New Year's Day Weekend Thread: Late Friday estimates (DHD) - TLJ 19.5M, Jumanji 17.5M, PP3 6.7M, TGS 5.3M

[Gamera]

37 minutes ago, Christmas baumer said:

They can add Vader.  It's the movies....they can do anything.  Think of some of the bullshit they did in TLJ.  

If Vader kills Rose,  I'll see the movie 100 times.

[NoLegMan]

I am actually curious how Han Solo will perform, I think Donald Glover will be the best part of the movie though.

[filmlover]

Just now, Gamera said:

If Vader kills Rose,  I'll see the movie 100 times.

[redfirebird2008]

3 minutes ago, Gamera said:

If Vader kills Rose,  I'll see the movie 100 times.

[mikee11]

4 minutes ago, Gamera said:

If Vader kills Rose,  I'll see the movie 100 times.

Now it's worth it

[abra]

Daily Domestic Chart for Friday December 29th, 2017

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Chart Index

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Las…	Walt Disney	$19,064,000	-2%	4,232	$4,505	$483,762,228	15
2	(-)	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony Pictures	$17,400,000		3,765	$4,622	$136,700,000	10
3	(-)	Pitch Perfect 3	Universal	$6,600,000	+7%	3,468	$1,903	$53,090,470	8
4	(-)	The Greatest Showman	20th Century Fox	$5,370,000	+13%	3,006	$1,786	$38,885,986	10
5	(-)	Ferdinand	20th Century Fox	$4,500,000	+2%	3,630	$1,240	$46,660,105	15
6	(-)	Coco	Walt Disney	$2,828,000	+6%	2,104	$1,344	$175,200,459	38
7	(-)	Darkest Hour	Focus Features	$1,800,000	+30%	943	$1,909	$14,447,287	38
8	(-)	All the Money in the World	Sony Pictures	$1,750,000		2,074	$844	$8,950,000	5
9	(-)	Downsizing	Paramount Pictures	$1,600,000	+15%	2,664	$601	$14,058,365	8
10	(-)	Wonder	Lionsgate	$1,300,000	+44%	1,193	$1,090	$119,608,865	43
11	(-)	Father Figures	Warner Bros.	$1,230,000		2,902	$424	$10,265,000	8
12	(-)	The Shape of Water	Fox Searchlight	$1,170,000	+17%	730	$1,603	$13,310,155	29
13	(-)	Molly’s Game	STX Entertainment	$720,000	+22%	271	$2,657	$3,617,552	5
-	(-)	Thor: Ragnarok	Walt Disney	$308,000	+4%	540	$570	$310,678,239	57
-	(-)	The Post	20th Century Fox	$171,472	+23%	9	$19,052	$1,370,513	8
-	(-)	Hostiles	Entertainment Studi…	$10,566	+43%	5	$2,113	$62,859	8
-	(-)	Phantom Thread	Focus Features	$8,000	-86%	5	$1,600	$319,345	5
-	(-)	Marshall	Open Road	$3,292	+35%	50	$66	$9,461,017	78

[NoLegMan]

At least on this site, I can admit to loving TLJ without getting screamed at.

[the beast]

1 minute ago, abra said:

Daily Domestic Chart for Friday December 29th, 2017

← Previous Chart

Chart Index

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Las…	Walt Disney	$19,064,000	-2%	4,232	$4,505	$483,762,228	15
2	(-)	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony Pictures	$17,400,000		3,765	$4,622	$136,700,000	10
3	(-)	Pitch Perfect 3	Universal	$6,600,000	+7%	3,468	$1,903	$53,090,470	8
4	(-)	The Greatest Showman	20th Century Fox	$5,370,000	+13%	3,006	$1,786	$38,885,986	10
5	(-)	Ferdinand	20th Century Fox	$4,500,000	+2%	3,630	$1,240	$46,660,105	15
6	(-)	Coco	Walt Disney	$2,828,000	+6%	2,104	$1,344	$175,200,459	38
7	(-)	Darkest Hour	Focus Features	$1,800,000	+30%	943	$1,909	$14,447,287	38
8	(-)	All the Money in the World	Sony Pictures	$1,750,000		2,074	$844	$8,950,000	5
9	(-)	Downsizing	Paramount Pictures	$1,600,000	+15%	2,664	$601	$14,058,365	8
10	(-)	Wonder	Lionsgate	$1,300,000	+44%	1,193	$1,090	$119,608,865	43
11	(-)	Father Figures	Warner Bros.	$1,230,000		2,902	$424	$10,265,000	8
12	(-)	The Shape of Water	Fox Searchlight	$1,170,000	+17%	730	$1,603	$13,310,155	29
13	(-)	Molly’s Game	STX Entertainment	$720,000	+22%	271	$2,657	$3,617,552	5
-	(-)	Thor: Ragnarok	Walt Disney	$308,000	+4%	540	$570	$310,678,239	57
-	(-)	The Post	20th Century Fox	$171,472	+23%	9	$19,052	$1,370,513	8
-	(-)	Hostiles	Entertainment Studi…	$10,566	+43%	5	$2,113	$62,859	8
-	(-)	Phantom Thread	Focus Features	$8,000	-86%	5	$1,600	$319,345	5
-	(-)	Marshall	Open Road	$3,292	+35%	50	$66	$9,461,017	78

