US WEEKEND THREAD: Record 70.25 OW (highest grossing OW for an original horror)

[Rthmessiah]

US
F 28,923,540    
S 25,378,665
S 16,815,420        
We 71,117,625    

 

CM
F   9,120,858    -52
S  15,125,497    -49    
S  10,025,438    -49    
WE 34,271,793    -50    
Cume 320,749,628

[That One Girl]

39 minutes ago, Rthmar-vell said:

We 71,117,625    

 

 

$293,506,293 divided by $71,117,625 is 4.127054200699194.  Perfectly achievable goal

[terrestrial]

21 minutes ago, Djsoke said:

"He was driving a dark blue/black van" .....instead of using an "or."

 

 "3/4 of the people were sick." 

We use it between words also as 'or'.

20/30 years old (as a kind of age-group) should work too (but usual would be: 20-30 year olds), but not if its about splits. We use 25%,... too. I'll try to remember to write it that way the next time.

 

We do not write out the small numbers like you do (means we write 1 not one, 2 and not two,...)

A quarter-million is too long, one of the reasons to use 1/4 is to keep it short and ~ obvious.

Its one of those numbers that are often also used in ~ estimates... and in day-to-day life fast to recognise.

Like if you cut twice through a pizza and take a piece, everyone sees it at a glance how much is remaining.

To enhance the number over the 'sea' (a lot) of detailed numbers?

3/4 can be an exact amount (weight whilst buying e.g. vegetables, naming of time needed or even the time itself,... ) or - and I think more often, I have to think about that - like 75% with a possibility of some + and - (minus) if its about splits of groups of people

Time:

spoken only:   3/4  12    means 15 minutes before 12 o'clock, but no one writes it that way in normal cases.

in opposite to the English we mean with (again, only spoken)   1/2   12 = 11:30 o'clock, they say half past 11°° = they use past the hour till 30 minutes, we only till 29 minutes after the hour....

 

I have to remember the 'of' too 😉

 

Thank you a lot that was very interesting, I always try to better my English (I sometimes even ask questions (mostly in general conversation....) to learn more. English was my worst subject in school, I had partly only one hour a week and left school in the '70 = my English is mostly self-trained, per watching movies and reading/hearing novels/history books /....

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

At this point I'm pretty confident that CM won't be reaching WW and I'm this close to saying that even the 400M is questionable at this rate.Should benefit a lot from Endgame and then maybe some fudging by Disney .

[terrestrial]

@Bishop54

 

BoxOfficeReport.com‏ @BORReport 3m3 minutes ago

More

Alita: Battle Angel passed the $400M global mark on Sunday. The film has grossed $316.2M internationally and $83.8M domestically for a global total of $400.0M.

[Krissykins]

15 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

At this point I'm pretty confident that CM won't be reaching WW and I'm this close to saying that even the 400M is questionable at this rate.Should benefit a lot from Endgame and then maybe some fudging by Disney .

Dumbo opens this weekend so CM might have a smaller than expected drop. 

[john2000]

3 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Dumbo opens this weekend so CM might have a smaller than expected drop. 

plus the legs are great so far i dont see how it doesnt top 400 dom at least it will be 350-360 by the 4 weekend 20million more than guardians 2 thats great

[JB33]

1 hour ago, Rthmar-vell said:

US
F 28,923,540    
S 25,378,665
S 16,815,420        
We 71,117,625    

 

CM
F   9,120,858    -52
S  15,125,497    -49    
S  10,025,438    -49    
WE 34,271,793    -50    
Cume 320,749,628

Oof, that Sunday drop for Captain Marvel. GotGV2 could end up taking over in dailies from here on out.

[terrestrial]

please do not full quotes

 

I do not like to post such long charts but wow, there are a few deep downs for new movies

 

