jack-jack INCREDIBLES 2 Weekend |🏆| ACTUALS: 182.7M OW | O8 19M, Tag 14.9M, Solo 10M, DP2 8.7M, IW 5.4M

[The Futurist]

I am not yet convinced I2 is poised to the numbers you are all taking about.

We have never seen an animation film opening like that, it s uncharted territory.

When you open to 180m, you have already burned a lot of demand no matter what.

We ve been spoiled this year with The Panther & Thanos but let s not pretend making 600-650-700m+ domestic  can become business as usual in box office land.

Edited June 18, 2018 by The Futurist

[The Panda]

34 minutes ago, DAR said:

So Disney is looking at 2 billion domestically from just three films alone.   Followed by whatever loose change they can get from the rest of its slate.

Disney could be in for a record year 

 

They’re at 1.98b right now.  

 

Rough estimations

I2 has another 500m left or so, that’s 2.48v

Solo and IW have another 40m or so, 2.52b

AMATW hits around 200m for 2.72b

CR hits around 200m for 2.92b

Nutcracker hits around 100m for 3.02b

WIR2 does 200m of so in 2018 for 3.22b

MPR does 140m or so in 2018 for 3.36b which is well over the record

 

Then 2019 could go forward and break the record again

2018 holdovers do 225m or so

Captain Marvel 300m for 525m

Dumbo does 200m for 725m

Penguins does 15m for 740m

A4 does 680m for 1.42b

Aladdin does 300m for 1.72b

TS4 does 300m for 2.02b

TLK does 700m for 2.72b

Artemis Fowl does 100m for 2.82b

Their slated live actions do 150m for 2.97b

Frozen 2 does 400m for 3.37b

Star Wars 9 does 450m in 2019 for 3.82b

[baumer]

30 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

Book Club Legs Update

 

Current Multiplier: 4.563

Gross Needed to Match I Can Only Imagine (4.871): ~$4.186M

Gross Needed to Reach an Unrounded 5.000 Multiplier: ~$5.934M

 

I think at this point it will hit the 5 multiplier, which is basically 68 million but I don't think it will get to 70.  I'm assuming it levels out a bit in the coming weeks.  The week days will still be good to it so at this point 65 is locked.  Anything after that...who really knows.  I'm guessing the final ends up between 67-69.

[dxmatrixdt]

25 biggest opening weekends ever.

 

Spoiler

Biggest opening weekends in the U.S. and Canada[edit]

A list of films that grossed in excess of $100 million between the first Friday and first Sunday of release.

Rank	Film	Year	Opening Weekend (three day)[3]	Inflation-adjusted[nb 1] (2018 USD)
1	Avengers: Infinity War	2018	$257,698,183	$257,698,183
2	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	2015	$247,966,675	$256,008,273
3	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	2017	$220,009,584	$220,009,584
4	Jurassic World	2015	$208,806,270	$215,577,890
5	The Avengers	2012	$207,438,708	$221,119,620
6	Black Panther	2018	$202,003,951	$202,003,951
7	Avengers: Age of Ultron	2015	$191,271,109	$197,474,061
8	Incredibles 2	2018	$182,687,905	$182,687,905
9	Captain America: Civil War	2016	$179,139,142	$182,666,285
10	Beauty and the Beast	2017	$174,750,616	$174,750,616
11	Iron Man 3	2013	$174,144,585	$182,951,325
12	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2	2011	$169,189,427	$184,056,072
13	Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	2016	$166,007,347	$169,275,933
14	The Dark Knight Rises	2012	$160,887,295	$171,498,067
15	The Dark Knight	2008	$158,411,483	$180,055,339
16	The Hunger Games: Catching Fire	2013	$158,074,286	$166,068,328
17	Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	2016	$155,081,681	$158,135,147
18	The Hunger Games	2012	$152,535,747	$162,595,722
19	Spider-Man 3	2007	$151,116,516	$178,351,927
20	Furious 7	2015	$147,187,040	$151,960,339
21	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	2017	$146,510,104	$146,510,104
22	The Twilight Saga: New Moon	2009	$142,839,137	$162,934,545
23	The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 2	2012	$141,067,634	$150,371,268
24	The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1	2011	$138,122,261	$150,259,040
25	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest	2006	$135,634,554	$164,651,124

 

and the Rotten Tomatoes scores.

- critics score + audience score

 

1. Infinity War - 83% - 91

2. The Force Awakens - 93% - 87

3. The Last Jedi - 91% - 46

4. Jurassic World - 71% - 78

5. The Avengers - 92% - 91

6. Black Panther - 97% - 79

7. Age of Ultron - 75% - 83

8. Incredibles 2 - 94% - 89

9. Civil War - 91% - 89

10. Beauty and the Beast - 70% - 81

11. Iron Man 3 - 80% - 78

12. Harry Potter 8 - 96% - 89

13. Batman v Superman - 27% - 63

14. The Dark Knight - 94% - 94

15. The Dark Knight Rises  - 87% - 90

16. Catching Fire - 89% - 89

17. Rogue One - 85% - 87

18. Hunger Games - 84% - 81

19. Spider-Man 3 - 63% - 51

20. Furious 7 - 80% - 80

21. Guardians Vol. 2 - 83% - 88

22. Twilight 2 - 28% - 60

23. Twilight 5 - 48% - 70

24. Twilight 4 - 25% - 60

25. Dead Man's Chest - 52% - 72

 

[Ledmonkey96]

Is no one going to talk about Solo increasing 9% sunday?

[LonePirate]

19 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Is no one going to talk about Solo increasing 9% sunday?

Families who were sold out of TI2 due to the Fathers Day holiday watched Solo instead. Most of the Sunday morning and afternoon shows for TI2 in my area were already at 75%+ capacity on Saturday night. When they couldn't see TI2, they opted for their second choice.

