The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[john2000]

1 minute ago, ZeeSoh said:

BTW kudos to Boxofficepro and @Shawn for getting Captain Marvel's OW so right in your long range forecast. You guys had 160 almost 2 months before when hardly anyone saw it. 

agree know i am really more optimisti about their predictions for endgame ow we will see still the actuals for captain marvel will come more closer to 160 i think now we will have to see the legs

[Valonqar]

3 hours ago, john2000 said:

agree know i am really more optimisti about their predictions for endgame ow we will see still the actuals for captain marvel will come more closer to 160 i think now we will have to see the legs

yeah, I don't believe 153M for a second. i think it'll go up to 156M at least. also, OS will jump too cause no way they counted all tickets from all markets yesterday. it's a given we see WW jump by about 10M give or take. 

Edited March 11, 2019 by Valonqar

[Eric Duncan]

Dumbo has tickets on sale right now, but there are a few interesting things.

 

1. Fandango is only offering 3D and IMAX shows, at least as of right now, even though other ticketing services have 2D shows up. I don't know if that's a glitch, or something to do with my area, but...still weird.

 

2. That ticket sale date leak that was on Reddit and posted here mentioned tickets for Dumbo would go on sale today. So that 4/2 sale date for Endgame is looking pretty legit (Aladdin also had its sale date a couple days after Endgame and Lion King a couple days after Toy Story 4 IIRC

[Legion Again]

Good Guy Disney giving Porthos a couple weeks of much needed 

[fabiopazzo2]

6 hours ago, Valonqar said:

yeah, I don't believe 153M for a second. i think it'll go up to 156M at least. also, OS will jump too cause no way they counted all tickets from all markets yesterday. it's a given we see WW jump by about 10M give or take. 

Dude... XD 

[MrGlass2]

2 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

 

1. Fandango is only offering 3D and IMAX shows, at least as of right now, even though other ticketing services have 2D shows up. I don't know if that's a glitch, or something to do with my area, but...still weird. 

Looks like 2D is on sale now:

2019-03-11 13:00:00	21	Dumbo (2019)

With the (2019) again to screw akvalley's script.

 

[Eric Duncan]

10 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

Looks like 2D is on sale now:

2019-03-11 13:00:00	21	Dumbo (2019)

With the (2019) again to screw akvalley's script.

 

Just checked, and it's on sale now in my area. Don't get why it wasn't earlier, but whatever.

Edited March 11, 2019 by CoolEric258

[Cap]

2 Theaters In Washington State Have Posted End Game Showings (according to Jeremy Conrad)

 

So. Either we got some theaters going rogue, or Disney doesn’t want @Porthos and @CoolEric258 to get any sleep. 🤷‍♂️

 

(And this was just posted like :30 minutes ago, so who knows.)

[FlashMaster659]

1 minute ago, captainwondyful said:

2 Theaters In Washington State Have Posted End Game Showings (according to Jeremy Conrad)

 

So. Either we got some theaters going rogue, or Disney doesn’t want @Porthos and @CoolEric258 to get any sleep. 🤷‍♂️

 

(And this was just posted like :30 minutes ago, so who knows.)

Looks like the theaters are Regal the Landing & RPX and Regal Crossroads - Bellevue

[Porthos]

11 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

2 Theaters In Washington State Have Posted End Game Showings (according to Jeremy Conrad)

 

So. Either we got some theaters going rogue, or Disney doesn’t want @Porthos and @CoolEric258 to get any sleep. 🤷‍♂️

 

(And this was just posted like :30 minutes ago, so who knows.)

Nothing in Sacto, for what it's worth.  Might just be some theater operators getting their ducks in a row and forgot* to hide it from Fandango.

 

* Or "forgot" 

[Porthos]

13 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Looks like the theaters are Regal the Landing & RPX and Regal Crossroads - Bellevue

Gone already.

 

That, as they say, was fast! 

Edited March 12, 2019 by Porthos

[FlashMaster659]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

Gone already.

 

That, as they say, was fast! 

