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WEDNESDAY NUMBERS| THOR- $6.15M (DOWN 44% FROM TUE)| BAD MOMS 2- $1.61M

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6 minutes ago, Christmas baumer said:

 

That is actually a shockingly good hold. For film that jumped around 60% yesterday to only fall 27% if my math is correct? That's pretty good.

Agreed. I'm not sure how to explain it except maybe awareness really picked up from people who went to see Thor.  Maybe not awareness that the movie exists but that it was out.  Bodes well for the weekend.  I don't think Daddy's Home is real opposition as this is a rated R, girl's night out comedy not a family comedy.

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To explain Bad Moms jumps...

 

Moms Groups don't plan for opening nights...and don't plan extra events in weeks they already have events (ala, Halloween)...The strength this week is b/c this is a non-activity/non kid-holiday week - so, now the folks who were planning women's groups and moms groups events to this movie are going.

 

It also helps that we are now closer to Christmas than last week, so you don't feel as stupid planning a Christmas movie outing.  I mean, who wants to go when their jack-o-lantern is still on their porch?? 

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Yeah that's a bad drop for Thor. People can be snarky about it all they want and assume people are freaking out by saying that, but it's a true statement. Not a great first Wednesday.  

 

Hoping for a strong 2nd weekend though, although I doubt it'll hit $60M now.

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Since this Tuesday was wonky because of elections, maybe we should look at 1st Monday to 1st Wednesday drops of MCU sequels outside of summer (excluding Thor Dark World because Monday was Veteran's Day):

 

Winter Soldier: 6.22M to 4.81M (-22.7%)

Guardians 2: 9.86M to 7.53M (-23.7%)

Iron Man 2: 9.37M to 6.95M (-25.9%)

Thor Ragnarok: 8.25M to 6.1M (-26.1%)

Iron Man 3: 11.27M to 8.11M (-28.1%)

Age of Ultron: 13.23M to 9.41M (-28.9%)

Civil War: 13.29M to 8.98M (-32.5%)

 

Looks like Ragnarok is right in the middle of the pack. Also, final multipliers for the above films are:

 

Winter Soldier: 2.735

Guardians 2: 2.661

Iron Man 2: 2.439

Thor Ragnarok: ?.???

Iron Man 3: 2.349

Age of Ultron: 2.399

Civil War: 2.279

 

If Ragnarok continues to stay right in the middle of the pack, then it's looking at finishing in the 2.4-2.5x range. 300M would require 2.45x so it is by no means locked.

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    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) Thor: Ragnarok Walt Disney $6,148,407 -43% 4,080 $1,507   $147,965,500 6
2 (2) A Bad Moms Christmas STX Entertainment $1,607,707 -28% 3,615 $445   $26,459,025 8
3 (3) Jigsaw Lionsgate $467,266 -37% 2,941 $159   $30,431,173 13
4 (6) Blade Runner 2049 Warner Bros. $256,161 -22% 1,464 $175   $86,357,140 34
5 (4) Geostorm Warner Bros. $248,388 -40% 2,666 $93   $29,850,773 20
6 (7) Thank You for Your Service Universal $207,460 -33% 2,083 $100   $8,029,100 13
7 (8) Only the Brave Sony Pictures $190,674 -31% 2,073 $92   $15,946,285 20
8 (5) Tyler Perry’s Boo 2! A Ma… Lionsgate $184,711 -51% 2,202 $84   $43,650,773 20
9 (11) The Foreigner STX Entertainment $165,736 -31% 1,456 $114   $32,554,216 27
10 (10) Let There Be Light Atlas Distribution $163,710 -33% 642 $255   $4,668,246 13
11 (9) Happy Death Day Universal $151,780 -38% 2,184 $69   $53,466,750 27
12 (13) Victoria and Abdul Focus Features $143,180 -24% 796 $180   $20,327,579 48
13 (12) Suburbicon Paramount Pictures $140,677 -33% 2,046 $69   $5,565,000 13
14 (14) American Made Universal $81,395 -18% 663 $123   $50,239,285 41
15 (15) Kingsman: The Golden Circle 20th Century Fox $75,660 -23% 802 $94   $98,926,035 48
- (-) It Warner Bros. $71,360 -18% 1,081 $66   $326,118,326 62
- (-) The Florida Project A24 $67,212 -8% 189 $356   $3,196,828 34
- (-) Same Kind of Different as Me Pure Flix Entertain… $53,935 -20% 524 $103   $5,919,570 20
- (-) Marshall Open Road $52,211 -21% 514 $102   $7,990,059 27
- (-) Lady Bird A24 $47,472 +18% 4 $11,868   $493,415 6
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52 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

The tone of the 900mil talk will change when next week gets here

There is no talk of 900. Gitesh said it may get within striking distance. Thats not the same as saying it will definitely get there. Most everyone has been saying 800 and it is looking increasingly likely that it will get there. 

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Just now, ZeeSoh said:

There is no talk of 900. Gitesh said it may get within striking distance. Thats not the same as saying it will definitely get there. Most everyone has been saying 800 and it is looking increasingly likely that it will get there. 

I have been across many sites Reddit,Superherohype,Comicbookmovie,

Screenrant,Youtube comment section and Here .

Doing so I have seen plenty of 900mil comments and the “May” is pretty much  Gitesh saying it has a good chance at it.

The 800mil “ May” be  a slow crawl.It “May “not

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3 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

I have been across many sites Reddit,Superherohype,Comicbookmovie,

Screenrant,Youtube comment section and Here .

Doing so I have seen plenty of 900mil comments and the “May” is pretty much  Gitesh saying it has a good chance at it.

The 800mil “ May” be  a slow crawl.It “May “not

In English "may even get within striking distance of 900" does not mean it has a good chance at it. Maybe in another language it does. 

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Thor's OS performance has been great. It has lots of mileage left over there. A good hold this weekend could put 900m in play. Domestic it will have a decent hold this weekend. Next weekend it will be hit hard but will get a good boost during Thanksgiving week(plus double features with Coco). Then it will have a good run till holidays. Movies with strong reviews/WOM tend to play strong and late. Thor has that benefit. So domestic run will be better than norm. 

 

So for it to hit 900m it needs 330-340 Domestic/560-570m OS. Not easy but definitely not impossible. Most probably finish is around 850m. 

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46 minutes ago, AndyChrono said:

Since this Tuesday was wonky because of elections, maybe we should look at 1st Monday to 1st Wednesday drops of MCU sequels outside of summer (excluding Thor Dark World because Monday was Veteran's Day):

 

Winter Soldier: 6.22M to 4.81M (-22.7%)

Guardians 2: 9.86M to 7.53M (-23.7%)

Iron Man 2: 9.37M to 6.95M (-25.9%)

Thor Ragnarok: 8.25M to 6.1M (-26.1%)

Iron Man 3: 11.27M to 8.11M (-28.1%)

Age of Ultron: 13.23M to 9.41M (-28.9%)

Civil War: 13.29M to 8.98M (-32.5%)

 

Looks like Ragnarok is right in the middle of the pack. Also, final multipliers for the above films are:

 

Winter Soldier: 2.735

Guardians 2: 2.661

Iron Man 2: 2.439

Thor Ragnarok: ?.???

Iron Man 3: 2.349

Age of Ultron: 2.399

Civil War: 2.279

 

If Ragnarok continues to stay right in the middle of the pack, then it's looking at finishing in the 2.4-2.5x range. 300M would require 2.45x so it is by no means locked.

Does Dr Strange also support that same trend?

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