The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric Prime]

Mulan Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-23 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	46	153	9,423	1.62%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 2

 

Comp

1.663x of Maleficent 23 days before release (3.82M)

[Eric Prime]

No Time to Die Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-37 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	62	148	15,331	0.97%

 

Total Shows Lost Today: 2

Total Seats Lost Today: 256

Total Seats Sold Today: 13

 

One theater scrapped two 4DX showings altogether. They didn't sell anything, and honestly I don't think it's any big loss.

[Eric Prime]

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-79 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	52	400	12,658	3.16%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 3

[filmlover]

2 hours ago, Jamiem said:

All of this his said I want the film to succeed but it has a lot going against it, and hey at worst a bunch of people will check it out on Disney+ in 8 or so months so it won’t be a huge loss for Pixar from a viewership standpoint maybe just a finical disappointment, 

I feel like it's a given that it's gonna have a very long shelf life on Disney+. Most of the movies they make these days are probably given the green light with that in mind.

[Porthos]

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days and counting

[Includes Double Features from Wednesday]

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	68	11574	11798	224	1.90%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

33

 

Day Five Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold Day 5	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
It 2	55.72		35	402		0/93	11913/12315	3.26%		5.85m
AQP 2 (adj)	n/a		33	224		0/68	11012/11236	1.99%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: AQP 2 (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for It: Chapter 2. 

 

T-16 Adjusted Comp (LOL comp - Don't take too seriously)

	%		Sold T-16	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
It 2	27.05		41	828		0/98	12567/13395	6.18%		2.84m
AQP 2 (adj)	n/a		33	224		0/68	11012/11236	1.99%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: AQP 2 (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for It: Chapter 2. 

PRE-SALE NOTE: It Chapter 2 had 36 days of pre-sales while A Quiet Place Part II has 22 days of pre-sales.

 

===

 

Wed/Thr Breakdown:

 

Wednesday Night Double Feature Seat Report: T-16 Days and counting:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	7	1447	1566	119	7.60%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

24

 

Thursday Night Seat Report: T-16 Days and counting:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	61	10127	10232	105	1.03%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

9

 

========

 

Only T-x counts, starting tomorrow.

Edited March 4, 2020 by Porthos

[keysersoze123]

On 3/2/2020 at 10:00 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Onward(T-3)

MTC1 Prev - overall 1152 shows 12243/234998 212089.57 175677.09

MTC2 Prev - overall 1191 shows 5522/203993 70291.89 50339.72

MTC1 OD - overall 2800 shows 11957/581330 199240.03 168017.93 post 6PM 1423 shows 8393/298042 147712.32 123123.00

MTC2 OD - overall 2777 shows 10962/489907 123746.55 97674.92 post 6PM 1099 shows 5815/197437 74858.47 53380.82

MTC1 D2 - overall 2946 shows 14929/609781 201593.60 178747.06 post 6PM 1438 shows 4405/298890 75431.95 63789.72

MTC2 D2 - overall 2868 shows 14689/501489 148498.09 126417.31 post 6PM 1110 shows 2542/197331 32993.07 23347.90

 

Not a great day again for Onward though the saturday sales are looking promising. OD PS is just half of Sonic at similar point 😞 I would say it will pick up big time on wed/thur and will have very good walk ups but at this point I dont see OW > 50m. Previews are looking like 2m but I am still hoping for better numbers. 

Onward(T-2)

MTC1 Prev - overall 1626 shows 14643/299405 249019.18 205567.03

MTC2 Prev - overall 1768 shows 7264/265990 92042.39 65937.95 

MTC1 OD - overall 4063 shows 16252/776951 264639.00 222487.25 post 6PM 1957 shows 11233/382264 193623.16 160760.35

MTC2 OD - overall 4282 shows 16443/686999 183749.98 145223.88 post 6PM 1646 shows 8705/271578 110887.36 78835.24

MTC1 D2 - overall 4312 shows 19402/815892 257481.34 228293.28 post 6PM 1982 shows 5697/381884 95867.63 80821.77

MTC2 D2 - overall 4263 shows 19781/683872 199270.65 169547.25 post 6PM 1592 shows 3402/263234 43793.72 30963.13

 

More than number of tickets sold the number of show count increased dramatically today. Its higher than Sonic. Plus it has more Imax/PLF shows as well. So with good walkups 50m+ OW should happen. that D2 PS is making me think 20m+ saturday could happen. let us see where things are on thursday. 

 

That said on negative side is Previews/OD PS well below Sonic at this point. Let us hope walkups make up for it big time. At least I am more optimistic than yesterday. 

