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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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lorddemaxus Global Phenomenon

lorddemaxus

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

Dora and the Lost City of Gold Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 38 102 6,434 1.59%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 5

Total Seats Added Today: 563

Total Seats Sold Today: 10

 

Adjusted Comp

0.02x of The Lion King 2 days before release (524K)

 

Yeah yeah yeah, poor comp to use, but I feel like selling only 10 tickets is pretty bad. I'm hoping it's just my area, but if this is supposed to break out, it should have probably done much better today. Maybe Wednesday and Thursday can change things aroun

I think it would be selling a lot better in the west coast like Hobbs and Shaw did because of the larger Hispanic population (which this movie is clearly targeting towards). 

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
4 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

I think it would be selling a lot better in the west coast like Hobbs and Shaw did because of the larger Hispanic population (which this movie is clearly targeting towards). 

FWIW, Denver is also pointing towards about 500K

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted

The Wrap:

 

Dora: low $20M (Paramount is expecting $15M)

Scary Stories: mid-to-high teens

The Kitchen: $9-14M

Racing in the Rain: $6-8M

 

And Jeff Bock of Exhibitor Relations says to expect a lot of underperformers.

 

 

 

https://www.thewrap.com/will-dora-and-the-lost-city-of-gold-catch-the-box-office-crown-from-hobbs-and-shaw/

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lorddemaxus Global Phenomenon

lorddemaxus

Posted
Posted
25 minutes ago, filmlover said:

The Wrap:

 

Dora: low $20M (Paramount is expecting $15M)

Scary Stories: mid-to-high teens

The Kitchen: $9-14M

Racing in the Rain: $6-8M

 

And Jeff Bock of Exhibitor Relations says to expect a lot of underperformers.

 

 

 

https://www.thewrap.com/will-dora-and-the-lost-city-of-gold-catch-the-box-office-crown-from-hobbs-and-shaw/

I actually have a feeling Scary Stories could overtake Dora. But like other said, it could just be Del Toro and horror fans buying tickets early.

 

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Menor the Destroyer Summer Tentpole

Menor the Destroyer

Posted
Posted

Dora Friday:

Theaters: 235

Showings: 1600

Tickets Sold: 5901

Tickets Available: 193219

Estimated ATP: 9.18

Estimated Total Sales: 54169

Estimated Nationwide Sales: 380k (assuming heavy kids tickets)

 

Scary Stories Friday: 

Theaters: 234

Showings: 1452

Tickets Sold: 5477 (2.91x Crawl at the same point)

Tickets Available: 155560 

Estimated ATP: 10.56

Estimated Total Sales: 57812 (3.06x Crawl at the same point)

Estimated Nationwide Sales: 490k

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el sid Box Office Gold

el sid

Posted
Posted (edited)

Scary Stories, counted today at ca. 10 am EST (one hour earlier than usually so it was a bit to the disfavour of the new movies but will lead to better increases tomorrow):

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 53 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 34 (total tickets sold for Friday, 6 showtimes)
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 10 / 30 (4 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 25 / 23 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 53 /19 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 29 / 24 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 8 / 6 (5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11, probably very recently added): 2 / 6 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 139 / 119 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 68 / 45 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 258 / 169 (5 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 10 theaters till Wednesday for Thursday: 645 and for Friday: 475.
I hoped for a bit more today but that's still ca. 2.5x of what Crawl had on Wednesday (261 / 209 in 10 theaters). Still pretty good and as mentioned, I counted a bit too early today.

The Kitchen (I think I saw one theater with Thursday showtimes but it was not one of mine):

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 23 (total tickets sold for Friday, 6 showtimes)
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 50 (4 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 20 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 27 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 4 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9 → Barton Creek instead): 22 (5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 0 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 100 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 39 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 89 (5 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 10 theaters till Wednesday for Friday: 374.
That's above what Stuber (8.2M OW) sold till Wednesday for Friday (285 tickets) but I guess without Thursday shows the Friday should be better, no? 10M OW could become tough if it doesn't really jump tomorrow.

The Art of Racing in the Rain:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): still no showtimes
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 14 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 12 (total tickets sold for Friday, 4 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 9 / 16 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 5 / 15 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 7 / 4 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 5 / 12 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 2 / 0 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 35 / 44 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 9 / 2 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 11 / 13 (5 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 9 theaters till Wednesday for Thursday: 97 and for Friday: 118.
Of course that's not good and the only comp I have it even more depressing: TLK had on Wednesday 9.101 and 9.705 sold tickets. Oh my, but it has still some time left and/or maybe it's a crowd-pleaser.

Edited by el sid
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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted

So looks like most the folks tracking it are seeing the same thing.  Scary Stories is out pre-selling Crawl at the same point in time.

 

Two questions then are: 

 

1) Is there a relative fan run to buy the tickets early (name producer attached vs brand new property)?

2) How quickly did the WOM kick in for Crawl during its OW and how quickly (good, bad, indifferent) will it spread for Scary Stories?

 

Don't really know the answer to either question, but being 2.5 to 3 times Crawl is an encouraging sign for SStTitD, I would think. 