[IronJimbo]

47 minutes ago, The Incredible Panda said:

Disney could be in for a record year 

 

They’re at 1.98b right now.  

 

Rough estimations

I2 has another 500m left or so, that’s 2.48v

Solo and IW have another 40m or so, 2.52b

AMATW hits around 200m for 2.72b

CR hits around 200m for 2.92b

Nutcracker hits around 100m for 3.02b

WIR2 does 200m of so in 2018 for 3.22b

MPR does 140m or so in 2018 for 3.36b which is well over the record

 

Then 2019 could go forward and break the record again

2018 holdovers do 225m or so

Captain Marvel 300m for 525m

Dumbo does 200m for 725m

Penguins does 15m for 740m

A4 does 680m for 1.42b

Aladdin does 300m for 1.72b

TS4 does 300m for 2.02b

TLK does 700m for 2.72b

Artemis Fowl does 100m for 2.82b

Their slated live actions do 150m for 2.97b

Frozen 2 does 400m for 3.37b

Star Wars 9 does 450m in 2019 for 3.82b

Incredible work by Disney! They are good at green lighting films and leaving the talented and hard working people to do the rest.

 

 

[estebanJ]

1 hour ago, The Futurist said:

I am not yet convinced I2 is poised to the numbers you are all taking about.

 

 

Yes, the legs might be skinnier than the opening would suggest, e.g., a lot of people might be cramming it in this weekend and week so they can see Jurassic Park next week. 

[Belle]

55 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

I am not yet convinced I2 is poised to the numbers you are all taking about.

We have never seen an animation film opening like that, it s uncharted territory.

When you open to 180m, you have already burned a lot of demand no matter what.

We ve been spoiled this year with The Panther & Thanos but let s not pretend making 600-650-700m+ domestic  can become business as usual in box office land.

This run is the movie I'm looking forward to the most this year. An animated, Family-Rated movie opening this high but also had an A+ Cinemascore and very good reviews? I think it has a shot of finishing at around 600M but I'll be cautious of betting it to go higher then that. 

 

[BadAtGender]

2 hours ago, Belle said:

So Incredibles is likely getting 600M domestic right? It needs a 3.28x and given the reviews and word of mouth plus summer weekdays chances seem very high. 

Seems likely, but not guaranteed.

 

It has an outside shot of beating Shrek 2's 650m adjusted total to be the biggest computer animated film of all time.

 

I'm really curious how it's going to play OS. The first wasn't super strong, but superhero films in general didn't have good OS grosses back then. That's generally changed but it's mostly because of character familiarity, which this doesn't have going for it. Pixar also doesn't have as strong an OS brand as, say, Illumination, relative to their DOM grosses. So we could see a situation where the OS gross is quite a bit below the DOM gross.

[Mekanos]

It’s looking like it’s flat out overpeforming DOM. I could see OS being more like Dory, 500-550M. If JW disappoints domestically it could take third WW for the year. 

[MattW]

Did this get posted yet:

 

http://www.indiewire.com/2018/06/disneys-boosting-a-wrinkle-in-time-over-100-million-drive-ins-1201975953

[Bobbybuilderton]

1 hour ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Is no one going to talk about Solo increasing 9% sunday?

I mean we could but then we'd have to talk about the "too many blockbusters too fast" excuse some people were listing for how poorly it's done. Incredibles just put that shit to bed this weekend, imo

[L Silverman]

Ha, piggybacked on I2 and they STILL couldn't get to $100m!

[grey ghost]

What's the record for biggest DOM yearly total for a studio?

[L Silverman]

15 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

What's the record for biggest DOM yearly total for a studio?

Disney- $2.870 billion. (2016)   That's just for 2016 Disney releases.  $3 billion even for all the money Disney raked in from Jan 1, 2016- Dec 31, 2016 for 2015/2016 releases.

 

So far for this year, Disney is at approximately $1.8 billion. 

Edited June 19, 2018 by L Silverman

[Ledmonkey96]

59 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

What's the record for biggest DOM yearly total for a studio?

Disney 2016..... more impressive is that Disney held 26.3% of the Dom market that year, which is the highest % of the market any studio has held going back to 2000. Heck before 2015 no studio had made it over 20%. And now we are looking at Disney with 35.8% of the market as of the end of the weekend, and they will increase that % through next weekend.

 

For reference assuming 26mil Monday for all Disney movies then in order to decrease Disney's % of the market Monday's total gross would need to be at least 73mil..... on a monday. that'd be basically flat from Sunday.

Edited June 19, 2018 by Ledmonkey96

[sfran43]

I just want to give yall a heads up, but I won't be available to post numbers tomorrow (except for numbers that are available before 11am). Since I will be in surgery to get my wisdom teeth taking out (ugh)! If all goes well, I should be back to posting by Wednesday.🤞🏽

 

P.s. if yall see any nutty/loopy posts from me tomorrow, I just want to apologize in advance!

[WrathOfHan]

15 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

I just want to give yall a heads up, but I won't be available to post numbers tomorrow (except for numbers that are available before 11am). Since I will be in surgery to get my wisdom teeth taking out (ugh)! If all goes well, I should be back to posting by Wednesday.🤞🏽

 

P.s. if yall see any nutty/loopy posts from me tomorrow, I just want to apologize in advance!

Good lucky with the recovery!

[JB33]

18 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

I just want to give yall a heads up, but I won't be available to post numbers tomorrow (except for numbers that are available before 11am). Since I will be in surgery to get my wisdom teeth taking out (ugh)! If all goes well, I should be back to posting by Wednesday.🤞🏽

 

P.s. if yall see any nutty/loopy posts from me tomorrow, I just want to apologize in advance!

Take good care sfran!