The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Cap]

3 hours ago, filmlover said:

Good Boys is actually selling well around me for next weekend as well @captainwondyful. I think it can pull a Blockers type of run.

Great minds as they say. I think 65M total is in the cards, too. 

 

And @TalismanRing YAAAAY. You journeyed on

[Alex SciChannel]

51 minutes ago, el sid said:

All movies counted today at ca. 11 am EST.

Dora:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 109 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 110 (total tickets sold for Friday, 7 showtimes)
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 30 / 34 (5 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 38 / 19 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 104 / 61 (10 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 9 / 18 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 17 / 30 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 12 / 15 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 78 / 71 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 51 / 22 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 119 / 79 (5 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 10 theaters till Thursday for Thursday: 567 and for Friday: 459.
It's a family film and doesn't look frontloaded but still, that's a bit meager. Saw that boxofficepro.com also lowered their prediction to 22M OW.

Scary Stories:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 140 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 141 (total tickets sold for Friday, 6 showtimes)
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 59 / 62 (4 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 48 / 38 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 75 / 19 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 53 / 35 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 22 / 25 (5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 28 / 21 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 190 / 152 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 106 / 76 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 375 / 185 (5 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 10 theaters till Thursday for Thursday: 1.096 and for Friday: 754.
Compared to yesterday it increased by nice 70% and 59%.
Crawl had on Thursday 417 / 334.
With all the positive presale reports here and the pretty good reviews I also think around 20M should happen.

The Kitchen:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 79 (total tickets sold for Friday, 6 showtimes)
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 60 (4 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 29 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 34 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 5 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9 → Barton Creek instead): 27 (5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 7 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 119 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 53 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 106 (5 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 10 theaters till Thursday for Friday: 519.
Compared to yesterday it increased by 39%.

The Art of Racing in the Rain:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): no showtimes
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 21 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 16 (total tickets sold for Friday, 4 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 9 / 19 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 6 / 21 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 7 / 9 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 9 / 16 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 5 / 8 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 44 / 69 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 13 / 2 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 14 / 16 (5 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 9 theaters till Thursday for Thursday: 128 and for Friday: 176.
Compared to yesterday it increased by 32% and 49%.
 

Brian Banks:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): no showtimes
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): no showtimes
Boston (Boston Common 19): 5 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 6 (total tickets sold for Friday, 5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 5 / 2 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 3 / 4 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): no showtimes
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 2 / 0 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 10 / 4 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 8 / 5 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 43 / 35 (5 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 7 theaters till Thursday for Thursday: 76 and for Friday: 54.

What Thursday do we seem to be looking at for Scary Stories when using comps of similar films?

[Eric the Fall Guy]

Dora and the Lost City of Gold Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-0 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	38	203	6,434	3.16%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 80

 

Adjusted Comp

0.03x of The Lion King 0 days before release (607K)

 

It's a good-sized increase in the comps department, but it's still hard to really qualify this as being a great result overall. I'm just gonna hope my comp is being pessimistic.

[Porthos]

Took a quick spin around Sacramento for Dora.  Did a little better than I expected.  At one of the local Regals it did suspiciously well. Unlimited rearing its head, maybe?  Maybe not though, since it was only one.

 

The best comp I have, by far, is Pika Pika.  4pm matinee.  No PLF (though Pika Pika had 3D).  Name brand.

 

Doing about 0.1993x Pika Pika.

 

HOWEVER, I did this quick check about 75 minutes later than I did mid-day Pika one.  So while that is comping to 1.1m in previews, I'd expect it to come in under that.  Say, maybe 800k?   Maybe if I'm bored just before 4pm, I'll take a quick look-see and see what it's saying.

[TwoMisfits]

No comps, but I grabbed the right at 4pm presales for my area for my locals since we're still out of school...weird results...

 

1st local (Cinemark) had:

Scary Stories 60

Dora 24

ARR 3 (not a misprint)

 

So, SS looking to be the winner here, but...

 

2nd local (Regal) had:

Dora 96 (like did my area all subscribe to unlimited movies last week and decide they are showing up for Dora?:)  It's not like this area is any different ethnicity mix than the other - normally male 13-45 movies do better here, but this isn't one...I don't think:)...