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lorddemaxus Global Phenomenon

lorddemaxus

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, TMP said:

Did they ever officially announce It chapter 2 tickets as being on sale?

Yeah, last weekend. The featurette that released was meant to be the official sales announcement (and Fandango and WB announced it first on their Twitter accounts). Also I think the most recent TV spots say tickets are on sale.

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 8/6/2019 at 4:39 PM, Inceptionzq said:

IT: Chapter 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 14/411(+5)

10:45 PM – 0/411

Prime: 

7 PM – 4/187(+2)

10:45 PM – 1/187

Dolby: 

7 PM – 60/217(+2)

10:45 PM – 3/217

2D: 

NEW 5 PM – 0/56

NEW 5:15 PM – 0/38

NEW 5:30 PM – 0/38

NEW 5:45 PM – 0/48

NEW 6 PM – 0/48

NEW 6:15 PM – 0/44

NEW 6:30 PM – 0/44

7 PM – 0/158

7 PM – 2/92

7:15 PM – 2/92

7:30 PM – 0/94

7:45 PM – 0/94

8 PM – 0/48

8:15 PM – 0/48

8:30 PM – 0/44

8:45 PM – 0/56

9 PM – 0/38

9:15 PM – 0/38

9:30 PM – 0/48

9:45 PM – 0/48

10 PM – 0/44

10:15 PM – 0/44

10:30 PM – 0/44

10:45 PM – 0/158

10:45 PM – 0/92

11 PM – 0/92

11:15 PM – 0/94

11:30 PM – 0/94

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 3/384(+2)

10:45 PM – 5/384(+2)

Dolby:

7 PM – 60/210(+7)

10:45 PM – 5/210

2D: 

NEW 5 PM – 0/85

NEW 5:30 PM – 0/52

NEW 6 PM – 0/52

NEW 6:30 PM – 0/52

7 PM – 9/159(+3)

7:30 PM – 0/85

7:45 PM – 0/85

8:45 PM – 0/85

9:15 PM – 0/52

9:45 PM – 0/52

NEW 10:15 PM – 0/52

Total from 8 theaters(91 showings): 343(+54)/13587(+1062)(2.5%)

 

IT: Chapter 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 14/411

10:45 PM – 0/411

Prime:

7 PM – 4/187

10:45 PM – 1/187

Dolby:

7 PM – 62/217(+2)

10:45 PM – 3/217

2D:

5 PM – 0/56

5:15 PM – 0/38

5:30 PM – 0/38

5:45 PM – 0/48

6 PM – 0/48

6:15 PM – 0/44

6:30 PM – 0/44

7 PM – 0/158

7 PM – 2/92

7:15 PM – 2/92

7:30 PM – 0/94

7:45 PM – 0/94

8 PM – 0/48

8:15 PM – 0/48

8:30 PM – 0/44

8:45 PM – 0/56

9 PM – 0/38

9:15 PM – 0/38

9:30 PM – 0/48

9:45 PM – 0/48

10 PM – 0/44

10:15 PM – 0/44

10:30 PM – 0/44

10:45 PM – 0/158

10:45 PM – 0/92

11 PM – 0/92

11:15 PM – 0/94

11:30 PM – 0/94

 

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 3/384

10:45 PM – 5/384

Dolby:

7 PM – 60/210

10:45 PM – 7/210(+2)

2D:

5 PM – 0/85

5:30 PM – 0/52

6 PM – 0/52

6:30 PM – 0/52

7 PM – 9/159

7:30 PM – 0/85

7:45 PM – 0/85

8:45 PM – 0/85

9:15 PM – 2/52(+2)

9:45 PM – 0/52

10:15 PM – 0/52

Total from 9 theaters(97 showings): 376(+33)/14474(+887)(2.6%)

The final theater finally posted their showings, though only starting from 7. So, they’ll probably expand it next week, and there should be over 100 showings.

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JB33 Blockbuster

JB33

Posted
Posted
45 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Soooooo not seeing art of racing now. 

I won't be either, not at my theatre. Of this weekend's wide releases, only Dora, Scary Stories and Kitchen are playing.

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XXR vs XXR Global Phenomenon

XXR vs XXR

Posted
Posted
22 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Are you not tracking IT?

 

17 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

He said *worth* tracking.

 

As of right now, it’s not doing much. I’ll treat it the same way I got through college, start at the last minute and get within 10% of a perfect score :hahaha:

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

 

 

As of right now, it’s not doing much. I’ll treat it the same way I got through college, start at the last minute and get within 10% of a perfect score :hahaha:

I understand you, but at the same time, I think early tracking is gonna be pretty useful for Halloween 2 and 3 coming up.  Plus any other horror that looks to break out.

 

Right now we have a shortage of comps for It 2 and I'm thinking it'll be useful for other mega horror flicks that come down the pike.

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JB33 Blockbuster

JB33

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, Porthos said:

I understand you, but at the same time, I think early tracking is gonna be pretty useful for Halloween 2 and 3 coming up.  Plus any other horror that looks to break out.

 

Right now we have a shortage of comps for It 2 and I'm thinking it'll be useful for other mega horror flicks that come down the pike.

You heard Porthos, @VenomXXR, get to work!!

 

 

 

 

 

 

:P

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