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FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW | 585.1 M overseas ● 759.1 M worldwide

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https://deadline.com/2019/07/hobbs-shaw-box-office-global-preview-1202657322/

South East Asian markets are a go tomorrow for the David Leitch-directed feature, with major territories like UK, Brazil, Germany, Japan and Russia debuting through Friday along with the rest of the world save China, France, Italy and Korea which come later. The industry is seeing an initial weekend in the $125M range with upside depending on who shows up. Latin American and Asian audiences need to turn out if Hobbs & Shaw is going to fly past these projections.

 

For argument’s sake, F8 opened internationally to $171.5M in like-for-like markets and at today’s rates...

 

The good box office comparison here is last year’s Mission: Impossible – Falloutwhich opened to $61.2M domestic, $156.2M worldwide,  the highest in that Paramount Tom Cruise series. The Mission: Impossible franchise is a better fit based on the recurring characters, late summer date and zany stunt action which Hobbs & Shaw definitely has. Fallout did $95M in like-for-likes...

 

If we look at superhero movies, perhaps Suicide Squad and Deadpool are worth notice, they opened to $122M and $132M in like for likes per our calculations.

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Copy and pasted myself from the NZ thread.

 

Hobbs and Shaw opening day (Thu 1/08/2019) -12 hours before release

 

11:00am 17/288

12:00pm 28/364

12:00pm GC 2/40

2:00pm 14/288

3:00pm  27/364

3:00pm GC 5/40

3:50pm 14/216

5:00pm 16/288

6:00pm 65/364

6:00pm GC 22/40

7:00pm 31/216

8:00pm 33/288

8:30pm 7/144

8:45pm 9/216

9:00pm 57/364

9:00pm GC 14/40

 

Total 361/3560 (10.14%) 

 

Comps:

 

19.72% of TLK (sold 1831 tickets at same point) which would be a $1,007,692 opening weekend.

950% of Booksmart (sold 38 tickets at the same point) which would be a $511,575 opening weekend.

 

I think the TLK comp is more reasonable and somewhere around a $1m opening weekend seems right. The good news for Hobbs and Shaw is that there have been plenty more showings added, hopefully the movie is walkup heavy otherwise those extra showing will have been wasted. 

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Vietnam: F&F:H&S just broke record for Thursday night with 14B in lc (Endgame 13B), lets see if it can pass Endgame final number 285B.

https://m.facebook.com/cgvcinemavietnam/photos/a.414600945624/10157664303525625/?type=3&source=48

Top 10 All Time in lc (Italic is local movie)

1.Endgame                         285.4B

2.Cua Lại Vợ Bầu               191.8B

3.Infinity War                      188.5B

4. Furie (Hai Phượng)       185B

5.Em Chưa 18                    171B

6.Kong:Skull Island.          169B

7.Fast and Furious 8.        158B

8.Fast and Furious 7.        147B

9. Far From Home              111B (update till 29/07/2019) 

10.Siêu Sao Siêu Ngố.         108.7B

 

 

EDIT: I just updated Far From Home number

And it seems that the 14B for F&F:H&S was from the whole Thursday, not only Thursday night while Endgame 13B was only from Thursday night from 7.00PM. So it is pretty much that F&F can not catch 285B of Endgame, let alone hit 200B...

Edited by danhtruong5
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36 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

Vietnam: F&F:H&S just broke record for Thursday night with 14B in lc (Endgame 13B), lets see if it can pass Endgame final number 285B.

 

Unlikely, EG had surprisingly good legs in Vietnam. FF8 had a higher OW than EG (in $) but EG finished significantly higher (almost 4x multiple compared to FF8's 2.1x). Why did EG have such crazy legs in Vietnam, was it boosted by a holiday?

 

While HS will almost definitely not pass EG in Vietnam, I am very encouraged by the film's opening there. Hopefully its indicative of a solid performance in the rest of Asia

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1 hour ago, Justin4125 said:

Unlikely, EG had surprisingly good legs in Vietnam. FF8 had a higher OW than EG (in $) but EG finished significantly higher (almost 4x multiple compared to FF8's 2.1x). Why did EG have such crazy legs in Vietnam, was it boosted by a holiday?

 

While HS will almost definitely not pass EG in Vietnam, I am very encouraged by the film's opening there. Hopefully its indicative of a solid performance in the rest of Asia

Yes, Endgame was boosted by holiday. However,  unfortunately, during that week, there were two days (Friday and Saturday) all entertainment activities had to stop because they were national funeral days (the president died this year). 

So yeah..... Endgame had holiday boost but also lost 2 weekend days.... so I think they balanced out each other....

Edited by PKMLover
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2 hours ago, danhtruong5 said:

Vietnam: F&F:H&S just broke record for Thursday night with 14B in lc (Endgame 13B), lets see if it can pass Endgame final number 285B.

https://m.facebook.com/cgvcinemavietnam/photos/a.414600945624/10157664303525625/?type=3&source=48

Vietnam love Superhero and F&F

Top 12 All Time in lc (Italic is local movie)

1.Endgame                         285.4B

2.Cua Lại Vợ Bầu               191.8B

3.Infinity War                      188.5B

4.Em Chưa 18                    171B

5.Kong:Skull Island.          169B

6.Hai Phượng.                    160B

7.Fast and Furious 8.        158B

8.Fast and Furious 7.        147B

9.Siêu Sao Siêu Ngố.         108.7B

10.Age of Ultron.                107.5B

11.Aquaman.                      106.6B

12.Black Panther.               103.5B

Sneakshows for H&S last for the whole fkin day. EG only starts after 7 p.m. Not apple to apple.

CGV only calls it "sneakshows" so they can apply full adult price for every showings instead of U22.

Also, FFH is missing from your chart, should be at 120B by now.

Furie (Hai Phuong) number is also weird. It was reported at 200B including US number (~15B), so 180-185B lc is more accurate. 

I can see H&S getting to 150B, but not much more than that.

Edited by nguyenkhoi282
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