Scary Stories 65 (that's consistency)

ARR 17

BTS 29 (only one show, so not bad:)...

 

So, maybe SS wins the previews tonight...or maybe Dora does with the 4pm start and the uneven ticket sale distribution...I do know ARR will NOT be winning...and heck, it won't have a full screen in week 2, if it even stays (hope they got at least a 2 week contract to keep a single showing)...

 

[TwoMisfits]

4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Took a quick spin around Sacramento for Dora.  Did a little better than I expected.  At one of the local Regals it did suspiciously well. Unlimited rearing its head, maybe?  Maybe not though, since it was only one.

 

The best comp I have, by far, is Pika Pika.  4pm matinee.  No PLF (though Pika Pika had 3D).  Name brand.

 

Doing about 0.1993x Pika Pika.

 

HOWEVER, I did this quick check about 75 minutes later than I did mid-day Pika one.  So while that is comping to 1.1m in previews, I'd expect it to come in under that.  Say, maybe 800k?   Maybe if I'm bored just before 4pm, I'll take a quick look-see and see what it's saying.

Same at my Regal...Dora might be a classic "see it for free for kicks" movie and might truly benefit from the new sub plan...

[Old Spice]

Scary, Dora, Rain, and Kitchen report for Salt Lake City. Cinemark Sugarhouse Luxury, all 2D, 3:00 PM local time.

 

Scary 60/174 34.8%

Dora 24/192 12.5%

Rain 4/186 2.2% (not a typo)

Kitchen 0/0

 

Scary is doing okay at 111% of Rocketman (= OW of $28.3) and 82% of Hobbs (= OW of $49.2 by that metric but only has 1/3 the available seats of Hobbs so it's max potential is actually just over $20)... the others are downright painful. Dora is 25% of SLOP (= OW of $11.6) and 10.7% of Aladdin (OW of $9.8), Rain is on life support, and Kitchen has already been transported to the morgue as it couldn't even get a screen at this benchmark Salt Lake theater, which is pretty much unheard of for a mainstream studio release. 

 

The dog days of summer, indeed. (Although you wouldn't know that by looking at Rain's totals. 😬)

[Eric the Fall Guy]

The Art of Racing in the Rain Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-0 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	18	86	2,395	3.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 45

 

Adjusted Comp

0.02x of The Lion King 0 days before release (373K)

 

Whatever.

[Porthos]

22 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Same at my Regal...Dora might be a classic "see it for free for kicks" movie and might truly benefit from the new sub plan...

Well, it was only one Regal.  But it was also the most trafficked Regal in town.  Well, I take that back.  One of the lower end Regals saw something of a boost as well, but not nearly the same degree as Regal Delta Shores.

 

But I think there's something to what you're saying as Delta Shores is outselling even Century Arden, if not by much (94 vs 84).  

 

If it was just one showing, I might just chalk it up to random variance.  But when I see a huge percentage of sales at two showings that isn't being replicated elsewhere, plus a slight boost at a lower end theater, it does make me wonder a bit.

 

Seems as good an explanation as any.

Edited August 8, 2019 by Porthos

[Porthos]

3 minutes ago, A Star is Orm said:

Scary, Dora, Rain, and Kitchen report for Salt Lake City. Cinemark Sugarhouse Luxury, all 2D, 3:00 PM local time.

 

Scary 60/174 34.8%

Dora 24/192 12.5%

Rain 4/186 2.2% (not a typo)

Kitchen 0/0

 

Scary is doing okay at 111% of Rocketman (= OW of $28.3) and 82% of Hobbs (= OW of $49.2 by that metric but only has 1/3 the available seats of Hobbs so it's max potential is actually just over $20)... the others are downright painful. Dora is 25% of SLOP (= OW of $11.6) and 10.7% of Aladdin (OW of $9.8), Rain is on life support, and Kitchen has already been transported to the morgue as it couldn't even get a screen at this benchmark Salt Lake theater, which is pretty much unheard of for a mainstream studio release. 

