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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: PREMIERE NIGHT (FINAL REPORT) [5:30pm - 6:30pm]

(sellouts for THIS REPORT ONLY includes ALL theaters with six or less seats left)

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

8

216

9439

19992

52.79%

 

Total Sellouts Since 1pm:                       7
Total Showings Added Since 1pm:       14

Total Seats Added Since 1pm:           845

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:             1520

 

1.1271x as many tickets sold as Black Panther at final report.               (= 28.4 Thr)

.6939x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at final report.                     (=27.1 Thr)

1.1231x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 at final report.                  (=20.9 Thr)

1.5778x as many tickets sold as Solo at final report.                             (=22.2 Thr)

1.4667x as many tickets sold as Jurassic World 2 at final report.            (=22.4 Thr)

1.9835x as many tickets sold as Ant-Man and the Wasp at final report. (=22.2 Thr)

2.1582x as many tickets sold as Venom at final report.                          (=21.5 Thr)

1.9003x as many tickets sold as Fantastic Beasts 2 at final report.         (=17.3 Thr)

NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio.

 

Also, see the second spoiler box for different comps with BP, without the new theater in town.

 

More detailed Final comps (Spoilered for space):

Spoiler

BP:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

26

136

3377

11481

70.59%

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm(ish):     1232

 

IW:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

59

182

1995

15159

86.84%

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm(ish):       878


DP2:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

3

169

8357

16490

49.32%

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm(ish):     1262

 

Solo:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

5

143

7732

13521

42.81%

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm(ish):       486

 

JW2:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

1

147

7487

13715

45.41%

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:           1275

 

AM&tW:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

114

6515

11120

41.41%

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:            1070

 

Venom

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

127

8736

13229

33.96%

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:            1012

 

FB2:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

135

10784

15887

32.12%

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:             756

 

CM (adj)*:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

8

216

7288

1642

55.62%

* CM (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for

 

Further CM (adj) info:

Total Sellouts Added Since 1pm:             7

Total Showings Added Since 1pm:        14

Total Seats Added Since 1pm:             845 

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:              1219

 

Extra BP Comp inside Spoiler Box:

 

Spoiler

A comp without the new theater in town, for a pure like-for-like comparison:

 

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (FINAL REPORT) [5:30pm - 6:30 pm]

(Exact same theaters/reserved seating info as Black Panther)

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

7

205

6884

14923

54.00%

 

Total Sellouts Since 1pm:                      6
Total Showings Added Since 1pm:       14

Total Seats Added Since 1pm:           845

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:             1099

 

.9944x as many tickets sold as Black Panther at final report.

 

============

 

For the record, 5 showings for a total of 19 tickets sold were manually adjusted for showings with six seats or left.  Before the adjustment, the count was as follows:

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

3

216

9458

19992

52.69%

Edited by Porthos
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cax16 Blockbuster

cax16

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, cax16 said:

Early show numbers , I have to go in somewhere now and won’t have my phone on so this will be the last update for the early shows. I’ll update the late shows once I’m home. There’s still more time for tickets to sell for the early shows so I expect that number to increase for sure. 

 

496/ 728 ( that 1456 number was the total of the two early and two late shows)

Final late show numbers 

 

310/728

 

Total for the day 806/1456

 

 

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)

I have some further info that is sufficiently nerdy that I'll keep it to this thread. :)  

 

MORE CM INFO (all tracking sources) .

 

Final 2D-3D split:  

2D:  185

3D:    31 (14.35%)

 

189 reserved showings tracked [out of 216] (BP: 97/136) (IW: 126/182)

 

Percentage of seats sold at final tracking:

100:            8 (BP: 26) (IW: 59)

90%-99%:    7 (BP:   4) (IW: 13)

80%-89%:  16 (BP: 11) (IW: 26)

70%-79%:  30 (BP: 16) (IW: 18) 

60%-69%:  28 (BP: 12) (IW:   7)

50%-59%:  18 (BP:   9) (IW:   3)

40%-49%:  16 (BP:   5) (IW:   3)

30%-39%:  13 (BP:   5) (IW:   1)

20%-29%:    8 (BP:   4) (IW:   0)

10%-19%:  23 (BP:   1) (IW:   0)

0%-9%:      22 (BP:   5) (IW:   0)

 

Showings with two rows or less but DID NOT sellout:  54 (includes the 7 showings 90% or more filled) (BP: 31) (IW: 53)

 

FSS breakdown at final check (any shows added later were not tracked):

Fri:   370 showings (BP: 3 sellouts/285)         (IW:2 sellouts/391)

Sat:  373 showings (BP: 286)                         (IW: 2 sellouts/389)

Sun: 353 showings (BP: 285) (BP [Mon]: 281) (IW:370)

 

====

 

CM ended up with 34 more showings than IW, locally.  And that's at the exact same number of theaters.

