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Monday Numbers - A:IW 24.74M

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25M Monday in April? That means only one thing.

 

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On 4/8/2018 at 10:54 PM, Ethan Hunt said:

There's no hype lol

 

 

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This is going to hold like BP.  It'll take a 52%+ hit when DP2 opens.  -47% vs Solo(not as bad because of Sunday boost) but then bounces back for the next two weeks. Then hit a little I2 then harder by JW2.  Slightly better holds and it gets to $800m

 

 

  Weekend   Week Total  
4.27 257.8   343.0    
5.4 140.0 -45.69% 186.0 529.0  
5.11 84.0 -40.00% 111.0 640.0  
5.18 40.0 -52.38% 53.0 693.0 DP2 Opens
5.25 21.2 -47.00% 30.0 723.0 Solo MD W/E
6.1 12.7 -40.00% 17.4 740.4  
6.8 8.3 -35.00% 11.3 751.7  
6.15 4.8 -42.00% 6.6 758.3 I2 Opens
6.22 2.3 -52.00% 3.4 761.7 JW opens
6.29 1.5 -35.00% 2.2 763.9  
        770.0  

 

 

 

Feb 16–18 1 $202,003,951 - 4,020 - $50,250 $202,003,951 1
Date
(click to view chart)
Rank Weekend
Gross
%
Change
Theaters Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week
#
Feb 16–19 1 $242,155,680 - 4,020 - $60,238 $242,155,680 1
Feb 23–25 1 $111,658,835 -44.7% 4,020 - $27,776 $403,613,257 2
Mar 2–4 1 $66,306,935 -40.6% 4,084 +64 $16,236 $501,706,972 3
Mar 9–11 1 $40,817,579 -38.4% 3,942 -142 $10,355 $561,697,180 4
Mar 16–18 1 $26,650,690 -34.7% 3,834 -108 $6,951 $605,027,218 5
Mar 23–25 2 $17,099,618 -35.8% 3,370 -464 $5,074 $631,357,854 6
Mar 30–Apr 1 3 $11,486,915 -32.8% 2,988 -382 $3,844 $650,923,549 7
Apr 6–8 4 $8,704,968 -24.2% 2,747 -241 $3,169 $665,630,708 8
Apr 13–15 6 $5,777,896 -33.6% 2,180 -567 $2,650 $674,233,418 9

 

 

 

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3 hours ago, DMan7 said:

Are Avatar fans quaking in their boots yet?

 

1B DOM, 2B OS = 3B WW?

 

No.

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3 minutes ago, POTUS said:

This is going to hold like BP.  It'll take a 52%+ hit when DP2 opens.  -47% vs Solo(not as bad because of Sunday boost) but then bounces back for the next two weeks. Then hit a little I2 then harder by JW2.  Slightly better holds and it gets to $800m

 

 

  Weekend   Week Total  
4.27 257.8   343.0    
5.4 140.0 -45.69% 186.0 529.0  
5.11 84.0 -40.00% 111.0 640.0  
5.18 40.0 -52.38% 53.0 693.0 DP2 Opens
5.25 21.2 -47.00% 30.0 723.0 Solo MD W/E
6.1 12.7 -40.00% 17.4 740.4  
6.8 8.3 -35.00% 11.3 751.7  
6.15 4.8 -42.00% 6.6 758.3 I2 Opens
6.22 2.3 -52.00% 3.4 761.7 JW opens
6.29 1.5 -35.00% 2.2 763.9  
        770.0  

 

 

 

Feb 16–18 1 $202,003,951 - 4,020 - $50,250 $202,003,951 1
Date
(click to view chart)
Rank Weekend
Gross
%
Change
Theaters Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week
#
Feb 16–19 1 $242,155,680 - 4,020 - $60,238 $242,155,680 1
Feb 23–25 1 $111,658,835 -44.7% 4,020 - $27,776 $403,613,257 2
Mar 2–4 1 $66,306,935 -40.6% 4,084 +64 $16,236 $501,706,972 3
Mar 9–11 1 $40,817,579 -38.4% 3,942 -142 $10,355 $561,697,180 4
Mar 16–18 1 $26,650,690 -34.7% 3,834 -108 $6,951 $605,027,218 5
Mar 23–25 2 $17,099,618 -35.8% 3,370 -464 $5,074 $631,357,854 6
Mar 30–Apr 1 3 $11,486,915 -32.8% 2,988 -382 $3,844 $650,923,549 7
Apr 6–8 4 $8,704,968 -24.2% 2,747 -241 $3,169 $665,630,708 8
Apr 13–15 6 $5,777,896 -33.6% 2,180 -567 $2,650 $674,233,418 9

 

 

 

Excellent 

51Ql.gif

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Anyone thinks this can challenge Force Awaken's domestic total or Avatar's worldwide total? 

