hours ago, Porthos said:

So I decided to check out Century Arden for the first Friday of EG's run. And, well, I found out one way Century Arden at least is going to try to squeeze in extra showings on OW for Endgame:

 

Fri

7:30 am (2D - PLF)

8:05a (2D)

8:35a (2D)

9:10a (2D)

9:45a (3D)

 

Usually the first showings 'round these parts is at 9:30am to 10:00am or so.  So Arden is already squeezing in four showings on the front end, including on its PLF screen.

 

How are they selling?  Pretty well, actually.  But why don't I do something nice for y'all and put the entire block for Friday at Century Arden, as it stands right now:

Spoiler

 

Arden Fri	    Seats Left   Total Seats  Pct Sold
3:10 (3D)		137		260	47.31%
9:45a (3D)		92		110	16.36%
1:35 (3D)		77		110	30.00%
5:25 (3D)		37		110	66.36%
9:15 (3D)		43		110	60.91%
1:05a [Sat] (3D)	104		110	5.45%
7:30a (2D)		169		260	35.00%
11:20a (2D)		108		260	58.46%
7:00 (2D)		24		260	90.77%
10:50 (2D)		66		260	74.62%
8:05a (2D)		112		160	30.00%
8:35a (2D)		130		161	19.25%
9:10a (2D)		52		110	52.73%
11:55a (2D)		83		160	48.13%
12:25 (2D)		71		161	55.90%
1:00 (2D)		39		110	64.55%
3:45 (2D)		40		160	75.00%
4:15 (2D)		39		161	75.78%
4:50 (2D)		25		110	77.27%
7:35 (2D)		13		160	91.88%
8:05 (2D)		14		161	91.30%
8:40 (2D)		16		110	85.45%
11:25 (2D)		55		160	65.63%
11:55 (2D)		71		161	55.90%
12:30a [Sat] (2D)	66		110	40.00%
			1683		4005	57.98% full

Total Showings:  25 (2D: 19 | 3D: 6)
Total Seats Sold So Far: 2322
57.98% of seats sold

 

 

 

That's... not too shabby for three weeks away!  Keep in mind that this is the initial slate with only their 5 biggest auditoriums (they have 14 screens available). 

 

And those early showings?  Well, the PLF 7:30a one is at 35% capacity (practically the entire upper bowl), so I think they're pretty happy having scheduled something that early.

 

=======

 

Two other things. First off, I almost never systematically check the actual FSS of OW, and when I do I never keep records, so don't bother asking for comps.

 

Secondly, if you folks are extra extra lucky, I'll go ahead and check out Sat and Sun for Century Arden as well.  Just so we have some idea of how the OW itself is selling at the busier theaters in my region.

 

EDITED TO ADD:

 

A Quick and Dirty compare/contrast for Thur Previews (behind a spoiler bar)

 

  Reveal hidden contents

Arden Thr	Seats Left       Total Seats	      Prct Sold	
7:00 (3D)		7		110		93.64%
10:55 (3D)		34		110		69.09%
2:50a (3D)		100		110		9.09%
6:00 (2D)		6		260		97.69%
10:00 (2D)		25		260		90.38%
2:00a (2D)		127		260		51.15%
6:30 (2D)		1		160		99.38%
7:30 (2D)		0		110		100.00%
7:45 (2D)		7		96		92.71%
8:00 (2D)		5		161		96.89%
8:30 (2D)		7		80		91.25%
9:15 (2D)		13		110		88.18%
10:25 (2D)		14		160		91.25%
11:15 (2D)		25		55		54.55%
11:25 (2D)		27		110		75.45%
11:40 (2D)		38		96		60.42%
11:55 (2D)		43		161		73.29%
12:25a (2D)		36		80		55.00%
1:10a (2D)		48		110		56.36%
2:20a (2D)		107		160		33.13%
5:00 (2D)		0		110		100.00%
				
	               670		2869	          76.65%

Total Showings:  21 (2D: 18 | 3D: 3)
Total Seats Sold So Far: 2199
76.65% of seats sold

 

Upshot?

Thr: 2199/2869 = 76.65% sold

Fri:  2322/4005 = 57.98% sold

 

Interpet  that however you want.

And now Sat and Sun, also behind spoiler bars to save screen real-estate (as well as editing my quoted post to do the same).