 

I wonder what the sellout/seat sold percentage would have been like if the number of showings were between BP and IW (but closer to IW since there is that new theater).  Say about 160 or so.  I have to imagine many of the folks would have waited 'till the weekend.  But I really am curious how many would have braved the crowds and seen it ASAP.

 

Never know, I suppose.  But an interesting What If, nonetheless. 

Edited by Porthos
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FlashMaster659 Box Office Gold

FlashMaster659

Posted
Posted
10 minutes ago, Porthos said:

I have some further info that is sufficiently nerdy that I'll keep it to this thread. :)  

 

MORE CM INFO (all tracking sources) .

 

Final 2D-3D split:  

2D:  185

3D:    31 (14.35%)

 

189 reserved theaters tracked [out of 216] (BP: 97/136) (IW: 126/182)

 

Percentage of seats sold at final tracking:

100:            8 (BP: 26) (IW: 59)

90%-99%:    7 (BP:   4) (IW: 13)

80%-89%:  16 (BP: 11) (IW: 26)

70%-79%:  30 (BP: 16) (IW: 18) 

60%-69%:  28 (BP: 12) (IW:   7)

50%-59%:  18 (BP:   9) (IW:   3)

40%-49%:  16 (BP:   5) (IW:   3)

30%-39%:  13 (BP:   5) (IW:   1)

20%-29%:    8 (BP:   4) (IW:   0)

10%-19%:  23 (BP:   1) (IW:   0)

0%-9%:      22 (BP:   5) (IW:   0)

 

Showings with two rows or less but DID NOT sellout:  54 (includes the 7 showings 90% or more filled) (BP: 31) (IW: 53)

 

FSS breakdown at final check (any shows added later were not tracked):

Fri:   370 showings (BP: 3 sellouts/285)         (IW:2 sellouts/391)

Sat:  373 showings (BP: 286)                         (IW: 2 sellouts/389)

Sun: 353 showings (BP: 285) (BP [Mon]: 281) (IW:370)

 

====

 

CM ended up with 34 more showings than IW, locally.  And that's at the exact same number of theaters.

 

I wonder what the sellout/seat sold percentage would have been like if the number of showings were between BP and IW (but closer to IW since there is that new theater).  Say about 160 or so.  I have to imagine many of the folks would have waited 'till the weekend.  But I really am curious how many would have braved the crowds and seen it ASAP.

 

Never know, I suppose.  But an interesting What If, nonetheless. 

Curious. Will you do a Friday morning report to show how tonight finishes up?

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)
22 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Curious. Will you do a Friday morning report to show how tonight finishes up?

Me until Endgame starts selling tickets: 💤 💤 💤   :lol:

===

 

There's really no way I could keep up with the seats being sold once it gets past 7pm. I'd have to do a massive check every 30 minutes or so. And while it would take less and less time as the night goes on, it still takes me a while to check all of the theaters.  Like a full check takes me 30 to 70 minutes just to get the data, never mind post an update.  Now as it gets later in the night, it might only take me 15 or 20 minutes per check. And maybe I could do a 'rolling check' of shows in groups just before they close out.

 

But I'd have to do it over and over and over again.  So, no, I'm afraid. :) 

 

Plus, I do occasionally see these films on Opening Night.  Would mess up the comps if I didn't include, oh say, the SW films when I was busy watching them. 

 

So I appreciate you looking forward to more info, but I'm afraid I leave the ball once midnight 7pm* strikes. :)

 

* Or whenever the 'main' showings start.

 

'sides, by then real concrete info is around (including updates from Asgard, hopefully).  So my data isn't really needed at that point. 

 

Edited by Porthos
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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 minute ago, Lake said:

7 + 14 = 21 :P 

If pre-sales (which would go beyond Thr, as a reminder) are 21m at just <REDACTED> we are looking at a WILD weekend. ;) 

 

I tend to think it won't be quite that wild, personally. :lol:

Edited by Porthos
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