Forbes say Jumanji had a $18m Friday so idk if this is right

[Valonqar]

25 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Episode 9 has no real hook. It will drop more. 500 something million

Episode 9 has a real hook - it's the end of the Skywalker saga and they'll milk that fact for all its worth. Wait and see. We'll get sappy HP-like trailers that show all generations. We'll be constantly reminded that this is the farewell. They'll create a mini-event, not an event like TFA but it's definitely going to be more of an event than TLJ ever hoped to be. If they play their cards well like DH Pt 2 did with emotional goodbyes, and they will don't you worry, it's gonna fly past TLJ total .

Edited December 30, 2017 by Valonqar

[weresweresweres]

5 minutes ago, abra said:

Daily Domestic Chart for Friday December 29th, 2017

← Previous Chart

Chart Index

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Las…	Walt Disney	$19,064,000	-2%	4,232	$4,505	$483,762,228	15
2	(-)	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony Pictures	$17,400,000		3,765	$4,622	$136,700,000	10
3	(-)	Pitch Perfect 3	Universal	$6,600,000	+7%	3,468	$1,903	$53,090,470	8
4	(-)	The Greatest Showman	20th Century Fox	$5,370,000	+13%	3,006	$1,786	$38,885,986	10
5	(-)	Ferdinand	20th Century Fox	$4,500,000	+2%	3,630	$1,240	$46,660,105	15
6	(-)	Coco	Walt Disney	$2,828,000	+6%	2,104	$1,344	$175,200,459	38
7	(-)	Darkest Hour	Focus Features	$1,800,000	+30%	943	$1,909	$14,447,287	38
8	(-)	All the Money in the World	Sony Pictures	$1,750,000		2,074	$844	$8,950,000	5
9	(-)	Downsizing	Paramount Pictures	$1,600,000	+15%	2,664	$601	$14,058,365	8
10	(-)	Wonder	Lionsgate	$1,300,000	+44%	1,193	$1,090	$119,608,865	43
11	(-)	Father Figures	Warner Bros.	$1,230,000		2,902	$424	$10,265,000	8
12	(-)	The Shape of Water	Fox Searchlight	$1,170,000	+17%	730	$1,603	$13,310,155	29
13	(-)	Molly’s Game	STX Entertainment	$720,000	+22%	271	$2,657	$3,617,552	5
-	(-)	Thor: Ragnarok	Walt Disney	$308,000	+4%	540	$570	$310,678,239	57
-	(-)	The Post	20th Century Fox	$171,472	+23%	9	$19,052	$1,370,513	8
-	(-)	Hostiles	Entertainment Studi…	$10,566	+43%	5	$2,113	$62,859	8
-	(-)	Phantom Thread	Focus Features	$8,000	-86%	5	$1,600	$319,345	5
-	(-)	Marshall	Open Road	$3,292	+35%	50	$66	$9,461,017	78

If this is correct Jumanji has a better PTA than LJ.

Edited December 30, 2017 by weresweresweres

[Lordmandeep]

ROTS really was able to bring some back people to SW after AOTC with the intro of Darth Vader. That is why it increased by about 20%. 

 

The film still got mocked but it was liked by some and of course compared to TFA and RO its not good at all, but it was the only SW film for like a decade.

 

 

[Brainbug]

3 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Episode 9 has a real hook - it's the end of the Skywalker saga and they'll milk that fact for all its worth. Wait and see. We'll get sappy HP-like trailers that show all generations. We'll be constantly reminded that this is the farewell. They'll create a mini-event, not an event like TFA but it's definitely going to be more of an event than TLJ ever hoped to be. If they play their cards well like DH Pt 2 did with emotional goodbyes, and they will don't you worry, it's gonna fly past TLJ total .

 

TLJ was always "doomed" to be the middle chapter. It wasnt the return of Star Wars. It wasnt the end of the Star Wars main story line (aka Episode IX). It was just the next SW movie.

[NoLegMan]

1 minute ago, Brainbug said:

 

TLJ was always "doomed" to be the middle chapter. It wasnt the return of Star Wars. It wasnt the end of the Star Wars main story line (aka Episode IX). It was just the next SW movie.

I just want a major ghost Jedi return of the king moment. That's all I want I'll be happy after that.

[filmlover]

10 minutes ago, the beast said:

Forbes say Jumanji had a $18m Friday so idk if this is right

There is no way that Phantom Thread number isn't a typo.

[Valonqar]

6 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

TLJ was always "doomed" to be the middle chapter. It wasnt the return of Star Wars. It wasnt the end of the Star Wars main story line (aka Episode IX). It was just the next SW movie.

Just like any SW middle chapter ever.