March 22-24, 2019 Weekend

TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week # 1 N Us Uni. $71,117,625 - 3,741 - $19,010 $71,117,625 $20 1 2 1 Captain Marvel BV $34,271,793 -49.6% 4,278 -32 $8,011 $320,749,628 - 3 3 2 Wonder Park Par. $8,761,117 -44.7% 3,838 - $2,283 $29,238,421 - 2 4 3 Five Feet Apart LGF $8,547,539 -35.2% 2,866 +63 $2,982 $26,258,603 - 2 5 4 How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World Uni. $6,520,065 -29.7% 3,347 -380 $1,948 $145,739,695 $129 5 6 5 Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral LGF $4,402,750 -43.8% 2,187 -163 $2,013 $65,783,982 - 4 7 6 No Manches Frida 2 PNT $1,770,786 -53.8% 472 - $3,752 $6,617,065 - 2 8 18 Gloria Bell A24 $1,650,215 +352.7% 654 +615 $2,523 $2,346,200 - 3 9 8 The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part WB $1,161,098 -46.0% 1,389 -657 $836 $103,364,648 - 7 10 9 Alita: Battle Angel Fox $1,081,328 -43.1% 1,439 -257 $751 $83,814,378 $170 6 11 7 Captive State Focus $959,165 -69.4% 2,549 +1 $376 $5,269,825 - 2 12 12 Apollo 11 Neon $791,649 -31.9% 586 -2 $1,351 $6,857,086 - 4 13 11 Isn't It Romantic WB (NL) $624,190 -48.4% 918 -448 $680 $47,501,280 - 6 14 10 Green Book Uni. $605,670 -51.9% 841 -479 $720 $83,885,626 $23 19 15 14 The Upside STX $549,271 -31.8% 647 -233 $849 $106,831,727 $37.5 11 16 13 Fighting with My Family MGM $542,524 -50.2% 903 -677 $601 $21,962,501 - 6 17 15 What Men Want Par. $310,453 -56.9% 404 -183 $768 $54,051,616 $20 7 18 N Cruel Intentions (20th Anniversary) Sony $258,708 - 708 - $365 $258,708 - 1 19 23 Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $255,377 -19.4% 278 -88 $919 $189,873,385 $90 15 20 17 Badla Relbig. $237,547 -49.0% 97 -18 $2,449 $1,712,624 - 3 21 24 Aquaman WB $228,302 -22.0% 253 -30 $902 $334,776,596 - 14 22 48 The Mustang Focus $223,853 +212.4% 38 +34 $5,891 $317,842 - 2 23 32 Glass Uni. $206,080 -0.4% 225 -37 $916 $110,817,480 $20 10 24 19 Happy Death Day 2U Uni. $197,560 -43.8% 328 -158 $602 $27,851,130 $9 6 25 34 More than Blue CL $175,970 -5.4% 40 +14 $4,399 $509,554 - 2 26 25 Run the Race RAtt. $172,966 -40.6% 352 -94 $491 $6,196,031 - 5 27 31 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $138,921 -35.1% 174 -82 $798 $215,936,135 $52 21 28 26 The Kid (2019) LGF $125,494 -53.4% 167 -101 $751 $1,339,671 - 3 29 27 Everybody Knows Focus $123,285 -53.1% 143 -105 $862 $2,554,266 - 7 30 55 The Aftermath FoxS $120,728 +114.0% 26 +21 $4,643 $200,982 - 2 31 30 Cold Pursuit LG/S $117,906 -45.1% 224 -152 $526 $31,824,425 - 7 32 16 Greta Focus $115,620 -82.4% 384 -596 $301 $10,418,510 - 4 33 36 Transit MBox $114,371 -3.2% 72 +28 $1,588 $390,078 - 4 34 35 Ralph Breaks the Internet BV $103,223 -41.7% 145 -27 $712 $200,970,900 $175 18 35 38 A Dog's Way Home Sony $89,510 -21.5% 154 -15 $581 $41,952,715 $18 11 36 N Hotel Mumbai BST $88,065 - 4 - $22,016 $88,065 - 1 37 37 Mary Poppins Returns BV $84,321 -26.6% 134 -48 $629 $171,822,453 $130 14 38 57 Woman at War Magn. $75,807 +47.3% 47 +18 $1,613 $230,660 - 4 39 63 The Hummingbird Project Orch. $67,417 +97.1% 41 +37 $1,644 $112,532 - 2 40 42 The Wedding Guest IFC $64,832 -36.3% 93 -3 $697 $328,729 - 4 41 44 Escape Room Sony $64,023 -19.6% 81 -4 $790 $56,706,157 $9 12 42 43 They Shall Not Grow Old WB $54,401 -44.0% 86 -64 $633 $17,652,459 - 14 43 28 A Star is Born (2018) WB $53,842 -76.2% 164 -279 $328 $215,235,338 $36 25 44 46 Arctic BST $53,806 -27.8% 71 -26 $758 $2,254,005 - 8 45 49 Free Solo NGE $53,307 -25.0% 42 -30 $1,269 $17,451,947 - 26 46 39 The Favourite FoxS $50,606 -54.3% 64 -79 $791 $34,147,963 - 18 47 45 Birds of Passage Orch. $48,997 -38.0% 85 -12 $576 $445,926 - 6 48 52 Asterix: The Secret of the Magic Potion EOne $48,188 -25.7% 55 -12 $876 $1,174,605 - 6 49 47 Never Look Away SPC $44,447 -38.5% 44 -15 $1,010 $1,076,261 - 17 50 33 Climax A24 $38,419 -80.3% 136 -81 $282 $725,008 - 4 51 41 Stan & Ollie SPC $33,359 -68.4% 79 -151 $422 $5,392,227 - 13 52 53 The Prodigy Orion $25,913 -58.6% 70 -18 $370 $14,824,063 $6 7 53 64 Capernaum SPC $24,975 -21.4% 24 -8 $1,041 $1,564,811 - 15 54 56 Faith, Hope & Love AAE $23,000 -58.5% 17 -1 $1,353 $100,698 - 2 55 61 Giant Little Ones VE $20,808 -42.8% 31 -1 $671 $132,143 - 4 56 62 If Beale Street Could Talk Annapurna $20,241 -42.0% 36 -23 $562 $14,884,825 - 15 57 N Sunset (2019) SPC $13,846 - 3 - $4,615 $13,846 - 1 58 71 The Invisibles Greenwich $13,206 -33.1% 12 -3 $1,101 $318,905 - 9 59 N Out of Blue IFC $11,719 - 35 - $335 $11,719 - 1 60 79 The Iron Orchard Santa Rita $11,395 +1.9% 13 +2 $877 $197,991 - 5 61 65 Vice Annapurna $10,989 -60.8% 26 -21 $423 $47,817,213 - 13 62 72 Ruben Brandt, Collector SPC $10,878 -42.7% 43 +7 $253 $98,844 - 6 63 74 The Kid Who Would be King Fox $10,205 -38.5% 40 -23 $255 $16,778,829 - 9 64 66 Cold War (2018) Amazon $9,657 -64.1% 16 -29 $604 $4,557,943 - 14 65 67 Extreme Job CJ $9,265 -61.4% 5 -5 $1,853 $1,548,816 - 9 66 68 To Dust Good Deed $8,860 -59.8% 19 -2 $466 $173,242 - 7 67 92 Heading Home: The Tale of Team Israel Men. $7,674 +81.5% 3 - $2,558 $119,860 - 15 68 86 A Tuba to Cuba Blue Fox $6,858 +11.2% 8 -1 $857 $86,506 - 6 69 82 Shoplifters Magn. $6,687 -26.2% 6 -3 $1,115 $3,270,902 - 18 70 73 Styx FM $5,712 -66.4% 9 -8 $635 $47,762 - 4 71 91 Knife+Heart AI $5,356 +13.3% 2 - $2,678 $11,867 - 2 72 N Ramen Shop Strand $5,303 - 2 - $2,652 $5,303 - 1 73 119 Racetime EOne $4,108 +759.4% 10 +5 $411 $1,867,336 - 16 74 81 Avant qu'on explose EOne $2,796 -69.6% 12 -11 $233 $116,321 - 4 75 84 The Wife SPC $2,566 -62.4% 9 -7 $285 $9,580,916 - 32 76 103 The Eyes of Orson Welles Jan. $2,537 +7.0% 1 - $2,537 $6,999 - 2 77 - Life & Nothing More CFI $2,275 - 2 - $1,138 $24,358 - 21 78 97 The Last Resort KL $1,877 -49.4% 2 -5 $939 $150,736 - 14 79 87 The World Before Your Feet Greenwich $1,373 -75.1% 2 -1 $687 $265,331 - 18 80 120 What Is Democracy? Zeit. $1,322 +460.2% 1 - $1,322 $40,222 - 10 81 88 3 Faces KL $1,307 -75.7% 1 -3 $1,307 $33,505 - 3 82 93 Police Story and Police Story 2 Jan. $1,290 -69.4% 3 - $430 $97,181 - 8 83 95 Who Will Write Our History Abr. $1,248 -67.1% 1 -5 $1,248 $117,447 - 10 84 110 The Sower FM $1,233 +9.1% 2 -1 $617 $23,255 - 4 85 75 The Oscar Nominated Short Films 2019 Shrts. $1,026 -93.5% 4 -8 $257 $3,530,256 - 7 86 90 Lords of Chaos G&S $939 -80.3% 3 -8 $313 $253,184 - 7 87 85 Uri: The Surgical Strike PackYourBag $904 -86.3% 3 -2 $301 $4,185,825 - 11 88 114 Saint Judy Blue Fox $777 -18.1% 2 -1 $389 $75,781 - 4 89 98 Sorry Angel Strand $735 -79.9% 2 -1 $368 $24,552 - 6 90 121 Ferrante Fever Greenwich $729 +382.8% 1 - $729 $6,145 - 3 91 69 Yardie Rialto $699 -96.8% 10 -67 $70 $35,632 - 2 92 76 Babylon (2019 re-release) KL $607 -96.1% 1 -6 $607 $57,568 - 3 93 116 Hotel by the River CGld $548 -17.5% 1 -2 $548 $22,232 - 6 94 109 The Heiresses Distrib. $486 -57.4% 2 -3 $243 $65,053 - 10 95 - Hale County This Morning, This Evening CGld $457 - 1 - $457 $109,378 - 28 96 113 The Image Book KL $375 -62.8% 2 -4 $188 $91,924 - 9 97 108 Iceman (2019) FM $126 -90.8% 1 -6 $126 $2,118 - 2 98 112 The Wild Pear Tree CGld $59 -94.2% 1 -2 $59 $27,719 - 8 TOTAL (98 MOVIES): $147,891,442 +5.8% 36,593 -2,916 $4,042