 

Sat:

Spoiler

Arden Sat	 Seats Left        Total Seats       Pct Sold		
9:45a (3D)		49		110		55.45%
1:35 (3D)		49		110		55.45%
5:25 (3D)		48		110		56.36%
9:15 (3D)		61		110		44.55%
1:05a [Sun] (3D)	110		110		0.00%
3:10 (3D)		102		260		60.77%
8:05a (2D)		69		160		56.88%
8:35a (2D)		47		110		57.27%
9:10a (2D)		39		110		64.55%
11:55a (2D)		43		160		73.13%
12:25 (2D)		24		110		78.18%
1:00 (2D)		23		110		79.09%
3:45 (2D)		39		160		75.63%
4:15 (2D)		27		110		75.45%
4:50 (2D)		34		110		69.09%
7:35 (2D)		34		160		78.75%
8:05 (2D)		24		110		78.18%
8:40 (2D)		37		110		66.36%
11:25 (2D)		99		160		38.13%
11:55 (2D)		94		110		14.55%
12:30a [Sun] (2D)	101		110		8.18%
7:30a (2D)		113		260		56.54%
11:20a (2D)		46		260		82.31%
7:00 (2D)		51		260		80.38%
10:50 (2D)		96		260		63.08%
			1459		3750	        61.09% full

Total Showings:  25 (2D: 19 | 3D: 6)
Total Seats Sold So Far: 2291
61.09% of seats sold

 

and Sun:

Spoiler

Arden Sun	   Seats Left      Total Seats       Pct Sold				
9:45a (3D)		85		110		22.73%
1:35 (3D)		55		110		50.00%
5:25 (3D)		59		110		46.36%
9:15 (3D)		108		110		1.82%
3:10 (3D)		146		260		43.85%
8:05a (2D)		93		160		41.88%
8:35a (2D)		85		161		47.20%
9:10a (2D)		45		110		59.09%
11:55a (2D)		54		160		66.25%
12:25 (2D)		52		161		67.70%
1:00 (2D)		34		110		69.09%
3:45 (2D)		54		160		66.25%
4:15 (2D)		50		161		68.94%
4:50 (2D)		43		110		60.91%
7:35 (2D)		77		160		51.88%
8:05 (2D)		93		161		42.24%
8:40 (2D)		79		110		28.18%
11:25 (2D)		154		160		3.75%
7:30a (2D)		138		260		46.92%
11:20a (2D)		75		260		71.15%
7:00 (2D)		98		260		62.31%
10:50 (2D)		217		260		16.54%
			1894		3624		47.74% full

Total Showings:  22 (2D: 17 | 3D: 5)
Total Seats Sold So Far: 1730
47.74% of seats sold

 

Summary:

Thr:  2199/2869 = 76.65% sold (as of 9:30pm last night)

Fri:   2322/4005 = 57.98% sold (as of 1:30am this morning)

Sat:  2291/3750 = 62.09% sold (as of just now)

Sun: 1730/3624 = 47.74% sold (as of just now)

 

No near sellouts yet, though there are some over 90% sold.  But just another indication that EG is already selling very briskly into the OW.

Edited April 5, 2019 by Porthos

[john2000]

4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

And now Sat and Sun, also behind spoiler bars to save screen real-estate (as well as editing my quoted post to do the same).

 

Sat:

  Hide contents

Arden Sat	 Seats Left        Total Seats       Pct Sold		
9:45a (3D)		49		110		55.45%
1:35 (3D)		49		110		55.45%
5:25 (3D)		48		110		56.36%
9:15 (3D)		61		110		44.55%
1:05a [Sun] (3D)	110		110		0.00%
3:10 (3D)		102		260		60.77%
8:05a (2D)		69		160		56.88%
8:35a (2D)		47		110		57.27%
9:10a (2D)		39		110		64.55%
11:55a (2D)		43		160		73.13%
12:25 (2D)		24		110		78.18%
1:00 (2D)		23		110		79.09%
3:45 (2D)		39		160		75.63%
4:15 (2D)		27		110		75.45%
4:50 (2D)		34		110		69.09%
7:35 (2D)		34		160		78.75%
8:05 (2D)		24		110		78.18%
8:40 (2D)		37		110		66.36%
11:25 (2D)		99		160		38.13%
11:55 (2D)		94		110		14.55%
12:30a [Sun] (2D)	101		110		8.18%
7:30a (2D)		113		260		56.54%
11:20a (2D)		46		260		82.31%
7:00 (2D)		51		260		80.38%
10:50 (2D)		96		260		63.08%
			1459		3750	        61.09% full

