The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[cdsacken]

No one can pretend this is a rush to see movie. It's a well there is nothing else let's go see this stupid yet awesome looking movie (meg but a tiny bit better).

 

Can't see a low preview multiplier because of all these adjusted comps were atrocious like 1-2 days ago. I bet if it hits 6.0 it hits 60. If it hits 5.5 still might get close to 60.

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

If it's 4.5 yeah not 60. If it's 6 because Deadline sucks sure maybe.

Deadline did give a 4.5-5 in its write up.  So it might get as high as 5.5m if it is lolDeadline once again.  6m is probably a bit too much to ask for though.  Even if that would make me look much better.

Edited August 2, 2019 by Porthos

[The GOAT]

6 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Die Fast and Furious evil die.

nah, Fast and Furiuos 9 will be a hit when they serve Shaw that sweet justice.

[cdsacken]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

Deadline did give a 4.5-5 in its write up.  So it might get as high as 5.5m if lolDeadline is right.  6m is probably a bit too much though.  Even if that would make me look much better.

I got nothing, usually I would give a tight range within 1 million.

 

For tonight lol 3.5-6.5. Also not confident about that haha

Edited August 2, 2019 by cdsacken

[Porthos]

Hmmm...

 

2 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Quote

Typically, Fast & Furious movies overindex on the West Coast and deliver a huge Hispanic turnout.

 

You know, that could be an explanation.  We do have a pretty healthy Hispanic community out here.  Could explain why it exploded out here today.  And I can't call it anything other than an explosion, FWIW. 

[Tinalera]

20 minutes ago, The GOAT said:

Fandango API?

I admit im still learning a lot. Im trying Toronto Canada numbers and admittedly old fashioned look at seat counts for the theatres that will give them ( on seat sale screen) lol.

 

Im probably doing this the hard way lol

[Inceptionzq]

9 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Hmmm...

 

14 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Quote

Typically, Fast & Furious movies overindex on the West Coast and deliver a huge Hispanic turnout.

  

You know, that could be an explanation.  We do have a pretty healthy Hispanic community out here.  Could explain why it exploded out here today.  And I can't call it anything other than an explosion, FWIW. 

That could explain Denver too

[Porthos]

38 minutes ago, The GOAT said:

Fandango API?

There is no Fandango API anymore.  It's gone and dead.  Kaput.  I'd do the Dead Parrot sketch here, but I don't feel like re-working the whole thing.

 

I know @Menor has developed a scraper of sorts for Cinemark at an individual movie level, though how it exactly works and what they exactly do, I'm still a little unsure on.

 

But most of us are just back to the stone ages of pulling up a seat map of a showing in question and counting the actual seats sold.

 

No magic bullet or timesaver out there, I'm afraid.  Not 'till someone designs an all-purpose scraper of some sort or another.  And since none of us are paying anyone for the time to do it I wouldn't expect much on that front outside of a hobbyist getting interested in the challenge for a challenge sakes. 

[Eric the Fall Guy]

It: Chapter Two Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-35 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	56	244	11,929	2.05%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 218

 

It added a bunch of theaters, showings, and total seats, but I'm lazy and don't want to look into it, so....whatever.

 

Anyways, for what is basically the first day, this is...fine. From what I remember in my Pulse tracking days, horror films typically didn't make much of anything until the last few days of release, so this seems like a relatively solid start all things considered. Should also mention a couple theaters don't have showtimes up yet (I guess it's still a bit too early to plan things for some theaters?).

 

Would I wish it would have done better? I guess, but it's still a solid beginning and hopefully there are good things to come.

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

FINAL UPDATE FOR HOBBS & SHAW

 

CINEPLEX SCOTIABANK MONTREAL

 

FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW - THURSDAY AUG 1 2019

 

IMAX

7:00pm - 169/343 (+86)

10:10pm - 85/343 (+67)

Regular 3D

7:30pm - 167/390 (+133)

10:40pm - 36/390 (+30)

 

Some Comps

.86 x Godzilla:KOTM = 5.42m

.79 x Dark Phoenix = 3.95m

 

Good final day of sales. These are the only 2 non Disney movies I've tracked so far this summer. Seems like around 5mil would be good.

[Cap]

Hobbs & Shaw

Thursday Previews

 

Can it over-indexing on the West Coast save it from the East Coast numbers I'm about to drop?

 

Southern Maine Cinemagic
Hobbs & Shaw
IMAX	6/28	7/1	7/8	7/29	7/30	7/31	8/1	Total
7:00 PM	5	5	5	3	3	3	20	112
8:00 PM	0	0	0	0	0	4	9	112
10:00 PM	5	5	5	1	3	3	8	112
RECLINER
7:00 PM	0	0	0	0	2	9	32	54
7:30 PM	0	0	0	0	0	0	23	54
9:55 PM	0	0	0	2	2	2	21	54
STADIUM
7:00 PM	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	356
8:00 PM	0	0	0	1	1	0	14	356
9:30 PM	0	0	0	8	8	9	11	213
TOTAL	10	10	10	11	13	30	146	1423

 

 

Okay, so the Theater Chain of Walk Ups forgot to come out tonight?  It's fine... New York will pull through.