[Barnack]

18 minutes ago, abra said:

Daily Domestic Chart for Friday December 29th, 2017

← Previous Chart

Chart Index

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Las…	Walt Disney	$19,064,000	-2%	4,232	$4,505	$483,762,228	15
2	(-)	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony Pictures	$17,400,000		3,765	$4,622	$136,700,000	10
3	(-)	Pitch Perfect 3	Universal	$6,600,000	+7%	3,468	$1,903	$53,090,470	8
4	(-)	The Greatest Showman	20th Century Fox	$5,370,000	+13%	3,006	$1,786	$38,885,986	10
5	(-)	Ferdinand	20th Century Fox	$4,500,000	+2%	3,630	$1,240	$46,660,105	15
6	(-)	Coco	Walt Disney	$2,828,000	+6%	2,104	$1,344	$175,200,459	38
7	(-)	Darkest Hour	Focus Features	$1,800,000	+30%	943	$1,909	$14,447,287	38
8	(-)	All the Money in the World	Sony Pictures	$1,750,000		2,074	$844	$8,950,000	5
9	(-)	Downsizing	Paramount Pictures	$1,600,000	+15%	2,664	$601	$14,058,365	8
10	(-)	Wonder	Lionsgate	$1,300,000	+44%	1,193	$1,090	$119,608,865	43
11	(-)	Father Figures	Warner Bros.	$1,230,000		2,902	$424	$10,265,000	8
12	(-)	The Shape of Water	Fox Searchlight	$1,170,000	+17%	730	$1,603	$13,310,155	29
13	(-)	Molly’s Game	STX Entertainment	$720,000	+22%	271	$2,657	$3,617,552	5
-	(-)	Thor: Ragnarok	Walt Disney	$308,000	+4%	540	$570	$310,678,239	57
-	(-)	The Post	20th Century Fox	$171,472	+23%	9	$19,052	$1,370,513	8
-	(-)	Hostiles	Entertainment Studi…	$10,566	+43%	5	$2,113	$62,859	8
-	(-)	Phantom Thread	Focus Features	$8,000	-86%	5	$1,600	$319,345	5
-	(-)	Marshall	Open Road	$3,292	+35%	50	$66	$9,461,017	78

If this is not a typo and PT is already below Hostiles, that a really hard and strange fall, could get lower than Inherent Vice instead of lower than the Master ?

 

I imagine it is in reality 80k with a 16k PTA, right ?

Edited December 30, 2017 by Barnack

[Premium George]

5 minutes ago, filmlover said:

There is no way that Phantom Thread number isn't a typo.

Lmao. 

[Heretic]

2 hours ago, Krissykins said:

No one predicted a $120m opening for it and a total north of $300m domestic and $700m worldwide. 

 

IT is the story of the year, easily. 

 

Why did you not expect Jumanji to get to $100m when it was tracking at $60m opening? 

As Baumer said, not everyone follows tracking. Jumanji looks like the type of film that could have easily flopped. Everyone thought IT would open huge. Okay not 120, but I distinctly remember the vast majority of people expecting a 70-80m+ opening with the crazy hype it had. Jumanji is looking at a potential 800m WW gross. To me that is the surprise of the year. 

[John Marston]

18 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Episode 9 has a real hook - it's the end of the Skywalker saga and they'll milk that fact for all its worth. Wait and see. We'll get sappy HP-like trailers that show all generations. We'll be constantly reminded that this is the farewell. They'll create a mini-event, not an event like TFA but it's definitely going to be more of an event than TLJ ever hoped to be. If they play their cards well like DH Pt 2 did with emotional goodbyes, and they will don't you worry, it's gonna fly past TLJ total .

 

 

the end of the Skywalker saga happened with Last Jedi

[WrathOfHan]

TLJ forecast with Deadline's numbers:

 

Remainder of this week: 17.5M (554.5M Total)

Jan 5: 28.8M (6.3M weekdays, 589.6M Total)
Jan 12: 10.6M (5.3M weekdays, 605.5M Total)

Jan 19: 5.6M (1.7M weekdays, 612.8M Total)

Jan 26: 3.2M (1.3M weekdays, 617.3M Total)

Feb 2: 1.9M (700k weekdays, 619.9M Total)

Final Total: 623M (2.83x)

 

Is this even hitting a 3x anymore? Next weekend will probably determine that. There are a lot of variables on Friday and Saturday, but I don't think it can get much higher than 32-33M.

 

Jumanji:

 

Remainder of this week: 17.8M (203.4M Total)

Jan 5: 32.2M (7.5M weekdays, 243.1M Total)

Jan 12: 20.1M (8.9M weekdays, 272.1M Total)

Jan 19: 11.3M (3.8M weekdays, 287.2M Total)

Jan 26: 8.5M (2.4M weekdays, 298.1M Total)

Feb 2: 5.1M (1.1M weekdays, 304.3M Total)

Feb 9: 2.4M (900k weekdays, 307.6M Total)

Feb 16: 1.1M (400k weekdays, 309.1M Total)

Final Total: 312M (5.89x from 5 day)

 

I think passing Ragnarok (not just admissions; that's locked) period is in play