The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[cdsacken]

2 hours ago, Krissykins said:

Good for you. But nothing was pointing towards that prior to release. 

Hmm, TS4 definitely underperformed though. Domestically, overseas and overall worldwide. Also missed industry tracking on opening weekend. 

It did underperform then had insane legs. If jokes has 3.6x I will die from a heart attack of shock. Hope Saturday holds up well and does 30+  like 32 or something.

 

In the end 1.058B isnt disappointing for many films. Would have been for EG, Lion King, and a couple others. 433 domestic is awesome.

[kitik]

okay, playing the "what's on sale" game

 

next Thursday, we've got

Addams Family starting at 4

Gemini Man starting at 7

Jexi starting at 7

 

 

Thursday Oct 17, we've got

Maleficent starting at 7

Zombieland starting at 7

 

on Wednesday Oct 16

Zombieland Double Tap Double Feature

 

 

on Halloween Thursday, we've got

Terminator starting at 7

 

On Friday November 1 we have

Arctic Dogs starting in the morning, with no Thursday night shows

 

 

on Thursday November 14, 

Charlies Angels starting at 4

 

on Nov 13, a

Charlies Angels Girls Night Out special showing

 

 

On Friday November 22 and Saturday Nov 23

Knives Out Early Access Screening, which is not on sale yet

 

For Tuesday, Nov 26

Knives Out stating at 7 (also not on sale yet)

 

 

so what's NOT on sale?

for October, the 3 movies currently listed as wide release on the 25th-Black and Blue, Countdown, and Current War

 

for November, most everything-Harriet, Motherless Brooklyn, Doctor Sleep, Last Christmas, Midway, Playing With Fire, Ford v Ferrari, Good Liar, 21 Bridges, Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Frozen 2, and Queen&Slim

(Note- I'm just listing the BOM wide releases)

 

 

 

 

so what's going on sale next? (besides Knives Out obviously, which is listed as 130 minutes coincidentally)

 

The remaining wide releases for October should go on sale within 10 days. Frozen 2 might not go on sale until the weekend after Maleficent. We'll see if that Disney ticket schedule changes. Star Wars could drop at any point over the next 2 months. From the other November movies, Doctor Sleep might make some sense to put on sale in the month of October. Studios might be hoping that Midway and Ford v Ferrari are big enough to justify putting on sale reasonably early. Of course with Knives Out being listed this early, anything could be next, maybe even Queen&Slim or Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood. 

 

Also, for a "Girls Night Out" early preview, Last Christmas might have been a better choice than Charlies Angels.

[Eric Loves Rey]

8 minutes ago, kitik said:

so what's NOT on sale?

for October, the 3 movies currently listed as wide release on the 25th-Black and Blue, Countdown, and Current War

 

for November, most everything-Harriet, Motherless Brooklyn, Doctor Sleep, Last Christmas, Midway, Playing With Fire, Ford v Ferrari, Good Liar, 21 Bridges, Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Frozen 2, and Queen&Slim

(Note- I'm just listing the BOM wide releases)

Don't want to be that guy. But UM ACTUALLY, there are a couple theaters around me that have the October 25th openers up. Black and Blue and Current War start at 7, while Countdown looks to be starting at 8.

 

Also Harriet is having previews at 7, and I didn't know until now it's going straight to wide. Maybe the lukewarm reviews meant Focus wanted to get as much money as possible upfront.

[kitik]

1 minute ago, Eric! said:

Don't want to be that guy. But UM ACTUALLY, there are a couple theaters around me that have the October 25th openers up. Black and Blue and Current War start at 7, while Countdown looks to be starting at 8.

 

Also Harriet is having previews at 7, and I didn't know until now it's going straight to wide. Maybe the lukewarm reviews meant Focus wanted to get as much money as possible upfront.

 

 

Good info all around.

 

I was only going by my local theaters only.

[Eric Loves Rey]

@kitik Almost forgot, Fandango announced Doctor Sleep's tickets would go on sale on October 25 a while back.

[kitik]

oh yeah, that rings a bell

 

 

I'm glad someone is paying attention!

[kitik]

Also, while I'm here, let me ask: what is your opinion on Terminator preview numbers?

 

Thanks to All Hallows Eve, the previews-to-OW ratio is going to be a crapshoot, making that exact Thursday night number somewhat meaningless in this instance. Or do you think people will just be more likely to show up for 8 o'clock or 9 o'clock shows as opposed to the earlier 7pm ones?

[Eric Loves Rey]

Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	32	126	8,464	1.49%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 2

 

Comp

0.157x of It: Chapter Two 12 days before release (1.64M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.051x of Lion King 12 days before release (1.16M)

0.589x of Hobbs & Shaw 12 days before release (3.42M)

 

This really needs to do well the next few days. It's been lagging behind Hobbs & Shaw, the best comp so far, at an alarming rate. Sub-40M could happen if things don't shape up.

[Eric Loves Rey]

Terminator: Dark Fate Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-26 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	30	33	8,099	0.41%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 8

 

Comp

0.065x of It: Chapter Two 26 days before release (685K)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.536x of Hobbs & Shaw 26 days before release (3.11M)

 

This wasn't an amazing day per se, but rising comps are always a good thing, and that 3M is a much more believable preview number at the moment.

