5-Day Weekend Thread | Saturday #s (Asgard p.109) - Coco 17.7, Justice League 15.7, Wonder 8.3, Thor: Ragnarok 6.4, Daddy's Home 2 5.3

[cookie]

I think y'all are overestimating Aquaman. Almost everyone can agree WW stood out in her debut appearance in BvS while few are saying the same about Aquaman in JL. James Wan has to find a good angle on him or I can see it going under $200m. And Aquaman won't have any of the "first major female superhero movie" hype WW had.

[Nova]

5 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

The people whining about people saying JL's numbers are bad need to shut the fuck up. This is a box office forum. We discuss the receipts. 

[Nova]

Warner Bros to the trades reporting Justice League's pathetic numbers 

[EmpireCity]

42 minutes ago, YourMother said:

The fact that audiences are going for solo movies (or smaller teamups) rather than the big ensemble team-ups (however JL was faced with a plethora of problems) and that the ceiling for Avengers movies domestically seem to be shrinking.

 

I am still thinking $210M/$450M but I can see a very small chance (5%) it goes under $400M. 

 

That isn't a fact on any level.  

[Jordanstine]

1 hour ago, ZeeSoh said:

My analysis and projections for JL in the OS thread

So either JL will barely make the $700m club or won't make it at all?

[cookie]

16 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

 

That isn't a fact on any level.  

Yeah, the only example I could think of was Wonder Woman and that had its own set of circumstances. None of the phase 3 solo movies have come anywhere near Civil War or Age of Ultron.

[ZeeSoh]

19 minutes ago, Jordanstine said:

So either JL will barely make the $700m club or won't make it at all?

I'm going with the under 700m gross now. 680-690 is the max I see for this. That 700 figure is at the very high end of even my most optimistic projection

[grim22]

3 hours ago, ck5111 said:

@grim22

 

It was tracking ahead of BvS till Tuesday, never picked up on Wednesday and Thursday. We mentioned this in the buzz thread as well

[baumer]

#	Title	Weekend Box Office Estimate			Weekend Cume Release			Distributor
		Worldwide Wknd	Intl Wknd	Dom Wknd	Worldwide Cume	Intl Cume	Dom Cume	Intl	Terrs	Dom
1	Justice League	$112,930,000	$72,200,000	$40,730,000	$481,346,643	$309,800,000	$171,546,643	WB	67	WB
2	Coco	$79,722,000	$30,700,000	$49,022,000	$153,395,000	$82,200,000	$71,195,000	DIS	23	DIS
3	Murder On The Orient Express	$30,200,000	$17,200,000	$13,000,000	$196,846,517	$122,600,000	$74,246,517	FOX	63	FOX
4	Thor: Ragnarok	$27,791,000	$11,000,000	$16,791,000	$790,068,394	$512,600,000	$277,468,394	DIS	57	DIS
5	Daddy's Home 2	$27,050,000	$13,800,000	$13,250,000	$87,662,166	$15,000,000	$72,662,166	PAR	25	PAR
6	Wonder	$23,610,000	$1,310,000	$22,300,000	$71,555,202	$2,115,000	$69,440,202	MUL	19	LGF
7	Manhunt	$11,550,000	$11,550,000	-	$11,610,000	$11,610,000	-	MUL	5	-
8	Swindlers, The	$10,475,000	$10,475,000	-	$10,735,000	$10,735,000	-	SHOWBX	1	-
9	Paddington 2	$9,100,000	$9,100,000	-	$37,525,000	$37,525,000	-	MUL	6	WB
10	Bad Moms Christmas, A	$9,010,000	$4,000,000	$5,010,000	$92,854,557	$33,100,000	$59,754,557	STX	35	STX
11	Star, The	$6,875,000	-	$6,875,000	$22,030,988	-	$22,030,988	SNY	9	SNY
12	Explosion (Yin Bao Zhe)	$4,938,000	$4,875,000	$63,000	$4,953,000	$4,890,000	$63,000	MUL	4	CHALION
13	Happy Death Day	$4,765,000	$4,700,000	$65,000	$105,463,915	$49,900,000	$55,563,915	UNI	60	UNI
14	Roman J. Israel, Esq.	$4,515,000	-	$4,515,000	$6,274,277	-	$6,274,277	-	1	SNY
15	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri	$4,400,000	-	$4,400,000	$7,624,070	-	$7,624,070	-	1	FSL
16	Lady Bird	$4,041,733	-	$4,041,733	$10,702,821	-	$10,702,821	-	1	A24
17	Flatliners	$3,100,000	$3,100,000	-	$37,377,430	20,500,000	$16,877,430	SNY	18	SNY
18	Jigsaw	$2,880,000	$2,500,000	$380,000	$94,192,414	$56,900,000	$37,292,414	LGF	73	LGF
19	Suck Me Shakespeer 3	$2,560,000	$2,560,000	-	$66,000,000	$66,000,000	-	Constantin	2	-
20	Brio, Le	$2,500,000	$2,500,000	-	$2,500,000	$2,500,000	-	PATHE	1	-
21	Snowman, The	$2,000,000	$2,000,000	-	$39,570,765	$32,900,000	$6,670,765	UNI	24	UNI
22	Angels Wear White	$1,920,000	$1,920,000	-	$1,940,000	$1,940,000	-	MULTICN	1	-
23	Man Who Invented Christmas, The	$1,343,284	-	$1,343,284	$1,796,958	-	$1,796,958	-	1	BST
24	Inference Note	$1,200,000	$1,200,000	-	$1,340,000	$1,340,000	-	LeVis	1	-
25	Epouse moi mon pote	$1,150,000	$1,150,000	-	$21,530,000	$21,530,000	-	MUL	3	-
26	Mountain Between Us, The	1,094,000	1,000,000	94,000	55,630,040	25,800,000	29,830,040	FOX	13	FOX

[baumer]

Bad Moms almost over 100 WW. Nice.