[Porthos]

No Time to Die Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-37 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	90	15365	15654	289	1.85%

 

Total Showings Added Today	27*
Total Seats Added Today	4037
Total Seats Sold Today	59

* Includes six non-reserved seating showings

 

Day Two Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold Day 2	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
FF9	168.02		47	172		0/96	14914/15086	1.14%		n/a

PRE-SALE NOTE: Fast and Furious 9 has 112 days of pre-sales while No Time to Die has 39 days of pre-sales.

 

Day Two Adjusted Comp (Very LOL comps - don't take seriously)

	%		Sold Day 2	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
KotM	86.53		47	334		0/57	7620/7954	4.20%		5.45m
H&S	431.13		12	67		0/52	6087/6154	1.09%		25.01m
NTTD (adj)	n/a		59	289		0/90	14251/14540	1.99%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: NTTD (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for King of the Monsters and Hobbs & Shaw. 

PRE-SALE NOTES: No Time to Die has 39 days of pre-sales while Hobbs & Shaw had 35 days of pre-sales and King of the Monsters had 21.

Also, King of the Monsters had two days where some theaters sold tickets ahead of time before the unofficial announcement of ticket sales.

[ZackM]

It's becoming apparent that there isn't much value in long range tracking for MTC4 because of how long most of the theaters wait before posting shows.  Moving forward I'll do my first count on the Tuesday before OW.

 

Onward - MTC4 Opening Weekend Seat Report: T-2 days and counting
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Shows Added	1,659	115	-	-	-
Seats Added	376,716	21,228	-	-	-
Seats Sold	2,345	681	-	-	-
	Shows w/o Reserved Seats	Shows w/ Reserved Seats	Seats Left	Total Seats	Matinee	Evening	Total Sold	Pct. Sold
D-0	83	185	44,347	45,013	-	666	666	1.48%
D-1	249	658	169,918	171,077	323	836	1,159	0.68%
D-2	383	904	215,217	216,991	1,038	736	1,774	0.82%
D-3	351	834	199,390	200,519	686	443	1,129	0.56%
Total	1,066	2,581	628,872	633,600	2,047	2,681	4,728	0.75%

[charlie Jatinder]

6 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

That said on negative side is Previews/OD PS well below Sonic at this point.

That's expected. Sonic had Valentine's Day OD.

I don't think previews are really bad. Roughly $0.9mn so far, Final should clear $2.5mn.

 

That shall point to $14mn true Friday. I will go for $23-24mn Saturday from there followed by $17-18mn Sunday.

 

Roughly $55-60mn weekend.

 

 

Edited March 4, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[filmlover]

The Way Back's reviews are on the good side for the most part with most calling it one of Affleck's best performances. Bit of a bummer that it's looking to fly under the radar.

[keysersoze123]

2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

That's expected. Sonic had Valentine's Day OD.

I don't think previews are really bad. Roughly $0.9mn so far, Final should clear $2.5mn.

 

That shall point to $14mn true Friday. I will go for $23-24mn Saturday from there followed by $17-18mn Sunday.

 

Roughly $55-60mn weekend.

 

 

I agree. Plus Sonic had built in fan base. Onward will have better walk ups. The fact that Multiplexes have given it more shows makes it promising. I am expecting ticket sales to jump in next 2 days. I agree with 2.5 previews + 0.65m advance shows. 

[OncomingStorm93]

9 hours ago, Porthos said:

No Time to Die Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-200ish days and counting

Fixed it for you.

 

Officially delayed to November.

[ChipDerby]

Good thing we're not predicting No Time to Die in the DERBY this weekend.

 

Which reminds me. Predict by tomorrow night!

[keysersoze123]

So theaters have to refund tickets sold as well. It did sell more than few. I wonder if Mulan also will be delayed as China is critical for the movie. for No Time to Die it was a no brainer looking at Europe. 

[Cooper Legion]

First domino. Curious about AQP2 now.

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

They better not delay Bloodshot.

[Jonwo]

 

8 minutes ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

They better not delay Bloodshot.

Bloodshot is only a week away so I imagine Sony will still release it on time.

[OncomingStorm93]

Bloodshot isn't expensive enough to be worth delaying a week out.

[filmlover]

I really don't think anything coming out this month gets moved. I said this in the movie's thread but No Time to Die is really all MGM has this year in terms of big bets that have a lot riding on it (while Disney, Universal, WB, Sony, etc. have plenty that they can afford a potential loss) so it makes sense as to why they would move it to a spot where it would have the strongest chance of succeeding. It never made sense to release Bond in April anyway after how the franchise has flourished as a holiday attraction for so long.

[OncomingStorm93]

You guys already know my view on this escalating situation, but now you can hear my thoughts in video form: