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Tuesday's Numbers (IW 23.5) page 2

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IW with a slightly better drop than the Avengers on Tuesday. I agree with everyone else about spillover for massive openers ($200+million) limiting the potential growth on Discount Tuesdays.

 

Very happy to see AQP cross $150 million without much fanfare. Still looks on track to beat Get Out. 

 

Black Panther with a very muted increase. Maybe the IW effect has worn off.

 

 

1 (1) Avengers: Infinity War Walt Disney $23,426,108 -5% 4,474 $5,236   $305,864,408 5
2 (2) A Quiet Place Paramount Pictures $1,143,854 +28% 3,565 $321   $150,565,543 26
3 (3) I Feel Pretty STX Entertainment $1,063,254 +48% 3,440 $309   $31,400,747 12
- (4) Rampage Warner Bros. $744,374 +50% 3,508 $212   $79,272,134 19
- (5) Black Panther Walt Disney $479,309 +11% 1,650 $290   $689,275,403 75
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5 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Doesn’t look great for Panther having a top 5 shot this weekend. Maybe if Rampage loses a lot of theaters, but it’s PTA isn’t that bad and the new releases this week don’t need that many screens.

Like I said in the weekend thread, AQP/IFP/Rampage probably won't lose more than 100 theaters each (maybe even 50). There won't be many theaters dropping them for the three wide releases.

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So I was trying to picture what was happening in my throat this morning.

 

Fighting a virus is like the Helm's Deep battle in LOTR: your white cells try to hold the fort (but mostly fail) until, like Éomer, the antibodies arrive and wipe the floor with the virus  :Venom:

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2 hours ago, Thematrixfilm said:

anything for A Wrinkle in Time?

Nothing that will chage the basic fact AWIT underperformed pretty massively. Disney's happy they will not lose money on it.

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Random stat of the day: Percentage of total gross earned on opening day (as of Tuesday)

 

AIW: 34.8%

ST2: 34.7%

 

One of those numbers is dropping several points a day. The other is dropping a fraction of a point every day.

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1 minute ago, AJG said:

Just noticed that Panther needs $15m more to become the 8th highest grossing film WW.

I hope it gets there but it'll be close. Might just barely miss it. OS seems to be at a crawl right now. 

Edited by Mekanos
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13 minutes ago, Noctis said:

Does anyone know how much Black Panther is doing overseas?

It looks like BP added about $2 million OS this weekend. OS total now at $645.3 million according to BOM.

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Infinity War Through Sunday, BP Model 

 

Wednesday ————$16.5 million 

Thursday —————$16.0 million 

Friday ——————- $32.3 million 

Saturday ————— $53.4 million 

Sunday —————— $39.7 million

 

TA1 Model 

 

Wednesday ————$18.0 million 

Thursday —————$16.4 million 

Friday ——————-$38.7 million 

Saturday —————$56.8 million 

Sunday —————- $41.0 million 

 

AOU Model 

 

Wednesday ————$16.8 million 

Thursday —————$15.4 million 

Friday ——————-$37.9 million 

Saturday —————$60.3 million 

Sunday —————- $40.5 million

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4 minutes ago, The Mad Titan said:

Infinity War Through Sunday, BP Model 

 

Wednesday ————$16.5 million 

Thursday —————$16.0 million 

Friday ——————- $32.3 million 

Saturday ————— $53.4 million 

Sunday —————— $39.7 million

 

TA1 Model 

 

Wednesday ————$18.0 million 

Thursday —————$16.4 million 

Friday ——————-$38.7 million 

Saturday —————$56.8 million 

Sunday —————- $41.0 million 

 

AOU Model 

 

Wednesday ————$16.8 million 

Thursday —————$15.4 million 

Friday ——————-$37.9 million 

Saturday —————$60.3 million 

Sunday —————- $40.5 million

I think it will end up tracking better than TA1. Anyone done the math at how much better its been doing each day? I can throw together a spreadsheet later tonight, if not. 

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Just now, Critically Acclaimed Panda said:

I’m thinking between a 15.5m - 18.5m Wednesday

 

Sounds about right, I would bet 17 on the nose if I had to right now

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Just now, grey ghost said:

Does BP havd a decent or slim chance at 700 m DOM?

 

Really good chance. I think it's happening at this point

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Avengers 1, Age of Ultron, and IM3 were all down about 28% from Monday on Wednesday, which would put IW at $17.8M today. Civil War was more of an outlier and was off 32.5%, a similar result would put IW at $16.6M. The strength of the spillover effect on Monday is worth considering, so I would anticipate it to hew closer to Civil War due to that. But it's showing an upswing on movietickets.com right now, so I would not preclude the possibility of it hitting that $17-18M range today, which would be excellent.

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