The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

IT: Chapter 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 14/411

10:45 PM – 0/411

Prime: 

7 PM – 4/187

10:45 PM – 1/187

Dolby: 

7 PM – 62/217(+2)

10:45 PM – 3/217

2D: 

5 PM – 0/56

5:15 PM – 0/38

5:30 PM – 0/38

5:45 PM – 0/48

6 PM – 0/48

6:15 PM – 0/44

6:30 PM – 0/44

7 PM – 0/158

7 PM – 2/92

7:15 PM – 2/92

7:30 PM – 0/94

7:45 PM – 0/94

8 PM – 0/48

8:15 PM – 0/48

8:30 PM – 0/44

8:45 PM – 0/56

9 PM – 0/38

9:15 PM – 0/38

9:30 PM – 0/48

9:45 PM – 0/48

10 PM – 0/44

10:15 PM – 0/44

10:30 PM – 0/44

10:45 PM – 0/158

10:45 PM – 0/92

11 PM – 0/92

11:15 PM – 0/94

11:30 PM – 0/94

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 3/384

10:45 PM – 5/384

Dolby:

7 PM – 60/210

10:45 PM – 7/210(+2)

2D: 

5 PM – 0/85

5:30 PM – 0/52

6 PM – 0/52

6:30 PM – 0/52

7 PM – 9/159

7:30 PM – 0/85

7:45 PM – 0/85

8:45 PM – 0/85

9:15 PM – 2/52(+2)

9:45 PM – 0/52

10:15 PM – 0/52

Total from 9 theaters(97 showings): 376(+33)/14474(+887)(2.6%)

The final theater finally posted their showings, though only starting from 7. So, they’ll probably expand it next week, and there should be over 100 showings.

IT: Chapter 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 14/411

10:45 PM – 0/411

Prime:

7 PM – 4/187

10:45 PM – 1/187

Dolby:

7 PM – 65/217(+3)

10:45 PM – 3/217

2D:

5 PM – 0/56

5:15 PM – 0/38

5:30 PM – 1/38(+1)

5:45 PM – 0/48

6 PM – 0/48

6:15 PM – 0/44

6:30 PM – 0/44

7 PM – 0/158

7 PM – 2/92

7:15 PM – 2/92

7:30 PM – 0/94

7:45 PM – 0/94

8 PM – 0/48

8:15 PM – 0/48

8:30 PM – 0/44

8:45 PM – 0/56

9 PM – 0/38

9:15 PM – 0/38

9:30 PM – 0/48

9:45 PM – 0/48

10 PM – 0/44

10:15 PM – 0/44

10:30 PM – 0/44

10:45 PM – 0/158

10:45 PM – 0/92

11 PM – 0/92

11:15 PM – 0/94

11:30 PM – 0/94

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 3/384

10:45 PM – 5/384

Dolby:

7 PM – 61/210(+1)

10:45 PM – 7/210

2D:

5 PM – 0/85

5:30 PM – 0/52

6 PM – 0/52

6:30 PM – 0/52

7 PM – 9/159

7:30 PM – 0/85

7:45 PM – 0/85

8:45 PM – 0/85

9:15 PM – 2/52

9:45 PM – 0/52

10:15 PM – 0/52

Total from 9 theaters(97 showings): 402(+26)/14474 (2.8%)

[Menor the Destroyer]

Dora Friday:

Theaters: 237 (+2)

Showings: 1635 (+35)

Tickets Sold: 9109 (+3208)

Tickets Available: 196991 (+3772)

Estimated ATP: 9.10

Estimated Sales: 82868 (+28699)

Estimated Nationwide Sales; 580k

 

I messed up in setting the program and didn't get Scary Stories numbers

 

H&S 2nd Friday: 

Theaters: 240

Showings: 2984

Tickets Sold: 3916

Tickets Available: 391265

Estimated ATP: 11.40 (sidenote I find it interesting that even in weekend 2 this is still massively XD driven at Cinemark, more than 25% of ticket sales are for XD showings)

Estimated Sales: 44639

Estimated Nationwide Sales: 360k

[Old Spice]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

The Kitchen isn't having previews (or if it is, it is extremely limited in scope [and possibly down to theaters accidentally showing it]), so that would explain that bit.

