Official Oct 5 to Oct 7 Weekend Thread | Official Estimates: Venom - 80M (205M WW OW); A Star is Born - 42.6M

[Boxofficerules]

4 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Title    Previews    OW    Previews/OW

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp    $11.5     $75.8     15.2%

Avengers: Infinity War    $39.0     $257.7     15.1%

Black Panther    $25.2     $202.0     12.5%

Thor: Ragnarok    $14.5     $122.7     11.8%

Spider-Man: Homecoming    $15.4     $117.0     13.2%

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2    $17.0     $146.5     11.6%

Doctor Strange    $9.4     $85.1     11.0%

Captain America: Civil War    $25.0     $179.1     14.0%

Ant-Man    $6.4     $57.2     11.2%

Avengers: Age of Ultron    $27.6     $191.3     14.4%

Guardians of the Galaxy    $11.2     $94.3     11.9%

Captain America: The Winter Soldier    $10.2     $95.0     10.7%

 

TASM2    $8.7     $91.6     9.5%

 

DP2    $18.6     $125.5     14.8%

DP    $12.7     $132.4     9.6%

Logan    $9.5     $88.4     10.7%

Apocalypse    $8.0     $65.8     12.2%

DOFP    $8.1     $90.8     8.9%

 

JL    $13.0     $93.8     13.9%

WW    $11.0     $103.3     10.7%

SS    $20.5     $133.7     15.3%

BvS    $27.7     $166.0     16.7%

Did any of those previews start at 5 though?

[boxofficeth]

20 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

What is Gitesh thinking?

 

Anyway, great numbers for both. October is off to an exciting start for sure.

Gitesh seems very cautious about the opening of these two blockbusters. His prediction for Venom is in 40s and ASIB is in 30s. He might just to be on the safe side. Last year BR2049 was a disappointment.

[filmlover]

Just now, Boxofficerules said:

Did any of those previews start at 5 though?

I think Ant-Man 2 did.

[dxmatrixdt]

Next weekend, 

 

1 - Venom - 30.6 - 125.6

2 - Star/Born - 26.0 - 91.0

3 - First Man - 21.7 - 23.5

 

top 3 at 78.3, might switch it around after estimates expand

[Jonwo]

I imagine the first weekend of October is now going to eyed as  a potential slot for comic book films. Joker will be interesting to see BO wise next year 

Edited October 5, 2018 by Jonwo

[filmlover]

Just now, Jonwo said:

I imagine the first weekend of October is now going to eyed as  a potential slot for comic book films

It's been a great slot the past few years. Gravity, Gone Girl, and The Martian were all big hits. The Girl on the Train and Blade Runner 2049 didn't live up to expectations set by any of the aforementioned three but did alright (well, maybe Blade Runner didn't with its budget). Next year should continue the trend with Joker (Will Smith/Ang Lee's Gemini Man and Amy Adams/Joe Wright's The Woman in the Window are also slated for that weekend and have potential but I'm guessing one of them will move).

[DAJK]

Really looking forward to The Hate U Give’s PTA. Hoping it’s really, really strong

[CoolioD1]

5 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

I imagine the first weekend of October is now going to eyed as  a potential slot for comic book films

not a superhero slot tho, the world has enough superheroes. after joker as well it's gonna be the baddie weekend.😈😈😈

[ky02121]

What's the Cinemascore for ASIB?

Edited October 5, 2018 by ky02121

[filmlover]

Just now, ky02121 said:

What's the Cinemascore for AISB?

Cinemascore's aren't announced until late Friday night.

[Jonwo]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

It's been a great slot the past few years. Gravity, Gone Girl, and The Martian were all big hits. The Girl on the Train and Blade Runner 2049 didn't live up to expectations set by any of the aforementioned three but did alright (well, maybe Blade Runner didn't with its budget). Next year should continue the trend with Joker (Will Smith/Ang Lee's Gemini Man and Amy Adams/Joe Wright's The Woman in the Window are also slated for that weekend and have potential but I'm guessing one of them will move).

I'll be interested to see how Jungle Cruise does next year in the second week of October. 

 

October while not a huge month and its yet to have a $100m opener does have its fair share of hits, who'd thought Jackass 3D would open to $50m for example You compare to January or September which have had big successes like American Sniper or It but October is more consistent

[TwoMisfits]

With $10M, I'm gonna struggle to believe Venom doesn't go $70M+ - holiday weekend is gonna inflate Sunday, and all the presale deals (along with ticket subscriptions) will have people already locked in for the weekend.  

 

Nice to see a non-official Marvel movie break out...hopefully, I'll still feel that way after I see this Saturday:)...

[Eric Prime]

Next week's runtimes w/out credits and attachments:

First Man: 2:14. Marwen, Green Book, and Mortal Engines (NEW TRAILER) are attachments

Goosebumps 2: 1:24. Attachments unknown (Probably just Spiderverse and maybe A Dog's Way Home)

 

Nothing yet for El Royale, but we probably will get something soon.

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

21 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I think Ant-Man 2 did.

Ant-Man 2 started at 6pm. 

[KeepItU25071906]

37517	2018-10-05	FRI	Venom        
18876	2018-10-06	SAT	Venom
7052	2018-10-07	SUN	Venom

 

33442	2018-10-05	FRI	A Star Is Born
18428	2018-10-06	SAT	A Star Is Born
7680	2018-10-07	SUN	A Star Is Born

 

 

Can Venom loose true Friday?

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Just now, KeepItU25071906 said:

37517	2018-10-05	FRI	Venom        
18876	2018-10-06	SAT	Venom
7052	2018-10-07	SUN	Venom

 

33442	2018-10-05	FRI	A Star Is Born
18428	2018-10-06	SAT	A Star Is Born
7680	2018-10-07	SUN	A Star Is Born

 

 

Can Venom loose true Friday?

[a2k]

Gitesh's high-50s estimate seems very conservative indeed. One way it does that much,

10

15 (25)

20

12.5

= 57.5

, but rooting for 10+ higher than this.

[Eric Prime]

nvm
 

Edited October 5, 2018 by CoolEric258

[James]

10 hours ago, Jayhawk said:

Doubtful, but I think it will lose (maybe Sat and) Sunday.

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

1 minute ago, James said:

Doubtful, but I think it will lose (maybe Sat and) Sunday.

Yeah I think this is the most likely scenario.