[john2000]

5 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Oof, that Sunday drop for Captain Marvel. GotGV2 could end up taking over in dailies from here on out.

could but a) i dont think and b)if so that would be bc of us still i mean friday and saturday were very good and why that reaction it really shouldnt be that suprising with us perfomance

Edited March 25, 2019 by john2000

[Bishop54]

Alia way up with actuals...Queen Rosa slaying it.

[cdsacken]

18 minutes ago, john2000 said:

plus the legs are great so far i dont see how it doesnt top 400 dom at least it will be 350-360 by the 4 weekend 20million more than guardians 2 thats great

I'd say it's pretty silly to say it doesn't hit 400 million. Sure I guess it's possible but good chance it's at 350+ by end of next week. Still has an entire month before End Game and it's drops are going to be super soft the week before, during and probably week after.

 

Also I think CM beats GOTG on every day this week except Monday and Sunday. 

Edited March 25, 2019 by cdsacken

[Rthmessiah]

Canada WE

#1 CM, #2 Us, #3 FFA, #4 WP, #5 HTTYD3, #6 Kesari (actually #12 Domestic)

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

At this point I'm pretty confident that CM won't be reaching WW and I'm this close to saying that even the 400M is questionable at this rate.Should benefit a lot from Endgame and then maybe some fudging by Disney .

EDIT: Forget all this, week 3 isn<t even over yet.

 

My first reflex was really, possible to miss 400M ? Considering the 45m advance with Wonder Woman after 17 days and 18M above the 408m Hunger Games, but:

 

	Captain Marvel	Hunger Game		Beauty		Wonder Woman		Jurassic world 2		Gotg 2
Week1	$196.9 M	$189.9 M	104%	$228.6 M	86%	$147.8 M	133%	$204.8 M	96%	$183.2 M	108%
Week2	$89.6 M	$79.4 M	113%	$119.3 M	75%	$86.0 M	104%	$100.0 M	90%	$83.6 M	107%
Week3	$34.3 M	$46.2 M	74%	$59.4 M	58%	$59.4 M	58%	$43.0 M	80%	$46.6 M	74%

 

Weekly box office is going relatively down quite a bit versus other 400m+ movies and good competition is starting.

 

Legs, week 3 multiplier

Jurassic World 2 added 1.603 times week 3 to it's total.

Beauty and the beast added 1.63 times week 3 to it's total.

Guardian 2  added 1.64 times week 3 to it's total.

Hunger games added 2x times it's week 3 to it's total.