 

The dog days of summer, indeed. (Although you wouldn't know that by looking at Rain's totals. 😬)

The Kitchen isn't having previews (or if it is, it is extremely limited in scope [and possibly down to theaters accidentally showing it]), so that would explain that bit.

[Eric the Fall Guy]

 

> NEW RELEASES 3 - Dora and the Lost City of Gold Paramount 3,735 - - - - - - 1 5 - Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark Lionsgate 3,135 - - - - - - 1 6 - The Art of Racing in the Rain Fox 2,765 - - - - - - 1 7 - The Kitchen (2019) Warner Bros. (New Line) 2,745 - - - - - - 1 10 - Brian Banks Bleecker Street 1,240 - - - - - - 1 22 - The Bravest Sony / Columbia 150 - - - - - - 1 37 - The Peanut Butter Falcon Roadside Attractions 17 - - - - - - 1 39 - After the Wedding (2019) Sony Classics 5 - - - - - - 1 40 - Ode to Joy IFC 2 - - - - - - 1 41 - One Child Nation Amazon Studios 2 - - - - - - 1 > EXPANDING 1 2 Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Universal 4,344 +91 +2.1% - - - - 2 13 15 The Farewell A24 704 +295 +72.1% - - - - 5 18 68 Them That Follow 1091 195 +192 +6,400.0% - - - - 2 21 21 Maiden Sony Classics 173 +42 +32.1% - - - - 7 31 40 David Crosby: Remember My Name Sony Classics 47 +18 +62.1% - - - - 4 36 53 Luce Neon 24 +19 +380.0% - - - - 2 38 52 Honeyland Neon 12 +7 +140.0% - - - - 3 > DECLINING 2 1 The Lion King (2019) Buena Vista 4,220 -582 -12.1% - - - - 4 4 3 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Sony / Columbia 3,507 -152 -4.2% - - - - 3 8 4 Spider-Man: Far from Home Sony / Columbia 2,678 -768 -22.3% - - - - 6 9 5 Toy Story 4 Buena Vista 2,295 -930 -28.8% - - - - 8 11 7 Yesterday Universal 862 -975 -53.1% - - - - 7 12 6 Crawl Paramount 757 -1,963 -72.2% - - - - 5 14 8 Aladdin (2019) Buena Vista 615 -755 -55.1% - - - - 12 15 11 The Secret Life of Pets 2 Universal 400 -379 -48.7% - - - - 10 16 10 Annabelle Comes Home Warner Bros. (New Line) 346 -573 -62.4% - - - - 7 17 14 Avengers: Endgame Buena Vista 237 -183 -43.6% - - - - 16 19 13 Rocketman Paramount 181 -337 -65.1% - - - - 11 20 17 John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum Lionsgate/Summit 174 -165 -48.7% - - - - 13 23 16 Midsommar A24 144 -237 -62.2% - - - - 6 24 19 Godzilla: King of the Monsters Warner Bros. 121 -71 -37.0% - - - - 11 25 20 Pokemon Detective Pikachu Warner Bros. 113 -21 -15.7% - - - - 14 26 9 Stuber Fox 110 -970 -89.8% - - - - 5

 

LOL at most of the TC drops from Yesterday onwards. FFH and TS4 also saw a pretty sizable theater drop.

