The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric Duncan]

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-90 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	52	385	12,658	3.04%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 10

 

Today was actually above average for the movie. I guess it got a TV spot played or something?

[john2000]

3 hours ago, Eric the Hedgehog said:

Onward Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	44	60	8,937	0.67%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

 

Comp

0.484x of Maleficent 13 days before release (1.11M)
1.463x of Dolittle (1.35M)

0.667x of Sonic (2M)

 

Yeah, this is awful. I don't care if there are advance screenings; there should have been a review bump, or at least a handful of tickets being sold. Let's hope there's a spike coming eventually.

do we have any comparison with out pixar originals ?

[lorddemaxus]

2 hours ago, john2000 said:

do we have any comparison with out pixar originals ?

No, because we haven't had a Pixar original in 2 years which means that 1) it's a terrible comp because presales have become more inflated over the past few years and 2) Eric has only started his tracking since the summer of last year when pulse went down.

 

I'd say his comps are solid enough.

Edited February 22, 2020 by lorddemaxus

[ThomasNicole]

For who wants to track this one, Mulan tickets is on sale (since yesterday apparently).

 

 

 

[Eric Duncan]

Mulan tickets still aren't up here. I don't know wtf Disney is doing here.

 

Also of note, Quiet Place Too has showtimes up as well.  We'll probably get tickets up for both later this week

[ThomasNicole]

Aladdin will probably a good comparison for Mulan

 

If i Remember well Aladdin tracking was pretty bad just like Mulan expectations / BOP tracking, but the presales always suggests it could be bigger than expected (despite not pointing to $ 91M 3-day).

 

[Inceptionzq]

Some Cinemarks have showtimes for Mulan up here, but not for sale. Same with A Quiet Place

Edited February 22, 2020 by Inceptionzq

[Liiviig 1998]

25 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Aladdin will probably a good comparison for Mulan

 

If i Remember well Aladdin tracking was pretty bad just like Mulan expectations / BOP tracking, but the presales always suggests it could be bigger than expected (despite not pointing to $ 91M 3-day).

 

Aladdin tracking was 80M+ . Though that was 4 day.

Mulan is way lower than that .

 

You can't compare mulan to Aladdin . YES they are both reneissance era  but Aladdin was way more beloved.  The things that were loved by mulan ( mushu and songs) have been removed from the movie which may alienate Western audience. They tailored it for china which seems to have backfired in their faces with coronavirus.

Probably gonna open 70-75m with final of  Abt 180m- 250m Dom IMO.

 

[ThomasNicole]

10 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

Aladdin tracking was 80M+ . Though that was 4 day.

Mulan is way lower than that .

 

You can't compare mulan to Aladdin . YES they are both reneissance era  but Aladdin was way more beloved.  The things that were loved by mulan ( mushu and songs) have been removed from the movie which may alienate Western audience. They tailored it for china which seems to have backfired in their faces with coronavirus.

Probably gonna open 70-75m with final of  Abt 180m- 250m Dom IMO.

 

Isn’t 60-70M 4-day?

 

Well maybe i read wrong 

 

 

[keysersoze123]

On 2/19/2020 at 2:02 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Invisible Man(T-8)

MTC1 - overall 750 shows 3180/160625 55488.70 45975.33 +1347

MTC2 - overall 770 shows 947/144025 11809.92 8591.96 +174

 

At least it sold some tickets in MTC1. Most of the shows that have sold well are in big cities. May be this could be a late bloomer. 

Invisible Man(T-5)

MTC1 Prev - overall 777 shows 4790/165078 82655.61 68333.44 +1610
MTC2 Prev - overall 771 shows 1216/143892 15170.40 10997.94 +269
MTC1 OD - overall 1332 shows 2868/303925 51384.58 43612.07 post 6PM 724 shows 2137/167551 38869.78 32582.63
MTC2 OD - overall 1676 shows 1992/325327 22540.29 18068.60 post 6PM 714 shows 1136/140703 14656.86 10685.42

 

It has done well in few IMAX/Dolby shows at plexes in large cities. Otherwise it has done nothing. Looking at OD PS does not show any sign of backloaded run. Its going to be driven by reviews/WOM than huge buzz. 

