Weekend Thread | Estimates per BOM ~ BP 65.7M, RS 17M, DW 13M, GN 10.7M, PR 10M, ANL 5.65M, J:WTTJ 4.5M, FSF 3.3M, TGS 2.68M

[Taruseth]

47 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Week
2018/02/16	1	$202,003,951		4,020	$50,250	$202,003,951	1
2018/02/23	1	$111,658,835	-45%	4,020	$27,776	$403,613,257	2
2018/03/02	1	$66,306,935	-41%	4,084	$16,236	$501,706,972	3

 

So Star Wars: The Force Awakens fourth weekend was $42,353,785.

For BP to top that it would need a drop of 36.12465% (with that drop the weekend would be $42,353,787 (so $2 higher) or less.

I would say it is at least possible, which is really crazy, when I think about it, I would say it is anywhere close to locked though. I right now would say $40M (or a little bit less) is where BP's fourth weekend will land. Which would still be amazing and a really low drop.

[MaxAggressor]

 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[a2k]

I thought PR's Sunday was over-estimated but stays at the estimated number

5

(3)

Peter Rabbit

Sony Pictures

$10,005,177

-22%

3,607

$2,774

$84,065,553

4

 

even with a 50% drop next weekend, rest of the weekends should add

5 + 3 + 1.8 + 1 + 0.5 + 0.7 (rest including dollar bump) = 12

rest of weekdays should add 4 for 12+4 = 16 more and 100 dom

Edited March 5, 2018 by a2knet

[Valonqar]

18 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Spidey 3 adjusted is 201/449 and Ultron is 204/491 adusted. It's just a coincidence that the actual 200 openers have strong WOM to push them past 600 total.

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekend&id=spiderman3.htm&adjust_yr=2018&p=.htm

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekend&id=avengers2.htm&adjust_yr=2018&p=.htm

 

It's an insane thing that, once upon not so long ago, Justice league seemed like a shoe-in for 200M opening (After Nolan trilogy, I bet that things looked great for Batman + other big SH on paper). And yet...Just shows how damaging cash grab cinema is. If they gave it time and planned it like MCU instead of trying to achieve overnight what took years...

[DAJK]

I sort of low-key hope my theatre gets Hurricane Heist just so I can watch the ensuing hilarity. To be fair though, it would only be a movie I would want to watch completely plastered so maybe not at the workplace...

 

In all honesty, I kinda hope I get to see Wrinkle, Red Sparrow, and Strangers this weekend.

[TwoMisfits]

19 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

 

Damn Moviepass, you screwed me - I lost this Casino best by under 50K...that's gotta at least be the amount their "blockage" took away (and to think I made the bet thinking it would get the subscription bump)...sigh...

[AJG]

30 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

 

 

Is Jennifer Lawrence relevant in 2018???

[HouseOfTheSun]

2 hours ago, Telehilation said:

 

I don't have an answer. Probably a combination of a lot of energy getting poured into BP's first two weekends, while its performance this time was very strong but not off-the-charts strong like the first two. And of course the Oscars probably took up a bunch of attention yesterday as well. Personally I didn't even know the weekend estimates until yesterday afternoon.

“Not as strong” third highest third weekend and almost topping Avatar for 2?

[druv10]

OS was updated for BP

501.706M Dom

398.234M OS

899.941M WW

Edited March 5, 2018 by druv10

[MCKillswitch123]

Looking at that Red Sparrow number, it just reminded me: Insidious 4 still has the 3rd biggest OW of the year, behind Freed and Panther. How the fuck did that movie open so massively and against expectations?

[iHeartJames]

2 minutes ago, druv10 said:

OS was updated for BP

501.706M Dom

398.234M OS

899.946M WW

SHIT SO CLOSE!! but wow i'm still i awe of Black Panther's run cuz I honestly thought it would cap out at like 700-800 million

[a2k]

Not to forget Jumanji, as BP has stolen the thunder. 4 drops above 25%. Amazing run.

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Week
2017/12/22	2	$36,169,328		3,765	$9,607	$52,775,295	1
2017/12/29	2	$50,051,364	+38%	3,765	$13,294	$169,002,557	2
2018/01/05	1	$37,233,653	-26%	3,801	$9,796	$245,606,319	3
2018/01/12	1	$28,101,972	-25%	3,849	$7,301	$284,237,881	4
2018/01/19	1	$19,505,170	-31%	3,704	$5,266	$316,450,318	5
2018/01/26	2	$16,144,874	-17%	3,553	$4,544	$337,802,077	6
2018/02/02	1	$10,930,222	-32%	3,352	$3,261	$352,572,974	7
2018/02/09	4	$10,023,344	-8%	3,136	$3,196	$365,855,215	8
2018/02/16	4	$7,937,970	-21%	2,800	$2,835	$377,616,535	9
2018/02/23	6	$5,650,497	-29%	2,519	$2,243	$387,284,712	10
2018/03/02	7	$4,438,090	-21%	2,313	$1,919	$393,139,443	11

 

...and TGS with only 3 drops above 20%

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Week
2017/12/22	4	$8,805,843		3,006	$2,929	$13,404,574	1
2017/12/29	4	$15,520,732	+76%	3,316	$4,681	$49,036,718	2
2018/01/05	4	$13,770,951	-11%	3,342	$4,121	$76,875,323	3
2018/01/12	4	$12,467,471	-9%	2,938	$4,244	$95,221,339	4
2018/01/19	5	$10,644,824	-15%	2,823	$3,771	$113,125,431	5
2018/01/26	4	$9,550,367	-10%	2,663	$3,586	$126,525,599	6
2018/02/02	4	$7,695,644	-19%	2,588	$2,974	$137,370,816	7
2018/02/09	5	$6,443,343	-16%	2,373	$2,715	$146,579,213	8
2018/02/16	6	$5,033,518	-22%	1,936	$2,600	$154,411,874	9
2018/02/23	8	$3,411,649	-32%	1,601	$2,131	$160,778,519	10
2018/03/02	9	$2,703,357	-21%	1,407	$1,921	$164,644,800	11

 

 

[CJohn]

The Queen shall not be denied @MCKillswitch123

 

http://www.ica-ip.pt/fotos/downloads/ranking_fds_1_a_4_marco_2018_34865a9d24148c705.pdf

[a2k]

6 minutes ago, druv10 said:

OS was updated for BP

501.706M Dom

398.234M OS

899.946M WW

what an insane run. pulled in nearly 60 weekend OS also. and has yet to release in China.

BP looking to double JL's ww.

[KP1025]

Black Panther should cross $1 billion WW in 24 days, the same number of days it took for Ultron and Civil War.

[ecstasy]

15 minutes ago, druv10 said:

OS was updated for BP

501.706M Dom

398.234M OS

899.941M WW

Holy Mother of God! I was not even paying attention to the overseas for this.

[Sam]

3 hours ago, Telehilation said:

 

I don't have an answer. Probably a combination of a lot of energy getting poured into BP's first two weekends, while its performance this time was very strong but not off-the-charts strong like the first two. And of course the Oscars probably took up a bunch of attention yesterday as well. Personally I didn't even know the weekend estimates until yesterday afternoon.

A blatant dig at an MCU movie’s BO? 

 

Age has taken away your subtlety too, old man? 

[Plain Old Tele]

Just now, Sam said:

A blatant dig at an MCU movie’s BO? 

 

Age has taken away your subtlety too, old man? 

 

I’m really not dissing it. It’s an amazing run. Fantastic. Unprecedented. Whatever adjective you want.