Total Showings:  25 (2D: 19 | 3D: 6)
Total Seats Sold So Far: 2291
61.09% of seats sold

 

and Sun:

  Hide contents

Arden Sun	   Seats Left      Total Seats       Pct Sold				
9:45a (3D)		85		110		22.73%
1:35 (3D)		55		110		50.00%
5:25 (3D)		59		110		46.36%
9:15 (3D)		108		110		1.82%
3:10 (3D)		146		260		43.85%
8:05a (2D)		93		160		41.88%
8:35a (2D)		85		161		47.20%
9:10a (2D)		45		110		59.09%
11:55a (2D)		54		160		66.25%
12:25 (2D)		52		161		67.70%
1:00 (2D)		34		110		69.09%
3:45 (2D)		54		160		66.25%
4:15 (2D)		50		161		68.94%
4:50 (2D)		43		110		60.91%
7:35 (2D)		77		160		51.88%
8:05 (2D)		93		161		42.24%
8:40 (2D)		79		110		28.18%
11:25 (2D)		154		160		3.75%
7:30a (2D)		138		260		46.92%
11:20a (2D)		75		260		71.15%
7:00 (2D)		98		260		62.31%
10:50 (2D)		217		260		16.54%
			1894		3624		47.74% full

Total Showings:  22 (2D: 17 | 3D: 5)
Total Seats Sold So Far: 1730
47.74% of seats sold

 

Summary:

Thr:  2199/2869 = 76.65% sold (as of 9:30pm last night)

Fri:   2322/4005 = 57.98% sold (as of 1:30am this morning)

Sat:  2291/3750 = 62.09% sold (as of just now)

Sun: 1730/3624 = 47.74% sold (as of just now)

 

No near sellouts yet, though there are some over 90% sold.  But just another indication that EG is already selling very briskly into the OW.

i think that this movie will make a little money and break even

Edited April 5, 2019 by john2000

[Ledmonkey96]

4 minutes ago, john2000 said:

i think that this movie will make a little money and break even

Does Endgame need to make money in order to break even? If we assume it has the same costs as Infinity War then there's a chance that Endgame is already profitable even before pre-sales are taken into account, though it'll depend on Infinity War's profit being as much as the costs

[john2000]

3 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Does Endgame need to make money in order to break even? If we assume it has the same costs as Infinity War then there's a chance that Endgame is already profitable even before pre-sales are taken into account, though it'll depend on Infinity War's profit being as much as the costs

[Ledmonkey96]

7 minutes ago, john2000 said:

I don't know... I like the idea that every single dollar from beginning to end is pure profit for Disney even more.

[john2000]

Just now, Ledmonkey96 said:

I don't know... I like the idea that every single dollar from beginning to end is pure profit for Disney even more.

oh i agree with that ,i was just joking

[Barnack]

27 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

I don't know... I like the idea that every single dollar from beginning to end is pure profit for Disney even more.

 

Guilds made very sure there is no such thing possible, I will imagine they will pay residual and everything on it like a regular movie. According to some ex-studio employees, it does not change much part 1 and 2 outside making some scheduling work better.

[Cap]

49 minutes ago, Porthos said:

No near sellouts yet, though there are some over 90% sold.  But just another indication that EG is already selling very briskly into the OW.

 

I am half way through Lincoln Center OW (would have had more if not been so RUDELY INTERRUPTED 🤬🤬)

 

Lincoln Center is 81.40% full for Thursday and that includes me adding in the wheelchair seats, because in some showings they ARE selling, and AMC isn't counting it as a sell out without them.

 

Lincoln Center Friday is 63% Full. If you take out the shitty 3D showings, it's at 73.13% full. 

 

I should have a full update for that and AMC 25 (or at least AMC 25 Thursday) tonught. 

 

[Old Spice]

Sugarhouse Cinemark 10 In Salt Lake City. Premium, luxury recliners.

 

Shazam looking very strong here, where both major newspapers gave it 3.5 stars out of 4.