[Krissykins]

4 hours ago, ThomasNicole said:

Aladdin will probably a good comparison for Mulan

 

If i Remember well Aladdin tracking was pretty bad just like Mulan expectations / BOP tracking, but the presales always suggests it could be bigger than expected (despite not pointing to $ 91M 3-day).

 

Mulan has the benefit of not having a horrific trailer lol

[keysersoze123]

On 2/17/2020 at 8:54 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Fast and Furious 9 (T - 94)

MTC1 - overall 954 shows 16769/208629 288634.02 

MTC2 - overall 1945 shows 7210/316826 95594.69

 

I am impressed by how well its doing at MTC1. It sold almost 10K tickets in under 3 weeks. Still its almost impossible to predict how big its previews will be. Only thing I am sure it will be way higher than Hobbs and Shaw. 

Things have really slowed down. MTC1 is at 17193 and MTC2 is at 7550. I will check again in a month's time. Real action will only happen close to release. 

[Liiviig 1998]

6 hours ago, ThomasNicole said:

Isn’t 60-70M 4-day?

 

Well maybe i read wrong 

 

 

Box office pro long range tracking

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-aladdin/&ved=2ahUKEwjVhbjDzebnAhXZUhUIHSA-BjQQFjADegQIAxAB&usg=AOvVaw1oro1wV5NVNMk79y4x9pO-

 

Deadline

 

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://deadline.com/2019/05/aladdin-box-office-opening-weekend-projection-will-smith-1202606259/amp/&ved=2ahUKEwiRh5uyz-bnAhUEQxUIHWttAT4QFjAFegQIBBAC&usg=AOvVaw0tLzOq0xwRMhSyitAi_xpl&ampcf=1

 

Variety;

 

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://variety.com/2019/film/news/aladdin-box-office-opening-memorial-day-1203221110/amp/&ved=2ahUKEwiRh5uyz-bnAhUEQxUIHWttAT4QFjACegQIBRAJ&usg=AOvVaw3ws2FLgBPqnzxwDgRidnJc&ampcf=1

Edited February 23, 2020 by Liiviig 1998

[Eric Duncan]

Onward Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	44	64	8,937	0.72%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 4

 

Comp

0.508x of Maleficent 12 days before release (1.17M)
1.561x of Dolittle (1.44M)

0.653x of Sonic (1.96M)

 

Well...it's better.

[Eric Duncan]

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-89 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	52	385	12,658	3.04%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

[a2k]

Trolls did 154 dom in Nov 2016 and Onward could come in under imo. Disney owns Fox now but Fox/DW got Trolls right on 125 prod budget and if Disney/Pixar cannot beat that it makes a fun story 😊.

Edited February 23, 2020 by a2k

[lorddemaxus]

32 minutes ago, Eric the Hedgehog said:

Onward Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	44	64	8,937	0.72%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 4

 

Comp

0.508x of Maleficent 12 days before release (1.17M)
1.561x of Dolittle (1.44M)

0.653x of Sonic (1.31M)

 

Well...it's better.

Lack of original family film comps in the past two Marches makes it hard to find a good comp. But Wonder Park managed a 22.5x. This movie has early screenings which should deflate Thursday previews but also has the Pixar brand name behind it which should even it out. I think around the multi sounds good which means 1.8 mil previews is needed for 40 mil OW.

[Porthos]

On 2/21/2020 at 9:00 PM, Eric the Hedgehog said:

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-90 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	52	385	12,658	3.04%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 10

 

Today was actually above average for the movie. I guess it got a TV spot played or something?

I know it dropped back down to zero in your market yesterday, but some TV-tie in car ads started over the last couple of days.  Had the first zero day locally on Friday, but had a 22 ticket day yesterday (was a group sale at one theater which gave a huge spike, but even outside of that, there were relatively strong sales).

 

Seeing a ton of them on spring training games, and I have to presume they're playing on other sport events as well.

[Porthos]

BTW, in case I don't notice it on my own, could someone tag me when AQP II tickets start going on sale?  Planning on tracking that and using It 2 as my comp.  Yeah, not a perfect comp, but I do want a second thriller/horror flick in my comps and it looks to be right at my 70m OW threshold, so even if it comes in a little under on preview night it should still be worth it.

[Eric Duncan]

Onward Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	44	69	8,937	0.77%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 5

 

Comp

0.523x of Maleficent 11 days before release (1.20M)
1.683x of Dolittle (1.56M)

0.616x of Sonic (1.85M)