Edited August 8, 2019 by CoolEric258

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

August 9
Updated Thursday afternoons
 

<< Prev. Week < Last Year	View Index	Next Year > Next Week >>
Rank LW Title Distributor Theater Count Change % Change Est. Screens Change Est. Shows Change Week # > NEW RELEASES 3 - Dora and the Lost City of Gold Paramount 3,735 - - - - - - 1 5 - Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark Lionsgate 3,135 - - - - - - 1 6 - The Art of Racing in the Rain Fox 2,765 - - - - - - 1 7 - The Kitchen (2019) Warner Bros. (New Line) 2,745 - - - - - - 1 10 - Brian Banks Bleecker Street 1,240 - - - - - - 1 22 - The Bravest Sony / Columbia 150 - - - - - - 1 37 - The Peanut Butter Falcon Roadside Attractions 17 - - - - - - 1 39 - After the Wedding (2019) Sony Classics 5 - - - - - - 1 40 - Ode to Joy IFC 2 - - - - - - 1 41 - One Child Nation Amazon Studios 2 - - - - - - 1 > EXPANDING 1 2 Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Universal 4,344 +91 +2.1% - - - - 2 13 15 The Farewell A24 704 +295 +72.1% - - - - 5 18 68 Them That Follow 1091 195 +192 +6,400.0% - - - - 2 21 21 Maiden Sony Classics 173 +42 +32.1% - - - - 7 31 40 David Crosby: Remember My Name Sony Classics 47 +18 +62.1% - - - - 4 36 53 Luce Neon 24 +19 +380.0% - - - - 2 38 52 Honeyland Neon 12 +7 +140.0% - - - - 3 > DECLINING 2 1 The Lion King (2019) Buena Vista 4,220 -582 -12.1% - - - - 4 4 3 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Sony / Columbia 3,507 -152 -4.2% - - - - 3 8 4 Spider-Man: Far from Home Sony / Columbia 2,678 -768 -22.3% - - - - 6 9 5 Toy Story 4 Buena Vista 2,295 -930 -28.8% - - - - 8 11 7 Yesterday Universal 862 -975 -53.1% - - - - 7 12 6 Crawl Paramount 757 -1,963 -72.2% - - - - 5 14 8 Aladdin (2019) Buena Vista 615 -755 -55.1% - - - - 12 15 11 The Secret Life of Pets 2 Universal 400 -379 -48.7% - - - - 10 16 10 Annabelle Comes Home Warner Bros. (New Line) 346 -573 -62.4% - - - - 7 17 14 Avengers: Endgame Buena Vista 237 -183 -43.6% - - - - 16 19 13 Rocketman Paramount 181 -337 -65.1% - - - - 11 20 17 John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum Lionsgate/Summit 174 -165 -48.7% - - - - 13 23 16 Midsommar A24 144 -237 -62.2% - - - - 6 24 19 Godzilla: King of the Monsters Warner Bros. 121 -71 -37.0% - - - - 11 25 20 Pokemon Detective Pikachu Warner Bros. 113 -21 -15.7% - - - - 14 26 9 Stuber Fox 110 -970 -89.8% - - - - 5

 

LOL at most of the TC drops from Yesterday onwards. FFH and TS4 also saw a pretty sizable theater drop.

 

(I've been checking that every few minutes, must have just updated )

 

So much red everywhere there.

 

That Stuber drop is horrific.  Crawl is expected but still pretty bad.  TS4's drop has been a bit overdue, so I'm not too surprised by it.   Still over Inc 2's theater count for the same weekend though (TS4: 2295 | I2: 1802), so it might not be hurt too badly, relatively speaking.

[Inceptionzq]

@Valonqar I don’t think you’ll like that Crawl drop...

[Porthos]

Quote

10

-

Brian Banks

Bleecker Street

1,240

So much for hitting 1500 theaters. 

[Inceptionzq]

So I did a count for Dora... and it's actually doing very well. About 36 hours ago it was at 101 tickets sold. Now it's at 385 tickets sold.

 

TLK comp: 1.17M

[XXR vs XXR]

18 hours ago, JB33 said:

You heard Porthos, @VenomXXR, get to work!!

 

 

18 hours ago, Porthos said:

I believe the emoticon you were looking for is right here:

 

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

[Eric the Fall Guy]

Brian Banks Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-0 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	16	31	1,962	1.58%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 21

[Eric the Fall Guy]

Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-0 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	34	651	4,882	13.33%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 370

 

Comp

1.52x of Crawl 0 days before release (1.5M)

 

That is a pretty decent drop in comps, but still a pretty decent preview number all things considered, and 20M isn't completely off the table.

[Eric the Fall Guy]

And now, my long nightmare of tracking 5 movies is over...for now.

 

[JB33]

Yeah, Stuber's drop is going to be legendary! 

 

Y'know, maybe grosses for all new openers won't be quite as bad as we all think, due to massive theatre drops for holdovers. Not saying they're all going to be a hit or overperform, but maybe walk-ups for all of them surprise us a bit with people arriving at the theatre and going "Woa, look at all the new movies".