picores Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 This is the kind of movie that is massive in just every single market, being DOM maybe the least impressive (remains to be seen). Under 800m OS just look too low if China does its work (300m+). I'm going with 950m OS. World Cup is a factor...but light competition ahead should balance it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 (edited) F8 grossed $618M OS-Ch, about -20% drop from F7 ($773M) AoU grossed ~$706M Os-Ch, a -13% drop from TA ($805M). *In AoU case though, it was a 3-year gap with 2015 ER being much worse compare to 2012. So even wonkily, if we factor that in, AoU OS-Ch likely increased from TA (or at the worst, stay flat) JW may be more comparable to F7>>F8, so I expect ~20% drop OS on the worse side, and ~10% drop on the more optimistic end. Add in the big advantage of China increasing instead of staying flat (in dolllars) like with F8, and it’ll be in for a good run. Edited June 6, 2018 by Sam 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrGlass2 Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 This is going to be great... Today is Dino Day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 Let's see if it gets to $1 Billion OS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrylos 7 Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 6 hours ago, picores said: This is the kind of movie that is massive in just every single market, being DOM maybe the least impressive (remains to be seen). Under 800m OS just look too low if China does its work (300m+). I'm going with 950m OS. World Cup is a factor...but light competition ahead should balance it. It’s presales in China don’t indicate anywhere near 300+ million. Even if we assume that this isn’t a pre sale heavy film there, although why wouldn’t it be , I don’t see how, with such low pre sale numbers,this will do IW numbers in China. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 Well, its exploding in South Korea, which is a very good sign for rest of the asian markets and China in particular. Ofc though, its still very early. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 "On Wednesday, play starts in France, Germany and Korea with such majors as the UK, Italy, Russia and Spain heading to Isla Nublar through Friday. Estimates from our sources put this one in a range of $130M-$145M for the weekend with many around the $150M mark. That would land JWFK a touch below the 2015 behemoth which kicked off at $158.6M in like-for-like markets and at today’s exchange rates." https://deadline.com/2018/06/jurassic-world-fallen-kingdom-international-box-office-preview-1202403909/ $158.6M is the magical number that it needs to beat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 In Belgium the PS aren't to hot, it less than IW (but IW was fan driven) less than The Hunger games or The hobbit movies. So it won't match last JW opening it seems. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 Paris (14h) JWFK 3,371 JW 5,293 / 359,010 / 2,088,000 / 5,205,000 entrées Deadpool 2 = 3 558 / 216 242 / 1 186 000 Black panther = 3 236 / 178 202 / 1 059 000 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, Proxima Olive said: Paris (14h) JWFK 3,371 JW 5,293 / 359,010 / 2,088,000 / 5,205,000 entrées Deadpool 2 = 3 558 / 216 242 / 1 186 000 Black panther = 3 236 / 178 202 / 1 059 000 Is that previews number for FK? -36% drop. Seems reasonable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangbingchan Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 8 hours ago, Thrylos 7 said: It’s presales in China don’t indicate anywhere near 300+ million. Even if we assume that this isn’t a pre sale heavy film there, although why wouldn’t it be , I don’t see how, with such low pre sale numbers,this will do IW numbers in China. AiW cross 370M plus in China.JW2 has shot for 250-350M.It's hard to say now.it's not fan heavy film.It's more like Rampage. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Muzdt Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 JW2 AIW TLJ BP Tot Average Tot Average Tot Average Tot Average T-7 2,845 711 17,751 3,550 1,768 295 T-6 3,575 894 20,201 4,040 2,117 353 T-5 4,461 1,115 22,713 4,543 2,508 418 T-4 6,666 1,667 25,381 5,076 4,467 745 T-3 8,942 2,236 28,832 5,766 7,755 1,293 T-2 12,723 3,181 34,763 6,953 9,639 2,410 10,346 1,724 T-1 18,099 4,525 47,133 9,427 13,507 3,377 16,386 2,731 T 69,757 13,951 21,196 5,299 31,136 5,189 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 It has thus far opened in these markets: We'll have more numbers soon, yes? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 28 minutes ago, Marathon said: It has thus far opened in these markets: We'll have more numbers soon, yes? Tonight ... RTH is coming 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 So it’s flopping? Fuck 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, John Marston said: So it’s flopping? Fuck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 19 minutes ago, John Marston said: So it’s flopping? Fuck Where did that come from lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 (edited) 21 minutes ago, John Marston said: So it’s flopping? Fuck I think that is based on your definition of flopping. I think this movie will gross 1B WW. I think something like 450 + 950 is possible (950=675+275) might overestimate OS-China and underestimate Dom and Ch. Sorry for starting three sentences with 'I'. Edited June 6, 2018 by Taruseth 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andreas Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 (edited) 17 minutes ago, Taruseth said: I think that is based on your definition of flopping. I think this movie will gross 1B WW. I think something like 450 + 950 is possible (950=675+275) might overestimate OS-China and underestimate Dom and Ch. Sorry for starting three sentences with 'I'. I think you're quite right. I think you just named my exact same prediction, thus JW2 would take the no.2 spot on the ww top in 2018. I think that it might go a little higher or lower than $1.4B, depending on reception & the world cup. Edited June 6, 2018 by Andreas 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 I think there's dinosaurs and a volcano. I think life finds a way. I think it'll do well. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...