Wonder woman added 2.01 times it's week 3 to it's total.

 

2.0 legs (that look like that on the great legs side) would push it to 320.75+ 34.3*2 = 390m for a 2.54 multi,

1.65 legs (that look like that on the sequel/very hyped side) would push it to 320.75+ 34.3*1.65 = 377m for a 2.45 multi (hard to believe that one),

 

That does look a bit low, maybe that 34.3M week is a bit of an anomaly/last week burning some demand anormally big, Us giant 70m+ affair effect or something ?

 

Edited March 25, 2019 by Barnack

[terrestrial]

Some milestones got surpassed or BOs are simply insane or...:

Quote

Alita

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$83,814,378	21.0%
+ Foreign:	$316,201,339	79.0%
= Worldwide:	$400,015,717

Quote

Green Book (budget $23m)

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$83,885,626	28.5%
+ Foreign:	$210,100,000	71.5%
= Worldwide:	$293,985,626

Quote

Bohemian Rhapsody (budget $52m)

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$215,936,135	24.3%
+ Foreign:	$673,359,446	75.7%
= Worldwide:	$889,295,581

Quote

Glass (budget $20m)

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$110,817,480	45.0%
+ Foreign:	$135,656,128	55.0%
= Worldwide:	$246,473,608

Quote

Captain Marvel

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$320,749,628	35.2%
+ Foreign:	$590,916,562	64.8%
= Worldwide:	$911,666,190

Quote

A Star is Born (budget $36m)

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$215,235,338	49.6%
+ Foreign:	$218,600,000	50.4%
= Worldwide:	$433,835,338

Quote

Aquaman (for the ww)

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$334,776,596	29.2%
+ Foreign:	$812,100,000	70.8%
= Worldwide:	$1,146,876,596

 

Trying to remember the last time so many high earning 'low-ish' budgets ( roughly $50m and deeper) were in the same chart together with some high-ish budgets (something over $120m, but still under $180m)

 

edit:

all the low budgets named made ww: budget times 12 up to over budget times 17+

 

Edited March 25, 2019 by terrestrial

[TalismanRing]

8 minutes ago, Rthmar-vell said:

Canada WE

#1 CM, #2 Us, #3 FFA, #4 WP, #5 HTTYD3, #6 Kesari (actually #12 Domestic)

That's quite the disparity

[john2000]

7 minutes ago, Barnack said:

First reflex was really ? Considering the 45m advance with Wonder Woman after 17 days and 18M above the 408m Hunger Games, but:

 

	Captain Marvel	Hunger Game		Beauty		Wonder Woman		Jurassic world 2		Gotg 2
Week1	$196.9 M	$189.9 M	104%	$228.6 M	86%	$147.8 M	133%	$204.8 M	96%	$183.2 M	108%
Week2	$89.6 M	$79.4 M	113%	$119.3 M	75%	$86.0 M	104%	$100.0 M	90%	$83.6 M	107%
Week3	$34.3 M	$46.2 M	74%	$59.4 M	58%	$59.4 M	58%	$43.0 M	80%	$46.6 M	74%

 

Weekly box office is going relatively down quite a bit versus other 400m+ movies and good competition is starting.

 

Legs, week 3 multiplier

Jurassic World 2 added 1.603 times week 3 to it's total.

Beauty and the beast added 1.63 times week 3 to it's total.

Guardian 2  added 1.64 times week 3 to it's total.

Hunger games added 2x times it's week 3 to it's total.

Wonder woman added 2.01 times it's week 3 to it's total.

 

2.0 legs (that look like that on the great legs side) would push it to 320.75+ 34.3*2 = 390m for a 2.54 multi,

1.65 legs (that look like that on the sequel/very hyped side) would push it to 320.75+ 34.3*1.65 = 377m for a 2.45 multi (hard to believe that one),

 

That does look a bit low, maybe that 34.3M week is a bit of an anomaly/last week burning some demand anormally big, US giant affair effect or something ?

 

of course its bc of us 70 ow affect it  ,the dalies of captain marvel are very good as of now

Edited March 25, 2019 by john2000

[Barnack]

1 minute ago, TalismanRing said:

That's quite the disparity

 

I was going to ask how common that was, maybe Canada was quite similar to the UK (CM 3.4M versus Us 2.8m)

 

Do Canada follow more the UK or the US directly ?

