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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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7 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Jeez, at just these 218 theaters (less than 5% of the total number of theaters this will open at) and we are already at $8~mil 2.5 weeks out, if we felt like being generous and extrapolating we'd already be at a nearly $160mil OW.

I feel like its less than that simply because if Endgame had already smashed the Force Awakens final total by that much then it would've been reported I think

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2 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

That Thursday data would be especially helpful.

My data is horribly formatted hence why I don't have the energy to go through it today, but quickly looking through at least for the first 105 theaters (before I had to split my data into multiple files) it appears to show a broadly similar picture to what people have posted here with ~70% sold 

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11 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Endgame 24 hrs on Fandango today: 28,219

260% of IW T-18. I was really expecting this to drop off faster with so many of the good times/formats/seats already purchased. Wonder how long it can keep up more than 2x the IW sales.

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14 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

260% of IW T-18. I was really expecting this to drop off faster with so many of the good times/formats/seats already purchased. Wonder how long it can keep up more than 2x the IW sales.

If we assume the missing time frame of the first day and a half had 300k-400k tickets sold as @stfletch mentioned several pages back, then EG's Fandango sales are anywhere from 2.28x to 2.83x IW's at 17 days to go until previews.

Edited by FlashMaster659
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Avengers: Endgame Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

11

221

5365

23024

76.70%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today:               2

Total Seats Sold Today:                  210

 

Infinity War Comps:

2.4879x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after seven day of pre−sales.
2.0249x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 17 days before release [Infinity War has 41 days of pre−sales compared to Endgame's 23 days]
1.1300x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at stop of tracking on release night.
1.0014x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at stop of tracking on release night at the exact same theaters in town.

NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio. It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in more theaters locally, unless specifically noted otherwise.

 

IW (day 7):           116 tickets sold that day   [1 sellout/113 showings  | 5032/11011 seats left  | 54.30% sold]

EG (adj*) (day 7):   120 tickets sold that day [11 sellouts/221 showings | 3706/18581 seats left  | 80.05% sold]

EG (exact**)(day 7):  111 tickets sold that day [11 sellouts/195 showings | 3186/16368 seats left  | 80.54% sold]

----

IW (T-17):     93 tickets sold that day  [2 sellouts/116 showings   | 3779/11125 seats left  | 66.03% sold]  

IW (final):   13164 tickets sold at stop [59 sellouts/182 showings | 1195/15159 seats left  | 86.64% sold]

EG (adj*):   14875 tickets sold so far   [11 sellouts/221 showings | 3706/18581 seats left  | 80.05% sold]

EG (exact**):  13182 tickets sold so far   [11 sellouts/195 showings | 3186/16368 seats left  | 80.54% sold]

----

* EG (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for

** EG (exact) is the number of tickets sold at the EXACT same theaters in town for a pure like-for-like comparison.

 

OTHER COMPS:

Spoiler

Captain Marvel:

Spoiler

 

8.2211x as many tickets sold as Captain Marvel after seven days of pre−sales.
5.0082x as many tickets sold as Captain Marvel 17 days before release. [CM had 58 days of pre−sales versus EG's 23 days]
1.6734x as many tickets sold as Captain Marvel at stop of tracking.

 

CM (day 7):       62 tickets sold that day [0 sellouts/81 showings    |  8460/10608 seats left | 20.25% sold]

CM (T-17):        41 tickets sold that day [2 sellouts/83 showings    | 7179/10705 seats left  | 32.94% sold]

CM (final):   10553 tickets sold at stop   [  1 sellout/92 showings    | 9439/19992 seats left  | 52.79% sold]

EG:              17659 tickets sold so far    [11 sellouts/221 showings | 5365/23024 seats left  | 76.70% sold]

NOTE: I have the same sources of tracking info for Endgame as I did Captain Marvel, so the unadjusted comp is being used here, even though Endgame is playing in a couple more theaters locally. Check the main stat box for the number of tickets sold today if you want to compare it to the number of tickets Captain Marvel sold on its second day.

 

Selected Other Comps (T-17 and Final):

Spoiler

6.6052x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 17 days before release. [BP had 30 days of pre−sales versus EG's 23 days]
7.1964x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 17 days before release. [DP2 had 29 days of pre−sales versus EG's 23 days]
4.9109x as many tickets sold as Solo 17 days before release. [Solo had 30 days of pre−sales versus EG's 23 days]
12.9235x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom 17 days before release. [JW2 had 22 days of pre−sales versus EG's 23 days]

 

BP (T-17):            66 tickets sold that day [1 sellout/66 showings      |  4332/6584 seats left    | 34.20% sold]

DP2 (T-17):         83 tickets sold that day [0 sellouts/92 showings     |  9690/11757 seats left  | 17.58% sold]

Solo (T-17):       116 tickets sold that day [0 sellouts/87 showings     |  6319/9348 seats left    | 32.40% sold]

JW2 (T-17):          96 tickets sold that day  [0 sellouts/97 showings    |  8962/10113 seats left  | 11.38% sold]

EG(adj*) (T-17):   120 tickets sold that day [11 sellouts/221 showings | 3706/18581 seats left   | 80.05% sold]

*EM (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for

 

----

 

1.8355x as many tickets sold as Black Panther at stop of tracking.
1.8290x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 at stop of tracking.
2.5695x as many tickets sold as Solo at stop of tracking.
2.3884x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom at stop of tracking.

NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio. It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in more theaters locally.

 

BP (final):     8104 tickets sold at stop [26 sellouts/136 showings |  3377/11481 seats left  | 70.59% sold]

DP2 (final):   8133 tickets sold at stop [3 sellouts/169 showings   |  8357/16490 seats left  | 49.32% sold]

Solo (final):  5789 tickets sold at stop [5 sellouts/143 showings    |  7732/13521 seats left | 42.81% sold]

JW2 (final):   6228 tickets sold at stop [1 sellout/147 showings     |  7487/13715 seats left | 45.41% sold]

EG (adj*):   14875 tickets sold so far   [11 sellouts/221 showings | 3706/18581 seats left  | 80.05% sold]

*EM (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for

 

 

 

WEEKEND INFO: (all IW information is for 17 days before release)

Fri:   0 sellouts/279 showings  [IW: 0/214]

Sat:  0 sellouts/277 showings  [IW: 0/215]

Sun: 0 sellouts/267 showings  [IW: 0/209]

 

Sellouts:  11/221 (+2/nc)  [2D: 11/177 (+2/nc) | 3D: 0/44]

 

Breakdown of seat information in spoiler box:

Spoiler

Reserved seating information: 192 screens [IW: 82 reserved seating info at same point in time]

 

100%:    11* [+2] [IW: 2]

90-95%: 43  [nc} [IW: 10]

80-89%: 53  [+3] [IW: 13]

70-79%: 29  [nc]  [IW: 15]

60-69%: 25  [-3] [IW: 17]

50-59%: 11  [-1]  [IW: 8]

40-49%:   5  [nc] [IW: 4]

30-39%:   6  [nc]  [IW: 7]

20-29%:   3  [-2]  [IW: 3]

10-19%:   4  [nc]  [IW: 3]

0-9%:       3  [nc]  [IW: 0]

 

* includes two sellouts from non-reserved seating showings

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1 minute ago, XO21 said:

Looking at the comps I still wonder how Deathly Hallows part 2 got $43m just from 12AM shows

Not just from 12am shows, that's when they started.  They ran though the night/morning into the next day - Friday officially started with 6am showings.

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Fandango Pulse:  Monday

 

Missing Link 162
Hellboy 860
After 681
Little 673
Avengers EG 28,434

 

Laika can't catch a break and Hellboy...


Archive behind spoiler cut

Spoiler


 

Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday
         
Black Panther 35,429 36,302 39,934 65,453
Love Simon 863 1,256 2,907  
A Wrinkle In Time 3,698 4,864   15,601
A Quiet Place 2,177 4,003 10,665  
Blockers  504 1,106 2,931  
Rampage 705 1,508 4,109  
Truth Or Dare 385 760 2,133  
Super Troopers 2,825 3,447 6,881  
I Feel Pretty 871 1,610 4,423  
Avengers: Infinity War 49,836 54,892 68,826 206,000
Overboard 84 409 1,044  
Breaking In 727 1204 2,899  
Life Of The Party 587 1,310 3,010  
Deadpool 2 23,134 28,896 41,212  
Show Dogs 6 128 369  
Book Club 836 1,599 3,283  
SW: Solo 13,688 15,855 28,533  
Action Point  17 48 197  
Upgrade  9 119 522  
Adrift 63 308 1,268  
Oceans 8 3,009 4,372 11,114  
Hereditary 659 1,178 3,181  
Hotel Artemis 26 166 520  
Incredibles 2 20,872 23,430 39,337  
Tag 314 660 1,448  
Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266  
Sicario 2 788 1282 3,403  
Uncle Drew 274 473 1,201  
Antman & The Wasp  6,613 5,990 11,108  
Purge (Wed) 2,885 8,308    
Hotel Transylvania 3 1,753 2,674 6,605 14,754
Skyscraper 586 1,019 2,868 7,134
Mamma Mia 2 4,427 5,099 12,117 17,226
Equalizer 1,418 2,297 6,073 11,875
Unfriended   71 240 975
MI6   *3328 13,575 27,261
Teen Titans   *462 2,125 4,526
Christopher Robin 1,560 2,442 5,355 11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me 234 542 1,561 4,222
The Darkest Minds 130 244 579 1,777
Eighth Grade 494 508 720 936
Death of A Nation 148 194 375 1,239
The Meg 1,539 2,944 6,723 16,202
Slender Man 177 418 1,091 3,737
BlackkKlansman  432 682 1,934 5,017
Dog Days (Wed) 115 631 1,536 1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed) 3,651 5,742 20,173 20,102
Alpha 181 283 943 2,069
Mile 22 282 519 1,833 5,200
Happytime Murders 382 *488 1,954 5,602
A.X.L. 32 *60 310 911
Kin 21 141 263 741
Operation Finale (Wed) 415 2,083 4,879 3,915
Searching (1k expansion) 303 588 1,194 2,862
The Nun 2,082 5,938 13,806 28,881
Peppermint  286 863 2,508 4,441
God Bless The Broken Road 6 33 152 282
Predator 1,295 2,476 4,545 13,063
A Simple Favor 564 2,126 4,410 10,381
White Boy Rick 136 567 1,458 4,587
Unbroken 2 88 180 360 659
House With Clocks 897 1469 3607 8,074
Fahrenheit 11/9 164 281 713 1,715
Life Itself 79 162 394 953
Assassination Nation   36 94 382
Night School 1,045 1,756 3,566  
Small Foot 734 1,261 2,448  
Hellfest 195 304 661  
Little Women   65 134  
Venom 13,602 13,818 20,867 31,569
A Star Is Born 9,115 11,383 22,641 21,501
First Man 654 909 3,610 7,586
Goosebumps 2 300 631 1,733 3,615
Bad Times at the El Royale 264 481 1,257 3,350
Halloween 9,563 12,980 21,600 36,126
The Hate U Give (2k expansion) 1,026 1,542 1,559 2,055
Hunter Killer 91 368 1,062 2,726
Indivisible 33 89 204 440
Bohemian Rhapsody 7,255 9,026 12,546 26,476
The Nutcracker & the Four Realms 1,659 1,949 2,567 5,518
Nobody's Fool 436 900 1,719 4,437
Grinch 3,580 4,860 10,092 17,046
Girl In The Spider's Web 286 691 1,735 3,554
Overlord 299 605 1,599 4,522
Fantastic Beasts 2 8,956 14,238 21,861 31,880
Widows 310 868 2,219 4,179
Instant Family 230 565 1,325 2,584
Creed II (Wed) 7,005 12,131 15,354 15,559
Ralph 2 (Wed) 6,712 12,083 19,183 15,870
Robin Hood (Wed) 1,602 1846 2,621 2,632
Green Book (1k exp) 387 922 89 2,268
Spider-Verse 3,715 5,208 9,858 3,475
Mortal Engines 465 785 1,504 6,235
The Mule 791 1,779 3,882 19,972
Once Upon A Deadpool (wed) 1,732 3,402 3,621 2,310
Mary Poppins Returns (Wed) 7,713 9,137 16,304 11,857
Aquaman 8,502 9,671 15,063 25,201
Bumblebee 1,553 1,817 3,157 6,056
Second Act 353 611 1,146 1,915
Welcome To Marwen 299 403 658 928
Escape Room 111 368 1,543 7,297
A Dogs Way Home 259 623 1,560 3,257
On the Basis of Sex (2k expand) 537 1,043 2,275 3,511
The Upside 394 1,431 3,769 6,602
Replicas 21 133 352 1,002
Glass 3,106 3,978 6,478 17,810 
The Kid Who Would be King 107 318 980  
Serenity 6 128 1,074  
Miss Bala 350 420 1,041  
Lego Movie 2 2,552 4,130 8,601 13,321
What Men Want 1,383 2,505 5,405 9,328
Cold Pursuit 181 827 2,155 4,862
The Prodigy 161 359 847 2,288
Alita (Thur) 4,259 6,072 11,483 15,500
Isn't It Romantic (Wed) 3,576 5.367 12,411 12,304
Happy Death Day 2U (Wed) 1,296 1,843 5,445 5,825
How To Train Your Dragon 2 3,724 6,674 12,935  
Fighting With My Family (2.5k exp) 165 368 1,284  
Run The Race     338  
Madea Family Funeral 1,587 2,482 4,951  
Greta 120 287 824  
Captain Marvel 33,951 37,060 49,745 64,456
Captive State 60 172 402  
Five Feet Apart 613 1,053 2,225  
Wonder Park 607 988 1,749  
US 10,742 13,597 27,634 39,514
Dumbo 3,069 4,624 9,193 15,842
Unplanned   754 1,397 2,071
The Beach Bum   99 232 592
Shazam! 5,099   5,975 [7+-12] 17,143
Pet Sematary 2,116   2,579 [7+-12] 8,556
Best of Enemies 251     1,027
Missing Link 162      
Hellboy 860      
After 681      
Little 673      
Avengers EG (2 weeks out) 28,434      

 

 

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57 minutes ago, Matthew said:

I see a strong chance that

 

Hellboy opens in single digits. The reviews are coming on Wednesday, they will surely affect those who wanted to see the movie. 😜😜😜

I heard the embargo was Friday? Lol

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