The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Cap]

@Tinalera I gave a Screaming Tucci cause omg yay more data!

[Tinalera]

1 minute ago, captainwondyful said:

@Tinalera I gave a Screaming Tucci cause omg yay more data!

Lol. Okay thanks 😊

Cits late and my brain is overreacting. Perhaps time for bed lol

[keysersoze123]

Not a bad start for IT Chapter 2 at Empire 25 but not something spectacular. But looking at home page I did not huge promotion for the movie still. Is there a trailer or a tv spot announcing the ticket sales.

 

Spoiler

IT Chapter 2
AMC Empire 25

Imax - 41/303 (7PM), 2/303 (1115PM) - 43/606
Dolby - 85/225 (7PM), 5/225 (11PM) - 90/450
Prime - 42/180 (7PM), 7/180 (1045PM) - 49/360
2D - 12/142 (A19 715PM), 9/262(A17 730PM), 8/144(A20 745PM), 11/262(A12 8PM),5/148(A6 815PM),16/146(A7 830PM), 7/145(A25 845PM), 6/134(A5 9PM), 4/126(A3 915PM), 2/122(A10 930PM),2/121 (A21 945PM), 2/121(A15 10PM),0/99(A11 1015PM),13/99(A16 1030PM),1/309(A9 1110PM), 8/142 (A19 1120PM), 9/262 (A17 1130PM),8 /144(A20 1140PM), 11/262 (A12 1150PM),5/148 (A6 12AM) -  139/3338

Overall  - 331/4754 (7%)

 

[Porthos]

It: Chapter 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-35 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	70	8884	9103	219	2.41%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:               219* [includes 43 tickets sold before they officially went on sale]

 

Not really sure what to use as a comp for this film, since as I understand it horror isn't that pre-sale heavy.  Maybe.  For now, gonna throw in a couple recent ones and hope for the best.

 

Comps (probably lol - use at own risk)

0.9481x as many tickets sold as Aladdin after one day of pre-sales               

0.7631x as many tickets sold as King of the Monsters after one day of pre-sales.

0.1904x as many tickets sold as The Lion King after one day of pre-sales.            

PRE-SALES NOTE: Aladdin and The Lion King had 25 days of pre-sales and KotM had 21 days of pre-sales, while It 2 had 36.  Also, like It 2, some theaters had KotM tickets on sale for a few days before they were officially announced to the public for sale. 

 

T-35:

Aladdin  231 seats sold  [0 sellouts/66 shows   |    8852/9083 seats  | 231 seats sold   | 2.54% sold]

KotM      287 seats sold*[0 sellouts/55 shows   |    7257/7544 seats  | 287 seats sold   | 3.80% sold]

TLK      1150 seats sold  [0 sellouts/133 shows | 15821/16971 seats | 1150 seats sold | 6.78% sold]

* NOTE: KotM sold 159 tickets in the region in the days before they officially went on sale to the public.  This total is considered to be part of the first official day of sales

 

===

 

Yes, I know these comps are sub-optimal, but I don't have any horror comps, so these will have to do.  If folks have suggestions, I'm willing to hear them.

 

Also, like I said in a previous post, four theaters that I know will carry the movie haven't checked in yet and that is almost certainly depressing the total. 

 

So I really couldn't tell you if this was a good day or not.  Especially with the fact that it's five weeks away and that might also depress the initial surge a little.

 

(FWIW, it's about 33% of JW:FK's first day locally)

Edited August 3, 2019 by Porthos

[Cap]

Dora - Stories - Racing - It: Chapter 2

Thursday Previews

 

Southern Maine Cinemagic
Movie	8/1	Total	%	Sold	Showings
Dora	12	1335	0.89%	12	9
Scary Stories	0	496	0%	0	6
It: Chapter 2	10	1675	0.59%	10	9
Lincoln Square 13
Movie	8/1	Total	%	Sold	Showings
It: Chapter 2	306	2258	13.55%	306	6
Empire 25
Movie	8/1	Total	%	Sold	Showings
Dora	47	927	5.07%	47	3
Scary Stories	76	292	26.02%	76	2
Racing In Rain	21	252	8.33%	21	2

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, captainwondyful said:

Dora - Stories - Racing - It: Chapter 2

Thursday Previews

 

Southern Maine Cinemagic
Movie	8/1	Total	%	Sold	Showings
Dora	12	1335	0.89%	12	9
Scary Stories	0	496	0%	0	6
It: Chapter 2	10	1675	0.59%	10	9
Lincoln Square 13
Movie	8/1	Total	%	Sold	Showings
It: Chapter 2	306	2258	13.55%	306	6
Empire 25
Movie	8/1	Total	%	Sold	Showings
Dora	47	927	5.07%	47	3
Scary Stories	76	292	26.02%	76	2
Racing In Rain	21	252	8.33%	21	2

I was curious to see how It 2 was doing at LS13 compared to some other openers, and it does seem to be broadly in line with Sacramento.

