The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric Duncan]

21 minutes ago, AdrianL said:

So I guess it's not just for Birds of Prey for WB putting tickets on sale late as they haven't put The Way Back tickets on sale yet. Not like that's gonna be a big preseller but that seems dumb. Hope they don't do this with Wonder Woman. 

 

Edit: hmmm they seem to be available on Fandango but not on Atom. Ok lol

Yeah, tickets are up. But more importantly, this is following in the tradition of The Kitchen, The Goldfinch, The Big Liar, and Richard Jewell by not having Thursday previews. That's an oof right there

[Eric Duncan]

The Invisible Man Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	43	339	7,748	4.38%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 5

Total Seats Added Today: 412

Total Seats Sold Today: 111

 

Comp

2.187x of Crawl 1 day before release (2.19M)

1.206x of Scary Stories (2.81M)

2.825x of Ready or Not (2.06M)

0.142x of It Chapter Two (1.49M)

0.763x of Zombieland (2.18M)

1.832x of Doctor Sleep (2.75M)

 

Yeah, good stuff. Whether 30M+ will happen really depends on tomorrow's sales.

[Eric Duncan]

Onward Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	49	95	10,341	0.92%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 2

Total Seats Added Today: 168

Total Seats Sold Today: 21

 

Comp

0.637x of Maleficent 8 days before release (1.47M)

0.792x of Jumanji (3.72M)
1.939x of Dolittle (1.79M)

0.495x of Sonic (1.48M)

 

I think it'll come down to Earth tomorrow. Big jumps like these typically see that kind of stuff. But yeah, this was a really great day today.

[Eric Duncan]

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-85 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	52	382	12,658	3.02%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

 

That was easy.

[Cappoedameron]

How much do we estimate Heroes Rising is tracking for? Especially cause WB came out recently and said they want to do a live action version of MHA.

 

Granted it is limited release.

Edited February 27, 2020 by Cappoedameron

[Darth Lehnsherr]

Can confirm movies open on Thursday in Australia 

[AdrianL]

Mulan tickets are on sale!

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

Lets get to work people! 

[Boxofficerules]

My local is selling tickets for A Quiet Place 2.

[Valonqar]

9 hours ago, Eric the Hedgehog said:

The Invisible Man Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

Yeah, good stuff. Whether 30M+ will happen really depends on tomorrow's sales.

my family contrbuted so fingers crossed! 

[john2000]

@Menor , @keysersoze123 , guys are mulan tickets online ? if so how is going ?

[Menor the Destroyer]

46 minutes ago, john2000 said:

@Menor , @keysersoze123 , guys are mulan tickets online ? if so how is going ?

Yep, they're online now.

[Madhuvan]

Nevermind

Edited February 27, 2020 by Madhuvan

[Eric Duncan]

https://deadline.com/2020/02/a-quiet-place-part-ii-to-scare-up-60m-opening-early-box-office-forecast-1202869747/

 

Quote

John Krasinski’s A Quiet Place Part II, the sequel to his surprise 2018 Paramount-Platinum Dunes $341M-global grossing genre hit A Quiet Place, arrived on tracking this morning with a projected opening of $60M. The sequel hits theaters on March 20, and is on track to beat the first film’s $50.2M domestic opening. A Quiet Place Part II is the only major studio wide release on its opening weekend.

 

A Quiet Place Part II is currently strong with females under 25, African Americans and Hispanic demos, but overall I hear it’s strong with all quads. Analysts are comparing A Quiet Place Part II‘s opening numbers to such movies as Us ($71.1M opening), A Quiet Place, Halloween ($76.2M), and It Chapter 2 ($91M).  Paramount has been pushing the sequel aggressively as one of this spring’s event pics, one piece of marketing being the sequel’s Super Bowl pre-game spot.

 

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Invisible Man (Wednesday Morning Update)
MTC1 Prev - overall 1037 shows 11583/202921 194539.19 159948.55 +2025

MTC2 Prev - overall 1010 shows 3130/169749 39393.09 28341.59 +603

MTC1 OD - overall 2635 shows 11334/545435 190712.66 159858.16 +2906

MTC2 OD - overall 2371 shows 6177/415388 70890.83 55185.55 +1608

 

Its show count have gone up big time especially for OD. I still dont see previews more than 2m and based on OD PS I dont see more than low 20's OW. Let us see how walk ups are tomorrow and see if that number goes up. Its BO is dominated by Imax/PLF in large cities. 

Invisible Man(Thursday Morning Update)

MTC1 Prev - overall 1056 shows 17595/205832 289188.38 236635.77 +6012

MTC2 Prev - overall 1017 shows 5732/171102 71727.75 51617.01 +2602

 

MTC2 numbers are still incredibly weak. Need to do 4x at MTC2 today and hit 40K+ at MTC1 to hit 2m. Definitely possible. 

 

I will update OD PS later tonight but by nightime yesterday it was slightly higher than previews at MTC1 and 60-70% higher. if it hits 2m of PS for OD by morning tomorrow it will be on course for 9-10m true friday based on @charlie Jatinder which should be enough for 30m OW. 

[charlie Jatinder]

8 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

if it hits 2m of PS for OD by morning tomorrow it will be on course for 9-10m true friday based on @charlie Jatinder which should be enough for 30m OW. 

Wait what🙄

[lorddemaxus]

3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Wait what🙄

I think he means based on what you said about the OD PS to OD multiplier.

[keysersoze123]

5 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Wait what🙄

you said it will do 4-5x OD PS. So if it does 2m PS for OD that should be good for 9-10. Or am I wrong. I initially thought just 3x based on earlier data I have. Sorry if i am wrong on my assumption. 

[charlie Jatinder]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

you said it will do 4-5x OD PS. So if it does 2m PS for OD that should be good for 9-10. Or am I wrong. I initially thought just 3x based on earlier data I have. Sorry if i am wrong on my assumption. 

I mean these are small numbers. Curse of La Larona had over 5x PSm. US had barely 3.5x while Happy Death Day 2 had around 4x on a Wednesday so I don't have really an Idea what this will do but yeah more than 3x is certain I guess. Even 4x is likely.

 

Reason I posted "wait what" was because I didn't said anything about 9-10 thing.

Edited February 27, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I mean these are small numbers. Curse of La Larona had over 5x PSm. US had barely 3.5x while Happy Death Day 2 had around 4x on a Wednesday so I don't have really an Idea what this will do but yeah more than 3x is certain I guess. Even 4x is likely.

 

Reason I posted "wait what" was because I didn't said anything about 9-10 thing.

I am projecting from 2m PS based on OD data from yesterday. It could be even slighly more than 2m PS(2.25m or so). That is why I said 9-10m. But I will update tonight and make final projections. These are just possibilities at this point. I had thought yesterday that this will max do 10-11x previews. but based on data its looking like 13-15x previews.