 

Couple of:

http://playbackonline.ca/2017/12/20/top-grossing-films-of-2017/

 

 

Look like a mix

 

Canada order:

Beauty

Guardian 2

Wonder Woman

Spider Man

Thor 3

 

UK order of those title:

Beauty

Guardian 2

Thor 3

Spider Man

Wonder Woman

 

US order:

Beauty

Wonder Woman

Guardian 2

Spider Man

Thor 3

 

 

[AndyChrono]

58 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

At this point I'm pretty confident that CM won't be reaching WW and I'm this close to saying that even the 400M is questionable at this rate.Should benefit a lot from Endgame and then maybe some fudging by Disney .

CM was 113.5m away from 400m going into the weekend. With a 34.3m weekend, it needs to pull a 3.3x off of that to get to 400m and something like a 3.7x to get to Wonder Woman. Currently CM is holding more like a 2.6-2.7x. Even with some better weekly holds and an Endgame boost, I think it comes in around 395m unless Disney fudges.

[MagnarTheGreat]

Biggest Domestic March Movie Openings
	Beauty and The Beast	Multiplier	Batman v Superman	Multiplier	Captain Marvel	Multiplier	The Hunger Games	Multiplier
Release	2017-03-17		2016-03-25		2019-03-08		2012-03-23
Day 1	$63.8M	0.36	$81.6M	0.49	$61.7M	0.40	$67.3M	0.44
Day 2	$62.7M	0.72	$50.7M	0.80	$52.9M	0.75	$50.4M	0.77
Day 3	$48.3M	1.00	$33.8M	1.00	$38.8M	1.00	$34.9M	1.00
Day 4	$13.5M	1.08	$15.0M	1.09	$11.0M	1.07	$10.8M	1.07
Day 5	$17.9M	1.18	$12.2M	1.16	$14.6M	1.17	$10.3M	1.14
Day 6	$11.5M	1.25	$8.1M	1.21	$8.6M	1.22	$8.1M	1.19
Day 7	$10.9M	1.31	$7.7M	1.26	$9.2M	1.28	$8.2M	1.25
Day 8	$23.6M	1.44	$15.0M	1.35	$19.0M	1.41	$18.7M	1.37
Day 9	$38.3M	1.66	$22.3M	1.48	$29.4M	1.60	$24.7M	1.53
Day 10	$28.5M	1.83	$14.0M	1.57	$19.5M	1.73	$15.2M	1.63
Day 11	$7.1M	1.87	$3.2M	1.59	$5.2M	1.76	$4.5M	1.66
Day 12	$9.5M	1.92	$4.1M	1.61	$7.6M	1.81	$5.3M	1.69
Day 13	$6.3M	1.96	$2.8M	1.63	$4.6M	1.84	$4.6M	1.72
Day 14	$6.1M	1.99	$2.7M	1.65	$4.2M	1.87	$6.4M	1.77
Day 15	$12.8M	2.06	$6.1M	1.68	$9.1M	1.93	$12.8M	1.85
Day 16	$19.5M	2.18	$10.7M	1.75	$15.1M	2.03	$13.0M	1.93
Day 17	$13.1M	2.25	$6.6M	1.79	$10.0M	2.09	$7.3M	1.98
Final	$504.0M	2.88	$330.4M	1.99	TBD	TBD	$408.0M	2.67
Days to 90% Total Gross	31 Days		18 Days		TBD		37 Days
Display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand

 

CM is currently in between these two movies presently, one that got 90% domestic total in 37 days and the other in 31 days. MCU first entry movies have hit 90% an average of 33 days with an average multiplier of 2.99. The current range has been a floor of 23 days for The Incredible Hulk (2.43) and a ceiling of 43 days with Guardians of the Galaxy (3.53).

CM = THG 2.67 + 0.11 = 2.78 

CM = BaTB 2.88 - 0.16 = 2.72

 

Captain Marvel just needs a greater than 2.6 multiplier to hit $400M. A 2.6 multiplier would be the second worst first entry multiplier in the MCU after The Incredible Hulk not accounting for the calendar. But maybe its Thursday Preview to First Weekend multiplier being as low as it was for a first entry portended a more frontloaded than average run.

Edited March 26, 2019 by MagnarTheGreat
correction: 33 days not 31 MCU average