Totals as of 5:02 EST

 

3:55 PM (3D) 32/104

 

Standard

4:35 PM 41/60

6:30 PM 38/47

7:00 PM 86/104

7:40 PM 47/60

10:10 PM 13/104

10:50 PM 4/60

 

Total: 261/539 48.4%

Edited April 5, 2019 by A Star is Orm

[poweranimals]

The long range tracking for BOP has Godzilla opening to $45 million. Does that seem a little low to anyone else?

 

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-godzilla-king-of-the-monsters-ma-rocketman/

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

1 minute ago, poweranimals said:

The long range tracking for BOP has Godzilla opening to $45 million. Does that seem a little low to anyone else?

 

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-godzilla-king-of-the-monsters-ma-rocketman/

 

Definitely does to me. I was thinking at least $75m.

[FlashMaster659]

4 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

The long range tracking for BOP has Godzilla opening to $45 million. Does that seem a little low to anyone else?

 

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-godzilla-king-of-the-monsters-ma-rocketman/

Yep. I'm thinking 70M+

[fabiopazzo2]

1 hour ago, poweranimals said:

The long range tracking for BOP has Godzilla opening to $45 million. Does that seem a little low to anyone else?

 

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-godzilla-king-of-the-monsters-ma-rocketman/

45M OD??

[Brainbug]

1 hour ago, poweranimals said:

The long range tracking for BOP has Godzilla opening to $45 million. Does that seem a little low to anyone else?

 

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-godzilla-king-of-the-monsters-ma-rocketman/

 

I know im biased but this is really the worst prediction from BOP that ive seen. Godzilla has a better chance to open to 100M+ than going lower than 60M imo.

[Eric Prime]

7 minutes ago, Brinatico said:

Maybe if the title was Dumb Dumbo or other shit Disney movies, this bias Deadline.com could put better numbers for Godzilla.

Check every post no related to a Disney movie always is tracking lower.

 

 

That Godzilla prediction's not from Deadline, it's from BoxOffice Pro. I know you want to start some conspiracy, but at least proofread your facts before you state it.

[TalismanRing]

On 4/4/2019 at 8:23 AM, TalismanRing said:

I will not be as detailed and constant as @Porthos  but here goes

 

NYC (+ the usual few NJ Metro area) Fandango Ticket sales

 

As of now I am only listing fully shaded out Complete Sell Outs.

 

I don't have the time to check each reserved showing to see near sellouts but just clicking on haphazardly there are already  A LOT  (and some will never fully sell out b/c of wheel chair places)

 

Way back in 2016 for CW less than 20% of seats were Reserved (so much easier to check).

 

As of this morning after 2 full days of sales AEG is already in terms of theaters, showings and complete sellouts at AIW levels between April 22nd & 24th - the week of the premiere and after 5 weeks of sales

 

 

AEG: April 4 (8am)

Theaters: 58

Showings:  552   567

Reserved Seating: 437  452

Complete Sellouts: 52  67

 

AIW: April 8 (tickets had been on sale since March 17 - so 22 days)

Theaters: 50

Showings:  362

Reserved Seating:  217

Complete Sellouts:  25

Near Sellouts: 67 (front row or less)

 

AIW: April 22 (Sunday)

Theaters: 58

Showings:  456

Reserved Seating:  259

Complete Sellouts:  47
Near Sellouts: 125 (front row or less)

 

AIW: April 24 (Tuesday)

Theaters: 59

Showings:  581

Reserved Seating:  338
Complete Sellouts: 67

Near Sellouts: 132

 

AIW: April 26 (Thursday: 5pm)

Theaters: 59

Showings:  661

Reserved Seating:  380
Complete Sellouts: 115

Near Sellouts: 180

 

I forgot about the Fan Event (they separate under their own title) which is another 15 showings and 15 sellouts give or take a seat. I updated the chart above

Since yesterday 35 additional shows added.

 

AEG: April 5 (7pm)

Theaters: 58

Showings:  602

Reserved Seating: 468

Complete Sellouts: 71

 

Edited April 5, 2019 by TalismanRing

[Brainbug]

To give BOP credit, their predictions are most of the time very grounded and realistic. They lean to conservatism though and thats what probably happened with Godzilla here. I mean nobody can accurately predict the future, maybe many of us here are wrong and the film does crash to a 45M OW. Theres just a lot of reasons that speak against that in my opinion.