Oh man, you're right, I completely spaced on that. So it's not quite one for the record books. But after checking on the Friday pre-sales, I think the theater must be wondering why they did book it. 7 tickets sold out of 624 available.  

Edited August 8, 2019 by A Star is Orm
typo

[TwoMisfits]

1 hour ago, CoolEric258 said:

 

> NEW RELEASES 3 - Dora and the Lost City of Gold Paramount 3,735 - - - - - - 1 5 - Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark Lionsgate 3,135 - - - - - - 1 6 - The Art of Racing in the Rain Fox 2,765 - - - - - - 1 7 - The Kitchen (2019) Warner Bros. (New Line) 2,745 - - - - - - 1 10 - Brian Banks Bleecker Street 1,240 - - - - - - 1 22 - The Bravest Sony / Columbia 150 - - - - - - 1 37 - The Peanut Butter Falcon Roadside Attractions 17 - - - - - - 1 39 - After the Wedding (2019) Sony Classics 5 - - - - - - 1 40 - Ode to Joy IFC 2 - - - - - - 1 41 - One Child Nation Amazon Studios 2 - - - - - - 1 > EXPANDING 1 2 Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Universal 4,344 +91 +2.1% - - - - 2 13 15 The Farewell A24 704 +295 +72.1% - - - - 5 18 68 Them That Follow 1091 195 +192 +6,400.0% - - - - 2 21 21 Maiden Sony Classics 173 +42 +32.1% - - - - 7 31 40 David Crosby: Remember My Name Sony Classics 47 +18 +62.1% - - - - 4 36 53 Luce Neon 24 +19 +380.0% - - - - 2 38 52 Honeyland Neon 12 +7 +140.0% - - - - 3 > DECLINING 2 1 The Lion King (2019) Buena Vista 4,220 -582 -12.1% - - - - 4 4 3 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Sony / Columbia 3,507 -152 -4.2% - - - - 3 8 4 Spider-Man: Far from Home Sony / Columbia 2,678 -768 -22.3% - - - - 6 9 5 Toy Story 4 Buena Vista 2,295 -930 -28.8% - - - - 8 11 7 Yesterday Universal 862 -975 -53.1% - - - - 7 12 6 Crawl Paramount 757 -1,963 -72.2% - - - - 5 14 8 Aladdin (2019) Buena Vista 615 -755 -55.1% - - - - 12 15 11 The Secret Life of Pets 2 Universal 400 -379 -48.7% - - - - 10 16 10 Annabelle Comes Home Warner Bros. (New Line) 346 -573 -62.4% - - - - 7 17 14 Avengers: Endgame Buena Vista 237 -183 -43.6% - - - - 16 19 13 Rocketman Paramount 181 -337 -65.1% - - - - 11 20 17 John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum Lionsgate/Summit 174 -165 -48.7% - - - - 13 23 16 Midsommar A24 144 -237 -62.2% - - - - 6 24 19 Godzilla: King of the Monsters Warner Bros. 121 -71 -37.0% - - - - 11 25 20 Pokemon Detective Pikachu Warner Bros. 113 -21 -15.7% - - - - 14 26 9 Stuber Fox 110 -970 -89.8% - - - - 5

 

LOL at most of the TC drops from Yesterday onwards. FFH and TS4 also saw a pretty sizable theater drop.

That's actually great for Spidey...lost less than Toys 4 with equivalent PTA...and stays in 71 more theaters than SMHC for the same weekend...so it should stay right on its tail or right above it all through the weekend...

 

Next weekend, it will be rough for Spidey to match SMHC's 2341, but not impossible if some of this week's releases don't make it to a full screen for weekend #2...

[Porthos]

Dora increased a tad from the last check.  Now at .21996x Pika Pika for final check.  More or less the same point in time as Pika, if not a couple minutes earlier.

 

That gives 1.25m in previews.  No 3D so lets say,  around 1m in previews?  Nothing to write home about, but a nice recovery from earlier.