 

Lincoln Square 13
Hobbs & Shaw
	6/28	7/1	7/8	7/29	7/30	7/31	8/1	Total
STD 7:00PM	0	0	0	14	21	26	64	362
STD 9:30PM	NA	NA	NA	NA	0	3	26	136
STD 10:30PM	0	0	0	0	0	2	16	362
DOLBY 7:00PM	58	71	120	240	241	246	253	297
DOLBY 10:30PM	7	11	21	81	100	124	166	297
TOTAL	65	82	141	335	362	401	525	1454

 

 

Okay, so, let's do this...

 

Thursday Comps
Movie	Sold	%	Est
Cinemagic Chain
Hobbs & Shaw	146	--	--
OUATIH	237	61.60%	3.57M
MIB3	109	133.94%	4.15M
Rocketman	57	256.14%	4.48M
John Wick 3	186	78.49%	4.63M
Pika Pika	158	92.40%	5.26M
Lincoln Square 13
Hobbs & Shaw	525	--	--
OUATIH	1232	42.61%	2.42M
MIB3	653	80.39%	2.49M
Rocketman	470	111.70%	1.95M
John Wick 3	675	77.77%	4.58M
Pika Pika	613	85.64%	4.88M

 

 

I tried to get it over 5, boys.  I even pulled out Pika Pika.  Deadline might be right on the money.  I feel like John Wick's the best comp.  That's coming in at 4.6M in Previews.

 

I will say despite my histrionics, I'm actually not THAT panicked.  Concerned?  Alarmed?  Oh, very much so.  I just hope it fines its Summer legs in the draught we call August.  It's not like next week another tentpole's coming out to snatch all those screens.  So, weekend should be fun.  We will see.

 

 

[Tinalera]

38 minutes ago, Porthos said:

There is no Fandango API anymore.  It's gone and dead.  Kaput.  I'd do the Dead Parrot sketch here, but I don't feel like re-working the whole thing.

 

I know @Menor has developed a scraper of sorts for Cinemark at an individual movie level, though how it exactly works and what they exactly do, I'm still a little unsure on.

 

But most of us are just back to the stone ages of pulling up a seat map of a showing in question and counting the actual seats sold.

 

No magic bullet or timesaver out there, I'm afraid.  Not 'till someone designs an all-purpose scraper of some sort or another.  And since none of us are paying anyone for the time to do it I wouldn't expect much on that front outside of a hobbyist getting interested in the challenge for a challenge sakes. 

Yep its pretty much what im doing as well. It takes time and im still finding out which theatres have seat reservations vs general seating (which i dont get seat counts on the sales screen. So i might have 8 theatres i want to check but only 4 give me the check seating chart option)

 

Just for clarity im not DOING 8 theatres only 3 right now lol. Just stating not all theatres have reserved seating. Ive found 4vl that gives me seat count possibilities 😊

Edited August 2, 2019 by Tinalera

[Minnale101]

fast and furious series is really really big in Florida. Hope it can pull through like west coast 

 

otherwise big yikes 

[Porthos]

14 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Should also mention a couple theaters don't have showtimes up yet (I guess it's still a bit too early to plan things for some theaters?).

Yeah, one of the local chains doesn't have their showings up yet, either.  Counts for four theaters I normally track.  Happened with KotM as well.

 

Gonna knock off a fair amount of the ticket sales, but I'll just note it and move on. 

[Tinalera]

Okay im getting odd reactions to my above post....did i do something wrong or something? 2 shocked and 1 not cool....im a bit confused lol

Edited August 2, 2019 by Tinalera

[VanillaSkies]

It's incredibly early of course, but Hobbs starts with 94% user rating on RT with over 200 verified user votes. 

Will go down of course, but not a bad place to start from at all. Hopefully some decent WOM will bring out the crowds this weekend. 

[Porthos]

6 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

Okay im getting odd reactions to my above post....did i do something wrong or something? 2 shocked and 1 not cool....im a bit confused lol

I was giving an "awesome"/"wow" reaction, myself.

 

If you want, I'll just switch it back to a generic like or thanks.

Edited August 2, 2019 by Porthos

[dxmatrixdt]

9 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

Okay im getting odd reactions to my above post....did i do something wrong or something? 2 shocked and 1 not cool....im a bit confused lol

nothing is good enough, ignore the nose.  sorry =(

Edited August 2, 2019 by 2010s Painkiller Race

[Tinalera]

No awesome is great i just rarely get them (nevermind 2! Lo) keep the awesome coming!  

 

I just wanted to make sure i hadnt done something negative lol

 

 

[Tinalera]

3 minutes ago, 2010s Painkiller Race said:

nothing is good enough, ignore the nose.  sorry =(

No apologies necessary 😉.  I just making sure *I* personallydidnt do something wrong. As i said to.porthos im not used to getting anything more than a like or thanks. So 2 shocks and a not cool i just didnt know what to think lol.

 

Its all good!