[keysersoze123]

Malficent 2 Previews (T-12)

AMC(747 shows): 8590/155531

 

It has got Imax and Prime at Empire 25 but not dolby. I wonder if Joker will keep some PLF beyond Malficent release. I am not sure if its good or bad. Only time will tell. Of course show count is well below joker but they are not comparable.

[Old Spice]

Looking at Joker Sunday seating charts in Salt Lake, I'm not seeing much, if any, fall off from yesterday until we get to the very last showings, 9:55 PM and later. That 35% projected drop from Saturday looks very attainable from this vantage point.

Edited October 6, 2019 by A Star is Orm
typo

[TalismanRing]

On 10/3/2019 at 3:55 PM, TalismanRing said:

JOKER - NYC Local	Mon (9/30) (4:20pm)		Tues (10/1) (4pm)		Wed (10/2) (4pm)		Thur (10/3) (3:45pm)
(RPX) 4:30PM	24/320		27/320		29/320		66/320
(RPX) 7:30PM	70/320		92/320		152/320		175/320
(RPX) 10:30PM	37/320		46/320		51/320		68/320
(2D) 4:PM	22/301		23/301		27/301		70/301
(2D) 5:PM	10/301		10/301		14/301		9/301
(2D) 5:30PM	13/257		16/257		20/257		34/257
(2D) 7:PM	38/301		43/301		64/301		122/301
(2D) 8:PM	32/301		40/301		54/301		92/301
(2D) 8:30PM	24/257		39/257		52/257		62/257
(2D) 9PM							7/205
(2D) 9:30PM	24/256		29/256		40/256		71/256
(2D) 10:PM	15/301		15/301		14/301		30/301
(2D) 11:PM	19/301		19/301		25/301		40/301
	328/3536=9.276%		399/3536=11.28%		542/3536=15.32%		760/3741=20.03%

 

 

COMPS

(Thur 3:30-4pm numbers)

OUATIH:  $13.15m (4pm start)

X-Men:DP: $13.97m (6pm start)

Rambo:  $13.53m (6pm start)

 

(Wed 9pm numbers)

AEG:  $9.39m

Toss out AEG which had very little room for any walk ups with all the pre-sales (90%+) and my theater avg was $13.55m

 

OUATIH turned out to be the best comp in previews and internal w/e multi (7.068x)

 

 

Edited October 6, 2019 by TalismanRing

[Inceptionzq]

Addams Family Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24
3D:
5:00 PM	0	56
7:30 PM	10	56
9:45 PM	1	56
2D:
4:00 PM	3	94
6:30 PM	3	94
9:00 PM	2	94
Total	19	450

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
53	6	3527	1.50%	7	26

 

Abominable comp: 1.44M

[XXR vs XXR]

Maleficent: Mistress of Evil -- AMC Willowbrook 24 -- 11 Days to Previews -- 5:00pm CST

 

Digital: 1 showing, 22 tickets sold out of 125 available (17.60%)

[Inceptionzq]

Gemini Man Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24
Prime 3D:
7:00 PM	40	187
9:50 PM	6	187
2D:
7:00 PM	11	92
10:20 PM	2	92
Total	59	558

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
102	15	3046	3.35%	7	19

 

 

Ad Astra comp: 2.83M

Rambo comp: 2.71M

[XXR vs XXR]

Gemini Man -- AMC Willowbrook 24 -- 4 Days to Previews -- 530pm CST 

 

IMAX/Dolby: 35 tickets sold out of 507 seats available (06.90%)

Digital: 1 ticket sold out of 250 seats available (00.4%)

 

Total: 36 tickets sold out of 757 seats available (04.76%)

[Inceptionzq]

Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Thursday Night Showings

AMC Westminster 24
3D:
7:30 PM	19	48
10:20 PM	4	48
2D:
7:00 PM	14	158
10:05 PM	1	158

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
84	3	2957	2.84%	7	23

 

Lion King comp: 1.24M

Edited October 6, 2019 by Inceptionzq

[Old Spice]

Salt Lake Valley report for Gemini Man, 4 days before previews.

 

Salt Lake City, Cinemark Sugarhouse

Thursday total- 0/214

Friday total- 0/535

 

West Jordan, Jordan Landing 24

Thursday total- 9/622

Friday total- 2/1075

 

Total Thursday 9/836

 

Total Friday 2/1610

 

 

 

 

 

 

[keysersoze123]

10 minutes ago, A Star is Orm said:

Salt Lake Valley report for Gemini Man, 4 days before previews.

 

Salt Lake City, Cinemark Sugarhouse

Thursday total- 0/214

Friday total- 0/535

 

West Jordan, Jordan Landing 24

Thursday total- 9/622

Friday total- 2/1075

 

Total Thursday 9/836

 

Total Friday 2/1610

 

 

 

 

 

 

its gonna break out for shoo. 🙂

[Old Spice]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

its gonna break out for shoo. 🙂

It was at 8 the other day so percentage wise it's had a nice move. 😎

Edited October 7, 2019 by A Star is Orm
typo