 

I went back through some of your opening day data, and I think I got them right.

 

It 2 at LS13 is currently (I think):

0.7051x KotM     (versus my 0.7631x)

0.3054x TLK       (versus my 0.1904x)

0.9052x Aladdin (versus my 0.9481x)

 

The biggest discrepancy seems to be TLK, and even that's not terribly off.  Not sure what to really draw from that (especially since I'm missing theaters that normally check in early), but maybe a little bit interesting.  

 

Mostly I wanted to get a sense at how it might be doing at one of the premiere theaters in the nation and at first glance, I guess okay?  Or at least similar enough to what I'm seeing to say it isn't an outlier in one direction or the other?  Be curious if the trades try to blast some sort of PR spin out there about its "first" day of sales.

Edited August 2, 2019 by Porthos

[Menor the Destroyer]

7 hours ago, Porthos said:

There is no Fandango API anymore.  It's gone and dead.  Kaput.  I'd do the Dead Parrot sketch here, but I don't feel like re-working the whole thing.

 

I know @Menor has developed a scraper of sorts for Cinemark at an individual movie level, though how it exactly works and what they exactly do, I'm still a little unsure on.

 

But most of us are just back to the stone ages of pulling up a seat map of a showing in question and counting the actual seats sold.

 

No magic bullet or timesaver out there, I'm afraid.  Not 'till someone designs an all-purpose scraper of some sort or another.  And since none of us are paying anyone for the time to do it I wouldn't expect much on that front outside of a hobbyist getting interested in the challenge for a challenge sakes. 

The scraper operates in basically the same way that people do the theater counts, just automated. Hence I haven't been able to do it the past couple of weeks as the internet where I'm at currently is pretty spotty, so I didn't bother even bringing my laptop. But I will be back home and tracking again by Monday.

[RamblinRed]

I thought this comment from the end of the Deadline article seemed approrpiate based on what Porthos is reporting.

 

Typically, Fast & Furious movies overindex on the West Coast and deliver a huge Hispanic turnout. The night isn’t over for Hobbs & Shaw, so we’ll see what comes.

Meanwhile, Warner Bros. has dropped their trailer to Christopher Nolan’s next international espionage movie Tenet on prints of Hobbs & Shaw. This is exclusively theatrical as Nolan believes in the moviegoing experience, with no word as to when the trailer will drop online. Word is that the teaser doesn’t show a lot of action, just star John David Washington, along with the tagline “It’s time for a new protagonist.”

[dxmatrixdt]

is there going to be a normal weekend at the box office next week?

[Cap]

11 hours ago, captainwondyful said:

Can it over-indexing on the West Coast save it from the East Coast numbers I'm about to drop?

 

16 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

Good job West Coast.

Edited August 2, 2019 by captainwondyful

[Inceptionzq]

Lol Deadline. Looks like I should’ve just trusted our tracking more than them

 

BOT tracking > Deadline

 

Even when they try to cheat 😂

 

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, captainwondyful said:

Good job West Coast.

 

15 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

 

15 hours ago, RealLyre said:

 

 

Excuse me, Deadline, I said:

 

15 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

(report incoming, say 10 to 15 minutes - just finished counting it, have to plug in numbers)

 

15 hours ago, Porthos said:

All in all, and taking other cities into account, think I'll call for a flat 6m in previews, +/- .4m.

 

====

 

14 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Ouch. Why you gotta give me hope like that Denver?

 

14 hours ago, Porthos said:

Sacto and Denver are family here, @Inceptionzq.  We'll avenge Han H&S after all.  Just you wait and see, Deadline.  Just you wait and see.

          I don't have Deadline.  I got family.

 

=====

 

1 hour ago, Inceptionzq said:

BOT tracking > Deadline

 

Even when they try to cheat 😂

 

Shoulda waited 15 more minutes before posting "their" estimates.  

 

SMDH.  Just smdh.    

[Cap]

7 hours ago, Porthos said:

I was curious to see how It 2 was doing at LS13 compared to some other openers, and it does seem to be broadly in line with Sacramento.

 

I am so glad you did this, because it was my plan for when I woke up in the morning.  Great minds, as they say.

 

LS13 - First Day Sales
Endgame	4665	6.55%
The Lion King	1002	30.53%
Dark Phoenix	479	63.88%
Godzilla	434	70.50%
John Wick 3	313	97.76%
It: Chapter 2	306	--
Toy Story 4	287	106.62%
Aladdin	277	110.46%
Thorkyrie AU	203	150.75%
Yesterday	182	168.13%
Pika Pika	155	197.41%
Rocketman	122	250.81%
Hobbs & Shaw	65	470.76%
Secret Lives of Pets 2	9	3400%

 

(Side note: LMFAO at that Endgame number.  #Iconic)

 

LS13 First Day Sales depend heavy on the films need for PLFs (particularly IMAX).  Gotta get my IMAX seat!  There's only 480!  All of the Top Four sellers had their first IMAX showing at 80% or more by the first day.  306 is a great start for a non-IMAX essential film.  I also find it encouraging that sales breakdown pretty evenly:

 

It Chapter 2
IMAX
7:00 PM	149	480
10:45 PM	17	480
DOLBY
7:00 PM	129	297
10:45 PM	8	297
STD
7:00 PM	3	342
9:30 PM	0	362
TOTAL	306	2258

 

 

[Inceptionzq]

IT: Chapter 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 7/411

10:45 PM – 0/411

Prime:

7 PM – 2/187

10:45 PM – 1/187

Dolby:

7 PM – 43/217

10:45 PM – 3/217

2D:

7 PM – 0/158

7 PM – 0/92

7:15 PM – 2/92

7:30 PM – 0/94

7:45 PM – 0/94

8 PM – 0/48

8:15 PM – 0/48

8:30 PM – 0/44

8:45 PM – 0/56

9 PM – 0/38

9:15 PM – 0/38

9:30 PM – 0/48

9:45 PM – 0/48

10 PM – 0/44

10:15 PM – 0/44

10:30 PM – 0/44

10:45 PM – 0/158

10:45 PM – 0/92

11 PM – 0/92

11:15 PM – 0/94

11:30 PM – 0/94

 

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 1/384

10:45 PM – 0/384

Dolby:

7 PM – 34/210

10:45 PM – 5/210

2D:

7 PM – 6/159

7:30 PM – 0/85

8 PM – 0/85

8:30 PM – 0/85

9 PM – 0/52

9:30 PM – 0/52

Total from 8 theaters(74 showings): 230/12525(1.8%)

Solid amount of showings out the gates, and there’s still one theater yet to post showings.

[cdsacken]

Sticking with 60m for the weekend. 

[cdsacken]

PSA for everyone get tempered glass protectors. I cracked like 3 phones in 6 years. The ones I get are like $7 for 3. I've cracked 3 of them in a year but my phone looks perfect. Cheaper than insurance. I use a speck rugged armor and a tempered glass on top.

[TalismanRing]

39 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

PSA for everyone get tempered glass protectors. I cracked like 3 phones in 6 years. The ones I get are like $7 for 3. I've cracked 3 of them in a year but my phone looks perfect. Cheaper than insurance. I use a speck rugged armor and a tempered glass on top.

I always get wallet cases for my phones.  The extra half second to open it and the bit more in weight is worth having it protected.

 

Edited August 3, 2019 by TalismanRing

[a2k]

Without DJ and Statham how much can F9 open to. The entertainment/quality factor will take a hit too.

[TMP]

14 minutes ago, a2k said:

Without DJ and Statham how much can F9 open to. The entertainment/quality factor will take a hit too.

Yeah, Vin Diesel kind of sucks

[Minnale101]

20 minutes ago, a2k said:

Without DJ and Statham how much can F9 open to. The entertainment/quality factor will take a hit too.

Releasing Memorial Day weekend, should open large domestically but legs will be especially with women woman 2 weeks after 

 

spongebob releases same day. Memorial Day weekend but good counter programming