The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Legion Again]

24 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Relative comps will not change even if overall % of online sales have gone up. while that market has increased its not like comparing 90's era to today. Even in 2014 20% of tickets were sold through Fandango and MT.com. In fact today its spread out across multiple platforms(Apart from Fandango and MT.com, we have Atom and more important apps of individual chains). People subscribing to AMC A list dont use any of the 3rd party. Anyway now Fandango owns MT.com and so I am expecting its numbers to not be substantially different form 2014.

 

 

This means that in-release vs in-release comps from 2014 should be reasonable, and presale vs presale comps. Presale vs in-release, not so much.

[keysersoze123]

7 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

This means that in-release vs in-release comps from 2014 should be reasonable, and presale vs presale comps. Presale vs in-release, not so much.

I mean you look at overall BO at a point in time and then look at movies PS to get a feel of movies performance. If anything with lot more reserved seating, you should see people reserve their tickets in advance and so new movies have to show up even earlier. I am not expecting x movie at 50% and so this should be similar today to know how they are doing. But relative to BO of the times how a new movie is selling provides a perspective to where it will end up.

 

I was look at last sunday comps for Aladdin

 

 

 

 

Fandango past 24 hour

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	39.515%	22828	Aladdin (2019)
2	14.964%	8645	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
3	10.647%	6151	Avengers Endgame (2019)
4	07.469%	4315	Aladdin
5	06.566%	3793	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
6	04.535%	2620	Booksmart
7	03.585%	2071	Brightburn
8	01.856%	1072	A Dogs Journey
9	01.738%	1004	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)
10	01.438%	831	The Hustle (2019)
11	01.103%	637	Rocketman
12	01.016%	587	Long Shot
13	00.798%	461	The Intruder (2019)
14	00.692%	400	Godzilla King of the Monsters -
15	00.412%	238	The Sun Is Also a Star
16	00.409%	236	UglyDolls
17	00.383%	221	Dark Phoenix
18	00.318%	184	Poms
19	00.306%	177	Ma (2019)
20	00.220%	127	Spider-Man Far From Home (2019)
21	00.206%	119	The Biggest Little Farm
22	00.199%	115	The Secret Life of Pets 2
23	00.154%	89	Breakthrough (2019)
24	00.149%	86	Captain Marvel (2019)
25	00.113%	65	The Curse of La Llorona
26	00.080%	46	Muklawa
27	00.073%	42	Shazam!
28	00.064%	37	Tolkien
29	00.062%	36	The White Crow
30	00.057%	33	De De Pyaar De

 

That gives some pointers. I am done with this. I will look at this on thursday again.

 

 

 

[Cookson]

Is that the current fandango percentage?

[Minnale101]

1004 pluse with 3 days before premieres

 

is very bad.

 

Shazam and dumbo way ahead on their last Monday’s but it is Memorial Day. Let’s see tomorrow 

[keysersoze123]

2 minutes ago, Cookson said:

Is that the current fandango percentage?

Yes 24 hr data

[Cookson]

3 minutes ago, Minnale101 said:

1004 pluse with 3 days before premieres

 

is very bad.

 

Shazam and dumbo way ahead on their last Monday’s but it is Memorial Day. Let’s see tomorrow 

Yeah I feel Memorial Day is messing things up. Tomorrow is discount day so might not see any big increase till Wednesday.

[Legion Again]

Godzilla Pulse doesn’t look great, but can’t compare Mon to Mon for obvious reasons. Can compare end of Mon numbers to last week end of Sun numbers, but I’d say just wait for Tues.

[Cookson]

It’s funny though... my theater is selling Godzilla tickets pretty well. My showing Friday night is around 50% sold through. 

 

Needs to to translate to other places.

 

WB knew reviews would be lost. Embargo is lifted tomorrow night... tickets will start moving really well then.

[keysersoze123]

14 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Godzilla Pulse doesn’t look great, but can’t compare Mon to Mon for obvious reasons. Can compare end of Mon numbers to last week end of Sun numbers, but I’d say just wait for Tues.

Aladdin week was Sunday numbers posted on May 19

[Mulder]

8 hours ago, Mulder said:

First count of today, just Thursdays-

Godzilla: KoTM-206 (+3), 8 screenings (3 IMAX, 3 3D, 3 Regular) Final week

Dark Phoenix-86 (+3), 6 screenings (1 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

Godzilla: KoTM-207 (+4), 8 screenings (3 IMAX, 3 3D, 3 Regular) Final week

Dark Phoenix-90 (+7), 6 screenings (1 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

SLoP2-5, 4 screenings (2 3D, 2 Regular)

 

Yeah not going to sugar coat, today was a bad day for Godzilla. Really wanted to see it doing more then just four tickets today, not sure if it was from Memorial Day or what but...not good. Fml. Today Phoenix sold 7 tickets and Godzilla sold 4.