Orient Express is close to 200.  Nice.

Thor is going to clear 800 probably tomorrow.  

 

Snowman so close to 40 mill WW.  

[tonytr87]

1 hour ago, cookie said:

I think y'all are overestimating Aquaman. Almost everyone can agree WW stood out in her debut appearance in BvS while few are saying the same about Aquaman in JL. James Wan has to find a good angle on him or I can see it going under $200m. And Aquaman won't have any of the "first major female superhero movie" hype WW had.

If it's not visually unique it'll disappoint. And as good as Wan is with horror, his Fast 7 didn't indicate somebody who's all that visually inventive when it comes to action. 

[dxmatrixdt]

7 hours ago, Joel M said:

That 57% drop for JL is just bad any way you look at it. 

 

BD1 - 69,8%

BD2 - 69,1%

CF - 53,1%

MJ1 - 53,3%

MJ2 - 49,3%

FB - 39,4%

 

The only pre-thanksgiving blockbusters that JL had a better drop against where the final twilights which were as frontloaded and fan-driven as big blockbusters get and also did 45m more than JL on OW. MJ2 was not exactly a movie with great WOM and still dropped way better while opening 8m higher. That's just bad.

They did like 30M in Previews

[cannastop]

11 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

One thing that worried me since I saw it is that I don't know if I think it's going to go over great with younger kids (9 and under). Not sure how much they will get out of it, I feel like the themes and overall ability to enjoy it are on a more mature level than your average animated film or even your average Pixar film. Then again, Ratatouille is one of Pixar's most mature and had a crazy multi. Also, the Mexican culture aspect just might not carry as much widespread appeal unfortunately. 

Kids can appreciate it on their own level. They're not totally stupid.

[dxmatrixdt]

5 hours ago, somebody85 said:

Films I rated an A or A- (it's rare for me to rate anything an A+):
A Ghost Story
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Coco (I know you disagree with this)

Detroit

Dunkirk
Gerald's Game
Ingrid Goes West
IT
Ladybird
Logan
War For The Planet Of The Apes
Wonder Woman

So yeah A24 has 3 releases that I've given an A that are all vastly different films. Props to them.

Also strong on the indie horror front were A Dark Song, Better Watch Out and Personal Shopper. The Big Sick was too Appatow for the first 20-30 minutes but got a lot better. A nice spot in the weakest genre of film right now (comedy).

Still waiting to watch Brigsby Bear, Good Time and Wind River (have been putting them off). And still need to see The Florida Project and Three Billboards.

IT over Personal Shopper?

[seduh]

Great numbers for Coco, i hope it can develop legs so to do +$220. JL drop is bad, it makde in 10 days $5 more than BvS in OW and JL has Thanksgiven 5 day weekend. So, prepare for a big fall next weekend. I can´t see it doing more than $240. 

[EdgeLord4Lyf]

1 hour ago, grim22 said:

It was tracking ahead of BvS till Tuesday, never picked up on Wednesday and Thursday. We mentioned this in the buzz thread as well

What does that imply Box Office wise for the General Audience? Does it mean the marketing wasnt strong enough for them? Does it mean they were not interested in the movie because of BvS? Or does it mean the negative critical reaction was a big factor?

 

Honest question.

[Chewy]

8 minutes ago, EdgeLord4Lyf said:

What does that imply Box Office wise for the General Audience? Does it mean the marketing wasnt strong enough for them? Does it mean they were not interested in the movie because of BvS? Or does it mean the negative critical reaction was a big factor?

 

Honest question.

 

Take your pick, general audience isn't some monolith. All factors contributed

[MovieMan89]

I think it's better to look at MCU within sub-franchises opposed to trying to use the franchise as a whole to base predictions.  So in other words, the prior Avengers films should be the  basis for predicting IW. It's stupid to compare something like CW to IW because it was a part of the Captain America sub franchise, and therefore the ceiling for it should have always been lower than the ceiling for an Avengers film. After all, AoU didn't have some huge drop off in its OW from TA. Mediocre reception compared to universal audience praise for the first certainly played a big part in why it fell off as much as it did. The ceiling for Avengers films is still quite large - as evidenced by a ho hum Avengers film making close to 500m by IW ticket prices - IW just has to deliver more than AoU did. 

Edited November 26, 2017 by MovieMan89

[La Binoche]

The soundtrack is great. 

 

 

 

 

 

[MrGlass2]

3 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

It's stupid to compare something like CW to IW because it was a part of the Captain America sub franchise

Are you sure about that?