Spoiler

This keeps popping up when i post, sorry. smh

Edited by jaybox
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18 minutes ago, POTUS said:

This is going to hold like BP.  It'll take a 52%+ hit when DP2 opens.  -47% vs Solo(not as bad because of Sunday boost) but then bounces back for the next two weeks. Then hit a little I2 then harder by JW2.  Slightly better holds and it gets to $800m

 

 

  Weekend   Week Total  
4.27 257.8   343.0    
5.4 140.0 -45.69% 186.0 529.0  
5.11 84.0 -40.00% 111.0 640.0  
5.18 40.0 -52.38% 53.0 693.0 DP2 Opens
5.25 21.2 -47.00% 30.0 723.0 Solo MD W/E
6.1 12.7 -40.00% 17.4 740.4  
6.8 8.3 -35.00% 11.3 751.7  
6.15 4.8 -42.00% 6.6 758.3 I2 Opens
6.22 2.3 -52.00% 3.4 761.7 JW opens
6.29 1.5 -35.00% 2.2 763.9  
        770.0  

 

 

 

Feb 16–18 1 $202,003,951 - 4,020 - $50,250 $202,003,951 1
Date
(click to view chart)
Rank Weekend
Gross
%
Change
Theaters Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week
#
Feb 16–19 1 $242,155,680 - 4,020 - $60,238 $242,155,680 1
Feb 23–25 1 $111,658,835 -44.7% 4,020 - $27,776 $403,613,257 2
Mar 2–4 1 $66,306,935 -40.6% 4,084 +64 $16,236 $501,706,972 3
Mar 9–11 1 $40,817,579 -38.4% 3,942 -142 $10,355 $561,697,180 4
Mar 16–18 1 $26,650,690 -34.7% 3,834 -108 $6,951 $605,027,218 5
Mar 23–25 2 $17,099,618 -35.8% 3,370 -464 $5,074 $631,357,854 6
Mar 30–Apr 1 3 $11,486,915 -32.8% 2,988 -382 $3,844 $650,923,549 7
Apr 6–8 4 $8,704,968 -24.2% 2,747 -241 $3,169 $665,630,708 8
Apr 13–15 6 $5,777,896 -33.6% 2,180 -567 $2,650 $674,233,418 9

 

 

 

I think you're being a liiiitle too optimistic on the first two weeks of June. I see sub-50 drops, but it has to deal with a post-MD drop on June 1 and a potentially large TC loss on the 8th. Ocean's 8 should be pushing 4k theaters, and Hereditary will likely be in over 2,500.   I don't know how wide of a release Open Road plans for Hotel Artemis, but that could easily be another 2k right there.

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4 minutes ago, BugsBunny said:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/days/f-th.htm?page=Mon&p=.htm

 

Guys - unless I'm missing one, the all-time best Monday-on-a-School-Day was in session is Furious 7 at $14mm. This will beat the prior school-in-session Monday record by almost 80%.

Arbitrary record, but of all the non-holiday Monday, it should be The Avengers at 18.8M

 

IW is beating that by 31.5%

Edited by Sam
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3 hours ago, jaybox said:
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Anyone thinks this can challenge Force Awaken's domestic total or Avatar's worldwide total?

 

 

No.

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3 hours ago, BugsBunny said:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/days/f-th.htm?page=Mon&p=.htm

 

Guys - unless I'm missing one, the all-time best Monday-on-a-School-Day was in session is Furious 7 at $14mm. This will beat the prior school-in-session Monday record by almost 80%.

 

Which would only make sense since it is the biggest opening weekend of all time.  

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Lol the first Monday number doesn’t “lock” anything. 

 

We know that by now.

 

Saying $700m is “locked” because of the Monday number is silly. 

 

Not getting to $700m after opening to $258m seems very unlikely anyway. 

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This is absolute max I can see IW do:

DOM: $890M (BP's legs)

China: $600M 

OS-China: $1.3B (almost same multiplier as DOM)

Total: $2.79B just enough to beat Avatar :Venom:

It's not gonna do it but it's fun to imagine :D

 

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1 minute ago, bladels said:

This is absolute max I can see IW do:

DOM: $890M (BP's legs)

China: $600M 

OS-China: $1.3B (almost same multiplier as DOM)

Total: $2.79B just enough to beat Avatar :Venom:

It's not gonna do it but it's fun to imagine :D

 

I honestly think IW ends up splitting the difference and becoming a solid 2nd.  2.4b seems possible if china comes through, that'd put it well ahead of TFA and behind Avatar.  And the real question is can it beat TFA WW.

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