Edited August 8, 2019 by Porthos

[Cap]

So my Dora numbers will be off because I forgot it was a 4PM show and then at 6:30 I was caught up in Bill & Ted's Excellent Adventure (blame @Porthos)

 

That said:  Scary Stories is selling REALLY well.  AMC 25 was 75% full at 7 an 90% full at 7:30PM.  Locally, the Recliner 7PM theater at Cinemagic was 90% full as well.

 

Will have full update and comps after the 9PM shows.

[Inceptionzq]

The Art of Racing in the Rain:

236 tickets sold

TLK comp: 715K

Adjusted(down 15%): 608K

 

I didn’t put an adjusted comp for Dora so I’ll do that here

 

Adjusted TLK comp for Dora(down 20%): 936K

[Cap]

I will post the full chart in a couple hours after the 11PM AMC 25 shows.  Lincoln Square and Cinemagic are done for the night, so we have:

 

Southern Maine Cinemagic
Movie	Today		8/1	8/5	8/6	8/7	8/8	Total	%		SOs	Shows
Dora	15		12	17	17	20	35	1335	2.62%		0	9
Scary Stories	113		0	7	13	17	130	496	26.21%		1	6

 

Lincoln Square 13
Movie	Today		8/1	8/5	8/6	8/7	8/8	Total	%		SOs	Shows
It: Chapter 2	--		306	416	--	474	--	2258			0	7
Racing In Rain	22		--	--	6	16	38	398	9.45%		0	2

 

 

Thursday Comps
Movie	Sold	%	Est
Cinemagic Chain
Scary Stories	130	--	--
MIB3	109	119.26%	3.70M
Rocketman	57	228.07%	3.99M
John Wick 3	186	69.89%	4.12M
Pika Pika	158	82.27%	4.68M
Dora	35	--	--
Pika Pika	158	22.15%	1.26M
Lincoln Square 13
Racin In Rain	38	--	--
OUATIH	1232	3.08%	0.178M
Rocketman	470	14.15%	0.142M

 

So the comps are coming out pretty consistent.

 

Scary Stories: 4.12M average

Dora: 1.26M

Racing: 0.160M average

 

I don't know if any of the comps are good ones, but we'll see in the morning.

[VanillaSkies]

Anywhere even close the 4 million preview number for Scary Stories would be incredible! Even if frontloaded, would blow past expectations for the weekend. 

Dora is doing about as expected. 

Should do decent walk-up business over the weekend and make it to the 20 million mark, but with Angry Birds coming out Tuesday (I was shocked when I saw this data on Mojo) it has very little room to breathe. 

[Alex SciChannel]

What Thursday are we looking at for scary stories yall?

[Eric the Fall Guy]

It Chapter Two Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-28 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	85	487	18,022	2.70%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Adjusted Comp

9.45x of Hobbs & Shaw 28 days before release (54.8M)

[Porthos]

On 8/7/2019 at 9:35 PM, CoolEric258 said:

It: Chapter Two Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-29 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	85	467	18,022	2.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 17

 

Adjusted Comp

10.10x of Hobbs & Shaw 29 days before release (58.6M)

 

49 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

It Chapter Two Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-28 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	85	487	18,022	2.70%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Adjusted Comp

9.45x of Hobbs & Shaw 28 days before release (54.8M)

 

#Crumbling

#IT'sNotMyClown

#BringBackCurry

#ReleaseTheThreeHourCut

[Porthos]

It: Chapter 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-28 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	99	13161	13647*	486	3.56%

*NOTE:  One theater adjusted the seats they had available for their showings, resulting in two fewer seats overall in the region.

 

Total Seats Sold Today

19

 

Not really sure what to use as a comp for this film, since as I understand it horror isn't that pre-sale heavy.  Maybe.  For now, gonna throw in a few recent ones along with JW2 and hope for the best.