It's the Regal website they're showing up on

[Eric Duncan]

20 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

2 Theaters In Washington State Have Posted End Game Showings (according to Jeremy Conrad)

 

So. Either we got some theaters going rogue, or Disney doesn’t want @Porthos and @CoolEric258 to get any sleep. 🤷‍♂️

 

(And this was just posted like :30 minutes ago, so who knows.)

I hope Bob Iger and Kevin Feige burn in hell for committing their sins towards me.

[Porthos]

Just now, FlashMaster659 said:

It's the Regal website they're showing up on

Ah, so it is. 👍

 

Hmmm...

 

*checks*

 

Not seeing anything at a couple of the Regals locally.

 

So probably someone who is putting stuff up locally and forgot (or, again, 'forgot') to hide it.

[Cap]

2 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

I hope Bob Iger and Kevin Feige burn in hell for committing their sins towards me.

 

[Cap]

Alamo Drafthouse just added their ticket page for End Game.

 

 

Edited March 12, 2019 by captainwondyful

[filmlover]

24 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

I hope Bob Iger and Kevin Feige burn in hell for committing their sins towards me.

[Eric Duncan]

Fandango App

Monday

Tues

Wed

Thursday

Blockers

504

1,106

2,931

Truth Or Dare

385

760

2,133

Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268

Oceans 8

3,009

4,372

11,114

Hotel Artemis

26

166

520

Hotel Transylvania 3

1,753

2,674

6,605

14,754

Christopher Robin

1,560

2,442

5,355

11,509

The Darkest Minds

130

244

579

1,777

Slender Man

177

418

1,091

3,737

House With Clocks

897

1,469

3,607

8,074

Smallfoot

734

1,261

2,448

Bad Times at the El Royale

264

481

1,257

3,350

The Grinch

3,580

4,860

10,092

17,046

Second Act

353

611

1,204

Dogs Way Home

259

623

1,516

3,257

Upside

394

1,431

3,669

8,602

Lego Movie 2

2,552

4,130

8,601

13,320

How to Train Your Dragon 3

3,724

6,674

12,935

21,313

Greta

120

287

824

1,962

Captive State	60
Five Feet Apart	613
Wonder Park	607

 

Captive State comps:

667% of Upgrade (31.3M)

231% of Hotel Artemis (7.5M)

23% of El Royale (1.6M)

50% of Greta (2.2M)

 

Kinda hard to find good comps for this, but I guess the Greta comp works best?

 

Five Feet Apart comps:

122% of Blockers (25M)

159% of Truth or Dare (29.7M)

20% of Ocean's 8 (8.5M)

471% of Darkest Minds (27.5M)

346% of Slender Man (39.4M)

174% of Second Act (11.3M)

156% of The Upside (31.7M)

 

Another one that's hard to find good comps on (YA movies just aren't a thing anymore), but I guess it could surprise in the 20s?

 

Wonder Park comps:

35% of Hotel Transylvania 3 (15.4M)

39% of Christopher Robin (9.7M)

68% of House w/ Clock (18.2M)

83% of Smallfoot (19.2M)

17% of The Grinch (11.6M)

237% of A Dog's Way Home (26.6M)

24% of Lego Movie 2 (8.2M)

16% of Dragon 3 (9.1M)

 

Everything seems to be pointing to the teens here

[filmlover]

Five Feet Apart will likely open in the same teens area that Paper Towns and Everything Everything did. I doubt there's anyone beyond its core audience of teens (or Riverdale/Cole Sprouse fans) on the fence about seeing it.

[Eric Duncan]

And in terms of upcoming releases

 

Movie/Date	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday	Sunday
Us	1,070
	11 days
Dumbo	777
	18 days

 

Us

14-11 days before release:

118% of Glass (55.1M using Glass' 4-Day)

 

Dumbo

On Day 18:

174% of Dragon 3 (95.8M)

 

Cumulative by Day 18:

25% of Dragon 3 (13.8M) (Note Dragon 3 had 17 days more presales)

 

So for Us, we're on the right track and things are boding well for great numbers. Dumbo is way too early to call with so little information, but the fact this beat out all of this weekend's releases yesterday is a great start