[keysersoze123]

Good news is 24 hour data is now improving quickly. So it should be in top 5 tonight and should stay there until tomorrow night as discount tuesday will help the Top 4 stay ahead.

 

 

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	38.935%	26776	Aladdin (2019)
2	15.190%	10446	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
3	10.055%	6915	Avengers Endgame (2019)
4	07.170%	4931	Aladdin
5	06.415%	4412	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
6	04.633%	3186	Booksmart
7	03.775%	2596	Brightburn
8	02.283%	1570	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)
9	01.751%	1204	A Dogs Journey
10	01.438%	989	Rocketman
11	01.422%	978	The Hustle (2019)
12	00.958%	659	Long Shot
13	00.864%	594	Godzilla King of the Monsters -

[Cookson]

[Eric Duncan]

I'm feeling a bit under the weather at the moment, so I'm gonna put Monday's #s in the morning

[Mulder]

Just now, CoolEric258 said:

I'm feeling a bit under the weather at the moment, so I'm gonna put Monday's #s in the morning

Feel better if possible. 

[keysersoze123]

Just now, CoolEric258 said:

I'm feeling a bit under the weather at the moment, so I'm gonna put Monday's #s in the morning

Take care @CoolEric258 Health is more important than BO Tracking.

[Legion Again]

12 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Take care @CoolEric258 Health is more important than BO Tracking.

Psssh, this is the kind of baloney that leads to... *checks notes*

 

..living a long and happy life!

[Porthos]

King of the Monsters Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	101	12310	13740	10.41%

 

Total Showings Added Today:              3 (all non-reserved seating)

Total Seats Added Today:                  n/a

Total Seats Sold Today:                    131

 

IMO, the best comp of movies I have tracked will be Fallen Kingdom.  I also have comps with the Aladdin and Detective Pikachu as something as a compare/contrast with current May movies.  They may not be as good comps, being in different genres.

 

Unadjusted Comps

0.9630x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 3 days before release. 

0.8784x as many tickets sold as Aladdin 3 days before release.

 

T-3:

Pika        238 tickets sold  [0 sellouts/71 showings   |     6647/8132 seats left    | 12.91% sold]

Aladdin   173 tickets sold  [0 sellouts/93 showings   | 10983/11393 seats left    | 12.78% sold]

 

Adjusted Comps

.4567x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom 3 days before release.       

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio.  It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in a different number of theaters locally.

 

T-3:

JW2             443 tickets sold [0 sellouts/118 showings |   9224/12097 seats left   |  23.75% sold]

KotM (JW)    113 tickets sold [0 sellouts/101 showings | 10860/12172 seats left   |  10.78% sold]

KotM (JW) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom.

Edited May 29, 2019 by Porthos

[Porthos]

On 5/26/2019 at 10:24 PM, Porthos said:

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-05-26 00:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	45.830%	34074	Aladdin (2019) [combined]
2	16.452%	12232	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
3	11.321%	8417	Avengers Endgame (2019) [combined]
4	06.581%	4893	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
5	05.006%	3722	Booksmart
6	04.148%	3084	Brightburn
7       01.699% 1263    Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019) [combined] 
8	01.579%	1174	A Dogs Journey
9	01.383%	1028	The Hustle (2019)
10	01.022%	760	Long Shot

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-05-27 00:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	45.851%	32753	Aladdin (2019) [combined]
2	15.182%	10845	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
3	09.949%	7107	Avengers Endgame (2019)
4	06.379%	4557	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
5	04.651%	3322	Booksmart
6	03.802%	2716	Brightburn
7	03.365%	2404	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019) [combined]
8	01.725%	1232	A Dogs Journey
9	01.509%	1078	Rocketman
10	01.418%	1013	The Hustle (2019)

[keysersoze123]

Thanks @Porthos what is your prediction? Unlike most posters who seem to project from 1-2 theaters, you are doing it for whole city. So at least sample data should not be too skewed unless something grossly under or over performs in the city which should be an exception than a norm.

[Porthos]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Thanks @Porthos what is your prediction? Unlike most posters who seem to project from 1-2 theaters, you are doing it for whole city. So at least sample data should not be too skewed unless something grossly under or over performs in the city which should be an exception than a norm.

In the middle of writing some thoughts up about today, but I can't in good conscience give a predict until I see tomorrow's numbers at the earliest coz of the 4day weekend.  But I'll say KotM better see a good ramp-up tomorrow for its and its fans sakes (more in just a bit)