 

Day 8 Comps (probably lol - use at own risk)

	%		Sold Day 8	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
Pika	146.39		14	332		0/72	7677/8009	4.15%		8.34m
Aladdin	76.42		31	636		0/68	9147/9783	6.50%		5.35m
KotM	72.86		61	667		0/90	11465/12132	5.50%		4.59m
TS4	34.06		68	1427		0/90	10880/12307	11.60%		4.09m
TLK	23.41		100	2076		0/179	17664/19740	10.52%		5.38m

PRE-SALES NOTE: Aladdin and The Lion King had 25 days of pre-sales and KotM had 21 days of pre-sales, while It 2 had 36.  Also, like It 2, some theaters had KotM tickets on sale for a few days before they were officially announced to the public for sale. 

 

Day 8 Adjusted Comps (probably lol - use at own risk)

	%		Sold Day 8	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
JW2	32.91		92	1349		0/97	8764/10113	13.34%		5.04m
It 2 (adj)	n/a		19	444		0/99	10905/11349	3.91%		n/a

PRE-SALES NOTE: Fallen Kingdom had 23 days of pre-sales, while It 2 had 36. 

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  It 2 (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom.

 

====

 

Starting tomorrow, I will be shifting to the T-x day comp model.  As such all comps except for Detective Pikachu will be removed.  The comps that have been removed will reappear at some point, probably around the T-18 or T-17 area.  

[dxmatrixdt]

so the derby restarted for The Force Awakens, The Forest debuted by itself a few weeks later. 

BOT was made BOT-2 a bunch of years before that

I don't recognize this forum as a public face, BOT isn't overcrowded, so there is probably a second BOT hidden somewhere.  

 

I guess you'd have to talk to the mods about this...

[el sid]

15 hours ago, Alex SciChannel said:

What Thursday do we seem to be looking at for Scary Stories when using comps of similar films?

I'm not the expert for Thursday numbers (but several other members here are ).
Based on only the numbers of my 10 theaters, Scary Stories sold 2.63x as many tickets as Crawl which would be ca. 2.63M. BUT Scary Stories is based on a bestseller and therefore it could be that people ordered their tickets earlier and that Scary Stories has less walk ups than the original Crawl.
I hope that the good reviews and good trailers of Scary Stories will compensate that but everything above 2M is fine to me.
 

[Menor the Destroyer]

Presales for today

Dora:

Theaters: 237

Showings: 1637

Tickets Sold: 17521 (+8412 since yesterday)

Estimated ATP: 8.90

Total Estimated Sales: 155977

Estimated Nationwide Sales: 1.1 million

 

 

Scary Stories:

Theaters: 236

Showings: 1498

Tickets Sold: 14565

Estimated ATP: 10.37

Total Estimated Sales: 151035

Estimated Nationwide Sales: 1.2 million

 

H&S:

Theaters: 241

Showings: 2994

Tickets Sold: 8555 (+4639 since yesterday)

Total Estimated Sales: 94169

Estimated Nationwide Sales: 800k

[Cap]

13 hours ago, captainwondyful said:

So the comps are coming out pretty consistent.

 

Scary Stories: 4.12M average

Dora: 1.26M

Racing: 0.160M average

 

I don't know if any of the comps are good ones, but we'll see in the morning.

So for terrible comps, I will take "one's too high, one's just right, and one's too low."  😎

 

Final Numbers for Empire 25 Last night:

 

Empire 25
Movie	Today		8/1	8/5	8/6	8/7	8/8	Total	%		SOs	Shows
Dora	52		47	100	114	125	177	927	19.09%		0	3
Scary Stories	284		76	113	132	244	528	858	61.54%		0	6
Racing In Rain	11		21	40	48	55	66	252	26.19%		0	2

Edited August 9, 2019 by captainwondyful

[TalismanRing]

11 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

So for terrible comps, I will take "one's too high, one's just high, and one's too low."  😎

Goldilocks, the middle one looks closer to just right. 

[Cap]

28 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Goldilocks, the middle one looks closer to just right. 

I FIXED THAT, if you hadn't quoted it no one would've known by you and Sheikh!!!!!

 

 

[Eric the Fall Guy]

So I was prepping up my tables for next week, but I think Angry Birds got moved up a day? Before previews started at 4 on Tuesday, but now all of a sudden it's starting at 10 AM. Is that just a last-minute date change, or is my area being weird?